Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances

Beat Arizona 5-4, playoff odds up 0.9 to 98%
92 points   39 19-14

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 +0.8
+0.0
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 +0.3
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 -0.3
Montreal 4 Detroit 6 +0.1
WednesdayNone

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
112100-0InNo29818,029,702
11190-1InNo197222,644,607
11091-0InNo094652,829,502
80-2InNo094630,730,251
10981-1InNo08812143,421,976
70-3InNo0881224,446,825
10871-2InNo07921171,165,535
82-0InNo07921167,342,268
60-4InNo0792112,634,082
10772-1InNo066340399,485,817
61-3InNo066340117,983,457
50-5InNo0663404,429,684
10662-2InNo0053470412,966,785
73-0InNo0053470310,781,826
51-4InNo005347052,805,894*
10563-1InNo0038611642,476,184
52-3InNo0038611241,533,280
41-5InNo03861115,172,925*
10453-2InNo257220563,658,631
64-0InNo257220374,836,743
42-4InNo25722087,459,205
31-6InNo2572302,886,358*
10354-1100.0%No1578700657,832,991
43-3100.0No1478700272,207,008
32-5100.0No147880020,446,929*
10244-2100.0No77517100476,524,343
55-0100.0No7761600307,028,358
33-4100.0No7741810078,149,292
22-6100.0No77320102,884,502*
10145-199.9No26232300444,839,308
34-399.9No25934400182,452,349
23-599.8No2563650013,583,382*
10035-298.9No138471410255,514,889
46-099.3No141461110173,039,948
24-498.4No03448162040,235,371*
9936-193.6No017463160198,765,671
25-391.4No01443348172,750,176
14-588.8No01240371014,456,343*
9826-274.5No042744223084,896,849
37-079.3No063143192066,280,046
15-469.0No032343265010,483,696*
9727-147.6No0110374012056,629,285
16-340.7No008334316016,569,393*
9628-023.5No03214729116,522,727
17-218.2No02164536117,120,610*
9518-15.6No005345749,337,942
07-33.7No004296251,492,575
9419-01.1No0117691203,732,796*
9309-10.1No00567280678,781
92010-00.0No0153460767,923
Total:98.0%No00295412410007,344,945,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTorontoNY IslandersNew JerseyFloridaColumbusOttawaMontrealBuffaloDetroitPhiladelphiaBoston
112100-03.9%09351100
11190-13.909351100
11091-03.909451100
80-23.909351100
10981-13.909351100
70-33.809351100
10871-23.809351100
82-03.809351100
60-43.809351100
10772-13.8000930511000
61-33.8000930511000
50-53.80009205210
10662-23.7000920511000
73-03.7000930511000
51-43.7000920521000
10563-13.7000920411000
52-33.6000920421000
41-53.6000910421100
10453-23.6011900421100
64-03.6011910411000
42-43.6011900421100
31-63.6011890421100
10354-13.6043860321000
43-33.6043860321100
32-53.6053850321100
10244-23.71107770221100
55-03.70106790211000
33-43.71117750221100
22-63.71128740221100
10145-13.832012610111000
34-33.842113580111000
23-53.852314550111000
10035-23.9142918370000000
46-03.9122817400100000
24-43.8163018330010000
13-63.819301829001000
9936-13.6312917170000000
25-33.5342716140000000
14-53.4372615110000000
9826-22.744171040000000
37-02.943201160000000
15-42.54314830000000
9727-11.6377410000000
16-31.433530000000
9628-00.82121000000
17-20.6161100000
9518-10.2500000
9419-00.010000
9309-10.000
92010-00.00
Total:3.6%3.87.14.477.00.03.21.30.80.40.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 5 Arizona 4 -0.3
Boston 4 Ottawa 2 -0.2
Florida 4 Carolina 2 +0.2
Montreal 4 Detroit 6 -0.1
Buffalo 3 Pittsburgh 2 +0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
112100-0209801
11190-1109702
11091-0009406
80-2009406
10981-10088012
70-30088012
10871-20079021
82-00079021
60-40079021
10772-100660340
61-300660340
50-50660340
10662-2000530470
73-0000530470
51-400530470
10563-1000380611
52-3000380611
41-50380611
10453-225072200
64-025072200
42-425072200
31-625072300
10354-115000787000
43-314000787000
32-514000788000
10244-27000751701000
55-0700076160000
33-47000741801000
22-670007319010
10145-1200623113000
34-3200593324000
23-5200563525000
10035-21003842514010
46-01004141511010
24-40003442616020
9936-100017351130060
25-300014331133081
14-5000123010360101
9826-2000416114222230
37-0000619124111920
15-4000313104122650
9727-10001004633440120
16-300003529443160
9628-00001216547291
17-20000113445361
9518-10000032345740
07-300022296250
9419-0000117691300
9309-10005652910
92010-00014847400
Total:000029000540010140100000