Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances

Lost to Nashville 0-4, playoff odds down 8.9 to 9.7%

75 points 34 29-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	-7.6		-0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs San Jose	-0.8-1.1-0.7+0.2+0.2+1.5
Vegas vs Minnesota	+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

99	12	0		-	0	In		No		13	76	11											5,980
98	11	0		-	1	99.9	%	No		5	72	23	0	0	0								14,079
97	11	1		-	0	99.6		No		2	61	36	0	1	0	0							60,120	*
96	10	1		-	1	97.5		No		1	45	50	0	2	2	0							159,542	*
95	9	1		-	2	89.6		No		0	28	58	0	3	10	1	0						220,164
	10	2		-	0	91.9		No		0	31	57	0	3	8	0	0						173,231	*
94	9	2		-	1	77.5		No		0	16	57	0	4	20	3	0	0					517,605
	8	1		-	3	70.7		No		0	13	54	0	4	25	4	0	0					243,117	*
93	8	2		-	2	52.3		No		0	6	43	0	3	35	11	1	0					802,275
	9	3		-	0	60.1		No		0	8	49	0	3	31	8	1	0					400,967
	7	1		-	4	44.5		No		0	4	38	0	2	39	15	1	0					161,967	*
92	8	3		-	1	33.9		No		0	2	30	0	2	40	23	3	0					1,246,672
	7	2		-	3	26.2		No			1	24	0	1	41	28	5	0					807,183	*
91	7	3		-	2	13.8		No			0	13	0	0	34	40	12	1					1,704,379
	8	4		-	0	18.6		No			1	17	0	1	35	36	10	1					728,420
	6	2		-	4	9.8		No			0	9	0	0	30	44	15	1					461,206	*
90	7	4		-	1	6.0		No			0	6	0	0	22	45	24	3					1,993,603
	6	3		-	3	3.9		No			0	4	0	0	19	46	27	4					1,352,423
	5	2		-	5	2.5		No			0	2		0	16	46	31	5					181,871	*
89	6	4		-	2	1.3		No			0	1		0	9	40	40	9	0				2,369,201
	7	5		-	0	2.2		No			0	2		0	12	41	37	8	0				929,272
	5	3		-	4	0.7		No			0	1		0	7	38	43	11	0				736,111	*
88	6	5		-	1	0.4		No			0	0		0	4	28	49	19	0				2,213,948
	5	4		-	3	0.2		No			0	0		0	3	26	50	21	0				1,600,410
	4	3		-	5	0.1		No				0			2	23	51	25	0				238,452	*
87	5	5		-	2	0.0		No				0		0	1	15	49	36	0				2,240,267
	6	6		-	0	0.1		No				0		0	1	16	49	34	0				860,085
	4	4		-	4	0.0		No				0		0	0	13	48	39	0				721,372	*
86	5	6		-	1	0.0		No				0			0	7	41	52	0				1,741,596
	4	5		-	3	0.0		No				0			0	6	40	53	1				1,250,631
	3	4		-	5	0.0		No				0			0	5	38	57	1				185,451	*
85	4	6		-	2	0.0		No				0			0	2	29	67	2	0			1,459,513
	5	7		-	0	0.0		No				0			0	3	30	66	2	0			579,481
	3	5		-	4	Out		No							0	2	27	69	2				447,687	*
84	4	7		-	1	Out		No							0	1	18	77	5	0			971,985
	3	6		-	3	Out		No							0	1	17	77	6	0			646,827
	2	5		-	5	Out		No								0	15	78	6	0			85,499	*
83	3	7		-	2	Out		No								0	9	79	12	0			648,034
	4	8		-	0	Out		No								0	9	80	11	0			284,518
	2	6		-	4	Out		No								0	8	79	13	0			169,021	*
82	3	8		-	1	Out		No								0	4	75	21	0			377,492
	2	7		-	3	Out		No								0	4	74	23	0			234,634	*
81	2	8		-	2	Out		No								0	1	64	34	0			187,195
	3	9		-	0	Out		No								0	1	65	33	0			133,950	*
80	2	9		-	1	Out		No									0	51	48	1			139,683	*
79	1	9		-	2	Out		No									0	37	59	3			58,144	*
78	1	10		-	1	Out		No									0	23	69	7	0		18,464	*
77	1	11		-	0	Out		No										14	72	14	0		5,436	*
76	0	11		-	1	Out		No										6	70	24	1		950
75	0	12		-	0	Out		No										3	58	37	1		2,823

Total:						9.7	%	No		0	2	8	0	0	11	21	28	27	2	0	0		32,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Winnipeg	Anaheim	Chicago	Nashville	Minnesota	St-Louis	Edmonton	Calgary	Vancouver	San Jose	Colorado	Vegas

99		12	0		-	0	1.5	%	0	5	1	3	5	3	64	7	10	2	0
98		11	0		-	1	1.2		0	6	1	1	2	1	67	9	12	2	0
97		11	1		-	0	1.3		0	6	0	0	1	1	67	10	12	2	0
		10	0		-	2	1.3		0	6	0	1	1	0	66	11	12	2
96		10	1		-	1	1.2		1	6	0	0	0	0	65	10	12	2	0
		9	0		-	3	1.1		1	6	1	0	0	0	63	11	12	1
95		9	1		-	2	1.1		2	6	1	0	0	0	58	10	11	1		0
		10	2		-	0	1.1		1	6	1	0	0	0	61	10	12	2
		8	0		-	4	1.0		2	5	1	0	0	0	55	10	11	1
94		9	2		-	1	0.9		2	5	1	0	0	0	51	8	9	1		0
		8	1		-	3	0.9		2	4	1	0	0	0	46	8	9	1		0
		7	0		-	5	0.8		2	4	1	0	0	0	42	8	8	1
93		8	2		-	2	0.6		1	3	1	0	0	0	35	5	6	1	0
		9	3		-	0	0.7		1	4	1	0	0	0	40	6	7	1		0
		7	1		-	4	0.5		1	2	1	0	0	0	30	5	5	1		0
		6	0		-	6	0.6		1	2	1	0	0		25	5	4	1
92		8	3		-	1	0.4		1	2	1	0	0	0	23	3	4	0		0
		7	2		-	3	0.3		1	1	0	0	0	0	19	3	3	0		0
		6	1		-	5	0.2		0	1	0	0	0		15	2	2	0		0
		5	0		-	7	0.2		0	1	0				12	3	2	0
91		7	3		-	2	0.2		0	1	0	0	0	0	10	1	1	0		0
		8	4		-	0	0.2		0	1	0	0	0		14	1	2	0		0
		6	2		-	4	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1	1	0		0
		5	1		-	6	0.1		0	0	0	0			5	1	1	0
		4	0		-	8	No		1	0					3	0	1
90		7	4		-	1	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0		0
		6	3		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		3	0	0	0
		5	2		-	5	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		2	0	0	0
		4	1		-	7	No			0					2	0	0
89		6	4		-	2	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		1	0	0	0
		7	5		-	0	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		2	0	0	0		0
		5	3		-	4	0.0		0	0	0	0	0		1	0	0	0
		4	2		-	6	0.0			0	0				0	0	0	0
		3	1		-	8	No								0	0
88		6	5		-	1	0.0		0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0
		5	4		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0			0	0	0	0
		4	3		-	5	No			0					0	0	0
		3	2		-	7	No								0	0
87		5	5		-	2	0.0			0	0	0			0	0	0
		6	6		-	0	0.0			0	0				0	0	0	0
		4	4		-	4	0.0			0					0	0	0
		3	3		-	6	No								0
86		5	6		-	1	No			0					0	0	0
		4	5		-	3	No								0
		3	4		-	5	No								0
85		5	7		-	0	No								0
		4	6		-	2	No								0
75	-84						No

Total:							0.1	%	0.2	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.7	0.9	1.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	+1.1
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	-0.1
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	-0.1
Montreal 4 Pittsburgh 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado vs Nashville	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs San Jose	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

99	12	0		-	0				13		0	18	58		1	9	1
98	11	0		-	1				5		0	9	63		1	18	4		0	0	0	0
97	11	1		-	0				2			4	58		0	25	10		0	0	0	0	0
96	10	1		-	1				1			1	44		0	28	22		0	0	1	2	0
95	9	1		-	2				0			0	28		0	24	34		0	0	3	10	1	0
	10	2		-	0				0			0	31		0	23	34		0	0	3	8	1	0
94	9	2		-	1				0			0	16		0	15	42		0	0	3	19	3	0	0
	8	1		-	3				0			0	13			14	40		0	0	4	24	5	0	0
93	8	2		-	2				0			0	6			7	37		0	0	3	34	12	1	0	0
	9	3		-	0				0			0	8		0	8	41		0	0	3	30	9	1	0	0
	7	1		-	4				0			0	4			6	32		0	0	2	38	16	2	0
92	8	3		-	1				0			0	2			2	28		0	0	2	37	24	5	0	0
	7	2		-	3								1			2	22		0	0	1	38	29	6	0	0
91	7	3		-	2								0			0	12		0	0	0	29	39	16	2	0	0
	8	4		-	0								1			1	17		0	0	1	31	36	13	2	0	0
	6	2		-	4								0			0	9		0	0	0	26	42	19	3	0	0
90	7	4		-	1								0			0	6		0	0	0	17	40	29	8	1	0	0
	6	3		-	3								0			0	4		0		0	14	40	32	9	1	0	0
	5	2		-	5								0			0	2				0	12	39	34	11	1	0	0
89	6	4		-	2								0			0	1				0	6	28	39	21	4	0	0
	7	5		-	0								0			0	2				0	7	30	38	19	4	0	0
	5	3		-	4								0			0	1				0	4	26	41	23	5	0	0	0
88	6	5		-	1								0			0	0				0	2	15	36	34	13	2	0	0
	5	4		-	3								0			0	0				0	1	13	35	35	14	2	0	0
	4	3		-	5												0					1	11	33	37	16	2	0	0
87	5	5		-	2											0	0				0	0	4	22	38	27	7	1	0	0
	6	6		-	0												0				0	0	5	23	38	26	6	1	0
	4	4		-	4												0				0	0	4	20	38	29	8	1	0	0
86	5	6		-	1												0					0	1	9	30	38	18	3	0	0
	4	5		-	3												0					0	1	8	28	38	20	4	0	0
	3	4		-	5												0					0	1	7	26	39	22	5	0	0
85	4	6		-	2												0					0	0	2	15	35	33	13	2	0	0
	5	7		-	0												0					0	0	3	16	37	32	11	1	0	0
	3	5		-	4																	0	0	2	13	34	34	14	2	0	0
84	4	7		-	1																		0	0	5	23	38	26	7	1	0
	3	6		-	3																		0	0	4	21	38	28	8	1	0	0
	2	5		-	5																		0	0	4	19	37	30	10	1	0
83	3	7		-	2																		0	0	1	9	29	38	20	3	0	0
	4	8		-	0																		0	0	1	10	30	37	18	3	0	0
	2	6		-	4																			0	1	7	27	38	23	4	0	0
82	3	8		-	1																			0	0	2	15	36	35	11	1	0
	2	7		-	3																			0	0	2	13	34	37	13	2	0
81	2	8		-	2																				0	0	4	21	41	26	6	0	0
	3	9		-	0																				0	0	5	22	42	25	6	0	0
80	2	9		-	1																					0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0
79	1	9		-	2																						0	2	18	40	31	7	0
78	1	10		-	1																							0	7	30	43	19	1
77	1	11		-	0																							0	3	16	42	34	5	0
76	0	11		-	1																								0	5	34	48	13	1
75	0	12		-	0																								0	2	19	53	25	1

Total:									0		0	0	2		0	1	7		0	0	0	10	16	18	17	13	9	5	2	1	0	0	0	0