Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
SundayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
ManchesterWLehigh Valley 3-19434316-858In77.3%+4.78315200001.2+0.031.654Manchester Monarchs
Utica8934119-730In3.7-1.7343828000001.93.584Utica Comets
HersheyWBridgeport 4-39124219-741In+0.013.0+0.5166912300002.0+0.072.612Hershey Bears
San Antonio9024220-628100.0%1.2-0.71727501400002.54.563San Antonio Rampage
Grand Rapids8834019-856100.03.3-1.8372310282000002.4-0.0111.646Grand Rapids Griffins
Syracuse8834019-812100.0+0.00.8-0.51148211100002.9-0.069.529Syracuse Crunch
Rockford8543920-730100.0-0.00.6-0.4121166370000003.4+0.018.586Rockford IceHogs
W-B/Scranton8333822-738100.0+0.00.0-0.002169177310004.4-0.0610.621Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Oklahoma City8223723-81199.9-0.00.0014871133000005.0-0.0113.543Oklahoma City Barons
WorcesterWSpringfield 4-18043723-63398.1+3.20.0000132923191520006.0+0.275.594Worcester Sharks
Providence8123623-91797.4+1.0No00041923262620006.6-0.067.555Providence Bruins
Hartford8133622-9-497.4+0.80.000362027241720006.3-0.0512.506Hartford Wolf Pack
Portland8033724-62394.9+1.8No00041320263151006.8-0.046.567Portland Pirates
Texas7833221-14986.3-1.5No00008382713742006.9-0.0919.531Texas Stars
ChicagoWIowa 3-27543425-71383.6+2.6No00008322914853107.1+0.1414.546Chicago Wolves
Hamilton7523225-11434.3-4.0No00051119212016809.2-0.2025.519Hamilton Bulldogs
TorontoWRochester 4-37343225-9-931.7+8.0No00004101718192011009.4+0.3723.483Toronto Marlies
Milwaukee7523225-11029.5-3.9No00049161921191109.5-0.2121.516at Lake ErieMilwaukee Admirals
Adirondack7243226-8327.9-3.3No0000381618202014009.6-0.1920.519Adirondack Flames
SpringfieldLWorcester 1-47613427-8-177.1-6.6No00001648404109.4-0.1815.452Springfield Falcons
Lake ErieWCharlotte 5-17043026-10-286.8+2.1No0002581220540011.0+0.2217.447MilwaukeeLake Erie Monsters
Albany7333125-11-125.2-0.1No000014404671009.6+0.1122.493Albany Devils
Lehigh ValleyLManchester 1-36743029-7-300.0-0.1No000174528190011.6-0.1918.423Lehigh Valley Phantoms
St. John's703030-10-510.0No0032843260011.9+0.1016.379St. John's IceCaps
Binghamton6432831-8-210.0No0021627531012.3+0.0824.463Binghamton Senators
RochesterLToronto 3-46032734-6-21Out-0.0No0007228013.3-0.0226.456Rochester Americans
CharlotteLLake Erie 1-56212835-6-57OutNo002872013.7-0.0129.358Charlotte Checkers
BridgeportLHershey 3-45732535-7-29OutNo0002772214.2-0.0827.435Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Norfolk5522336-9-57OutNo000227814.8+0.0628.370Norfolk Admirals
IowaLChicago 2-34622143-4-70OutNo0010015.030.342Iowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
Rochester 3 Toronto 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey*In
Oklahoma City*No
Texas-0.9
Chicago-1.3
-0.0
Hamilton-2.2
-0.1
Toronto+8.9
+0.4
Milwaukee-2.0
-0.1
Adirondack-1.9
-0.1
Lake Erie-0.5
-0.1
Rochester-0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Worcester 4 Springfield 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Worcester+3.0
+0.2
Providence+1.0
-0.0
Hartford+0.7
-0.0
Portland+1.7
-0.0
Springfield-6.3
-0.2
Albany-0.1
+0.1
Chicago 3 Iowa 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas-0.4
-0.0
Chicago+3.8
+0.2
Hamilton-0.9
-0.0
Toronto-0.7
-0.0
Milwaukee-0.9
-0.0
Adirondack-0.8
-0.0
Lake Erie-0.2
Charlotte 1 Lake Erie 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas-0.2
Chicago-0.3
Hamilton-0.5
Toronto-0.4
-0.1
Milwaukee-0.5
-0.1
Adirondack-0.4
-0.0
Lake Erie+2.3
+0.2
Rochester+0.1
Charlotte-0.1
Lehigh Valley 1 Manchester 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester+6.5
+0.1
Utica-1.3
Hershey-2.7
-0.0
San Antonio-0.5
Grand Rapids-1.3
Syracuse-0.4
Rockford-0.3
Lehigh Valley-0.2
St. John's+0.1
Binghamton+0.1
Bridgeport 3 Hershey 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester-2.7
-0.0
Utica-0.5
Hershey+4.3
+0.1
San Antonio-0.2
Grand Rapids-0.5
Syracuse-0.2
-0.0
W-B/Scranton-0.0
Oklahoma City*No
Bridgeport-0.1
Norfolk+0.1
Tuesday
Lake Erie vs MilwaukeeIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas87.486.586.785.885.285.4
Chicago85.083.683.682.482.482.7
Hamilton36.6*34.334.632.532.232.6
9.29.39.29.39.39.3
Toronto33.4*31.731.930.330.130.5
9.49.59.49.59.59.4
Milwaukee16.826.026.138.339.540.1
10.19.69.69.09.08.9
Adirondack29.927.928.026.026.026.3
9.59.69.69.79.79.6
Lake Erie10.910.19.24.84.62.6
10.710.810.811.211.211.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.