Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 99.5%
84 points   38 24-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 +0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Ottawa vs Dallas*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
108120-0In0.0%01206217033,900
107110-1In0.00095931190,837
106111-0InNo00450442211,959
100-2InNo0347464118,621
105101-1InNo0134569556,116
90-3InNo00131561293,917
10491-2InNo00205921657,255
102-0InNo00226117648,195
80-4InNo017572649,475
10392-1InNo01155341,531,294
81-3InNo095140478,544*
10282-2InNo0442541,614,836
93-0InNo0546481,190,482
71-4InNo033759217,844*
10183-1InNo0231682,509,276
72-3InNo012672997,880
61-5InNo1227769,297*
10073-2InNo017822,339,588*
84-0InNo0120791,463,497
62-4InNo001486400,655
9974-1InNo010902,714,383
63-3InNo08921,244,202
52-5InNo0694111,960*
9864-2InNo04962,179,736
75-0InNo05951,267,563
53-4InNo0397446,735*
9765-1100.0%No029802,037,429
54-3100.0No01990992,693
43-5100.0No0199098,249*
9655-299.9No019901,390,763
66-099.9No01990792,103
44-499.9No0990294,383*
9556-199.5No009911,081,339
45-399.4No0991520,614
34-599.3No099151,065*
9446-298.4No09820608,571
57-098.6No0991360,360
35-498.2No0982121,489*
9347-196.1No09640406,047
36-395.5No09550196,799*
9237-291.0No09190181,108
48-091.6No09280150,262*
9138-182.9No083170147,641*
9028-271.7No7228166,509*
8929-155.4No55423023,508*
88210-038.7No3953808,511*
87110-121.4No215719202,128*
86111-012.2No12522970583*
85011-14.6No529481887
84012-00.9No1194429702,648
Total:99.5%0.0%000419770000032,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNew JerseyBuffaloOttawaDetroitNY IslandersBostonColumbus
108120-04.7%931461301
107110-14.816304310010
106111-04.82330397010
100-24.82530387010
105101-14.93230335000
90-34.9343131400
10491-24.94031263000
102-04.93930273000
80-45.1413225300
10392-15.04531222000
81-35.04632202000
10282-25.04833171000
93-05.14832192000
71-45.1493316100
10183-15.05033151000
72-35.05134141000
61-55.1513513100
10073-25.05135131000
84-05.0513414100
62-45.15235121000
9974-15.05235131000
63-35.0523512100
52-55.0533611100
9864-25.05236111000
75-05.0523512100
53-45.0533611100
9765-14.9523611100
54-35.0533611100
43-55.0533710000
9655-24.9533610000
66-04.9523611100
44-44.9533610000
9556-14.9523610000
45-34.9523710000
34-54.95337900
9446-24.8523610000
57-04.8523610000
35-44.95236900
9347-14.751369000
36-34.750369000
9237-24.44834800
48-04.54834900
9138-14.043327000
9028-23.53828600
8929-12.62822500
88210-01.81916300
87110-11.012820
86111-00.7561
85011-1No31
84012-0No100
Total:5.0%49.534.314.51.10.00.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Boston 4 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Detroit-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
108120-000102000620170
107110-10000900590311
106111-00003004904402
100-2003004704604
105101-1001003315609
90-300010030156012
10491-200001820590210
102-000002020600170
80-4000152056026
10392-10000830541340
81-30000720502400
10282-2000220384530
93-0000320434480
71-400220334590
10183-1000110237661
72-300010197712
61-5010167742
10073-200098776
84-000000129745
62-4000077787
9974-1000377614
63-30000257517
52-5000247420
9864-2000136531
75-00000146727
53-400036334
9765-1000252460
54-3000149500
43-500146530
9655-20001356500
66-00001376200
44-400326800
9556-10002277000
45-3002079100
34-50188110
9446-20011871000
57-0001385100
35-4001088200
9347-105913100
36-304914100
9237-2028963100
48-002905300
9138-1008377300
9028-20725129300
8929-1553121810200
88210-039182122810
87110-1210317312351
86111-0121726361430
85011-151163132141
84012-011524402361
Total:0000000031001545126000000000