Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
2/13PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthWednesday
Toronto7533711-169100.0%91.1%-0.09181000000000000000000000001.11.724Toronto Marlies
Manitoba7123211-759100.08.3-0.08721900000000000000000000000002.1-0.026.693Manitoba Moose
Syracuse6122817-524100.00.00000192260121530101030000000000000008.8-0.117.593at UticaSyracuse Crunch
Utica6132614-910100.00.00000111550131860121361000000000000009.8-0.0611.541SyracuseUtica Comets
Rochester6222513-127100.0+0.00.000007114012165016181010000000000000010.821.547Rochester Americans
W-B/Scranton6453013-43499.9+0.10.5-0.01144301892073003100000000000000004.6-0.305.618Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Lehigh ValleyWBridgeport 5-06813114-62099.8+0.90.1+0.00527026132013510620000000000000005.9+0.744.579Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Tucson5782714-32296.9-0.00.00005900120001100014011100000000006.8+0.013.592at San JoseTucson Roadrunners
Providence6132816-52196.1+2.10.0016097202212302111303100000000000010.1-0.3613.575Providence Bruins
CharlotteWHartford 6-05912820-32894.8+7.90.0003065101912302515504100000000000011.1+0.8210.605HartfordCharlotte Checkers
Chicago5642416-81288.0+2.10.000002827116211151115421000000000010.8+0.1412.560Chicago Wolves
Iowa6022515-10884.6+3.00.000002522116211281417521100000000011.6+0.1918.545Iowa Wild
Grand Rapids5912618-71283.5+3.10.000001420115211281627521100000000012.0+0.1919.563Grand Rapids Griffins
Texas5722518-7-1180.3+0.30.0000160022400120002151245431000000011.9+0.1116.480Texas Stars
San Diego5382617-11377.9-0.20.0000140012200122002161345431100000012.4+0.032.546BakersfieldSan Diego Gulls
San Antonio5422420-6-1055.9+0.00.000060011300116002171479974210000015.6+0.1117.472at MilwaukeeSan Antonio Rampage
Stockton4982217-51151.1-0.2No00300010001150021924810985210000016.4+0.108.561Stockton Heat
Ontario5072318-4134.1+0.0No001000600010001151481113128521000018.4+0.149.518Ontario Reign
RockfordLCleveland 1-3562521-6-126.6-10.00.0000000200161141121717139753100000017.5-0.9127.505Rockford IceHogs
Milwaukee5432520-4-1617.4+1.80.00000001000410271121514121095311000018.7+0.3015.445San AntonioMilwaukee Admirals
BridgeportLLehigh Valley 0-55322320-7-27.2-8.30.0000000000000221028191411864210000018.7-0.8722.504Bridgeport Sound Tigers
San Jose4772119-5-172.9+0.0No000000000010002012461016171512842023.8+0.0414.463TucsonSan Jose Barracuda
HartfordLCharlotte 0-6552421-7-282.1-2.70.000000000000001101113141414139531100020.3-0.5920.420at CharlotteHartford Wolf Pack
Bakersfield4671918-8-180.9+0.0No0000000000000010011351014161815105125.2-0.0123.447at San DiegoBakersfield Condors
Springfield4612227-2-180.1-0.0No00000000000000011246915171613952024.1+0.0824.456Springfield Thunderbirds
Laval4421824-8-320.1No0000000000000000012351014161614116225.3-0.0128.421BellevilleLaval Rocket
Belleville4412027-4-610.0No000000000000000000001248121724221027.4-0.0826.333at LavalBelleville Senators
Hershey4511925-7-440.0-0.0No0000000000000000001136101417191610326.1+0.0225.386Hershey Bears
Binghamton3541326-9-500.0No000000000000000000001249216229.3-0.1030.368Binghamton Devils
ClevelandWRockford 3-13941625-7-430.0+0.0No00000000000000000000012471220322128.2+0.4229.379Cleveland Monsters

If there are score or record errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail.

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Rockford 1 Cleveland 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago+1.9
+0.1
Iowa+2.5
+0.1
Grand Rapids+2.7
+0.2
Rockford-8.5
-0.9
Milwaukee+1.4
+0.1
Bridgeport+0.1
Hartford*No
+0.1
Belleville-0.1
Binghamton-0.1
Cleveland+0.3
Bridgeport 0 Lehigh Valley 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.1
Lehigh Valley+0.6
+0.5
Tucson*No
Providence+1.1
-0.1
Charlotte+2.0
-0.0
Rockford+0.0
Bridgeport-4.0
-0.5
Hartford+0.3
+0.1
Charlotte 6 Hartford 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton-0.0
Lehigh Valley-0.1
Providence-0.1
Charlotte+2.7
+0.4
Stockton+0.0
Ontario+0.0
Rockford+0.0
Milwaukee+0.0
Bridgeport-1.0
Hartford-1.7
-0.3
Wednesday
Milwaukee vs San AntonioIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tucson97.2*96.9*96.996.696.696.6
6.76.86.86.96.96.9
Chicago87.387.387.388.288.288.8
10.810.810.810.810.810.7
Iowa83.683.683.684.884.885.7
11.711.711.711.611.611.6
Grand Rapids82.482.482.483.983.984.9
12.112.112.112.012.012.0
Texas81.480.480.479.179.179.1
11.811.911.912.112.112.1
San Diego79.277.977.976.776.776.7
12.312.512.512.612.612.6
San Antonio49.255.855.962.762.762.7
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
16.515.615.614.614.614.6
Stockton53.251.151.149.149.149.1
16.316.516.516.616.616.5
Ontario35.834.134.132.432.432.4
18.318.418.418.518.518.5
Rockford25.725.825.826.926.927.6
17.517.617.617.517.517.4
Milwaukee21.020.920.916.216.212.9
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
18.218.218.218.918.919.4
San Jose3.22.92.92.72.72.7
Bakersfield0.90.90.90.80.80.8
San Diego vs BakersfieldHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tucson96.896.896.896.996.997.1
6.96.96.96.76.76.6
Texas79.779.679.680.580.481.4
12.112.112.111.911.911.7
San Diego81.681.581.576.176.170.6
11.811.811.812.812.813.7
San Antonio55.155.055.056.156.157.5
15.715.715.715.515.515.4
Stockton50.350.350.251.551.552.8
16.516.516.516.416.416.2
Ontario33.333.233.234.634.635.8
18.418.518.518.318.418.2
San Jose2.82.82.83.03.03.2
Bakersfield0.50.80.81.41.41.6
25.625.225.224.724.724.7
Springfield24.124.124.124.224.224.2
Laval25.325.325.325.425.425.4
Belleville27.427.427.427.527.527.5
Hershey26.126.226.226.226.226.2
Charlotte vs HartfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton4.64.64.64.54.54.4
Lehigh Valley6.06.06.05.95.95.8
Providence96.296.096.095.895.895.9
10.210.210.210.010.09.8
Charlotte96.195.895.893.693.691.4
10.810.810.811.411.412.0
Ontario18.318.418.418.418.418.4
Rockford17.517.517.517.617.617.5
Milwaukee18.718.718.718.818.818.8
Bridgeport6.76.66.67.57.58.7
Hartford1.31.91.93.43.44.2
No*No*No*No*No0.0
20.620.120.119.619.619.6
San Jose vs TucsonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Tucson95.296.696.697.997.998.0
0.00.0No0.00.00.0
7.66.97.06.36.36.3
Texas80.380.180.180.180.180.3
11.711.911.912.112.112.1
San Diego78.077.777.777.877.8*77.9
12.312.412.412.612.612.6
San Antonio55.955.655.655.755.755.9
15.515.615.615.715.715.6
Stockton51.251.051.051.051.0*51.1
16.416.416.416.516.516.5
Ontario34.234.034.034.034.034.1
San Jose4.44.34.32.72.71.8
23.223.223.223.823.824.2
Bakersfield25.325.325.325.225.225.2
Springfield24.224.224.224.124.124.0
Laval25.425.425.425.325.325.3
Hershey26.226.226.226.126.126.1
Laval vs BellevilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Laval25.025.025.025.625.625.9
Belleville27.727.427.427.027.026.9
Cleveland28.128.228.228.228.228.2
Utica vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Syracuse9.59.09.08.38.38.2
Utica9.19.39.310.010.010.6
Rochester10.811.011.011.011.010.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.