Club Cerro Porteno Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cerro Porteno vs Independiente del Valle	+16.8-4.4-19.5		+0.4-0.1-0.5
Junior vs Flamengo	-0.7+2.1-0.6

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo vs Cerro Porteno	-15.5+0.2+20.8		-0.4+0.0+0.5
Independiente del Valle vs Junior	-0.7+2.1-0.6

Chances based on how well the Cerro Porteno finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	Count

16	-18						In		100				471,444	*
15		5	-	0	-	1	In		99	1			602,734
14		4	-	2	-	0	In		100	0			596,591
13		4	-	1	-	1	In		93	7			1,926,942
12		4	-	0	-	2	99.8	%	72	27	0		1,549,134
		3	-	3	-	0	In		93	7			508,193
11		3	-	2	-	1	99.9		69	31	0		2,450,240
10		3	-	1	-	2	94.2		31	63	6		3,923,274
		2	-	4	-	0	99.4		62	38	1		241,917
9		3	-	0	-	3	61.9		3	59	38	1	2,084,263
		2	-	3	-	1	88.9		20	69	11		1,551,965
8		2	-	2	-	2	46.5		1	46	52	1	3,708,160
		1	-	5	-	0	80.6		10	70	19		61,409
7		2	-	1	-	3	9.1			9	68	23	3,924,724
		1	-	4	-	1	26.7		0	27	67	6	488,632
6		1	-	3	-	2	3.2			3	57	40	1,550,959
		2	-	0	-	4	0.4			0	39	61	1,549,856
		0	-	6	-	0	16.8			17	71	12	6,328
5		1	-	2	-	3	0.1			0	27	73	2,452,327
		0	-	5	-	1	0.5			1	42	57	61,042
4		1	-	1	-	4	Out				8	92	1,925,622
		0	-	4	-	2	0.0			0	14	86	242,377
3		1	-	0	-	5	Out				1	99	605,319
		0	-	3	-	3	Out				3	97	508,967
2		0	-	2	-	4	Out				0	100	596,416
0	-1						Out					100	470,573	*

Total:							50.0	%	25	25	25	25	34,059,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cerro Porteno vs Independiente del Valle	-3.9+1.2+4.4
Junior vs Flamengo	+0.1-0.2+0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/10	100.0*	Lottery seed
Flamengo vs Cerro Porteno	+3.4+0.2-4.8
Independiente del Valle vs Junior	+0.1-0.2+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

18	6	-	0	-	0	96	4	0	0
16	5	-	1	-	0	79	19	2	0	0	0
15	5	-	0	-	1	52	35	11	2	0	0	0		1	0
14	4	-	2	-	0	30	39	22	7	1	0	0	0	0	0
13	4	-	1	-	1	9	23	28	20	10	3	1	0	6	0	0	0
12	4	-	0	-	2	1	4	12	19	19	12	5	1	20	6	1	0	0	0			0	0
	3	-	3	-	0	1	6	17	26	24	14	5	1	5	1	0	0	0
11	3	-	2	-	1	0	0	2	7	15	21	17	6	13	12	5	1	0	0	0		0	0
10	3	-	1	-	2	0	0	0	0	2	5	11	13	6	15	18	14	7	3	1	0	5	1	0	0	0
	2	-	4	-	0		0	0	1	3	11	24	23	5	11	11	7	3	1	0	0	1	0
9	3	-	0	-	3				0	0	0	0	3	0	1	5	11	15	15	9	2	20	13	4	1	0	0	0
	2	-	3	-	1				0	0	0	3	17	0	2	7	14	19	17	9	2	7	3	1	0	0	0	0
8	2	-	2	-	2							0	1	0	0	0	1	4	10	16	14	8	16	15	9	4	1	0	0	0	0
	1	-	5	-	0							0	10	0	0	0	2	7	18	26	17	4	7	5	2	1	0	0
7	2	-	1	-	3											0	0	0	0	2	7	1	3	9	15	18	18	14	8	4	1	0	0	0	0	0
	1	-	4	-	1								0			0	0	0	1	5	20	1	4	10	16	17	13	8	3	1	0	0	0	0
6	1	-	3	-	2														0	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	9	16	21	20	14	8	3	1	0	0	0
	2	-	0	-	4														0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	13	19	21	18	12	5	2	0	0	0
	0	-	6	-	0														0	1	16		0	1	2	6	13	19	19	14	6	2	1	0	0
5	1	-	2	-	3															0	0			0	0	0	0	1	5	10	18	23	21	14	6	2	0
	0	-	5	-	1																1				0	0	1	2	7	15	22	23	17	9	3	1	0
4	1	-	1	-	4																						0	0	0	1	3	8	17	25	26	16	5
	0	-	4	-	2																0						0	0	0	1	4	11	20	26	23	12	3
3	1	-	0	-	5																									0	0	0	3	10	25	37	25
	0	-	3	-	3																								0	0	0	1	3	12	27	35	22
2	0	-	2	-	4																										0	0	0	2	11	35	52
1	0	-	1	-	5																												0	0	2	19	79
0	0	-	0	-	6																														0	4	96

Total:						3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3