Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Beat Washington 3-1, playoff odds up 0.9 to 3.5%
76 points   35 32-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Washington 1 Calgary 3 +1.3
Colorado 5 St. Louis 3 -0.4
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)-0.1
Minnesota 4 San Jose 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Anaheim vs Edmonton+1.0+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.5-0.5

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
9490-086.3%No0242123014011,125,759
9380-167.7No0127733321032,116,446
9281-049.0No018328492074,941,972
70-245.0No0015327523042,408,079
9171-127.3No0911865700197,959,450
60-323.6No0711667100031,784,583
9072-014.4No0509701600230,968,631
61-212.1No0408691900222,548,813
50-49.7No030767231014,909,984
8962-15.0No0203613220519,365,832
51-33.7No0102573630139,154,788
40-52.7No01025141504,539,191
8852-21.2No0001424790487,164,000
63-01.7No0101464570403,996,229
41-40.8No000355013152,946,112
30-60.5No0002951181897,123
8753-10.3No0002652202757,946,913
42-30.2No0002151253247,124,360
31-50.1No000154932412,659,547*
8643-20.0No0001044398576,769,493
54-00.1No0001348346442,220,654
32-40.0No00738441173,210,187
21-60.0No0043250141,814,959*
8544-10.0No004304917673,014,521
33-30.0No002255122227,798,724
22-50.0No00119532712,655,993
11-7OutNo1135333144,776*
8434-20.0No001134938398,783,640
45-00.0No001175033314,170,189
23-40.0No0009474449,229,109
12-6OutNo0544511,186,996*
8335-10.0No0053956372,291,095
24-3OutNo033561114,921,477
13-5OutNo0231675,556,349*
8225-2OutNo012376160,929,932
36-0OutNo022672144,845,888
14-4OutNo00198016,088,237
03-6OutNo001684249,102
8126-1OutNo001387125,210,708
15-3OutNo00118930,049,259
04-5OutNo0991873,301
8027-0OutNo0069441,749,573
16-2OutNo0059535,065,441
05-4OutNo04962,042,421
7917-1OutNo029823,391,950
06-3OutNo2983,175,949
7818-0OutNo01996,824,980
07-2OutNo1993,177,859
7708-1OutNo01001,853,691
7609-0OutNo01001,090,755
Total:3.5%No00102243025187,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoNashvilleMinnesotaLos AngelesVancouverEdmontonColoradoDallasSan Jose
9490-00.6%226214357000
9380-10.424828224000
9281-00.3207141520
70-20.31971313200
9171-10.212511810
60-30.110411610
9072-00.16300400
61-20.15200300
50-40.14200300
8962-10.02100200
51-30.02100100
40-50.01100100
8863-00.01000100
52-20.00000000
41-40.00000000
30-60.0000000
8753-10.0000000
42-30.0000000
31-50.0000000
20-7No00000
8654-00.0000000
43-20.0000000
32-40.0000000
21-60.000000
10-8No
8544-10.000000
33-30.000000
22-50.00000
11-7No
00-9No
8445-00.000000
34-20.000000
23-4No0000
12-6No
01-8No
8335-1No00
24-3No
13-5No
02-7No
76-82No
Total:0.0%1.50.60.10.21.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington 1 Calgary 3 -0.5
Minnesota 4 San Jose 2 -0.1
Winnipeg 2 Philadelphia 1 (ot)+0.1
Colorado 5 St. Louis 3 -0.1
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Edmonton-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9490-001141001212936500
9380-1000261070332111810
9281-000161302811034600
70-2000141302711037700
9171-100711018064718100
60-300611016054920200
9072-000310090245335000
61-200310080244357000
50-40021070243378000
8962-100110301314617100
51-300110200284620200
40-50100200254523300
8852-20000100154234710
63-00000100164432600
41-40000001239371010
30-6000001036391310
8753-1000000529431930
42-300000425432340
31-500000321422860
8643-2000001113637132
54-0000001143934111
32-40000193240172
21-60000062842203
8544-100000321412860
33-300000218403280
22-500002143936100
11-701103839120
8434-200000729432000
45-00000193241170
23-40000052645240
12-60032346270
8335-1000216443800
24-300113434200
13-50111424600
8225-20005336200
36-00006355800
14-4004316500
03-600329680
8126-10022077100
15-30011879100
04-501178110
8027-00001086300
16-200987300
05-400888400
7917-100487900
06-30387900
7818-001791810
07-201791810
7708-100653140
7609-0046421110
Total:000100002011019211915110000