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Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Milwaukee8340-0982.8%+0.211.2%-0.218127141087654322115.0+0.0410.584at ChicagoMilwaukee Admirals
Chicago7330-1980.0+0.19.3-0.216116141197654432115.4+0.0221.587MilwaukeeChicago Wolves
Albany7330-1880.0-0.19.3-0.41912812986554332215.2-0.016.585at HartfordAlbany Devils
Texas6430-0478.0-0.18.1-0.31415205666655432215.2-0.039.575at Oklahoma CityTexas Stars
RochesterWRockford 3-26331-0775.7+5.26.8+1.51212109998765433215.8+0.4717.579AdirondackRochester Americans
UticaWAdirondack 3-07231-1575.3+11.56.6+2.91112910998765433215.8+1.134.581San AntonioUtica Comets
Hershey6331-0674.5-0.16.5-0.31413128777655443225.7-0.031.578at Lehigh ValleyHershey Bears
Hartford7330-1268.9-0.04.8-0.21186121087766554326.55.566AlbanyHartford Wolf Pack
Manchester4421-0468.4+0.24.7-0.11012127777666554336.4+0.033.573PortlandManchester Monarchs
Worcester6331-0265.4+0.23.9-0.1910117777766655436.7+0.027.565SyracuseWorcester Sharks
San Antonio6331-0063.4+0.13.4-0.169146677877665426.9+0.0124.558at UticaSan Antonio Rampage
Grand Rapids6331-0162.7+0.23.4-0.1764111099887665427.3+0.0320.562Lake ErieGrand Rapids Griffins
Lehigh Valley4421-0262.4-0.13.4-0.28997777776665447.1-0.0223.566HersheyLehigh Valley Phantoms
Hamilton4410-2059.7-0.22.9-0.16768888887765437.5-0.0915.559at TorontoHamilton Bulldogs
Bridgeport6232-0356.6-0.12.4-0.16549988777766557.8-0.0116.563Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Syracuse5321-1052.8-0.82.0-0.25548888877777658.2-0.0828.558at WorcesterSyracuse Crunch
RockfordLRochester 2-35222-1051.4-9.11.8-1.44437888888887648.3-0.8211.561Rockford IceHogs
Providence5222-1050.2+0.11.6-0.14685677777777768.3+0.0230.557NorfolkProvidence Bruins
Toronto6232-0-149.9-0.11.6-0.13556788888887648.4-0.058.548HamiltonToronto Marlies
Norfolk4322-0-345.9-0.31.3-0.14565677778888888.8-0.032.548at ProvidenceNorfolk Admirals
BinghamtonWSt. John's 3-2 (ot)5222-1-243.6+4.81.1+0.23465667778888889.0+0.4725.550Binghamton Senators
Oklahoma City1402-1-338.6+0.20.8-0.02373456789999989.3+0.0526.549TexasOklahoma City Barons
Springfield3312-1-337.6-0.00.8-0.0232566677889910119.719.547at W-B/ScrantonSpringfield Falcons
Portland2313-0-333.7+0.20.6-0.023534566788910111310.0+0.0327.546at ManchesterPortland Pirates
St. John'sLBinghamton 2-3 (ot)722-3-730.4-3.70.4-0.2124345567891011121410.3-0.3829.531St. John's IceCaps
W-B/Scranton4223-0-629.7-0.20.4-0.012434556778911121510.4-0.0222.535SpringfieldWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Lake Erie2313-0-627.7+0.30.4-0.01113456678101112121210.5+0.0813.538at Grand RapidsLake Erie Monsters
Charlotte2214-0-723.0+0.10.2-0.0114223467891113141510.9+0.0612.531at IowaCharlotte Checkers
Iowa0304-0-818.5+0.10.2-0.0013123456791113162011.5+0.0714.533CharlotteIowa Wild
AdirondackLUtica 0-33114-1-1313.2-8.50.1-0.1011122345681014182512.1-0.9818.517at RochesterAdirondack Flames

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Rochester 3 Rockford 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee+0.1
Chicago+0.1
Texas+0.1
Rochester+3.8
+1.1
+0.4
Utica+0.1
San Antonio+0.1
Grand Rapids+0.1
Hamilton+0.1
Rockford-5.1
-0.9
-0.5
Toronto+0.1
Oklahoma City+0.1
Lake Erie+0.1
Charlotte+0.1
Iowa+0.1
Adirondack+0.1
St. John's 2 Binghamton 3 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany-0.2
Hershey-0.2
Hartford-0.2
Manchester-0.2
Worcester-0.2
Lehigh Valley-0.3
Bridgeport-0.3
Syracuse-0.3
Providence-0.2
Norfolk-0.2
Binghamton+4.1
+0.2
+0.4
Springfield-0.3
Portland-0.2
St. John's-1.0
-0.1
-0.1
W-B/Scranton-0.2
Utica 3 Adirondack 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee-0.1
Chicago-0.1
Albany-0.1
Utica+3.9
+0.7
+0.4
Adirondack-3.7
-0.1
-0.4
Friday
Providence vs NorfolkIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Providence54.654.353.749.049.044.6
2.02.01.91.41.41.1
7.97.98.08.48.48.9
Norfolk40.745.045.049.750.350.7
0.91.21.21.61.61.7
9.38.98.98.48.38.3
Binghamton43.743.443.443.443.343.7
Toronto vs HamiltonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Grand Rapids62.862.462.562.562.462.8
Hamilton54.458.758.763.363.864.2
2.12.72.73.53.63.6
8.07.67.67.17.17.0
Rockford51.551.151.151.251.151.5
Toronto54.654.253.648.948.844.4
2.02.01.91.51.41.1
7.98.08.08.58.58.9
Oklahoma City38.638.338.338.438.338.7
Worcester vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester68.468.168.268.168.168.4
6.46.46.46.46.46.3
Worcester69.569.268.764.464.460.2
4.84.74.63.63.62.8
6.36.36.46.86.87.2
Bridgeport56.756.456.456.456.356.6
Syracuse47.551.951.956.657.157.5
1.41.81.82.42.52.6
8.78.38.37.87.87.7
Norfolk46.045.745.745.745.645.9
Lehigh Valley vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey70.173.873.877.577.978.2
4.96.16.17.67.87.9
6.25.85.85.45.35.3
Lehigh Valley66.766.565.961.661.657.4
4.24.24.03.23.12.4
6.66.66.77.27.27.6
Syracuse*52.852.552.652.652.552.9
Providence*50.249.950.050.050.050.3
Binghamton*43.643.343.443.443.443.7
Springfield*37.637.437.337.437.437.7
St. John's*30.430.130.230.230.230.5
W-B/Scranton vs SpringfieldHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport56.756.456.456.456.3*56.6
Syracuse52.952.652.652.652.552.8
Springfield32.536.536.641.041.641.9
0.50.70.70.91.01.0
10.29.89.89.39.39.2
W-B/Scranton33.733.432.828.728.725.1
0.60.50.50.40.40.3
10.010.010.110.510.510.9
Grand Rapids vs Lake ErieHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
San Antonio*63.463.163.263.263.263.5
Grand Rapids66.866.565.961.561.557.3
4.24.14.03.23.22.5
6.96.97.07.47.47.8
Hamilton59.859.459.559.559.559.8
Rockford51.451.151.251.251.151.5
Toronto49.949.649.649.749.650.0
Lake Erie23.426.926.931.031.531.9
0.20.30.30.50.50.5
11.010.610.610.210.210.1
Utica vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas78.177.877.877.877.777.9
8.18.18.1*8.1*8.18.2
5.25.25.25.35.35.3
Utica78.878.578.174.474.470.7
7.97.87.66.16.14.9
5.55.55.65.96.06.3
San Antonio58.662.862.867.167.667.9
2.53.23.24.14.24.3
7.47.07.06.56.56.5
Grand Rapids62.862.562.562.562.4*62.7
Hamilton59.859.559.559.559.459.8
Rockford51.551.151.251.151.151.4
Toronto50.049.649.749.649.649.9
Oklahoma City38.738.438.438.338.2*38.6
Charlotte23.222.922.922.822.823.0
Manchester vs PortlandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Manchester72.171.971.467.367.263.2
5.65.65.44.34.33.4
6.06.06.16.56.56.9
Portland29.032.933.037.237.838.2
0.40.50.50.70.70.8
10.510.110.19.69.69.5
Oklahoma City vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas73.877.277.280.681.081.3
6.27.77.79.49.69.6
5.75.35.34.94.94.8
Utica75.375.175.175.275.275.5
6.7*6.66.66.56.56.5
San Antonio*63.463.063.163.263.263.5
6.96.96.97.07.06.9
Grand Rapids62.762.462.562.662.662.9
3.5*3.4*3.43.43.43.4
Hamilton59.759.459.559.659.559.9
Rockford51.451.151.151.251.251.6
Toronto49.849.649.649.749.650.0
Oklahoma City43.142.742.237.737.733.7
1.11.01.00.70.70.5
8.98.99.09.49.49.8
Hartford vs AlbanyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany76.179.479.482.682.983.1
7.28.88.810.711.011.1
5.75.35.34.94.84.8
Hartford72.972.772.268.268.264.2
6.05.95.74.54.53.5
6.16.16.26.66.67.0
Bridgeport*56.656.356.456.556.456.7
Syracuse*52.852.552.552.652.652.9
Norfolk*45.945.645.745.745.746.0
Springfield*37.637.337.437.437.437.7
Rochester vs AdirondackHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester78.778.678.174.674.671.0
8.08.07.86.36.35.1
5.55.55.55.95.96.3
Utica*75.375.275.275.275.275.4
6.56.56.5*6.6*6.66.7
5.95.95.95.85.85.8
Grand Rapids62.762.562.562.662.662.9
3.43.43.43.53.53.5
Rockford51.451.251.251.351.351.6
Toronto49.849.649.749.849.750.0
Oklahoma City38.638.338.438.538.538.8
Adirondack10.612.812.815.515.816.1
12.512.212.211.811.811.8
Iowa vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Charlotte19.122.222.225.926.326.5
0.10.20.20.30.30.3
11.411.011.010.610.610.5
Iowa21.421.220.817.617.614.9
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
11.111.211.211.611.611.9
Chicago vs MilwaukeeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Milwaukee79.582.482.585.285.685.7
8.810.610.612.913.213.4
5.55.15.14.74.74.6
Chicago83.182.982.579.579.576.2
11.211.010.88.78.77.1
5.05.05.15.55.55.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.