Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
11/19PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
UticaWHamilton 3-2273132-11999.4%+0.437.2%+3.0503472221100000001.9+0.201.609at RochesterUtica Comets
ManchesterWWorcester 5-1224114-01997.3+3.116.5+5.44225108542211000002.6+0.745.602at BinghamtonManchester Monarchs
Milwaukee206103-01595.0+0.310.7-1.716163261795321100004.1+0.012.590ChicagoMilwaukee Admirals
Chicago223104-21994.8+0.38.9-1.5141532618106321100004.2+0.013.600at MilwaukeeChicago Wolves
Rockford233114-11494.5+0.38.6-1.5141532519106421100004.3+0.014.590IowaRockford IceHogs
Bridgeport214104-12093.7+0.48.5-1.225218151075322110003.6-0.0210.597at SpringfieldBridgeport Sound Tigers
Albany18474-4679.6+0.82.0-0.48951714119765432105.8+0.0311.569W-B/ScrantonAlbany Devils
HersheyLLehigh Valley 2-3 (so)18386-2777.6-0.61.5-0.6613284677765432115.5-0.247.566Hershey Bears
Providence17486-1869.7+1.61.0-0.155314121110987643216.8+0.0518.563HartfordProvidence Bruins
SyracuseWHartford 5-421394-3267.0+7.10.8+0.146311121110987653217.1+0.5716.539at AdirondackSyracuse Crunch
W-B/ScrantonWPortland 2-0211107-1266.4+9.50.6+0.238204688987654216.7+0.8017.542at AlbanyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Texas16564-4164.1+1.10.6-0.1152624791098754216.9+0.0629.541San AntonioTexas Stars
San Antonio203106-0-263.9+1.00.5-0.11425248101098754217.0+0.068.522at TexasSan Antonio Rampage
Oklahoma City16564-4-163.5+0.90.6-0.11524248101098754217.0+0.0530.541CharlotteOklahoma City Barons
Springfield19297-1156.3+1.60.3-0.123291010101099875328.0+0.096.538BridgeportSpringfield Falcons
Adirondack19396-1-255.5+1.20.4-0.1121691312111110875318.2+0.079.526SyracuseAdirondack Flames
WorcesterLManchester 1-517486-1055.2-13.40.4-0.82329910101099875428.1-1.2513.537at Lehigh ValleyWorcester Sharks
Lehigh ValleyWHershey 3-2 (so)15576-1-446.1+4.40.2-0.0141234689910997648.6+0.3312.519WorcesterLehigh Valley Phantoms
HamiltonLUtica 2-314368-2145.6-6.90.2-0.20114710111111111097528.9-0.5224.540TorontoHamilton Bulldogs
Rochester15378-1042.9+1.10.1-0.00113610111111111197529.1+0.0726.536UticaRochester Americans
HartfordLSyracuse 4-518386-2-836.4-7.30.1-0.112146789910111110859.6-0.6315.509at ProvidenceHartford Wolf Pack
Grand Rapids13666-1-634.3+1.20.1-0.00103579101011121110749.8+0.1022.516at Lake ErieGrand Rapids Griffins
PortlandLW-B/Scranton 0-216289-0-625.2-9.50.0-0.10112356781011121311910.6-0.8814.511at NorfolkPortland Pirates
Charlotte11558-1-924.1+0.90.0-0.00060135791112131311710.5+0.1027.504at Oklahoma CityCharlotte Checkers
Binghamton11448-3-815.4+0.20.0-0.00031123568101315161611.623.510ManchesterBinghamton Senators
Lake Erie11547-3-1413.0+0.70.0-0.00001124568111417171411.8+0.1120.498Grand RapidsLake Erie Monsters
Norfolk12469-0-198.5+0.40.0-0.0001011234681115212712.6+0.0419.475PortlandNorfolk Admirals
TorontoLSt. John's 2-311459-1-176.3-2.60.0-0.0000001234681116232612.8-0.3921.468at HamiltonToronto Marlies
St. John'sWToronto 3-21768-5-215.5+1.70.0000011123571015223313.0+0.3628.462St. John's IceCaps
Iowa84411-0-173.2+0.20.000000011246914234013.4+0.0825.481at RockfordIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Hartford 4 Syracuse 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+4.8
+0.2
+0.4
W-B/Scranton*+0.1
Springfield*+0.1
Hartford-5.6
-0.5
Portland+0.2
W-B/Scranton 2 Portland 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey-0.1
Syracuse+0.2
W-B/Scranton+4.7
+0.4
Portland-5.4
-0.5
Utica 3 Hamilton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+0.3
+3.4
+0.1
Manchester-0.8
Milwaukee-0.5
Chicago-0.5
Rockford-0.5
Bridgeport-0.5
Texas+0.6
San Antonio+0.5
Oklahoma City+0.5
Adirondack+0.6
Hamilton-4.8
-0.4
Rochester+0.6
Grand Rapids+0.5
Charlotte+0.4
Lake Erie+0.3
Toronto+0.2
Manchester 5 Worcester 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica-0.5
Manchester+1.3
+1.9
+0.3
Milwaukee-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Rockford-0.2
Bridgeport-0.2
Albany+0.2
Hershey+0.2
Providence+0.3
Syracuse+0.3
W-B/Scranton+0.3
Springfield+0.4
Worcester-4.6
-0.4
-0.5
Lehigh Valley+0.3
Hartford+0.3
Portland+0.3
Binghamton+0.2
Lehigh Valley 3 Hershey 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany-0.5
Hershey-0.8
-0.2
-0.1
Providence*-0.3
Syracuse*-0.4
W-B/Scranton-0.5
-0.0
Springfield*-0.2
Worcester*-0.4
Lehigh Valley+4.1
+0.4
Hartford*-0.3
Portland-0.5
Charlotte*+0.2
Binghamton*-0.2
St. John's 3 Toronto 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas+0.2
San Antonio+0.3
Oklahoma City+0.2
Adirondack+0.2
Hamilton+0.3
Rochester+0.2
Grand Rapids+0.2
Portland-0.2
Charlotte+0.2
Toronto-2.1
-0.3
St. John's+1.0
+0.2
Friday
Adirondack vs SyracuseIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse61.966.466.470.671.171.2
0.50.70.71.01.11.1
7.57.17.16.76.76.7
Adirondack60.060.059.354.854.750.1
0.50.50.40.30.30.2
7.97.97.98.38.38.6
Hamilton45.045.045.145.745.746.3
Rochester42.342.342.443.043.043.6
Lehigh Valley vs WorcesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Worcester49.253.953.959.059.760.2
0.20.30.30.50.50.5
8.58.28.27.77.77.7
Lehigh Valley51.250.750.145.044.940.3
0.30.20.20.20.20.1
8.18.28.28.68.79.1
Texas vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas68.668.167.662.962.858.4
0.80.80.80.60.60.4
6.56.66.67.17.17.5
San Antonio58.563.063.167.868.468.9
0.30.50.50.70.70.7
7.57.17.16.66.66.5
Providence vs HartfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence73.673.272.768.268.263.9
1.21.21.20.80.80.6
6.56.56.56.96.97.3
Hartford31.435.735.840.741.341.8
10.09.69.69.29.29.1
Oklahoma City vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City67.767.366.862.162.057.6
0.80.70.70.50.50.4
6.66.76.77.17.17.5
Charlotte19.823.223.327.428.028.5
10.910.610.610.210.110.1
Albany vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany82.982.682.278.778.775.1
2.52.42.41.81.81.3
5.55.55.55.95.96.3
W-B/Scranton61.365.865.870.370.971.2
0.40.50.50.80.80.8
7.26.86.86.36.36.3
Springfield vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport91.793.393.394.895.095.1
6.37.97.99.810.010.0
4.03.73.73.43.43.4
Springfield61.461.260.655.955.851.2
0.50.50.40.30.30.2
7.57.67.68.08.08.4
Hamilton vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hamilton49.549.448.743.943.939.3
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
8.68.78.79.19.19.4
Toronto4.75.96.07.77.98.1
13.012.812.812.512.512.5
Lake Erie vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids29.033.133.137.738.338.5
10.29.99.99.59.59.4
Lake Erie15.815.515.112.312.310.0
11.511.511.511.911.912.1
Rochester vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica99.199.399.399.599.699.6
31.735.935.940.240.840.8
2.12.02.01.81.81.8
Manchester17.916.916.915.815.715.7
Milwaukee94.994.994.9*95.0*95.095.2
11.510.910.910.210.110.1
Chicago94.694.694.7*94.8*94.894.9
9.79.19.18.58.48.4
Bridgeport9.38.78.78.18.08.0
Adirondack54.854.854.9*55.5*55.556.1
Rochester48.047.947.342.642.638.0
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
8.78.78.89.19.19.5
Norfolk vs PortlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Portland20.524.124.128.128.728.8
11.110.710.710.310.310.2
Norfolk10.610.410.18.18.06.4
12.212.312.312.612.612.9
Binghamton vs ManchesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica38.637.637.636.636.436.4
Manchester96.297.197.197.897.997.9
12.915.515.518.418.818.8
2.82.62.62.42.42.4
Binghamton18.718.618.215.215.212.6
11.211.211.311.611.611.9
Milwaukee vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee96.296.296.094.994.993.6
12.812.612.310.010.08.2
3.83.83.94.24.24.4
Chicago93.294.794.795.896.096.0
6.78.38.310.410.710.9
4.64.34.34.04.03.9
Rockford vs IowaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford95.695.595.494.194.192.6
9.99.99.67.87.86.3
4.14.14.14.44.44.7
Iowa2.43.13.14.14.24.3
13.613.413.413.213.213.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.