Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 99.1%
86 points   40 24-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 +0.2
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Vegas vs Minnesota-0.9*-0.0*+0.0+0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
-0.0No*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Colorado vs Nashville-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Calgary vs San Jose-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
110120-0In0.4%9406019,904
109110-1In0.185114055,828
108111-0In0.07322410130,467
100-2In0.0723251081,607
107101-1In0.05443830379,795
90-3InNo525394071,184
10691-2InNo336501000499,794
102-0InNo35650900484,821*
10592-1InNo1765421201,166,295
81-3InNo156532320408,513*
10482-2InNo644637701,370,639
93-0InNo74493550907,488
71-4InNo54443880208,742*
10383-1InNo2233471612,133,057
72-3InNo123047181950,122
61-5InNo12274721174,006*
10273-2InNo0117473232,219,474
84-0InNo0119492821,244,508
62-4InNo011445363447,244*
10174-1InNo007394682,587,726
63-3InNo006355091,333,914
52-5InNo005335210135,616*
10064-2InNo0022356192,335,629
75-0InNo0032754171,208,665
53-4InNo002205920541,792*
9965-1100.0%No0113553202,183,505
54-3100.0No00010553401,199,180
43-5100.0No00856350135,165*
9855-2100.0No005464901,676,215
66-0100.0No0647470849,592
44-4100.0No0446500404,732*
9756-199.8No02356301,305,233
45-399.7No0134650714,681*
34-599.6No0133660077,027
9646-299.0No00237610829,232
57-099.2No01247510434,707
35-498.6No0227610189,791*
9547-196.5No01483300553,419
36-395.4No01382500307,233*
9437-287.9No078111100280,319
48-089.1No07821010216,124*
9338-174.0No037123300163,984
27-369.0No03662740075,684*
9228-250.2No0149381010113,111*
9129-126.3No02644245042,538*
9019-211.0No11353715216,153*
89110-13.0No319403174,378*
88111-00.2No083143171,242*
87011-10.5No14173642193
86012-0OutNo08385212,668
Total:99.1%0.0%41152433231000032,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegAnaheimChicagoNashvilleSt-LouisEdmontonCalgaryVancouverArizonaSan JoseColoradoVegas
110120-04.3%30102954011002
109110-14.340132653011002
108111-04.270182547011001
100-24.170182447011001
107101-14.01102424380000010
90-34.0120252437000001
10691-23.9170302526000001
102-03.9160312427000001
10592-13.72113524170000000
81-33.7212352516000000
10482-23.6236362411000000
93-03.6234372312000000
71-43.6237352510000000
10383-13.5221335218100000
72-33.6211533227100000
61-53.5211831237100000
10273-23.6202629176200000
84-03.6212331176100000
62-43.6192926185200000
10174-13.6193724134200000
63-33.6194022134200000
52-53.6194220143300000
10064-23.7204717102300000
75-03.6204519103300000
53-43.7204916102300000
9965-13.724481581300000
54-33.724491491300000
43-53.724501391300000
9855-23.629451491200000
66-03.729451481200000
44-43.7294513101200000
9756-13.634391591200000
45-33.6343914101200000
34-53.634391411120000
9646-23.538331611110000
57-03.538331610110000
35-43.537321512110000
9547-13.440271711110000
36-33.339271612110000
9437-23.03722161200000
48-03.2392217111000
9338-12.5321714100000
27-32.4291613100000
9228-21.721121070000
9129-10.91165400
90210-00.3432200
89110-10.111100
88111-0No000
87011-1No1
86012-0No
Total:3.6%23.829.823.014.75.91.60.20.10.00.00.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.3
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4 +0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota+1.1+0.3+0.3-0.7-0.8-0.8
Colorado vs Nashville-0.3-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.3+0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
110120-009300330
109110-10850141000
108111-007302420100
100-207202421100
107101-1054042362100
90-352052372100
10691-2330614946000
102-0350614945000
10592-1170605400615100
81-315060530617200
10482-2604046005325200
93-0704049005294100
71-4504044005346300
10383-1202033003448810
72-3102030003459910
61-51202700245101210
10273-201016001460102220
84-00101900148101920
62-4011400145112630
10174-100700039083861
63-300600035084272
52-500500033074582
10064-20020002300452126
75-00020002700450115
53-40010002000455137
9965-100000130015316160
54-3000000100015416170
43-5000080015517180
9855-2000050004617320
66-0000060004717300
44-400030004617340
9756-100020003514490
45-300010003414510
34-500100033145200
9646-200000023106610
57-00100024116410
35-4000022106710
9547-1000014676300
36-3000013676500
9437-2000737811100
48-000073791010
9338-10317022300
27-30316526500
9228-2010493612200
9129-100263827810
9019-201127362151
89110-131231341640
88111-0041833321210
87011-1126183726101
86012-001928381930
Total:0401014001220042871610000000