New York Rangers Playoff Chances

Lost to New Jersey 4-7, playoff odds down 0.003 to 0.0005%
65 points   27 35-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Win Stanley Cup
New Jersey 7 NY Rangers 4 *No
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 *No
WednesdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
8390-00.9%No11425701,747,873
8280-10.2No002674005,279,626
8181-00.0No0015841012,329,771
70-20.0No0014851010,699,606
8071-10.0No007894049,931,897
60-30.0No006895012,436,197
7961-20.0No0387100087,066,617
72-00.0No03888058,251,710
50-40.0No02851309,150,102
7862-10.0No01791910203,197,369
51-30.0No0176221085,399,376
40-5OutNo17225204,420,197
7752-2OutNo0633340298,948,315
63-0OutNo0682930158,060,054
41-4OutNo058375051,554,611
30-6OutNo05439601,399,847
7653-1OutNo0484390465,075,247
42-3OutNo04246120240,625,534
31-5OutNo0384814019,914,386*
7543-2OutNo02851210561,600,509
54-0OutNo03449170271,303,037
32-4OutNo02351251114,500,653
21-6OutNo020512914,638,482*
7444-1OutNo01649341655,249,155
33-3OutNo01246392356,341,377
22-5OutNo094444332,239,421
11-7OutNo841464610,587*
7334-2OutNo636526623,644,177
45-0OutNo841474305,827,932
23-4OutNo432569125,426,331
12-6OutNo32858125,007,508*
7235-1OutNo2256013582,246,113
24-3OutNo1196218292,651,093
13-5OutNo115612323,536,000*
7125-2OutNo0105831409,758,990
36-0OutNo1146125226,492,647
14-4OutNo07543967,707,335
03-6OutNo0548471,767,783
7026-1OutNo044947318,800,518
15-3OutNo034256126,436,690
04-5OutNo0234646,189,452
6916-2OutNo012871147,563,421
27-0OutNo023663106,296,169
05-4OutNo00217914,444,222
6817-1OutNo00178398,389,238
06-3OutNo00118922,474,135
6718-0OutNo0099128,713,197
07-2OutNo059522,470,320
6608-1OutNo029813,118,370
6509-0OutNo01004,011,823
Total:0.0%No000223034147,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the NY Rangers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY IslandersNew Jersey
8390-00.0%00
8280-10.000
8181-0No00
70-2No00
8071-10.000
60-3No00
7961-2No00
72-0No00
50-4No00
7862-1No00
51-3No0
40-5No
65-77No
Total:0.0%0.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey 7 NY Rangers 4 +0.2
Washington 1 Calgary 3 -0.1
Florida 4 Carolina 2 -0.1
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
NY Rangers vs NY Islanders-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8390-010062643230
8280-1000111404800
8181-00004296610
70-20003276810
8071-10001168030
60-3001148140
7961-20007831000
72-000078480
50-4000682120
7862-10003781810
51-30002752210
40-502722520
7752-2001633340
63-0001682830
41-401583650
30-600543960
7653-1004843900
42-30042461100
31-5003848140
7543-20028512100
54-00034491700
32-40023512510
21-6020512910
7444-1016493410
33-3012463920
22-509444430
11-708414640
7334-206365260
45-008414740
23-404325690
12-632858120
7235-122460140
24-311961180
13-511560240
7125-201057321
36-011460260
14-40753391
03-60547472
7026-10446472
15-30239553
04-50132625
6916-20125668
27-00132606
05-400187111
6817-100147017
06-30087121
6718-00066628
07-2036334
6608-1015148
6509-003762
Total:000001223033131