Boston Bruins Playoff Chances

Beat Florida 4-2, playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.99%
90 points   40 20-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Florida 2 Boston 4 +0.1
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1 +0.0
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup
Anaheim vs Detroit-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
114120-0In20.5%202650409,865
113110-1In9.510205812026,942
112111-0In3.741359231108,756*
111101-1In1.11751392259,565*
11091-2In0.20338537326,792
102-0In0.20339526281,656*
10992-1In0.001246015762,479
81-3In0.001236115314,371*
10882-2In0.00013602701,046,833
93-0In0.0001360260593,879
71-4InNo001261270186,300*
10783-1InNo006534101,628,918
72-3InNo00653420844,601
61-5InNo055242077,873*
10673-2InNo02425601,968,007
84-0InNo0242550972,302*
62-4InNo00241561444,505
10574-1InNo01296812,299,133
63-3InNo01296821,380,219
52-5InNo0128683163,891*
10464-2InNo00187662,418,928
75-0InNo00197741,072,435
53-4InNo018748658,048*
10365-1InNo01078122,257,839
54-3InNo01075141,447,111
43-5InNo0107318189,977*
10255-2InNo0570252,023,708
66-0InNo057421877,779
44-4InNo056630574,386*
10156-1InNo0260371,574,395
45-3InNo0255431,002,131
34-5InNo25048130,978*
10046-2InNo0142571,168,097
57-0InNo014851525,737
35-4InNo13763314,018*
9947-1InNo03169778,216
36-3InNo02575511,585*
9837-2InNo01684459,643
48-0InNo02080227,915
26-4InNo01387105,932*
9738-1100.0%No010900267,895
27-3100.0No07930146,467*
9628-299.9No3960118,340*
39-099.9No0495089,626*
9529-199.5No298085,272*
9419-298.6No00981033,464*
93110-196.5No0964010,008*
92111-091.6No092802,883*
91011-184.3No84151504
90012-068.2No6829202,732
Total:100.0%0.0%00423541900032,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Boston finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNew JerseyBuffaloOttawaDetroitNY IslandersColumbusTampa BayTorontoPhiladelphiaFlorida
114120-04.6%094228200
113110-14.30154926100
112111-04.10195423004000
111101-14.01225520010
11091-23.832555170000
102-03.93245518000
10992-13.97255315000
81-33.9726521400
10882-24.0122749120000
93-03.912264912000
71-43.913284811000
10783-14.01928439000
72-34.01929439000
61-54.1202943800
10673-24.12630386000
84-04.12629387000
62-44.1273037600
10574-14.23331325000
63-34.23330324000
52-54.23430324000
10464-24.33931273000
75-04.23831273000
53-44.23931273000
10365-14.34332233000
54-34.34331232000
43-54.3443123200
10255-24.34632202000
66-04.34632202000
44-44.34732202000
10156-14.34832182000
45-34.34832181000
34-54.34932181000
10046-24.34933171000
57-04.349331610
35-44.3493317100
9947-14.35034151000
36-34.2503316100
9837-24.25034151000
48-04.350341510
26-44.250341510
9738-14.2503415100
27-34.2503415100
9628-24.150341510
39-04.250341410
9529-14.350341510
9419-24.15033151
93110-14.24833141
92111-04.54533130
91011-13.64325151
90012-02.83224110
Total:4.2%35.330.629.24.80.10.00.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 2 Boston 4 -0.4
Los Angeles 2 Detroit 6 +0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Detroit-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Ottawa vs Dallas+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
114120-020265040
113110-1902058120
112111-0401359231
111101-1107510392
11091-200303800537
102-000303900526
10992-10010240060015
81-30010230061015
10882-200001200600270
93-000001300600260
71-40001100610270
10783-10005105304100
72-30005105304200
61-500510520420
10673-2002004115600
84-0002004115500
62-40001004015601
10574-10000002726801
63-30000002726802
52-500002626803
10464-2000000154074160
75-000000154076140
53-4000144073180
10365-10000640735120
54-30000640705140
43-5000640676180
10255-200002305614250
66-000002306014210
44-4002305214290
10156-10000203723362
45-30000203322402
34-50102921453
10046-200101626498
57-000101929457
35-40101324539
9947-100006245019
36-300005215222
9837-20001154539
48-00002184436
26-4001124543
9738-1000933580
27-3000732610
9628-2003207700
39-00005217400
9529-12118700
9419-200593100
93110-10195210
92111-000913410
91011-1843651
90012-06831012610
Total:0000300021200477154000000