Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to Detroit 4-6, playoff odds down 18 to 48.5%
86 points   39 26-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Montreal 4 Detroit 6 -16.3
-0.6
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 -2.6
-0.1
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +1.9
+0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 -0.2
Florida 4 Carolina 2 -0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10490-0InNo53416017,172,997
10380-1100.0%No2752201044,400,747
10281-0100.0No144935200103,586,298
70-2100.0No1045414052,226,311
10171-199.9No432551000243,777,542
60-399.7No22658140035,380,483
10072-099.1No118592110284,437,278
61-298.3No013582620247,769,938
50-497.1No0955323015,219,582
9962-193.3No05474160578,262,136
51-389.7No034046100142,016,622
40-585.6No0234501414,296,947
9852-276.5No012551212497,143,032
63-083.1No013250161449,845,632
41-469.6No00195127450,193,236
30-663.5No01549315798,287
9753-157.1No0012453570773,531,216
42-347.9No0084041110234,286,506
31-540.4No05354515011,294,218*
9643-229.5No032748230546,861,669
54-038.2No0053345170451,306,994
32-422.7No02214829065,339,170
21-618.1No0117483401,545,545*
9544-115.0No011446390638,115,405
33-310.0No001042470203,359,499
22-57.0No073854110,779,510
11-75.3No0535591120,459*
9434-24.1No00432632355,867,248
45-06.9No00737541297,841,037
23-42.5No022669241,923,008
12-61.7No0223742977,105*
9335-11.3No01207450332,295,654
24-30.6No0115795097,863,227
13-50.3No00118364,583,871*
9225-20.2No00781120137,063,074
36-00.4No001177110129,259,189
14-40.1No0058312013,260,129
03-60.0No0484120201,853
9126-10.0No00375220106,609,285
15-30.0No027622024,768,165
04-50.0No0176230708,686
9027-00.0No016435035,555,219
16-20.0No016435028,902,604
05-40.0No00643501,654,820
8917-10.0No004950119,275,925
06-3OutNo0495012,571,534
8818-00.0No00346245,620,146
07-2OutNo0346242,573,967
8708-1OutNo02069101,503,336
8609-0OutNo116821998,679
Total:48.5%No1418262524207,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyFloridaTampa BayColumbusOttawaBuffaloDetroitPhiladelphiaBoston
10490-02.9%0426525030000
10380-12.911385421031000
10281-03.0222134316021000
70-23.1426153814021000
10171-13.1103420259010000
60-33.1143721207010000
10072-03.1213822144000000
61-23.1263721103000000
50-43.03235207200000
9962-12.841301741000000
51-32.646261421000000
40-52.45022121000000
9852-22.15116910000000
63-02.350201110000000
41-41.95112600000000
30-61.74995000000
9753-11.5458400000000
42-31.240530000000
31-51.03532000000
20-70.93131000
9654-01.033320000000
43-20.727210000000
32-40.62111000000
21-60.417100000
10-80.41400
9544-10.41400000000
33-30.210000000
22-50.27000000
11-70.1500000
00-9No4
9445-00.27000000
34-20.14000000
23-40.1200000
12-60.02000
01-80.11
9335-10.0100000
24-30.0100000
13-50.00000
02-7No0
9236-00.0000000
25-20.000000
14-40.00000
03-60.00
9126-10.00000
15-30.000
04-5No0
9027-00.00
8917-1No0
8818-0No0
86-87No
Total:1.4%25.711.36.33.71.30.00.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 4 Detroit 6 +1.0
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 -0.2
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 +0.1
Florida 4 Carolina 2 +0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 +0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10490-053041600
10380-12705220010
10281-014000493502000
70-2100045410400
10171-14003254110000
60-32002657114000
10072-01001857321010
61-20001355326020
50-4000951432030
9962-1000541641060
51-30003346460100
40-50002286490141
9852-20001187501212
63-00001248491161
41-40000136491274
30-60105471315
9753-1000000754323570
42-3000004438241110
31-5003333345150
9643-20001223348230
54-0000002330445170
32-4001118348290
21-600114348340
9544-100001113463900
33-300073424700
22-50052385410
11-70032355910
9434-2000223263200
45-0000433754200
23-400112669200
12-60011227420
9335-1001119736000
24-300001478700
13-500001181800
9225-2000077616100
36-00000117414100
14-400057717100
03-6003771810
9126-100036529300
15-30016331400
04-50016133500
9027-0001464111100
16-2000434213100
05-400404315200
8917-1002344266000
06-30214329710
8818-00010333817300
07-208303920300
8708-1021535341220
8609-00521382781
Total:10004001532422524200000