Calgary Flames Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.9 to 52.9%
80 points   37 28-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +2.4
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs San Jose+9.4+8.5+6.3-4.9-5.4-15.1
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.2*+0.0*+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
102110-0InNo14852013,956
101100-1InNo03069140,119
100101-0InNo02077393,577
90-2InNo1778464,773
9991-1100.0%No010819000301,712
80-3100.0No8801200062,390
9881-2100.0No47620000434,903
92-0100.0No57817000392,111*
9782-199.7No2673100001,017,409
71-399.5No162350010387,893*
9672-297.9No0504601201,297,964
83-098.5No154420110790,972
61-497.2No044510130210,612*
9573-193.8No03656026002,015,854
62-392.1No0315902800958,107
51-590.4No026620290078,715*
9463-282.6No0196102161002,241,760
74-085.9No023610213101,198,547*
52-479.1No016610219200452,684
9364-168.3No0105602274002,609,369
53-362.8No085302316001,409,781
42-557.9No6500233810145,503*
9254-245.1No0341013914102,463,149
65-051.5No0546013711101,220,436
43-439.0No023601411820579,164*
9155-128.3No0127004126502,301,272
44-322.8No122003930711,287,268
33-518.4No018003634101140,811*
9045-211.7No0110031401621,795,903
56-015.6No01503437121917,590*
34-48.6No08026422030400,461
8946-15.0No050194228601,401,577
35-33.3No03015403390747,481
24-52.2No02011363812076,301*
8836-21.1No01073142180871,883
47-01.9No020103539130467,124
25-40.6No152645240180,369*
8737-10.3No0032045320580,157
26-30.1No0021544400290,272*
8627-20.0No00736551269,397
38-00.1No011040481169,422
16-40.0No0043163142,038*
8528-10.0No00325693156,715
17-3OutNo011975557,433*
8418-2OutNo010781152,691*
29-0OutNo011576840,858
8319-1OutNo047521029,977*
82110-0OutNo1653409,621*
81010-1OutNo0495001,839
80011-0OutNo356313,016
Total:52.9%No001734012014840032,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Calgary finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegAnaheimChicagoNashvilleMinnesotaSt-LouisEdmontonVancouverArizonaSan JoseColoradoVegas
102110-01.2%4061215123714000
101100-11.12147985017110
100101-01.212256557201100
90-21.21224545920110
9991-11.21313326421110
80-31.21312226521110
9881-21.20411116722110
92-01.20411216622110
70-41.20401116921210
9782-11.105011068221100
71-31.105000069212100
60-51.2050000702022
9672-21.115000068202100
83-01.105000068212100
61-41.11500006819210
50-61.2150000691722
9573-11.015000065192100
62-31.01510006517210
51-51.0151000641622
40-70.825110631421
9463-20.91410005815210
74-00.914100060172100
52-40.91410005713210
41-60.914100551121
9364-10.71310004912110
53-30.71310004610110
42-50.613100043811
31-70.71210040711
9254-20.5020000347110
65-00.5130000388110
43-40.4020000305110
32-60.30200027410
9155-10.3010000224000
44-30.2010000183000
33-50.201000015200
22-70.1010013100
9045-20.101000091000
56-00.2010000132000
34-40.1000007100
23-60.100005000
8946-10.10000040000
35-30.00000030000
24-50.00002000
8836-20.000010000
47-00.00000020000
25-40.001000
8737-10.0000000
8638-00.0000
8528-1No0
80-84No
Total:0.6%0.52.60.40.20.20.137.59.70.90.80.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 -0.2
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Calgary vs San Jose-0.9-0.9-0.6+0.5+0.5+1.5
Colorado vs Nashville+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
102110-014892814000
101100-103043332001
100101-0020129470030
90-217128500140
9991-10100206108000000
80-3801862010100000
9881-2401066017300000
92-050126601520000
9782-1205620237000000
71-3104580269000010
9672-201480281900120
83-012520271600110
61-401430292200130
9573-1003502531002600
62-3003102534002800
51-5002602437002900
9463-200190174400216100
74-000230194200213100
52-40015164500219200
9364-100101046002275000
53-3008845002307000
42-50674300232910
9254-20033370013716200
65-00054410013413200
43-40023330013820300
9155-10112600035288100
44-31121000343110100
33-50117000313413200
9045-20011002437215100
56-0001500263618400
34-400802038268100
8946-10050123333143000
35-3003093035184000
24-500207263722500
8836-20010317343112200
47-0002052135279100
25-401214323415200
8737-10017233625710
26-300052037298100
8627-20018273821400
38-000211293618300
16-40016244024500
8528-1000214353413200
17-300111343615300
8418-2031937301010
29-0004213827810
8319-101726392250
82110-0021233361520
81010-10318403270
80011-01729431820
Total:000116001025000118138521000000