Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Chances

Lost to Winnipeg 1-2 (ot), playoff odds down 1.5 to 24.8%
74 points   32 30-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)-1.0
New Jersey 7 NY Rangers 4 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Columbus vs Toronto-6.8-6.8-6.8-0.3-0.3+7.3
-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
94100-0100.0%No75538000005,269,860
9390-199.3No1346400000015,735,300
9291-097.6No0217600002036,719,314
80-296.3No016800003123,527,795
9181-191.4No088300062109,825,800
70-388.7No06830008320,540,260
9071-280.0No0278000118143,813,824
82-083.8No0480000106128,127,037
60-476.0No027400131111,606,299
8972-168.3No0168001417335,683,086
61-363.6No0063001521108,380,785
50-558.9No0590016254,438,234
8862-250.3No0050001535379,438,408
73-055.2No0055001530261,158,902
51-445.4No04500144052,989,410*
8763-136.9No03701351590,378,740
52-332.5No03201156241,851,462
41-528.2No0280116116,515,561*
8653-221.7No0220870564,453,637
64-025.3No0250966344,431,227
42-418.4No018077595,144,835
31-615.3No01506793,405,218*
8554-113.1No0135820658,722,744
43-310.7No0114850296,119,358
32-58.5No09388024,117,398*
8444-25.8No629200518,329,926
55-07.4No739000307,450,585
33-44.5No41940092,069,948
22-63.3No319503,669,057*
8345-12.8No319600483,869,843
34-32.0No219700214,939,096
23-51.4No10980017,298,861*
8235-20.8No1098100300,957,093
46-01.2No1097100188,225,818
24-40.5No10982051,276,363*
8136-10.3No0095400234,142,765
25-30.2No009550092,528,148
14-50.1No00955006,096,059*
8026-20.0No0891100107,977,961
37-00.1No0090100078,071,286
15-40.0No088120014,362,614*
7927-10.0No0772120071,989,874
16-30.0No076222022,727,121*
7817-20.0No0583560021,885,292
28-00.0No0603450022,650,089*
7718-1OutNo3845162012,771,913
07-3OutNo364517202,194,573
7619-0OutNo204430605,229,899*
7509-1OutNo73143180995,109
74010-0OutNo21644362841,233
Total:24.8%No0124000066810007,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Philadelphia finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyFloridaTampa BayColumbusOttawaMontrealBuffaloDetroitBostonWashingtonCarolina
94100-00.8%0246701321110
9390-10.80296600310000
9291-00.802965003000000
80-20.70306300300000
9181-10.702960002000000
70-30.702957002000000
9071-20.602752001000000
82-00.6027550010000000
60-40.6274800100000
8972-10.52344001000000
61-30.52241000000000
50-50.422370
8862-20.418320000000
73-00.4193600000000
51-40.317290
40-60.315250
8763-10.31323000
52-30.2122000
41-50.2111700
30-70.210150
8653-20.2814000
64-00.2916000
42-40.171100
31-60.1690
20-80.1570
8554-10.15800
43-30.14700
32-50.1350
21-70.0340
8444-20.024
55-00.135
33-40.023
22-60.012
8345-10.012
34-30.011
23-50.011
12-70.001
8235-20.000
46-00.001
24-40.000
13-60.000
8136-10.000
25-30.000
14-50.000
8037-00.000
26-20.000
15-40.000
7927-10.000
7828-00.000
74-77No
Total:0.2%0.08.715.90.00.00.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)+0.2
Colorado 5 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Minnesota 4 San Jose 2 -0.1
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +0.0
Washington 1 Calgary 3 +0.0
New Jersey 7 NY Rangers 4 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs Toronto+0.7+0.7+0.7+0.0+0.0-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
94100-070541325000000
9390-11034135100000000
9291-00021967000002000
80-20016970000031000
9181-1008579000530000
70-300657800064100
9071-2002276000793000
82-0004278000672000
60-402273008114100
8972-10010670061310300
61-3000630061512300
50-500580061714400
8862-20005000313201220
73-00005500312181020
51-400450314221430
8763-10037017212491
52-300320172226101
41-500280172329111
8653-200220021433245
64-000250021432224
42-400180021434266
31-600150021435286
8554-100130062739140
43-300110052741160
32-50090052642180
8444-20600115453300
55-00700116453000
33-40400114453600
22-630011445370
8345-130006385200
34-320006375500
23-51005355800
8235-210022571100
46-010022769100
24-41001237410
8136-100001581400
25-30001383400
14-50001284400
8026-20006831000
37-0000883900
15-4005841100
7927-10037520200
16-3002742220
7817-20015835600
28-00016034500
7718-10038451520
07-3036451720
7619-0020443060
7509-1073143180
74010-0216443620
Total:0010240000014815222510000