Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
SaturdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSunday
RockfordWMilwaukee 6-28241-01086.8%+9.010.8%+4.211987766554443332222111111000008.4+2.162.556HersheyRockford IceHogs
TorontoWCharlotte 4-010151-0686.6+8.410.6+4.011987766554443332222211111000008.5+2.011.551CharlotteToronto Marlies
Lehigh ValleyWBinghamton 4-31151-1585.5+5.69.4+2.29887766554443333222211111100008.8+1.285.545Lehigh Valley Phantoms
ProvidenceWBelleville 3-2 (so)8241-0785.5+3.89.7+1.310987766554443333222211111100008.8+0.8325.550LavalProvidence Bruins
San AntonioWTexas 6-28241-0684.5+11.88.9+4.29887766554443333222211111100009.0+2.706.546TexasSan Antonio Rampage
MilwaukeeLRockford 2-68241-0581.6-6.87.4-6.77776666555444333322222111110009.8-2.073.544Milwaukee Admirals
W-B/ScrantonWHartford 3-2 (so)8142-0880.5+3.56.8+0.677666655554444333322221111100010.1+0.687.551Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
LavalWBridgeport 6-39141-1680.0+6.76.5+1.776666655554444333322221111100010.2+1.398.546at ProvidenceLaval Rocket
UticaWRochester 5-16232-0477.3+13.25.6+2.666666555554444433332222111110010.8+2.684.544Utica Comets
BinghamtonLLehigh Valley 3-47231-1476.1-6.25.2-3.655655555555444433333222211110011.1-1.629.541Binghamton Devils
CharlotteLToronto 0-48142-0275.9-8.95.0-5.355555555555444433333222211110011.2-2.3410.535at TorontoCharlotte Checkers
ManitobaWIowa 4-26133-0569.8+8.53.4+1.034455555555444444333332222111012.5+1.6123.545Manitoba Moose
HartfordLW-B/Scranton 2-3 (so)7132-1-162.9+1.62.3-0.223344444444444444444333322221113.8+0.2415.524at BridgeportHartford Wolf Pack
ChicagoLTucson 3-43312-1052.3-7.81.3-1.112233333444444444444444433322115.8-1.5129.529TucsonChicago Wolves
TexasLSan Antonio 2-67132-1-552.2-15.21.2-2.112223333444444444444444433322115.8-2.9819.514at San AntonioTexas Stars
ClevelandWSan Jose 4-14322-0-351.7+10.81.2+0.512223333444444444444444443332115.9+2.0312.517San JoseCleveland Monsters
BellevilleLProvidence 2-3 (so)5123-1-348.8-2.61.0-0.411222333344444444444444444332116.4-0.4918.520at SpringfieldBelleville Senators
StocktonWSan Diego 6-38142-0746.9+11.20.5+0.211122233344444455555544444332116.9+2.0517.553Stockton Heat
Grand RapidsLHershey 2-45123-1-541.7-10.70.6-0.811122223333344444455555554443217.7-1.9722.513Grand Rapids Griffins
TucsonWChicago 4-34421-0440.7+8.60.4+0.101112223333444444555555554443218.0+1.6416.543at ChicagoTucson Roadrunners
RochesterLUtica 1-54223-0-635.6-17.90.5-1.201111222233333444445555555554318.9-3.3226.505Rochester Americans
BridgeportLLaval 3-62214-0-634.6-10.60.4-0.601111222233333444445555555554319.1-1.9613.507HartfordBridgeport Sound Tigers
IowaLManitoba 2-44124-0-533.4-10.50.4-0.501111222223333444445555555555319.3-1.9424.510Iowa Wild
SyracuseWSpringfield 4-1524-1-531.0+7.10.3+0.101111122222333344445555666665319.7+1.5528.507Syracuse Crunch
HersheyWGrand Rapids 4-23213-1-1029.2+5.60.3+0.100111112222333344445555666666420.1+1.2621.500at RockfordHershey Bears
BakersfieldWOntario 3-16232-0-222.7+7.40.1+0.000001111122223334445556667777521.3+1.8020.518Bakersfield Condors
San DiegoLStockton 3-64223-0-218.4-8.90.1-0.100000111111222333444556677888722.3-1.7314.520San Diego Gulls
San JoseLCleveland 1-44223-0-314.0-9.10.0-0.1000000011111222233344556789910923.3-1.8911.516at ClevelandSan Jose Barracuda
SpringfieldLSyracuse 1-40106-0-1212.2-5.80.0-0.100000001111112222333445678910131223.9-1.3127.488BellevilleSpringfield Thunderbirds
OntarioLBakersfield 1-30205-0-111.8-1.70.0-0.000000000000000001111122345711184027.6-0.7830.483Ontario Reign

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday
Grand Rapids 2 Hershey 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+0.2
+0.0
Grand Rapids-5.9
-0.5
-1.1
Hershey+4.3
+0.1
+0.9
Rochester 1 Utica 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+4.8
+0.8
+1.0
Rochester-5.5
-0.5
-1.0
Iowa 2 Manitoba 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manitoba+4.8
+0.7
+0.9
Iowa-5.3
-0.3
-1.0
Chicago 3 Tucson 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+0.1
Chicago-5.4
-0.7
-1.0
Tucson+4.9
+0.1
+0.9
Bridgeport 3 Laval 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee-0.1
W-B/Scranton*-0.1
Laval+4.2
+1.1
+0.9
Charlotte-0.1
Bridgeport-5.3
-0.3
-1.0
Texas 2 San Antonio 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio+4.2
+1.2
+0.9
Texas-5.1
-0.9
-1.0
Stockton 6 San Diego 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Stockton+3.9
+0.1
+0.7
San Diego-4.0
-0.8
Cleveland 4 San Jose 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Cleveland+4.1
+0.2
+0.8
San Jose-3.8
-0.8
Binghamton 3 Lehigh Valley 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Lehigh Valley+3.5
+1.8
+0.9
Binghamton-3.7
-2.1
-0.9
Milwaukee 2 Rockford 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+3.8
+1.8
+0.9
Toronto+0.1
Lehigh Valley+0.1
Providence+0.1
Milwaukee-2.9
-2.9
-0.9
Binghamton+0.1
Syracuse 4 Springfield 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse+3.2
+0.7
Springfield-3.0
-0.7
Toronto 4 Charlotte 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto+3.1
+1.3
+0.7
Milwaukee+0.1
Charlotte-2.7
-2.0
-0.7
Ontario 1 Bakersfield 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.1
Hartford-0.2
Chicago-0.2
Bakersfield+3.2
+0.8
Ontario-1.1
-0.5
W-B/Scranton 3 Hartford 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford*-0.2
W-B/Scranton+2.7
+1.1
+0.6
Hartford*+0.4
*-0.1
*+0.1
Cleveland+0.0
Tucson*-0.4
Providence 3 Belleville 2 (so)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto*+0.1
Lehigh Valley*-0.1
Providence+2.5
+1.0
+0.6
Milwaukee*-0.3
W-B/Scranton*-0.2
Laval*-0.1
Charlotte*-0.1
Manitoba*+0.0
Hartford*-0.3
Belleville*-0.1
-0.0
Sunday
Chicago vs TucsonIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago56.556.155.951.151.146.7
1.61.61.61.21.20.9
15.015.115.116.016.016.8
Tucson35.9*40.540.245.745.745.9
0.20.3*0.40.50.50.5
18.818.0*18.117.117.117.1
Bridgeport vs HartfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hartford58.562.5*62.667.467.567.8
1.72.1*2.22.82.92.9
14.713.9*13.913.012.912.9
Bridgeport38.638.238.033.133.329.5
0.50.50.50.40.30.3
18.318.418.419.319.320.0
San Antonio vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford10.6*10.7*10.6*10.8*10.610.9
Toronto10.4*10.5*10.5*10.8*10.710.7
Lehigh Valley9.3*9.2*9.3*9.4*9.39.6
8.88.98.9*8.88.98.8
Providence9.6*9.69.5*9.6*9.99.9
San Antonio86.986.786.683.883.780.9
10.310.210.18.28.26.8
8.48.58.59.39.310.0
W-B/Scranton80.6*80.4*80.7*80.4*80.380.4
6.76.6*6.6*6.7*6.86.9
Charlotte76.0*75.8*75.775.5*75.6*75.8
4.94.9*5.0*4.9*5.05.1
Texas48.0*52.3*52.357.157.257.7
0.8*1.11.11.61.61.6
16.615.815.814.914.914.8
Tucson40.8*40.5*40.4*40.640.2*40.6
Rochester35.735.3*35.7*35.5*35.535.5
Bridgeport34.7*34.5*34.434.1*34.6*34.5
Springfield vs BellevilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Belleville44.048.248.353.553.353.7
0.70.9*1.01.31.31.4
17.316.6*16.515.515.615.5
Tucson40.8*40.6*40.740.1*40.540.5
18.0*18.0*18.018.1*18.018.0
Springfield14.514.214.111.411.59.5
23.323.423.424.124.124.6
Cleveland vs San JoseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Cleveland55.855.455.450.150.646.1
1.51.51.61.11.10.8
15.215.215.216.216.217.0
Belleville*48.7*48.7*48.648.3*48.848.9
16.4*16.416.416.516.416.4
Tucson*40.640.3*40.4*40.4*40.740.8
Iowa33.3*33.3*33.3*33.4*33.333.6
San Jose11.3*13.8*13.817.017.017.1
23.923.3*23.322.622.622.5
Rockford vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford88.888.688.586.085.883.4
12.312.112.310.09.78.3
7.87.97.98.68.79.3
Toronto10.4*10.5*10.3*10.7*10.710.8
Lehigh Valley9.2*9.2*9.2*9.5*9.59.6
Providence9.6*9.79.5*9.7*9.910.0
San Antonio8.88.7*8.8*8.9*8.89.1
9.09.1*9.0*9.1*9.09.0
Milwaukee7.3*7.47.2*7.4*7.57.6
9.8*9.89.8*9.8*9.89.7
W-B/Scranton80.6*80.4*80.4*80.4*80.480.4
6.7*6.7*6.6*6.8*6.87.0
Laval6.4*6.4*6.4*6.66.76.7
Charlotte4.94.9*5.0*5.1*5.05.2
11.211.2*11.2*11.2*11.211.1
Belleville16.4*16.4*16.416.5*16.516.4
Iowa33.5*33.2*33.3*33.4*33.133.3
Hershey25.7*29.2*29.233.333.834.1
0.20.3*0.30.40.40.4
20.820.120.119.219.219.1
Toronto vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto88.888.688.785.785.883.4
12.312.012.19.59.68.1
7.97.97.98.88.79.4
Lehigh Valley9.39.2*9.4*9.5*9.49.5
Providence9.7*9.6*9.7*9.59.59.9
Milwaukee*7.47.2*7.2*7.4*7.47.5
Charlotte72.5*75.8*75.879.880.080.0
3.94.84.86.16.36.4
11.911.211.210.310.310.2
Stockton47.0*46.8*46.9*46.746.546.8
Bridgeport34.734.3*34.4*34.6*34.4*34.5
Syracuse31.0*30.830.5*30.6*30.8*30.9
Providence vs LavalHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Toronto10.510.4*10.4*10.6*10.610.7
Lehigh Valley*9.49.29.1*9.59.19.4
Providence87.887.787.584.784.782.2
11.411.311.18.99.07.4
8.18.28.29.09.09.7
Laval76.9*80.0*80.083.383.483.6
5.16.3*6.47.98.08.3
11.010.2*10.39.49.49.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.