Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
11/30PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Lehigh Valley273135-12297.3%-0.021.9%+1.13292341621012000003.3+0.017.613HersheyLehigh Valley Phantoms
SyracuseLSt. John's 2-3 (so)244115-2896.7-0.86.7-1.51130623415261110003.8-0.2510.573Syracuse Crunch
W-B/Scranton283134-21996.3+0.017.8+0.92672451831113100003.6+0.011.607Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Toronto224106-2794.5-0.23.9+0.3723624419292211004.5+0.038.568at RochesterToronto Marlies
Albany253126-1393.4-0.13.0+0.25195235232102221004.8+0.045.543UticaAlbany Devils
Milwaukee275122-3892.8+0.29.0+0.7251914127744221100003.7+0.1111.569at ClevelandMilwaukee Admirals
StocktonWCharlotte 4-2216105-11689.9+3.910.3+3.32318141010573422110003.9+0.664.600San DiegoStockton Heat
Grand RapidsLCleveland 2-3 (ot)234116-11189.7-3.25.6-2.71717131581056332110004.4-0.5615.574IowaGrand Rapids Griffins
Hershey263114-41787.8-0.05.5+0.31041642142448310005.39.600at Lehigh ValleyHershey Bears
Bridgeport263136-0885.9-0.05.1+0.3831742352349310005.53.554at SpringfieldBridgeport Sound Tigers
San Jose16974-21076.1-0.43.9+0.11111129127105754321105.7+0.0113.587San Jose Barracuda
TucsonLSan Diego 1-520893-2472.9-11.53.2-4.089129137115865432106.1-1.332.555at OntarioTucson Roadrunners
ChicagoWTexas 4-320299-2669.7+6.50.9+0.347711814712666532116.9+0.6321.558at RockfordChicago Wolves
St. John'sWSyracuse 3-2 (so)231110-1-161.7+2.90.1+0.00317215529611117318.2+0.2324.517St. John's IceCaps
San DiegoWTucson 5-119795-1361.3+15.11.5+0.95687117116987643117.2+1.346.545at StocktonSan Diego Gulls
ManitobaWRockford 5-4 (so)213108-1-257.3+4.80.4+0.12457711813888754218.0+0.4312.528Manitoba Moose
TexasLChicago 3-4223107-2056.6-7.60.7-0.334751071291297643217.8-0.6014.539Texas Stars
CharlotteLStockton 2-419399-1-147.7-9.60.2-0.21336510712899875428.8-0.7917.531at BakersfieldCharlotte Checkers
RochesterWUtica 2-1172811-1-1033.3+5.10.0+0.00103182187151814949.8+0.4227.502TorontoRochester Americans
Iowa221109-2-929.7-0.30.1+0.00113365981011111097410.4-0.0423.499at Grand RapidsIowa Wild
Ontario16765-4-419.1+0.20.1+0.001123354791112131210711.3-0.0116.517TucsonOntario Reign
San Antonio173810-1-816.9+0.50.0+0.0001122549101112131210611.4+0.0420.503San Antonio Rampage
Springfield18477-4-616.2+0.00.1+0.00010319227211511639.818.520BridgeportSpringfield Thunderbirds
Providence20376-6-416.1+0.00.00010318226221611639.819.528BinghamtonProvidence Bruins
UticaLRochester 1-2153711-1-1514.7-6.60.0-0.0000103194111722191211.2-0.5026.479at AlbanyUtica Comets
ClevelandWGrand Rapids 3-2 (ot)163710-2-1510.7+2.60.0+0.000011315357101317191512.8+0.4828.484MilwaukeeCleveland Monsters
Bakersfield11858-1-77.2-0.20.000011122357101316191913.1-0.0822.503CharlotteBakersfield Condors
Binghamton124511-2-175.7-0.40.000000104261119292812.329.474at ProvidenceBinghamton Senators
RockfordLManitoba 4-5 (so)152611-3-182.3-0.90.0000001011235813234414.5-0.3030.464ChicagoRockford IceHogs
Hartford153610-3-250.4-0.00.00000000024712264913.0+0.0125.446Hartford Wolf Pack

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
San Antonio 2 Charlotte 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose-0.5
Chicago+0.7
San Diego-0.4
Manitoba+0.7
Texas-1.0
Charlotte-3.2
-0.6
-0.4
Iowa+0.5
Ontario-0.6
San Antonio+3.6
+0.4
Cleveland+0.5
Bakersfield-0.5
Springfield 4 Providence 5 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey+1.1
Bridgeport+1.3
Springfield-5.9
-0.4
Providence+3.0
+0.3
Rockford 5 Texas 4 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose*+0.3
San Diego+0.8
Texas-4.2
-0.2
-0.4
Ontario*+0.7
San Antonio*+0.7
Bakersfield*+0.7
Rockford+1.3
+0.3
Toronto 1 St. John's 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse-0.5
W-B/Scranton+0.5
Toronto-1.8
-2.0
-0.3
Albany-0.7
St. John's+4.8
+0.3
+0.4
Rochester-1.1
San Diego 4 San Jose 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose-4.7
-0.8
-0.5
San Diego+4.1
+0.5
Utica 2 Rochester 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+0.6
Albany+0.5
St. John's+0.9
Rochester-4.5
-0.3
Utica+2.1
+0.2
Bridgeport 5 Lehigh Valley 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley-1.0
-3.4
-0.3
W-B/Scranton+0.7
Hershey-0.9
Bridgeport+4.2
+0.5
+0.4
Springfield-1.4
Providence-0.7
Bakersfield 0 Stockton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton+3.1
+1.7
+0.4
Bakersfield-4.1
-0.5
Chicago 5 Iowa 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago+4.0
+0.4
Iowa-3.2
-0.4
Hershey 3 W-B/Scranton 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley+0.2
-0.6
W-B/Scranton+0.6
+3.0
+0.2
Hershey-3.7
-0.6
-0.3
Bridgeport+1.1
Springfield+1.0
Providence+0.5
Cleveland 1 Milwaukee 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton*-0.3
Milwaukee+2.1
+1.0
+0.3
Cleveland-3.3
-0.4
Syracuse 3 Albany 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+2.8
+0.5
+0.3
Albany-2.8
-0.4
-0.3
Binghamton 6 Hartford 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester-0.3
Binghamton+1.4
+0.2
Hartford-0.4
No
-0.2
Tucson vs ManitobaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose75.775.975.876.776.876.8
5.85.85.85.75.75.7
Tucson76.275.575.568.368.368.3
3.93.94.02.22.22.2
5.75.85.86.66.66.6
Chicago70.470.570.468.768.768.6
6.96.96.97.07.07.0
San Diego60.761.061.062.262.262.2
Manitoba53.753.653.661.761.662.5
0.30.30.30.60.60.7
8.48.48.47.67.67.5
Texas55.855.755.757.757.757.7
7.87.87.87.77.77.7
Charlotte48.748.748.846.546.546.3
Iowa30.530.630.528.728.828.6
San Antonio16.416.416.517.517.617.5
Sunday
Bridgeport 3 Binghamton 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany*+0.3
Hershey-0.5
Bridgeport+2.1
+0.5
+0.2
St. John's+0.5
Springfield-0.6
Providence-0.6
Binghamton-1.9
-0.2
Toronto 3 St. John's 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.3
Toronto+1.7
+1.1
+0.3
Albany+0.3
St. John's-3.1
-0.3
-0.3
Rochester+0.5
Hartford 4 Providence 3 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey+1.0
Bridgeport+0.7
Springfield+0.8
Providence-2.9
-0.3
Hartford+0.2
*No
+0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.