St-Louis Blues Playoff Chances

Beat Colorado 2-1, playoff odds up 5 to 95.9%
83 points   36 23-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 +4.6
+0.3
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Colorado vs Nashville-0.6-0.6-0.6+0.3+0.3+0.8
Calgary vs San Jose-0.2-0.3-0.2*+0.0*+0.0+0.4
Vegas vs Minnesota+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St-Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
107120-0InNo606321025,876
106110-1In0.0%428454071,864
105111-0InNo239551210167,140
100-2InNo229541410100,072
104101-1InNo97522740465,321
90-3InNo8650306083,455
10391-2InNo233741151584,273
102-0InNo344040121591,165*
10292-1InNo1122442841,365,676
81-3InNo011943315453,238*
10182-2InNo0083444131,518,275
93-0InNo00103741121,059,883
71-4InNo006324615216,611*
10083-1InNo0032249262,362,289
72-3InNo002205028989,518
61-5InNo0217513172,041*
9973-2100.0%No00110454402,308,482
84-0100.0No00111464201,378,938
62-4100.0No00845470433,937*
9874-1100.0No004356002,696,796
63-3100.0No03346201,296,800
52-5100.0No0333640121,784*
9764-299.9No01237602,272,541
75-099.9No01247501,279,882*
53-499.8No01227600462,621
9665-199.3No0001485102,119,212
54-399.2No001485101,079,017
43-598.9No0138610111,113*
9555-297.1No007903001,509,464
66-097.6No0079020825,311
44-496.3No0789400332,497*
9456-191.8No03888001,176,374
45-390.1No038710000591,170
34-587.5No0384121059,821*
9346-277.8No017720200687,175
57-080.6No01791810392,357
35-473.1No17224300142,152*
9247-158.8No05834710458,159
36-353.1No05337910229,995*
9137-232.3No032442040211,729
48-034.4No034431930170,409*
9038-115.0No0153934111123,425
27-311.7No012373614251,286*
8928-24.3No04244126579,311*
8829-10.8No110344015028,218*
87210-00.2No03214531010,282*
86110-1OutNo18385212,516*
85111-0OutNo0328662710*
84011-1OutNo8866108
83012-0OutNo0681132,647
Total:95.9%0.0%1051226523100032,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the St-Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWinnipegAnaheimChicagoNashvilleMinnesotaEdmontonCalgaryVancouverArizonaSan JoseColorado
107120-06.7%70272936000000
106110-16.8110263132000000
105111-06.7141273127000000
100-26.7151283026000000
104101-16.4184282922000000
90-36.3195292720000000
10391-26.21912272417100000
102-06.31810262618100000
80-46.31915282215100000
10292-16.11822242114100000
81-36.11826241812200000
70-56.119292416102000
10182-26.1193620149200000
93-06.11833191610200000
71-46.1193820138200000
10083-16.1224116117200000
72-36.1224317106200000
61-56.22244189520000
9973-26.127421694200000
84-06.1274114105200000
62-46.127411884200000
51-66.0274119742000
9874-16.133371684200000
63-36.032361884200000
52-55.93235207320000
9764-26.037302084100000
75-06.038311794100000
53-45.93629228310000
42-65.9352825731000
9665-15.941252184100000
54-35.93924248310000
43-56.13823277310000
9555-25.74120258300000
66-05.84221229400000
44-45.73919287300000
9456-15.34017248300000
45-35.33716277300000
34-55.1351529630000
9346-24.53213246200000
57-04.7351422730000
35-44.229122552000
9247-13.424101952000
36-33.1218184100
9137-21.813512210
48-02.014612310
9038-10.8525100
8928-20.221200
8829-10.100000
87210-00.0000
83-86No
Total:5.8%29.428.420.010.65.91.30.10.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1 -0.5
Arizona 0 Nashville 4 +0.2
Winnipeg 1 Chicago 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vegas vs Minnesota-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Colorado vs Nashville-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
107120-06006329100
106110-1042082442200
105111-02309154048100
100-222091540510100
104101-1907052005223100
90-3806050005254200
10391-2203037003388610
102-0304040004367510
10292-1101022001430101740
81-30101800142112050
10182-2008000340935112
93-00010000360932102
71-4006000320838133
10083-10030002200544197
72-30020002000446208
61-5010001704472110
9973-2001000100024425190
84-0001000110024425170
62-40000080014325220
9874-10000040003526350
63-3000030003424380
52-500030003323410
9764-200010002321550
75-0000010002422520
53-400100022195700
9665-1000000014166910
54-300000014147110
43-5000013127410
9555-2000007981300
66-0000007108020
44-400007882400
9456-100003583800
45-300034829000
34-50033811210
9346-2000127420200
57-000127718200
35-4127023300
9247-10158328100
36-301523511100
9137-200323923610
48-0003438225100
9038-10015313516300
27-30012283619500
8928-20041635311220
8829-115213628910
87210-0018263623500
86110-1021129371830
85111-00416382992
84011-142239296
83012-001929381940
Total:010005000110022415373100000000