Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.9997%

93 points 44 20-5

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1			-0.1		-1.1
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6			-0.0
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4					+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup	100.0*	Pres Trophy
Ottawa vs Dallas	InInInInIn-0.0		+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3		+2.0+2.0+1.9-3.0-3.0-6.6
Anaheim vs Detroit			+0.1+0.0+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

119	13	0		-	0	In		94.7	%	95	5	0												57,059
118	12	0		-	1	In		87.6		88	10	2												140,956
117	12	1		-	0	In		78.0		78	17	5												329,351
	11	0		-	2	In		77.2		77	17	6												163,448
116	11	1		-	1	In		63.0		63	26	11												766,808
	10	0		-	3	In		61.9		62	25	13												115,644
115	11	2		-	0	In		47.5		48	33	20	0											894,922
	10	1		-	2	In		46.4		46	32	22	0											808,848
	9	0		-	4	In		45.3		45	31	24	0											54,640
114	10	2		-	1	In		30.9		31	37	32	0											1,884,628
	9	1		-	3	In		29.9		30	35	35	0											525,946	*
113	9	2		-	2	In		17.7		18	35	47	0	0										1,778,059
	10	3		-	0	In		18.4		18	36	45	0											1,473,246	*
	8	1		-	4	In		17.0		17	33	49	0	0										212,024
112	9	3		-	1	In		9.0		9	31	60	1	0										2,767,332
	8	2		-	3	In		8.5		9	29	61	1	0										988,748
	7	1		-	5	In		7.9		8	27	63	2	0										62,685	*
111	8	3		-	2	In		3.6		4	22	71	3	0										2,306,543
	9	4		-	0	In		3.9		4	23	70	3	0										1,615,727
	7	2		-	4	In		3.4		4	20	72	4	0										374,380	*
110	8	4		-	1	In		1.3		1	14	77	8	0										2,695,640
	7	3		-	3	In		1.1		1	13	76	9	0										1,122,629
	6	2		-	5	In		1.0		1	12	76	11	0										93,142	*
109	7	4		-	2	In		0.3		0	7	75	17	1										1,966,594
	8	5		-	0	In		0.3		0	8	76	15	0										1,256,848
	6	3		-	4	In		0.3		0	6	73	20	1										368,099	*
108	7	5		-	1	In		0.1		0	3	67	28	2	0									1,836,507
	6	4		-	3	In		0.0		0	3	64	30	2	0									822,406
	5	3		-	5	In		0.0		0	3	61	34	2										77,086	*
107	6	5		-	2	In		0.0		0	1	51	42	5	0									1,152,140
	7	6		-	0	In		0.0		0	1	54	40	5	0									713,057
	5	4		-	4	In		0.0		0	1	48	45	6	0									227,853	*
106	6	6		-	1	In		0.0		0	0	37	51	12	0									896,041
	5	5		-	3	In		No		0	0	34	52	13	0									444,570	*
105	5	6		-	2	In		No			0	22	54	24	0									473,381
	6	7		-	0	In		No		0	0	23	54	22	0									297,861
	4	5		-	4	In		No			0	19	54	26	0									92,343	*
104	5	7		-	1	In		No			0	12	50	38	1									316,164
	4	6		-	3	In		No			0	10	48	40	1									148,873	*
103	4	7		-	2	In		No				5	38	54	3									138,333	*
	5	8		-	0	In		No			0	5	39	53	3									115,689	*
102	4	8		-	1	In		No				2	25	65	9									113,107	*
101	3	8		-	2	In		No				0	13	68	18									52,096	*
100	3	9		-	1	In		No				0	6	63	31									18,825	*
99	2	9		-	2	In		No				0	2	52	46									7,218	*
98	2	10		-	1	In		No					1	41	59									2,038	*
97	2	11		-	0	99.8	%	No						28	72	0								628	*
96	1	11		-	1	In		No						18	82									107	*
95	1	12		-	0	In		No						16	84									37	*
93	0	13		-	0	96.8		No						3	93	3								2,630

Total:						100.0	%	11.8	%	12	18	54	13	3	0	0								32,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:								Chance will play in first round
TP	W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		New Jersey	Buffalo	Detroit	NY Islanders	Boston	Columbus	Tampa Bay	Toronto	Pittsburgh	Philadelphia	Florida

119	13	0		-	0	16.4	%		0	6		25		69	0	0	0	0
118	12	0		-	1	16.5			0	8		26		66	0	0	0	0
117	12	1		-	0	16.2			0	11		29		60	0	0	0	0
	11	0		-	2	16.5			0	11		28	0	60	0	0	0	0
116	11	1		-	1	16.2			0	17		32	0	51	0	0	0	0
	10	0		-	3	16.1			0	17		31		51	0	0	0	0
115	11	2		-	0	16.0			0	23		34		42	0	0	0	0
	10	1		-	2	16.0			0	24		34	0	41	0	0	0	0
	9	0		-	4	16.3			0	26		33		40	0	0	0	0
114	10	2		-	1	15.8			0	32		36	0	31	0	0	0	0
	9	1		-	3	15.8			0	34		36		30	0	0	0	0
113	9	2		-	2	15.5		0	1	42		36		22	0	0	0	0
	10	3		-	0	15.5			1	41		36	0	23	0	0	0	0
	8	1		-	4	15.4		0	1	43		35		21	0		0	0
112	9	3		-	1	15.3		0	1	49		34	0	15	0	0	0	0
	8	2		-	3	15.2		0	2	50		34		14	0	0	0	0
	7	1		-	5	15.1		0	2	52		33		13	0			0
111	8	3		-	2	15.0		0	3	57		31		9	0	0	0	0
	9	4		-	0	15.1		0	2	56		32		10	0	0		0
	7	2		-	4	15.1		0	3	57		31		9	0			0
110	8	4		-	1	14.9		0	4	61		29		7	0	0		0
	7	3		-	3	14.8		0	4	61	0	28		6	0	0		0
	6	2		-	5	14.7		0	4	62		28		5	0
109	7	4		-	2	14.6		0	5	64	0	26		5	0
	8	5		-	0	14.7		0	5	63	0	26		5	0	0	0
	6	3		-	4	14.6		0	6	64	0	26		4	0
108	7	5		-	1	14.5		1	7	64	0	25		4	0
	6	4		-	3	14.4		1	7	65	0	24	0	3	0			0
	5	3		-	5	14.4		1	7	65	0	24		3
107	6	5		-	2	14.3		2	8	63	0	23	0	3	0
	7	6		-	0	14.4		2	8	63	0	23		3
	5	4		-	4	14.2		3	8	63	0	22		3
106	6	6		-	1	14.2		5	11	60	0	21		3
	5	5		-	3	14.1		6	11	59	0	21		3
105	5	6		-	2	14.1		11	16	53	0	18		2
	6	7		-	0	14.1		10	15	54	0	18		3
	4	5		-	4	14.0		12	16	52	0	17		2
104	5	7		-	1	14.0		17	22	45	0	14	0	2
	4	6		-	3	14.1		19	22	43	0	13	0	2
103	4	7		-	2	14.3		27	29	33	0	10		1
	5	8		-	0	14.1		26	29	34	0	10		2
102	4	8		-	1	14.5		35	36	22	0	6		1
101	3	8		-	2	14.2		42	41	14	0	3		0
100	3	9		-	1	14.3		47	43	8	0	1	0	0
99	2	9		-	2	14.7		49	45	5	0	1		0
98	2	10		-	1	16.2		50	46	3	0	1
97	2	11		-	0	13.2		55	43	2		0
96	1	11		-	1	10.3		45	53	2
95	1	12		-	0	8.1		51	46	3
93	0	13		-	0	13.8		48	47	1		0

Total:						15.0	%	1.4	4.4	50.4	0.0	29.2	0.0	14.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	+0.1
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6	+0.1
Florida 2 Boston 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Dallas	-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.9
Anaheim vs Detroit	-0.2-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.2+0.2

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

119	13	0		-	0	95		5		0
118	12	0		-	1	88		10		2
117	12	1		-	0	78		17		5
	11	0		-	2	77		17		6
116	11	1		-	1	63		26		11
	10	0		-	3	62		25		13
115	11	2		-	0	48		33		20				0
	10	1		-	2	46		32		22				0
	9	0		-	4	45		31		24				0
114	10	2		-	1	31	0	37		32				0
	9	1		-	3	30	0	35		35				0
113	9	2		-	2	18	0	35		47				0				0
	10	3		-	0	18	0	36		45				0
	8	1		-	4	17	0	33		49				0				0
112	9	3		-	1	9	0	31		60				1				0
	8	2		-	3	9	0	29		61				1				0
	7	1		-	5	8	0	27		63				2				0
111	8	3		-	2	4	0	22	0	71	0			3				0
	9	4		-	0	4	0	23	0	70	0			3				0
	7	2		-	4	3	0	20	0	72	0			4				0
110	8	4		-	1	1	0	14	0	76	0	0		8				0
	7	3		-	3	1	0	13	0	76	0	0		9				0
	6	2		-	5	1	0	12	0	76	0	0		11				0
109	7	4		-	2	0	0	7	0	75	0	0		17	0			1
	8	5		-	0	0	0	8	0	76	0	0		15	0			0
	6	3		-	4	0	0	6	0	73	0	0		20	0			1
108	7	5		-	1	0	0	3	0	66	1	0		28	0			2		0
	6	4		-	3	0	0	3	0	63	1	1		30	0			2		0
	5	3		-	5	0	0	3	0	60	1	1		34	0			2
107	6	5		-	2	0	0	1	0	48	2	1		42	0			5		0
	7	6		-	0	0	0	1	0	52	2	1		40	0			5		0
	5	4		-	4	0	0	1	0	44	2	1		45	0			6		0
106	6	6		-	1	0	0	0	0	31	4	2		51	0			12	0	0
	5	5		-	3		0	0	0	28	4	2		52	0			13	0	0
105	5	6		-	2			0	0	14	5	2	0	53	2			24	0	0
	6	7		-	0		0	0	0	16	5	2		53	1			22	0	0
	4	5		-	4			0	0	11	5	3		52	2			26	0	0
104	5	7		-	1			0	0	5	4	2		45	5	0		38	0	1
	4	6		-	3			0	0	4	4	2		43	5	0		40	0	1	0
103	4	7		-	2			0		1	2	2	0	28	9	0		53	1	4	0
	5	8		-	0			0	0	1	3	2	0	30	9	0		51	1	3
102	4	8		-	1					0	1	1	0	13	11	0		60	5	9	0
101	3	8		-	2					0	0	0	0	4	9	0		54	14	18	0
100	3	9		-	1						0	0	0	1	5	1		38	25	29	2
99	2	9		-	2							0		0	2	0		21	32	39	6
98	2	10		-	1										0	0		9	32	43	16
97	2	11		-	0													2	25	41	31	0
96	1	11		-	1													2	16	31	51
95	1	12		-	0														16	24	59
93	0	13		-	0														3	7	86	3	1

Total:						12	0	18	0	53	1	0	0	13	0	0		3	0	0	0	0	0