San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances

Lost to Minnesota 2-4, playoff odds down 3.6 to 2.8%
76 points   34 31-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Minnesota 4 San Jose 2 -3.0
Colorado 5 St. Louis 3 -0.6
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)-0.2
Washington 1 Calgary 3 -0.1
Chicago 5 Vancouver 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Anaheim vs Edmonton+1.1+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9490-094.1%No01263613606,458,045
9380-177.2No0347523220019,953,892
9281-059.1No0134222392046,550,672
70-251.3No027222463029,665,098
9171-131.9No01611560800138,452,252
60-325.4No01101364110025,216,301
9061-212.8No0607642210176,578,846
72-017.5No0908641810161,547,288
50-49.3No040563262013,502,612
8962-15.3No0303553550412,064,575
51-33.4No0202504070126,074,517
40-52.3No1014643904,718,194
8852-21.1No01003449161441,336,396
63-02.0No01013947120320,543,353
41-40.6No000295020155,095,499
30-60.4No00024502411,076,356
8753-10.3No0001949303686,624,941
42-30.1No0001547353257,112,256
31-50.1No000114440415,214,434*
8643-20.0No0006354910600,039,771
54-00.1No000839448400,615,953
32-40.0No00431541287,900,013
21-60.0No0032657132,528,498*
8544-10.0No002215521700,235,839
33-30.0No001175824273,531,273
22-50.0No00114592617,610,989
11-7OutNo1116128232,992*
8434-20.0No00085240478,780,736
45-00.0No000105237326,832,613
23-40.0No0005524368,474,226
12-6OutNo0452441,917,946*
8335-1OutNo034057446,949,506
24-3OutNo023959159,821,477
13-5OutNo0139608,989,680*
8225-2OutNo002673223,824,299
36-0OutNo012772173,837,889
14-4OutNo00257425,997,273
03-6OutNo002575468,874
8126-1OutNo001684174,124,364
15-3OutNo00168448,532,904
04-5OutNo015851,642,117
8027-0OutNo0099158,066,115
16-2OutNo089256,646,971
05-4OutNo08923,830,678
7917-1OutNo049637,777,461
06-3OutNo4965,965,208
7818-0OutNo29811,023,004
07-2OutNo2985,971,048
7708-1OutNo1993,480,017
7609-0OutNo01001,509,759
Total:2.8%No00101162533237,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleMinnesotaLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonColoradoDallasWinnipegCalgary
9490-00.6%1031659150000
9380-10.417515409000
9281-00.316513295000
70-20.3156122340
9171-10.2104111420
60-30.194111010
9072-00.16200810
61-20.14200500
50-40.04200300
8962-10.02100300
51-30.01100100
40-50.01000100
8863-00.00000100
52-20.00000100
41-40.0000000
30-60.0000000
8753-10.0000000
42-30.0000000
31-50.0000000
20-7No00000
8654-00.0000000
43-20.0000000
32-40.0000000
21-6No00000
10-8No
8544-10.000000
33-30.000000
22-5No0000
11-7No
00-9No
8445-00.000000
34-20.000000
23-4No000
12-6No
01-8No
76-83No
Total:0.0%0.80.30.10.11.30.20.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 4 San Jose 2 +0.6
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +0.1
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)+0.1
Washington 1 Calgary 3 +0.1
Colorado 5 St. Louis 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Edmonton-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9490-000666210601313200
9380-1012452050231714100
9281-0001313020220728500
70-20024220220734700
9171-1001331015044418200
60-300920013044721200
9061-200420070142368000
72-000730080241336000
50-40031050141381010
8962-100210300274420300
51-300110200254423400
40-5000100234426500
8852-200000001238371210
63-00010100134034910
41-40000001035391510
30-600000832401710
8753-100000423422650
42-300000320413060
31-500000217403370
8643-200000183042172
54-0000001103339152
32-40000062744192
21-60000052546213
8544-100000216423380
33-30000113413590
22-500001114137100
11-70194139100
8434-20000042846210
45-00000063045200
23-4000032747230
12-60032648240
8335-100114453900
24-300113454100
13-500013454200
8225-20005355900
36-00006355800
14-4005346010
03-6005346010
8126-10022275100
15-30022275200
04-502227520
8027-00001284400
16-2001283400
05-4001282600
7917-1006841000
06-305821300
7818-002762010
07-202742220
7708-1015935600
7609-0040451410
Total:000010000100714192220150000