Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.4 to 98.5%
86 points   40 24-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 +0.2
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Vegas vs Minnesota-1.3+0.0*+0.0+0.8+0.9+0.9
-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Colorado vs Nashville-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.2
Calgary vs San Jose-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
110120-0In4.1%97033,737
109110-1In1.49207010,216
108111-0In0.384115040,421*
107101-1In0.0703261095,266*
10691-2In0.05054050117,229
102-0In0.05253940102,714*
10592-1InNo326491210274,413
81-3InNo29749141110,428*
10482-2InNo146502630368,305
93-0InNo166522330212,061
71-4InNo12649284064,905*
10383-1InNo64433990575,951
72-3InNo544041110295,984
61-5InNo44374213026,719*
10273-2InNo122747221690,815
84-0InNo223047191335,733
62-4InNo122447251163,061*
10174-1InNo011445363805,352
63-3InNo001243404483,334
52-5InNo00104044457,749*
10064-2InNo005325310846,682
75-0InNo00635509376,043
53-4InNo004295611231,249*
9965-1100.0%No0022059190789,391
54-3100.0No0011761210506,618
43-5100.0No001156222067,614*
9855-2100.0No00957340709,507
66-0100.0No001156320307,229
44-4100.0No0757350204,274*
9756-199.9No0447490552,611
45-399.8No03475000355,418
34-599.8No024751047,514*
9646-299.3No01356310414,832
57-099.5No01366200184,423
35-499.1No01346410113,711*
9547-197.3No002374300277,082
36-396.3No02274400185,554*
9437-289.3No013761010165,743
48-091.6No0147880080,293
26-486.9No01275121039,319*
9338-174.7No06692230096,743
27-369.5No05642640054,412*
9228-246.2No24438132051,228*
39-054.1No025235101025,007
9129-124.2No02441277131,818*
9019-29.4No09313819312,604*
89110-12.1No21539341003,882*
88111-00.5No1629422301,177*
87011-1OutNo21641410202
86012-0OutNo0635572963
Total:98.5%0.0%41142335221000011,567,536

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegChicagoAnaheimNashvilleSt-LouisEdmontonCalgaryVancouverArizonaSan JoseColoradoVegas
110120-06.5%3802360111113
109110-16.141002059111102
108111-06.161302155111002
107101-16.4917021471110020
90-36.1101802245111002
10691-26.31523023350110010
102-06.21423023360110010
10592-16.21928125240000010
81-36.2202812623000001
10482-26.3233232714000000
93-06.2233222616000000
71-46.3233142713000000
10383-16.324338259000000
72-36.324329268100000
61-56.1243011278100000
10273-26.3222918236100000
84-06.3233116227100000
62-46.3222821235100000
10174-16.3202529184200000
63-36.2192332184200000
52-56.4182235184200000
10064-26.3181942143310000
75-06.2192140143210000
53-46.2181745142310000
9965-16.2191648112310000
54-36.2191550121310000
43-56.2181351121300000
9855-26.3221450111310000
66-06.3221449101310000
44-46.3211350111300000
9756-16.2261445111200000
45-36.1251346121200000
34-56.225134613120000
9646-26.229153913120000
57-06.229154012120000
35-46.428144014120000
9547-16.132173314110000
36-36.031163315110000
25-56.130153316010000
9437-25.630162615010000
48-05.832172714110000
26-45.32915251601000
9338-14.727151913000000
27-34.424131813000000
9228-23.117101290000
9129-11.48565000
90210-00.532220
89110-10.20110
88111-00.10000
86-87No
Total:6.2%22.020.931.016.65.51.70.40.20.00.00.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.2
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 +0.1
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.7-0.8-0.8
Colorado vs Nashville-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
110120-04930021
109110-119100530
108111-0084017800
107101-1070037191000
10691-2050055343200
102-0052056333100
10592-1320634766100
81-3290724706810
10482-2140615000818310
93-016061510716200
71-4120614800821310
10383-1604043006326300
72-3504040006357400
61-540403700537850
10273-21202600344101210
84-02020300044491010
62-410202400245111510
10174-101014001440102630
63-300012001420103030
52-50010001400113440
10064-200500032074682
75-000600035084272
53-400400029074982
9965-100100020004551360
54-300100017003571470
43-50010001503591480
9855-20000090015618160
66-000000110015517150
44-400070015618180
9756-100040004718300
45-3000300047183200
34-500020004718320
9646-200100035164810
57-000100036164600
35-400100034154910
9547-1000000231262300
36-30000221162400
9437-200001376910100
48-000014770810
26-400126681210
9338-1000636621400
27-305361246100
9228-221443416300
39-0021513112200
9129-1002433301120
9019-2009213524810
89110-12726362271
88111-0121331341630
87011-10219323771
86012-016214025710
Total:04010130022100430814100000000