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Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
Oklahoma CityWLake Erie 4-3 (ot)6322910-524100.0%+0.040.6%+1.5751752100000000001.4+0.109.600Lake ErieOklahoma City Barons
ManchesterWPortland 3-16032710-637100.0+0.040.9+2.1711971100000000001.4+0.061.642Manchester Monarchs
SyracuseWRochester 6-45932711-51299.0+1.26.5+1.315351815842110000003.0+0.462.546at HersheySyracuse Crunch
RockfordWChicago 3-2 (ot)5812613-62398.6+0.53.5+0.3113012211374210000003.5+0.3210.596at ChicagoRockford IceHogs
HersheyWLehigh Valley 6-15342413-52497.4+3.63.1+1.2924455543211000003.3+0.406.599SyracuseHershey Bears
UticaLToronto 2-35442412-61196.7-1.72.2-2.8622492455321000003.5-0.475.560at TorontoUtica Comets
MilwaukeeLGrand Rapids 0-35342413-51894.1-3.31.2-2.141472319138532100004.8-0.8014.584at Grand RapidsMilwaukee Admirals
Grand RapidsWMilwaukee 3-05032316-42791.5+4.40.5+0.2210620201511752100005.3+0.5918.602MilwaukeeGrand Rapids Griffins
SpringfieldLW-B/Scranton 0-55622614-4791.2-3.70.7-1.6210824181310753100005.1-0.813.529at HartfordSpringfield Falcons
W-B/ScrantonWSpringfield 5-05212417-41584.3+14.60.2+0.11517111414131075210005.8+0.9512.580Lehigh ValleyWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
San AntonioWCharlotte 5-25332414-5882.7+3.90.2+0.0111191817141185310006.4+0.3113.529San Antonio Rampage
HartfordWBridgeport 8-65532513-5-181.1+10.20.2+0.1144151615131196310006.3+0.748.516SpringfieldHartford Wolf Pack
Adirondack5032316-4570.9-3.10.1-0.0031248131615129520007.0-0.0817.533RochesterAdirondack Flames
WorcesterLProvidence 4-54932216-5669.8-5.20.1-0.10001113151514129521007.2-0.404.540ProvidenceWorcester Sharks
ChicagoLRockford 2-3 (ot)4822117-61063.5-4.10.0-0.00116101316171511731007.6-0.2215.553RockfordChicago Wolves
PortlandLManchester 1-35112418-3962.5-7.40.0-0.10008101315161512731007.7-0.487.540at BridgeportPortland Pirates
AlbanyLSt. John's 1-45112115-9-454.2-12.80.0-0.1011581113151714942108.1-0.7716.522St. John'sAlbany Devils
HamiltonWIowa 2-14822117-6250.3+4.40.0+0.0016259131617151061008.2+0.3226.523at IowaHamilton Bulldogs
ProvidenceWWorcester 5-45012217-6243.2+10.70.0+0.0000368111417181263108.7+0.6811.523at WorcesterProvidence Bruins
Texas4631815-10-1023.0-2.60.0000124610142021174109.9-0.1323.484CharlotteTexas Stars
Lake ErieLOklahoma City 3-4 (ot)4351816-7-2014.9-1.50.0000012471117222483010.5-0.0619.462at Oklahoma CityLake Erie Monsters
TorontoWUtica 3-24441917-6-1713.5+3.70.0001012461016232593010.6+0.4625.452UticaToronto Marlies
Lehigh ValleyLHershey 1-64532018-5-167.2-6.00.0-0.00000012361120221810511.6-0.6621.453at W-B/ScrantonLehigh Valley Phantoms
BridgeportLHartford 6-84321920-5-35.3-2.40.0-0.00000011351018232112511.8-0.2920.501PortlandBridgeport Sound Tigers
BinghamtonLNorfolk 3-53941720-5-104.4-3.30.0-0.0000000125917212214812.0-0.4922.489NorfolkBinghamton Senators
St. John'sWAlbany 4-1441921-6-330.3+0.20.000000000013817343613.8+0.3324.408at AlbanySt. John's IceCaps
RochesterLSyracuse 4-63721825-1-130.2-0.30.0-0.000000000124124034713.2-0.1828.469at AdirondackRochester Americans
NorfolkWBinghamton 5-33921722-5-340.2+0.10.000000000013715284514.0+0.2827.410at BinghamtonNorfolk Admirals
CharlotteLSan Antonio 2-53821622-6-330.1-0.20.0-0.000000000012832441213.5-0.1630.402at TexasCharlotte Checkers
IowaLHamilton 1-23211528-2-460.0-0.0No-0.00000000000004158014.7-0.0129.373HamiltonIowa Wild

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Albany 1 St. John's 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton+1.3
Hartford+1.2
Worcester+1.1
Portland+1.4
Albany-9.2
-0.6
Providence+1.4
St. John's+0.2
Providence 5 Worcester 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Worcester-6.1
-0.4
Providence+5.9
+0.4
Springfield 0 W-B/Scranton 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Springfield-2.4
-1.0
-0.4
W-B/Scranton+6.1
+0.5
Hartford-0.5
Worcester-0.5
Portland-0.5
Albany-0.6
Providence-0.5
Manchester 3 Portland 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City-2.1
Manchester+3.9
+0.1
Syracuse-0.4
Utica-0.4
W-B/Scranton+0.7
Hartford+0.7
Worcester+0.6
Portland-4.9
-0.3
Albany+0.8
Providence+0.8
Iowa 1 Hamilton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids-0.5
San Antonio-0.7
Adirondack-0.8
Chicago-0.9
Hamilton+4.9
+0.3
Texas-0.7
Lake Erie-0.5
Hartford 8 Bridgeport 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.3
Hartford+4.7
+0.3
Portland-0.3
Albany-0.3
Providence-0.4
Bridgeport-2.6
-0.3
Utica 2 Toronto 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica-1.1
-2.1
-0.3
Toronto+3.7
+0.4
Lehigh Valley 1 Hershey 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey+1.8
+0.6
+0.3
Lehigh Valley-3.6
-0.4
Milwaukee 0 Grand Rapids 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee-1.4
-1.3
-0.4
Grand Rapids+3.6
+0.2
+0.4
Hamilton-0.5
Binghamton 3 Norfolk 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton-3.0
-0.4
Norfolk+0.2
San Antonio 5 Charlotte 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio+3.0
+0.2
Adirondack-0.4
Chicago-0.5
Hamilton-0.6
Texas-0.5
Lake Erie-0.3
CharlotteNo
-0.1
Rockford 3 Chicago 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+0.6
+0.8
+0.2
Adirondack-0.1
Chicago+0.3
-0.0
Hamilton-0.2
Texas-0.2
Syracuse 6 Rochester 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City-0.4
Manchester-0.4
Syracuse+0.6
+1.1
+0.2
Rochester-0.2
No
-0.2
Oklahoma City 4 Lake Erie 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City+3.4
Manchester-1.9
Syracuse-0.3
Utica-0.3
Lake Erie+0.4
+0.0
Saturday
Worcester vs ProvidenceIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Worcester75.374.473.467.166.961.1
6.97.07.07.47.47.8
Providence36.142.142.349.650.751.8
9.18.88.88.48.38.3
Bridgeport vs PortlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Portland55.461.861.868.069.069.2
8.17.77.77.47.37.3
Bridgeport7.16.76.54.44.33.0
0.0No0.00.0No0.0
11.511.611.611.911.912.2
Albany vs St. John'sHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Portland61.861.861.963.163.164.3
7.77.77.77.77.77.6
Albany58.458.457.450.950.944.5
7.97.97.98.38.38.7
Providence42.442.442.643.843.844.9
8.88.88.88.78.78.7
St. John's0.10.20.20.40.40.5
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
14.013.813.813.613.613.6
Iowa vs HamiltonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago65.264.064.062.762.562.5
7.67.67.67.77.77.7
Hamilton41.948.148.054.255.355.3
8.78.48.48.07.97.9
Chicago vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford97.998.6*98.699.199.299.3
2.23.23.24.64.84.8
3.83.53.53.23.23.2
Chicago69.169.068.062.162.156.0
7.37.37.47.77.78.1
Hamilton49.349.149.450.550.551.8
Adirondack vs RochesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Adirondack74.974.974.168.968.863.2
6.76.76.77.17.17.5
Rochester0.10.20.20.30.40.4
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
13.313.213.213.013.013.0
Hartford vs SpringfieldHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Springfield88.491.1*91.293.693.894.1
0.40.60.60.91.01.0
5.55.25.24.84.84.7
Hartford85.084.784.179.979.975.3
0.30.30.30.20.20.1
5.96.06.06.46.46.8
W-B/Scranton vs Lehigh ValleyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton87.186.886.382.282.277.7
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
5.65.65.66.06.06.4
Lehigh Valley5.1*7.1*7.210.010.210.6
0.00.0NoNo0.00.0
11.811.511.511.211.211.1
Texas vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas26.226.225.520.820.716.6
9.69.79.710.010.010.3
CharlotteNoNoNoNoNo0.0
13.613.513.513.413.413.3
Toronto vs UticaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica95.196.496.497.697.797.8
1.21.81.82.62.82.8
3.83.63.63.33.33.3
Toronto17.217.116.512.912.99.9
10.310.310.410.610.610.9
Oklahoma City vs Lake ErieHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Oklahoma City44.144.143.237.437.531.8
1.31.31.31.41.41.5
Manchester38.838.839.442.942.846.1
Lake Erie12.015.215.219.119.719.8
10.710.510.510.210.110.1
Grand Rapids vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee92.294.294.295.896.096.1
0.71.11.11.61.71.7
5.14.84.84.44.44.3
Grand Rapids93.693.593.190.890.887.9
0.60.60.60.30.30.2
5.05.05.15.45.55.8
Binghamton vs NorfolkHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Binghamton5.35.35.03.63.62.5
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
11.811.811.912.212.212.5
Norfolk0.10.20.20.30.30.4
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
14.214.014.013.813.813.7
Hershey vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse98.699.199.199.499.599.5
4.66.36.38.78.99.0
3.23.03.02.82.72.7
Hershey98.298.298.097.297.296.1
4.03.93.72.52.51.7
3.13.13.23.43.43.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.