Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
HersheyWLehigh Valley 2-07733514-742100.0%+0.031.3%+1.1412652531000000002.3-0.053.633Hershey Bears
ManchesterWWorcester 2-07543414-744100.0+0.031.9+3.54143131210000000001.8+0.131.640Manchester Monarchs
Oklahoma City7443415-623100.0-0.017.7-3.258307211000000001.6+0.0712.584at Grand RapidsOklahoma City Barons
W-B/ScrantonWBridgeport 7-07233317-64299.9+0.28.9+2.71312359931000000003.5+0.298.649Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Grand Rapids7233317-64799.9-0.06.3-1.5293771862100000002.5+0.1113.637Oklahoma CityGrand Rapids Griffins
Syracuse7433315-8599.5+0.02.7-0.5416592863100000003.3+0.084.515Syracuse Crunch
Rockford7033218-61998.2-0.20.6-0.26133401995210000004.2+0.0610.569Rockford IceHogs
UticaLHamilton 3-67033218-61497.4-1.50.4-1.441466123432100003.4-0.4511.555RochesterUtica Comets
WorcesterLManchester 0-26643019-61690.0-3.40.1-0.201172922171382000006.2-0.402.561Worcester Sharks
SpringfieldLPortland 1-27013220-6589.2-3.40.0-0.1011331822191492000006.2-0.395.517Springfield Falcons
San Antonio6643019-6586.9-1.40.0-0.0121162320141074200006.1-0.019.513at CharlotteSan Antonio Rampage
MilwaukeeLChicago 1-46642918-81783.4-7.20.0-0.1121132119151185310006.4-0.6417.568at Lake ErieMilwaukee Admirals
Hartford6833018-8-678.6-1.00.0-0.0016212182121165100007.0+0.0315.501Hartford Wolf Pack
Providence6622920-81075.7-0.70.0-0.0000214182121185100007.2+0.046.541Providence Bruins
ChicagoWMilwaukee 4-16242821-61266.5+8.70.00005111617161411720007.5+0.5014.550Chicago Wolves
PortlandWSpringfield 2-16433022-41158.4+7.10.000016111723299210008.0+0.277.542Portland Pirates
HamiltonWUtica 6-36422821-81051.5+10.40.0-0.0007149141617161130008.1+0.6424.540AdirondackHamilton Bulldogs
Texas6332518-13147.3-2.90.0-0.00002610131618181340008.5-0.0820.518Texas Stars
Adirondack5962721-5846.0-3.00.0-0.0006148121517171551008.4-0.0318.536at HamiltonAdirondack Flames
Toronto6042621-8-1220.0-2.40.000101369132029143009.9-0.1023.475Toronto Marlies
AlbanyWBinghamton 4-3 (ot)5922523-9-177.0+1.80.0000001251342201151010.3+0.3022.478Albany Devils
Lake Erie5652422-8-292.9-0.50.000000012371751162011.6-0.0619.438MilwaukeeLake Erie Monsters
St. John's622724-8-341.2-0.1No000000014183225144111.4+0.0316.414St. John's IceCaps
Lehigh ValleyLHershey 0-25542424-7-290.3-0.40.0000000001719252715612.3-0.2721.422Lehigh Valley Phantoms
BinghamtonLAlbany 3-4 (ot)5232226-8-170.2-0.1No00000001818252715612.4+0.0425.471at NorfolkBinghamton Senators
Rochester5312429-5-140.0-0.0No0000000013176613012.928.470at UticaRochester Americans
Norfolk5032228-6-400.0-0.0No0000000151019402513.6+0.1226.405BinghamtonNorfolk Admirals
BridgeportLW-B/Scranton 0-74732130-5-290.0-0.0No00000000138256314.5-0.2227.432Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Charlotte4832129-6-460.0No000000000021377813.930.377San AntonioCharlotte Checkers
Iowa422037-2-58OutNo0000089114.929.360Iowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Utica 3 Hamilton 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey+0.2
Manchester+0.3
Oklahoma City+0.2
Utica-1.0
-1.1
-0.3
San Antonio-0.8
Milwaukee-0.6
Chicago-1.6
Hamilton+8.9
+0.5
Texas-1.7
Adirondack-1.7
Toronto-1.1
Lake Erie-0.3
Chicago 4 Milwaukee 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio-0.4
Milwaukee-3.9
-0.4
Chicago+7.3
+0.4
Hamilton-0.7
Texas-0.8
Adirondack-0.8
Toronto-0.5
Portland 2 Springfield 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+0.1
Worcester-0.4
Springfield-3.3
-0.4
Hartford-1.4
Providence-1.4
Portland+7.0
+0.3
Albany-0.2
Manchester 2 Worcester 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey-1.5
Manchester+4.5
+0.2
Oklahoma City-1.3
W-B/Scranton-0.4
Grand Rapids-0.6
Syracuse-0.2
Utica-0.2
Worcester-2.0
-0.2
-0.3
Springfield+0.2
Hartford+0.4
Providence+0.4
Portland+0.7
Albany+0.2
Albany 4 Binghamton 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hartford-0.3
Providence-0.5
Portland-0.3
Albany+1.6
+0.2
Binghamton-0.1
Hershey 2 Lehigh Valley 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey+3.1
+0.1
Manchester-1.0
Oklahoma City-0.9
W-B/Scranton-0.3
-0.1
Grand Rapids-0.5
Syracuse-0.2
St. John's+0.0
Lehigh Valley-0.3
*No
-0.2
Bridgeport 0 W-B/Scranton 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey-0.4
-0.1
Manchester-0.4
Oklahoma City-0.4
W-B/Scranton+1.7
+0.2
Grand Rapids-0.2
Norfolk+0.1
Bridgeport-0.2
Wednesday
Hamilton vs AdirondackIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio87.086.386.386.386.387.2
Milwaukee83.582.682.882.882.883.7
Chicago66.765.465.765.865.566.9
Hamilton59.758.256.847.547.139.3
7.77.87.98.38.48.8
Texas47.546.046.246.346.247.8
Adirondack37.144.344.853.754.956.4
8.98.58.58.07.97.9
Toronto20.119.319.519.619.420.4
Lake Erie vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford4.24.24.24.34.34.3
San Antonio87.386.9*86.986.786.686.7
6.06.16.16.16.26.1
Milwaukee76.782.282.286.987.587.5
6.96.56.56.16.16.1
Chicago67.366.466.566.066.066.1
7.57.57.57.67.67.6
Hamilton52.5*51.551.550.950.850.9
Texas48.3*47.347.346.846.646.7
Adirondack47.0*46.0*46.045.445.445.5
Toronto20.7*20.120.119.719.619.7
Lake Erie4.44.24.02.52.41.5
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
11.411.411.511.711.711.9
Charlotte vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford4.24.24.24.34.34.3
San Antonio81.186.186.190.190.390.3
6.66.26.25.85.85.8
Milwaukee84.083.583.583.183.183.0
6.36.46.46.46.46.4
Chicago67.466.666.666.066.066.0
7.57.57.57.67.67.6
Hamilton52.551.651.650.950.950.9
8.18.18.18.28.28.2
Texas48.447.547.546.746.646.6
8.48.58.58.58.58.5
Adirondack47.046.146.245.445.545.4
8.48.48.48.58.58.5
Toronto20.820.120.119.619.619.6
Charlotte13.813.813.813.913.914.0
Utica vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica98.398.398.297.197.195.4
0.60.60.50.30.30.1
3.23.23.23.53.53.8
Hamilton51.351.351.451.651.551.8
8.28.28.28.18.18.0
Texas47.147.147.147.347.347.6
Adirondack45.945.945.9*46.046.146.3
8.58.58.58.48.48.3
Lake Erie11.611.611.611.711.711.7
Rochester13.012.912.912.812.812.8
Norfolk vs BinghamtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's11.311.411.411.411.411.4
Lehigh Valley12.312.412.412.412.412.3
Binghamton0.10.10.10.30.30.4
12.712.412.412.112.112.1
Norfolk13.413.513.513.713.713.9
Bridgeport14.514.514.514.514.514.4
Grand Rapids vs Oklahoma CityHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey32.530.931.129.929.530.0
Manchester33.131.631.830.630.130.6
Oklahoma City12.417.117.123.224.324.7
1.81.61.61.41.41.4
W-B/Scranton9.38.78.88.48.28.4
Grand Rapids8.57.87.34.34.22.6
2.22.32.32.62.62.9
Rockford4.34.34.34.24.24.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.