Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
ThursdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Toronto404205-036100.0%48.6%-0.049311115210100000000000000000002.01.658at RochesterToronto Marlies
Manitoba393185-342100.041.7+0.04237161111000000000000000000000001.96.673at BellevilleManitoba Moose
Rochester363155-61299.31.5-0.023202422112814520210000000000000007.2-0.0120.576TorontoRochester Americans
Syracuse294139-3996.7+0.00.2011010127212251261432011000000000009.6-0.015.566ProvidenceSyracuse Crunch
Charlotte352179-12196.02.9-0.03102111611301641010100300000000000006.63.604Charlotte Checkers
Providence364176-21695.3-0.03.1-0.03102111510301641010100400000000000006.67.581at SyracuseProvidence Bruins
Rockford3131510-11295.0+0.30.2+0.00110815271116961432011110000000008.9+0.0123.562at San AntonioRockford IceHogs
Stockton306147-22094.6-0.20.1013410171802670332011110000000007.8-0.152.618at OntarioStockton Heat
W-B/Scranton325157-21591.0-0.01.3-0.015131139302061017100710000000000008.44.580at HartfordWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
San AntonioWCleveland 4-23031410-2487.9+4.00.0+0.000225017190371105541222111100000010.0+0.9614.539RockfordSan Antonio Rampage
Iowa303128-6-279.4+1.10.000001411629151019751443221111000012.9+0.0921.521at MilwaukeeIowa Wild
Texas3321610-1-876.6-0.80.000113014140371217861443322111100012.7-0.2012.494Texas Stars
Tucson277127-3975.0-0.70.000012014140381317761444322211100012.9-0.1622.571Tucson Roadrunners
Lehigh Valley351169-3773.7+0.00.201515520155103031019421000000000012.08.554Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Milwaukee2551211-1-855.1+1.30.0000001431487110972565544332211116.6+0.0817.492IowaMilwaukee Admirals
Utica2441011-4-1146.6-0.00.000000000133221011141455555544332218.9+0.0211.480BinghamtonUtica Comets
Bridgeport2651210-2539.1-0.00.000102210731020210361053221110000015.4+0.0118.549at SpringfieldBridgeport Sound Tigers
Ontario2371110-1035.2-1.00.000020014013704662677766554432219.0-0.0610.535StocktonOntario Reign
Grand Rapids2331013-3-934.2+1.30.000000021024516762677766554432219.3+0.1425.502ChicagoGrand Rapids Griffins
Laval2621011-6-1526.80.0000000000111167101456667776655421.3+0.0424.477Laval Rocket
Chicago214812-5-1123.0+0.90.000000011013304551567777766654321.1+0.1130.491at Grand RapidsChicago Wolves
Belleville2531112-3-2220.5+0.00.000000000011114581345667777777622.5+0.0415.449ManitobaBelleville Senators
San Jose2371110-1-614.8-0.70.000000001001302341356677777777622.7-0.0313.508San Jose Barracuda
ClevelandLSan Antonio 2-4207810-4-2213.4-4.80.000000000001203331455667778888823.2-1.1127.454Cleveland Monsters
San Diego2361111-1-910.2-0.40.000000001001201231245667788999923.9+0.039.481San Diego Gulls
Binghamton204813-4-2210.00.000000000000001350223456778910121424.8+0.0426.453at UticaBinghamton Devils
Bakersfield216911-3-85.7-0.30.0000000000001011202334567781011131525.3+0.0219.490Bakersfield Condors
Hershey2711213-3-173.30.0000000000000200081398877766654322.0+0.0416.470Hershey Bears
Hartford2521012-5-221.2+0.00.000000000000010004766677788889824.0+0.0528.444W-B/ScrantonHartford Wolf Pack
Springfield211018-1-160.40.0000000000000000013344556781011141825.9+0.0529.466BridgeportSpringfield Thunderbirds

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
San Antonio 4 Cleveland 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+0.2
Stockton-0.1
-0.1
San Antonio+2.3
+0.5
Iowa+0.6
+0.0
Texas-0.3
-0.1
Tucson-0.4
-0.1
Milwaukee+0.8
+0.0
Ontario-0.6
-0.0
Grand Rapids+0.6
+0.0
Chicago+0.4
+0.0
San Jose-0.4
Cleveland-2.5
-0.6
San Diego-0.3
Bakersfield-0.2
Friday
Milwaukee vs IowaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford95.094.894.894.994.995.2
8.99.08.99.09.08.9
Iowa75.278.678.682.982.983.7
13.513.013.012.212.212.1
Milwaukee60.059.059.053.253.249.1
15.916.016.016.816.817.5
Grand Rapids33.832.832.833.633.634.9
19.319.419.419.419.419.3
Chicago22.822.022.022.422.423.4
21.121.221.221.221.221.1
Cleveland13.212.712.713.013.013.6
Grand Rapids vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford95.094.894.894.994.995.1
Iowa79.378.778.778.878.879.6
12.912.912.912.912.912.8
Milwaukee54.953.953.954.454.455.5
16.616.716.716.616.616.6
Grand Rapids38.637.637.631.831.828.2
18.718.818.819.619.620.3
Chicago18.922.022.027.027.028.1
21.821.221.220.320.320.2
Cleveland13.313.013.013.113.113.5
Utica vs BinghamtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse96.796.696.696.796.796.9
Utica50.950.250.244.144.140.2
18.318.318.319.119.119.8
Laval25.925.525.5*26.9*26.828.4
21.321.421.421.321.321.3
Belleville19.719.419.420.620.621.8
22.522.522.522.522.522.4
Binghamton7.69.19.112.512.513.4
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
25.324.824.824.124.124.0
Ontario vs StocktonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton92.694.194.195.995.996.2
8.47.97.97.37.37.2
San Antonio87.387.287.287.887.888.5
9.910.110.110.110.110.1
Texas75.775.475.476.376.477.5
12.612.712.712.812.712.7
Tucson74.173.973.975.075.075.9
12.913.013.013.013.012.9
Ontario40.439.939.934.434.430.2
18.118.218.219.119.119.8
San Jose14.414.214.314.814.715.2
22.722.722.722.722.722.6
San Diego9.99.89.810.210.110.5
Bakersfield5.55.45.45.75.75.9
Springfield vs BridgeportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte96.596.196.195.795.795.7
6.56.56.56.66.66.6
Providence95.895.495.594.994.994.9
6.66.66.66.76.76.7
W-B/Scranton91.991.291.290.290.290.2
8.38.48.48.58.58.5
Lehigh Valley76.174.374.372.071.971.8
11.811.911.912.012.112.1
Bridgeport34.237.837.842.842.843.0
16.015.515.514.914.914.9
Hershey3.63.43.43.13.13.1
Hartford1.31.21.21.11.11.1
Springfield0.60.50.50.30.30.2
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
25.325.425.425.925.926.4
San Antonio vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford93.8*95.0*95.196.396.396.3
0.10.20.20.30.30.3
9.38.98.98.58.58.4
Stockton94.494.494.4*94.6*94.694.7
7.97.97.97.77.77.6
San Antonio90.190.190.187.787.785.0
9.49.49.410.110.110.8
Iowa79.679.3*79.379.279.279.2
12.812.912.913.013.012.9
Texas76.376.376.376.776.777.0
12.712.812.812.612.612.5
Tucson74.674.674.6*75.175.175.5
13.013.013.012.912.912.8
Milwaukee55.3*55.1*55.154.754.854.8
16.516.616.616.716.716.6
Ontario34.634.634.635.2*35.236.0
19.119.119.119.019.018.9
Grand Rapids34.534.3*34.233.933.933.9
Chicago23.2*23.0*23.022.722.722.7
San Jose14.514.514.5*14.9*14.815.3
Cleveland13.5*13.3*13.413.213.213.2
San Diego9.99.99.9*10.2*10.210.5
Bakersfield5.55.55.5*5.7*5.75.9
Belleville vs ManitobaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto53.150.150.146.746.646.6
1.92.02.02.02.02.0
Manitoba35.439.639.544.344.444.4
2.12.02.01.81.81.8
Rochester1.81.61.61.41.41.4
Syracuse96.596.596.596.796.796.9
Charlotte3.43.13.12.72.72.7
Providence3.63.33.32.92.92.9
W-B/Scranton1.51.41.41.21.21.2
Utica44.644.644.746.546.547.7
19.019.019.018.918.918.8
Laval25.525.525.526.726.727.5
21.421.421.421.321.321.3
Belleville24.824.824.720.820.818.2
0.00.00.0No0.00.0
21.621.621.622.422.422.9
Binghamton9.49.49.410.010.010.4
24.924.924.924.824.824.7
Hartford vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto48.848.748.648.548.548.4
Manitoba41.941.841.841.641.641.6
Charlotte96.2*96.0*96.095.995.996.0
6.46.56.56.66.66.6
Providence95.495.3*95.395.295.295.2
6.56.66.66.76.76.7
W-B/Scranton88.690.390.392.492.492.5
0.81.11.11.61.61.6
9.18.68.68.08.08.0
Lehigh Valley74.273.8*73.873.473.473.5
11.811.911.912.012.012.0
Bridgeport40.039.239.238.438.438.4
15.315.415.415.515.415.4
Hershey3.53.33.33.23.23.2
Hartford1.71.61.61.11.10.8
0.0No0.0NoNo0.0
23.423.423.424.024.024.5
Syracuse vs ProvidenceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto48.9*48.6*48.648.248.248.2
Manitoba42.041.841.841.441.341.4
Rochester7.37.37.37.27.27.1
Syracuse97.597.597.596.696.695.8
0.30.30.30.20.20.1
9.29.29.29.79.710.0
Charlotte96.1*96.0*96.096.096.096.0
6.46.66.66.76.76.7
Providence94.295.395.396.496.496.4
2.32.92.94.04.04.0
7.16.76.76.16.16.1
W-B/Scranton91.1*91.0*91.090.890.890.8
8.38.48.48.58.58.5
Lehigh Valley74.0*73.8*73.873.473.473.4
11.911.911.912.012.012.0
Utica46.446.446.5*46.646.746.9
18.918.918.918.918.818.8
Bridgeport39.5*39.1*39.138.638.638.6
15.315.415.415.415.415.4
Laval26.626.626.6*26.8*26.827.1
Belleville20.320.320.320.620.520.7
Binghamton9.99.99.9*10.0*10.010.2
Rochester vs TorontoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto43.347.447.452.652.652.8
2.22.02.01.91.91.8
Manitoba45.242.342.238.838.938.9
Rochester99.599.599.599.399.399.1
2.21.91.91.31.30.9
6.86.86.87.27.27.5
Syracuse9.79.79.79.69.69.5
Charlotte3.33.03.02.62.62.6
Providence3.53.13.12.82.82.8
W-B/Scranton1.51.31.31.11.11.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.