Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Toronto223114-01999.0%+0.231.2%+1.43124146554122101110000000000000003.4+0.092.601SyracuseToronto Marlies
W-B/ScrantonWBinghamton 4-3234112-12097.3+0.933.4+5.23319821452072103100110000000000004.1+0.801.596Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
San Antonio19395-1996.5-0.15.2+0.051015252461312370113000000000000006.4+0.265.561TexasSan Antonio Rampage
ManitobaWChicago 6-4221105-21292.1+3.78.0+2.58131611487435312420221110000000006.8+1.1311.578Manitoba Moose
TucsonLSan Diego 3-818682-21087.9-6.90.9-1.913513247161361401380011111111110010.3-2.5012.572at San DiegoTucson Roadrunners
RochesterWHartford 4-220394-2486.5+6.83.1+1.1344291111646842462122221111000009.8+1.4322.543at BinghamtonRochester Americans
StocktonWBakersfield 3-219494-11085.1+3.90.5+0.202411146161361602490111222221110011.3+1.318.576BakersfieldStockton Heat
CharlotteLSpringfield 0-4202106-0984.9-6.67.0-6.37641198311452010310632111000000008.9-1.683.562at BridgeportCharlotte Checkers
Milwaukee16486-0471.4-0.11.6-0.024653664475247414544322111100011.9-0.099.547at ClevelandMilwaukee Admirals
Rockford16387-0567.5+0.81.1+0.113543664475247424554332211110012.7+0.0810.547Grand RapidsRockford IceHogs
UticaWBelleville 7-113467-1167.0+21.50.6+0.411213564469535942334433322211014.1+3.336.536HartfordUtica Comets
Lehigh ValleyWLaval 5-2221105-2065.5+12.12.1+1.023219521135211452011743221111000012.6+2.004.534Lehigh Valley Phantoms
LavalLLehigh Valley 2-520196-2-265.1-8.50.6-0.611113553468436942344443322211014.5-1.9015.520Laval Rocket
ProvidenceLHershey 1-416475-2563.5-13.81.9-2.622219421135211352011753322111100012.9-2.1724.548Providence Bruins
Grand RapidsLIowa 2-417188-1356.2-9.60.5-0.512332453365248425665543322111014.6-1.7313.545at RockfordGrand Rapids Griffins
Bridgeport14477-0453.2-0.41.1-0.011116321104211252012865432221110014.5+0.1314.548CharlotteBridgeport Sound Tigers
Texas17287-1-1252.6-0.30.1+0.00013012602411125160112345555544318.0+0.1420.488at San AntonioTexas Stars
IowaWGrand Rapids 4-218286-2051.7+10.30.4+0.201331443365247425666544332211015.4+1.6516.527Iowa Wild
Cleveland15564-3-547.4+0.20.4+0.001221342254247425676554333221116.1-0.0319.517MilwaukeeCleveland Monsters
BellevilleLUtica 1-717188-1-1130.7-15.50.1-0.100000121124323732345666666554320.1-2.8017.487Belleville Senators
San Jose11656-1-229.8-0.40.0000100130127013110112345677888821.9+0.0218.529OntarioSan Jose Barracuda
BinghamtonLW-B/Scranton 3-411458-1-926.3-5.40.0-0.000000111123213632345666666666420.9-1.1721.499RochesterBinghamton Devils
Syracuse11447-3-1125.4+0.90.000000111123213632345666666666421.1-0.0227.499at TorontoSyracuse Crunch
HersheyWProvidence 4-118187-2-922.1+7.80.1+0.10000111032106320101087766554432119.3+1.737.500Hershey Bears
San DiegoWTucson 8-313467-1-519.0+9.20.0+0.000000002001401280112345678910121323.9+2.1225.505TucsonSan Diego Gulls
Ontario9746-1-816.1-0.30.000000001001400270011234678911131724.6-0.0429.501at San JoseOntario Reign
ChicagoLManitoba 4-69449-1-813.7-5.30.0-0.000000011011113212456666777888722.7-1.3428.502Chicago Wolves
BakersfieldLStockton 2-311557-1-912.9-5.20.000000001000300160011234568911142125.3-1.1023.493at StocktonBakersfield Condors
SpringfieldWCharlotte 4-013611-1-87.2+3.40.0+0.000000000110021104566667778888723.2+1.5730.500Springfield Thunderbirds
HartfordLRochester 2-415168-3-166.4-3.30.0-0.000000000110021104556667778899823.5-1.2226.472at UticaHartford Wolf Pack

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Laval 2 Lehigh Valley 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.2
Rochester+0.6
Charlotte-0.5
Utica+1.0
Lehigh Valley+4.7
+0.4
+0.8
Laval-4.3
-0.4
-0.9
Providence-1.0
Bridgeport-1.6
Belleville+1.0
Binghamton+0.9
Syracuse+0.8
Hershey-0.7
Springfield-0.3
Hartford-0.5
Utica 7 Belleville 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+4.6
+0.7
Belleville-4.9
-0.8
Iowa 4 Grand Rapids 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids-4.8
-0.3
-0.9
Iowa+4.7
+0.8
Providence 1 Hershey 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.3
W-B/Scranton+0.3
Lehigh Valley+0.4
Providence-4.8
-1.3
-0.9
Bridgeport+0.4
Hershey+3.7
+0.8
Hartford+0.2
Binghamton 3 W-B/Scranton 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto-1.2
W-B/Scranton+0.8
+3.3
+0.4
San Antonio-0.3
Manitoba-0.3
Tucson-0.2
Rochester+0.6
Charlotte-0.6
Utica+0.9
Lehigh Valley-0.2
Laval+0.7
Providence-0.2
Bridgeport-0.2
Belleville+0.9
Binghamton-3.8
-0.7
Syracuse+0.6
Rochester 4 Hartford 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester+2.4
+0.4
+0.5
Charlotte+0.2
Utica-0.5
Lehigh Valley+0.4
Laval-0.4
Providence+0.3
Bridgeport+0.4
Belleville-0.5
Binghamton-0.5
Syracuse-0.4
Hershey+0.2
Hartford-1.6
-0.5
Stockton 3 Bakersfield 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton+2.7
+0.6
Texas+0.2
Bakersfield-2.9
-0.6
Manitoba 6 Chicago 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto-0.2
W-B/Scranton-0.2
Manitoba+1.9
+0.9
+0.5
Milwaukee+0.2
Rockford+0.2
Grand Rapids+0.2
Chicago-2.7
-0.6
San Diego 8 Tucson 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.2
W-B/Scranton+0.2
Tucson-1.6
-0.9
-0.7
Texas-0.3
San Diego+2.4
+0.6
Springfield 4 Charlotte 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.8
W-B/Scranton+0.7
San Antonio+0.2
Manitoba+0.2
Charlotte-2.1
-2.7
-0.6
Lehigh Valley+0.2
Bridgeport+0.3
Hershey+0.2
Springfield+1.1
+0.6
Saturday
Rockford vs Grand RapidsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford71.770.970.965.565.561.9
1.41.41.41.01.00.7
12.012.112.113.013.013.7
Grand Rapids51.455.355.361.061.061.9
0.30.50.50.70.70.7
15.514.814.813.813.813.7
Cleveland vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee67.070.570.475.375.376.1
1.11.51.52.02.02.1
12.712.112.111.111.111.0
Cleveland52.251.251.245.845.841.8
0.50.40.40.30.30.2
15.315.415.416.316.317.1
Utica vs HartfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica69.969.869.865.465.461.9
0.80.80.80.50.50.4
13.613.613.614.414.415.1
Laval64.464.564.565.465.466.2
14.514.514.514.414.414.3
Belleville30.030.130.131.131.131.9
20.120.120.120.120.120.0
Binghamton25.725.725.726.626.627.4
21.021.021.020.920.920.9
Hartford5.2*6.4*6.48.08.08.1
24.023.523.522.822.822.8
Bridgeport vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte81.884.384.387.787.788.2
5.56.76.78.68.68.7
9.69.09.08.28.28.1
Bridgeport57.556.856.851.451.447.6
1.51.41.41.01.00.7
13.813.913.914.814.815.4
San Antonio vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio97.497.297.296.296.295.1
6.05.95.94.54.63.7
6.06.16.16.76.77.2
Texas48.753.353.458.158.158.3
18.818.018.017.017.016.9
San Jose30.629.529.528.528.528.7
21.821.921.922.022.022.0
San Jose vs OntarioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Jose33.432.832.827.827.824.5
21.221.321.322.222.222.9
Ontario13.215.515.519.319.319.9
25.224.724.723.923.923.8
Binghamton vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester83.685.985.989.089.089.4
2.32.92.93.83.83.9
10.59.99.99.29.29.1
Binghamton30.129.529.524.924.922.0
20.220.320.321.121.121.8
San Diego vs TucsonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tucson84.987.387.390.190.190.4
0.60.80.81.11.11.1
11.110.410.49.79.79.6
San Diego22.622.122.118.118.115.5
23.223.223.224.024.024.6
Stockton vs BakersfieldHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton87.387.087.083.783.781.0
0.60.60.60.40.40.3
10.810.810.811.611.612.3
Bakersfield10.712.812.816.016.016.4
25.825.325.324.624.624.5
Toronto vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto99.399.399.298.998.998.6
33.933.833.829.329.326.0
3.23.23.23.63.63.9
W-B/Scranton32.332.332.334.134.135.4
Syracuse22.725.625.629.629.729.8
21.721.021.020.220.220.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.