Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsKilpatrick TrophyChance will finish regular season at seed
WednesdayPGWL-OTGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
AlbanyWSpringfield 4-213260-11794.6%+2.921.8%+5.137191111753221110003.1+0.521.597Albany Devils
UticaWBinghamton 3-213161-11393.3+2.318.1+3.131191012864322110003.5+0.352.598BinghamtonUtica Comets
Hershey10252-01085.7+0.78.6-0.21719188766543321104.5+0.073.583at ManchesterHershey Bears
MilwaukeeLIowa 2-412261-0985.3-4.79.0-5.617158131197543321104.8-0.719.576Milwaukee Admirals
Providence9242-1981.6+1.16.2-0.01316159987654322115.1+0.1423.583Providence Bruins
RochesterWHamilton 3-210252-0780.2+5.06.0+1.3121061612108754332115.5+0.4813.571at SyracuseRochester Americans
RockfordWGrand Rapids 2-111152-1576.3+6.34.6+1.2101061312108765432216.0+0.688.571at San AntonioRockford IceHogs
Chicago8331-2773.2+0.54.1-0.19961211109876543216.3+0.0926.574at Grand RapidsChicago Wolves
TexasWOklahoma City 5-4 (ot)9341-1271.6+6.13.6+0.9812205677776543216.1+0.6424.556at Lake ErieTexas Stars
Bridgeport9242-1466.9+1.12.5-0.06541411109876654327.0+0.0414.562Bridgeport Sound Tigers
WorcesterLPortland 3-49242-1366.5-6.62.4-1.769108998876654326.8-0.7220.559Worcester Sharks
Lehigh ValleyLW-B/Scranton 1-2 (ot)9242-1165.4-2.42.3-0.758108988877654326.9-0.287.552Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Manchester6432-0263.9+1.22.2-0.15898998877655437.1+0.1117.558HersheyManchester Monarchs
San AntonioLAdirondack 6-710153-0062.3-7.71.9-1.448164678887665427.1-0.815.547RockfordSan Antonio Rampage
Hartford9242-1-255.0+1.41.3+0.033310999888776548.1+0.086.541Hartford Wolf Pack
Oklahoma CityLTexas 4-5 (ot)6322-2-152.1-2.91.1-0.335124578888876548.1-0.304.546Oklahoma City Barons
W-B/ScrantonWLehigh Valley 2-1 (ot)1054-0-249.9+8.10.8+0.32575788888887658.4+0.7310.538at NorfolkWilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Grand RapidsLRockford 1-26333-0-147.4-8.00.9-0.72336888999887658.7-0.7230.545ChicagoGrand Rapids Griffins
HamiltonLRochester 2-36223-2-244.0-8.50.7-0.62326788999988769.0-0.8118.541at CharlotteHamilton Bulldogs
Syracuse7233-1-437.1+0.60.4-0.012256778899910989.7+0.0229.533RochesterSyracuse Crunch
SpringfieldLAlbany 2-47134-1-335.8-9.10.4-0.41115667889910101099.8-0.8716.537Springfield Falcons
BinghamtonLUtica 2-36124-2-529.0-6.60.2-0.2123245678991011121210.4-0.6627.531at UticaBinghamton Senators
St. John's933-3-827.9+1.20.2-0.0123245678891011121310.5+0.1025.515at PortlandSt. John's IceCaps
Charlotte4225-0-627.2+0.80.21252345689101112121210.5+0.0428.526HamiltonCharlotte Checkers
Toronto6234-0-825.0+0.50.2-0.01112455679101112131410.8-0.0212.512Toronto Marlies
PortlandWWorcester 4-36135-0-724.0+5.70.1+0.0012234567891012141610.9+0.6319.521St. John'sPortland Pirates
Lake Erie5224-1-923.5+0.70.10112345678101112141511.0+0.0221.521TexasLake Erie Monsters
IowaWMilwaukee 4-24225-0-720.9+5.60.1+0.0013123457891113151711.2+0.6315.524Iowa Wild
AdirondackWSan Antonio 7-6735-1-1117.7+4.00.1+0.0011123456891113161911.5+0.4411.513Adirondack Flames
Norfolk4225-0-1316.7+0.90.1012123456781013162311.8+0.0822.509W-B/ScrantonNorfolk Admirals

If there are errors, please send them to kc8rpe at gmail

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Binghamton 2 Utica 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany+0.2
-0.4
Utica+1.6
+2.2
+0.2
Hershey+0.3
-0.2
Milwaukee-0.3
Providence+0.2
-0.2
Rochester-0.1
Bridgeport+0.3
Worcester+0.3
Lehigh Valley+0.4
Manchester+0.4
Hartford+0.4
Oklahoma City-0.2
W-B/Scranton+0.4
Syracuse+0.4
Springfield+0.3
Binghamton-4.4
-0.2
-0.4
St. John's+0.4
Portland+0.3
Norfolk+0.2
Grand Rapids 1 Rockford 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford+4.1
+0.8
+0.4
Texas+0.1
Grand Rapids-5.3
-0.5
-0.5
Lake Erie+0.2
Rochester 3 Hamilton 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rochester+3.6
+1.0
+0.4
Texas+0.2
San Antonio+0.2
Hamilton-5.2
-0.4
-0.5
Adirondack 7 San Antonio 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas+0.2
+0.1
San Antonio-5.0
-1.0
-0.5
Oklahoma City+0.3
Grand Rapids+0.2
Hamilton+0.2
Charlotte+0.2
Lake Erie+0.2
Iowa+0.2
Adirondack+2.8
+0.3
Albany 4 Springfield 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany+1.6
+2.3
+0.3
Utica-0.4
Hershey+0.2
-0.2
Milwaukee-0.3
Providence+0.2
-0.2
Bridgeport+0.3
Worcester+0.2
Lehigh Valley+0.3
Manchester+0.3
Hartford+0.3
W-B/Scranton+0.3
Syracuse+0.3
Springfield-4.8
-0.3
-0.4
Binghamton+0.3
St. John's+0.2
Worcester 3 Portland 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica+0.2
Providence+0.1
Bridgeport+0.2
Worcester-4.9
-1.2
-0.5
W-B/Scranton+0.2
Springfield+0.2
Portland+3.4
+0.4
Lehigh Valley 1 W-B/Scranton 2 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport-0.3
Lehigh Valley-1.1
-0.2
-0.1
Manchester*-0.3
Hartford*-0.3
W-B/Scranton+4.4
+0.2
+0.4
Springfield*-0.2
Binghamton-0.4
Texas 5 Oklahoma City 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago*-0.2
Texas+3.8
+0.7
+0.4
San Antonio-0.3
Oklahoma City-0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Toronto*-0.3
Milwaukee 2 Iowa 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany+0.5
Utica+0.4
Hershey+0.3
Milwaukee-2.7
-3.1
-0.4
Providence+0.2
Iowa+3.0
+0.4
Friday
Syracuse vs RochesterIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Utica93.3*93.3*93.2*93.2*93.293.2
18.2*18.1*18.1*18.0*17.917.9
3.43.53.53.53.53.5
Rochester76.379.879.682.683.183.0
4.55.65.76.97.17.2
6.05.65.65.35.25.2
Worcester66.166.066.0*66.3*66.666.9
W-B/Scranton49.449.5*49.6*50.0*50.050.3
Syracuse41.541.541.036.436.532.4
0.60.60.50.40.40.3
9.39.39.39.79.710.1
Binghamton28.728.5*28.8*28.9*29.029.4
Utica vs BinghamtonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Albany94.7*94.6*94.6*94.594.494.5
21.321.321.522.1*22.022.6
Utica94.594.594.392.992.991.3
20.420.519.917.217.014.4
3.23.33.33.53.53.8
Rochester5.95.8*6.0*6.0*6.06.2
5.65.65.65.55.55.5
W-B/Scranton50.3*49.9*49.8*49.749.349.4
Binghamton25.0*28.8*28.932.933.433.3
0.1*0.2*0.20.30.30.3
10.8*10.4*10.410.010.010.0
Charlotte vs HamiltonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hamilton38.542.843.147.748.348.6
0.40.60.60.80.80.9
9.59.19.18.78.78.6
Charlotte31.231.030.226.326.322.7
0.30.20.20.10.10.1
10.110.110.210.610.610.9
Norfolk vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
W-B/Scranton44.248.848.753.553.854.3
0.50.70.81.01.01.1
8.98.58.58.18.08.0
Norfolk19.819.619.115.916.013.4
11.411.411.511.811.812.2
San Antonio vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rockford71.975.575.579.279.679.9
3.44.34.35.55.65.6
6.46.06.15.75.65.6
San Antonio66.866.666.061.361.457.2
2.42.32.21.81.71.3
6.66.76.77.27.27.6
Grand Rapids vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Chicago68.472.272.176.276.776.9
3.03.83.84.74.94.9
6.86.46.46.05.95.9
Grand Rapids52.252.051.346.646.342.2
1.21.11.10.80.80.6
8.38.38.48.88.89.2
Manchester vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Hershey82.485.185.087.888.088.2
6.68.18.09.910.110.2
4.94.64.64.24.24.2
Manchester68.268.067.463.463.359.1
2.82.72.72.02.01.5
6.76.76.77.17.17.5
Lake Erie vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
Texas66.770.670.874.675.175.3
2.63.33.34.34.24.3
6.66.26.25.85.75.7
Lake Erie27.227.026.522.622.719.5
0.20.20.2*0.10.10.1
10.610.610.711.011.011.4
Portland vs St. John'sHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Kilpatrick Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. John's23.327.027.031.231.832.0
0.10.2*0.20.20.20.2
11.010.610.610.210.110.1
Portland27.627.326.823.122.919.7
0.20.20.20.10.10.1
10.510.610.611.011.011.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Don Guisinger for adding this league.