Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to Pittsburgh 1-4, playoff odds down 0.3 to 99.4%
60 points   27 13-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal 1 Pittsburgh 4 -0.2
-0.1
-0.8
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Columbus vs Ottawa+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Minnesota vs Arizona-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
St. Louis vs Washington+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
132360-0In99.9%1000473,824
131350-1InYes100101
130340-2In98.9991648*
129341-1In98.69912,601*
128331-2In97.1982010,368*
127332-1In94.796432,832*
126322-2In91.5946096,049*
125323-1In86.99190248,315*
124313-2In80.486140604,618*
123303-3In72.3802001,339,184*
122304-2In62.7722802,801,392*
121294-3In51.9643605,435,414*
120295-2In40.95446010,028,701*
119285-3In30.44456017,404,726*
118286-2In21.23466028,786,809*
117276-3In13.72575045,149,641*
116277-2In8.218820067,767,858*
115267-3In4.412880097,055,408*
114268-2In2.279300133,430,093*
113258-3In1.049600175,662,799*
112248-4In0.429700222,567,899*
111249-3In0.119810270,951,396*
110239-4In0.009810318,043,673*
1092310-3In0.0097200359,468,031*
1082210-4In0.0096400392,481,183*
1072211-3In0.0094600413,409,718*
1062111-4In0.00928000421,093,473*
1052112-3100.0%0.0088120000414,418,643*
1042012-4100.0No083160000394,861,333*
1032013-3100.0No077221000363,816,887*
1021913-4100.0No0702820000324,818,880*
1011914-3100.0No0623540000280,676,486*
1001814-4100.0No524160000235,141,223*
991815-3100.0No4346100000190,788,935*
981715-499.9No33501601000150,097,261*
971716-399.6No25502301000114,405,172*
961616-498.7No17483103100084,559,874*
951617-396.7No11423805300060,576,465*
941517-492.5No63444076100042,096,452*
931518-384.9No326470912300028,336,264*
921418-473.2No21744010187100018,498,959*
911419-358.0No11038092414300011,699,773*
901319-441.5No0529072623820007,176,043*
891320-326.3No02200422291651004,254,418*
881220-414.6No0112021630251130002,448,137*
871221-37.1No0061925312071001,362,543*
861121-43.1No0030417302814410736,103*
851122-31.2No010192331231020383,644*
841022-40.4No000041428311851192,809*
831023-30.1No001720322711293,297*
82923-40.0No000312273420543,860*
81924-30.0No00152034301019,735*
80925-2OutNo02113038188,888*
79825-3OutNo0152343283,634*
78826-2OutNo031541401,468*
77726-3OutNo01123652599*
76727-2OutNo133463190*
75627-3OutNo4168075*
74527-4OutNo128826*
73528-3OutNo79314*
72529-2OutNo20805*
60036-0OutNo0100473,811
Total:99.4%0.8%27815400000000005,716,338,660

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusWashingtonPittsburghNY RangersTorontoOttawaCarolinaBostonTampa BayPhiladelphiaNY IslandersFloridaBuffaloDetroitNew Jersey
132360-07.4%00110264973962112
131350-15.0285846821042222
130340-28.62113445103971122
129341-16.801101648731072112
128331-27.800210364783962112
127332-17.000211364673972112
126322-27.200212364573972112
125323-17.200314254473862112
124313-27.000417254273862112
123303-36.900520254063762112
122304-26.701724243763752112
121294-36.501829243352651111
120295-26.3111034233042541111
119285-36.1111240132642441111
118286-25.9121445122231431001
117276-35.7121650121821321001
116277-25.5121853111521220000
115267-35.3222056011311210000
114268-25.2232158011110110000
113258-35.1232260011010110000
112248-45.123226001910110000
111249-35.123236001810110000
110239-45.023236001810110000
1092310-35.023235901810110000
1082210-45.023235812810110000
1072211-35.023225713721110000
1062111-45.023225514721110000
1052112-35.023215326731110000
1042012-45.023205038641111000
1032013-35.0221946510652111100
1021913-45.0121742613572101110
1011914-34.9121537916593001110
1001814-44.912133111194113002110
991815-34.911112614223124002110
981715-44.91192016253145002210
971716-34.81161519272166003220
961616-44.72251020291176003220
951617-34.5323621291176003220
941517-44.2432420280166003220
931518-33.8541219260156003220
921418-43.2541116220125003220
911419-32.554101318094002210
901319-41.84300913063001110
891320-31.1210068042001110
881220-40.611003502100000
871221-30.30000230100000
861121-40.100001100000
851122-30.000000000000
841022-40.00000000000
831023-30.00000000
82923-4No000
81823-5No0000
60-80No
Total:5.0%1.82.518.747.74.48.06.94.61.60.70.60.80.50.40.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Pittsburgh 4 +0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs NY Rangers+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Ottawa-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132360-010000
131350-1100
130340-29901
129341-19911
128331-297120
127332-19524
126322-291360
125323-187490
124313-2806140
123303-37282000
122304-263102800
121294-352123600
120295-2411346000
119285-3301356000
118286-2211366000
117276-31412750000
116277-28108200000
115267-3478800000
114268-2259210000
113258-31394200000
112248-402943000000
111249-301926001000
110239-400899001000
1092310-30083140020000
1082210-400762000400000
1072211-300672700600000
1062111-4005735008000000
1052112-300454200120000000
1042012-403449001610000000
1032013-3024530020200100000
1021913-40155500244002000000
1011914-3095300278004000000
1001814-45480027150060000000
991815-324100242300100000000
981715-4133001931001510010000
971716-302401338002120010000
961616-401707410026500301000
951617-301143900291000503000
941517-406133002717007061000
931518-3030250022240081123000
921418-4020170152900821871000
911419-3101009290063221541000
901319-4005425003422231130000
891320-30022180013162720820000
881220-40011110029232718720000
871221-3000601314252617720000
861121-40003001516252516720000
851122-3001000171625241672000
841022-40000027172525156100
831023-300002818262515510
82923-40000392027241340
81924-300013112329231020
80925-200141326321950
79825-30016193230120
78826-203112738210
77726-3252140320
76727-22124442
75627-31529613
74527-419738
73528-377121
72529-22080
60036-0084844
Total:115028001050031000000000000000000