Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
Toronto783378-475100.0%94.8%+1.496400000000001.01.712Toronto Marlies
W-B/Scranton6453114-243100.0-0.03.3+0.249131000000000002.02.656Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
OntarioLSan Jose 2-46092811-430100.0-0.01.6-1.77123330000000001.4-0.145.638Ontario Reign
Albany5962613-72299.6+0.00.0+0.000583434000000003.6+0.028.589Albany Devils
Milwaukee5972814-31499.3+0.00.1+0.012272372117210000003.4+0.074.546Milwaukee Admirals
Rockford6262711-81398.9+0.00.0+0.08242282319310000003.8+0.0712.570Rockford IceHogs
Grand Rapids5472617-22198.7+0.00.0+0.072023827210310000004.0+0.063.586Grand Rapids Griffins
TexasWManitoba 7-6 (so)622818-62698.3+0.20.0232455212210000004.0+0.0911.591Texas Stars
Portland5372618-11296.2-0.40.0+0.00427341539421000004.5-0.029.553Portland Pirates
Utica5162217-7178.4+1.10.000251653346642006.8+0.067.525Utica Comets
Lake Erie5742516-7175.0+0.00.001321113522126421007.5+0.0315.521ChicagoLake Erie Monsters
HersheyLBridgeport 6-7 (so)6222614-101272.0-8.50.0-0.000361942217138421007.3-0.5720.565Hershey Bears
CharlotteLSan Antonio 2-35452518-4-269.0-8.00.0-0.00121912826158531007.8-0.4421.501Charlotte Checkers
Hartford5252520-2-467.1-2.60.0003815420171410531007.4-0.086.489Hartford Wolf Pack
Lehigh ValleyWBinghamton 7-25132422-31261.5+10.60.0002513419181611731007.8+0.6214.543Lehigh Valley Phantoms
BakersfieldWSan Diego 4-24692118-4152.5+9.50.00018235610131185008.1+0.5318.521Bakersfield Condors
BridgeportWHershey 7-6 (so)5342520-3-451.8+4.80.0002310317171814952008.3+0.3216.497Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Providence5452215-10939.6-1.80.0001372131517171384109.0-0.0623.547Providence Bruins
Chicago4862220-4-532.3+1.30.00000201217221613106009.4-0.0626.498at Lake ErieChicago Wolves
San DiegoLBakersfield 2-444102119-2-1426.2-11.30.0-0.0000311661115161615009.8-0.8410.450San Diego Gulls
Stockton39121819-3-919.3-0.90.00002112510141619220010.4-0.1625.477Stockton Heat
San JoseWOntario 4-24882016-8-717.3+5.60.0000201149141720220010.5+0.4819.488San Jose Barracuda
Rochester4952321-3-2714.8-0.20.0+0.000001947132022175110.817.419Rochester Americans
San AntonioWCharlotte 3-25122221-7-613.3+3.50.000010859131722260010.9+0.3124.491San Antonio Rampage
SyracuseLSt. John's 3-4 (ot)5032019-10-1811.0-4.3No000825101723238211.3-0.4122.459Syracuse Crunch
St. John'sWSyracuse 4-3 (ot)5232118-10-187.7+1.5No00000524815232811411.8+0.3113.463St. John's IceCaps
BinghamtonLLehigh Valley 2-73751727-3-360.2-0.3No00000001410335114.3-0.2427.400Binghamton Senators
Springfield4061723-6-380.1-0.0No0000000011411414114.1+0.0628.400Springfield Falcons
Iowa3441428-6-380.0No000000000001772214.230.386Iowa Wild
ManitobaLTexas 6-7 (so)3251227-8-660.0No0000000000227814.8-0.0129.324Manitoba Moose

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail. This season is a bit of a mess since all teams do not play the same number of games. The AHL playoff structure is as follows: the playoffs "will feature the top four teams in each of the AHL's four divisions as ranked by points percentage (points earned divided by points available), with one possibility for a "crossover" in each conference: if the fifth-place team in the Atlantic or Central Division finishes with a better points percentage than the fourth-place team in the North or Pacific Division, it would compete in the other division's bracket."

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
San Diego 2 Bakersfield 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bakersfield+8.2
+0.5
San Diego-7.7
No
-0.5
Stockton-0.3
San Jose-0.1
Hershey 6 Bridgeport 7 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey-6.6
*No
-0.5
Hartford*-0.1
Lehigh Valley*-0.2
Bridgeport+7.0
*No
+0.4
Syracuse*-0.3
Charlotte 2 San Antonio 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids+0.0
Lake Erie+0.8
+0.1
Charlotte-5.8
No
-0.3
Bakersfield-0.3
-0.1
Chicago+1.6
Stockton-0.1
San Jose-0.1
San Antonio+3.8
+0.4
Lehigh Valley 7 Binghamton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Portland-0.2
Hershey-0.7
-0.0
Hartford-0.9
-0.0
Lehigh Valley+4.7
+0.3
Bridgeport-1.1
-0.0
Providence-1.0
-0.0
Rochester-0.2
Syracuse-0.2
Binghamton-0.2
-0.1
Springfield+0.0
San Jose 4 Ontario 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+1.1
W-B/Scranton+0.2
Ontario-1.3
-0.1
Lake Erie-0.5
Charlotte-0.4
Bakersfield-1.0
-0.1
Chicago-0.3
San Diego-0.9
-0.1
Stockton-0.6
-0.1
San Jose+4.3
+0.4
San Antonio-0.4
-0.1
St. John's 4 Syracuse 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+1.0
+0.1
Hartford*+0.1
Lehigh Valley*+0.2
Bridgeport+0.4
Providence+0.3
Rochester*+0.2
Syracuse-3.4
-0.3
St. John's+1.2
+0.2
Manitoba 6 Texas 7 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas+0.4
+0.1
Bakersfield-0.0
San Diego-0.3
-0.0
San Jose*-0.2
Iowa+0.0
ManitobaOut
-0.0
Thursday
Lake Erie vs ChicagoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford99.099.0*99.0*98.898.998.9
Grand Rapids98.8*98.898.8*98.7*98.798.7
Lake Erie80.880.280.366.967.167.0
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
7.27.37.37.97.97.9
Charlotte69.569.669.6*68.7*68.868.3
Chicago26.326.426.340.140.140.9
No*No*No*No*No0.0
9.79.79.79.09.09.0
Stockton19.2*19.2*19.2*19.3*19.519.4
San Antonio13.2*13.3*13.3*13.3*13.313.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.