Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances

Lost to Boston 2-4, playoff odds down 10.6 to 74.3%
87 points   38 23-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 -7.8
-0.2
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 -1.3
-0.0
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 -0.1
Florida 4 Carolina 2 -0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
107100-0InNo0712725,757,039
10690-1InNo05440617,131,371
10591-0InNo038491339,986,831
80-2InNo0037501325,261,837
10481-1InNo2353240117,880,467
70-3InNo225325021,717,061
10371-2100.0%No11494000152,020,837
82-0100.0No12493900137,586,688
60-4100.0No1048410012,046,616
10272-1100.0No5385610354,814,800
61-3100.0No5385710112,408,684
50-5100.0No43758204,496,322
10162-299.9No22469500393,486,114
73-0100.0No22669300276,027,324
51-499.9No1236960053,595,043*
10063-199.5No013741300612,262,358
52-399.2No012711610244,845,029
41-598.6No01068201016,186,356*
9953-296.0No04613140571,360,644
64-097.6No05672620357,217,841
42-493.8No0354366093,309,902
31-691.2No034940803,201,502*
9854-188.1No014443111666,728,593
43-383.0No013646161290,320,114
32-577.3No01294820222,655,205*
9744-265.2No0019462950508,162,416
55-073.2No0026472430311,218,068
33-456.4No001443368086,603,907
22-648.7No01039401103,268,621*
9645-145.2No0093641130474,413,364
34-335.9No053045190202,109,329
23-527.8No03254725015,398,087*
9535-218.9No021746350283,051,061
46-025.9No032347270184,544,620
24-412.6No01124443145,572,073*
9436-18.5No00838512220,185,285
25-35.0No0053359282,389,972
14-52.9No03286635,065,288*
9326-21.6No0221717096,177,065
37-02.9No0326656073,411,363
15-40.7No0115768011,915,483*
9227-10.4No00117415064,128,235
16-30.1No0077617018,830,157*
9128-00.1No0056827018,718,215
17-20.0No0036730019,441,791*
9018-10.0No015544010,610,287
07-30.0No00534701,668,152
8919-00.0No00386024,214,135*
8809-1OutNo022726757,978
87010-0OutNo0117415785,490
Total:74.3%No0021139231510107,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyFloridaTampa BayColumbusMontrealBuffaloDetroitPhiladelphiaBoston
107100-01.7%011682900000
10690-11.7032662800000
10591-01.70766125000000
80-21.7086612501000
10481-11.7014105321010000
70-31.701510532101000
10371-21.8024164316010000
82-01.802316431701000
60-41.802516431501000
10272-11.9133223111010000
61-31.9135223110010000
50-51.92362130901000
10162-21.954227196000000
73-02.034128207000000
51-41.964326185000000
40-61.98442517400000
10063-11.9134528103000000
52-31.916452692000000
41-51.920442482000000
30-71.82443237100000
9953-21.831382231000000
64-01.826412541000000
42-41.736351931000000
31-61.64032172000000
9854-11.543281610000000
43-31.446231310000000
32-51.348191000000000
21-71.1481680000000
9744-21.04612700000000
55-01.2471690000000
33-40.943950000000
22-60.739730000000
9645-10.736630000000
34-30.530420000000
23-50.4252100000
9535-20.317110000
46-00.4232100000
24-40.212100000
13-60.1800000
9436-10.18000000
25-30.15000000
14-50.0300000
9337-00.03000000
26-20.0200000
15-40.0100000
9227-10.00000000
9128-00.000000
9018-10.00
8919-0No0
87-88No
Total:1.3%22.724.114.79.23.20.10.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +0.9
Montreal 4 Detroit 6 -0.1
Florida 4 Carolina 2 +0.1
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 +0.1
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
107100-00710272
10690-10540406
10591-003804913
80-20003705013
10481-1230532400
70-3220532500
10371-21104940000
82-01204939000
60-41004841000
10272-1500038550100
61-3500038560100
50-54003757020
10162-2200246825000
73-02000266813000
51-4100236826000
10063-10001370413000
52-30001267416010
41-50001063520010
9953-2000452831040
64-0000558826020
42-4000346836060
31-6000341840080
9854-100013311430111
43-300012610461161
32-50001218471202
9744-20000001184422950
55-000000015104622430
33-40000764123680
22-605537240110
9645-100004533441130
34-30002327445190
23-501221347250
9535-20001134463500
46-000012185472700
24-400193444310
9436-1000533851200
25-3000323359300
14-500212866300
9326-200112070800
37-000122665600
15-4000015741000
9227-10000107018100
16-300077022100
9128-000045833400
17-200025437600
9018-1001354616200
07-300304621300
8919-00001642338100
8809-104244224400
87010-011034381420
Total:000200011003452211510100000