Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 68.2%
12 points   6 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3*+0.0
*-0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.3
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.3
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 *+0.1
*-0.0
*-0.0
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-162InYes100891*
1265314-8In98.9%991178*
124-125In99.9100907*
1235216-7In99.810000882*
1225116-8In99.110001,384*
1215117-7In98.9100002,165*
1205017-8In98.3100003,255*
1195018-7In97.399004,880*
1184918-8In95.499117,106*
1174919-7In93.79811010,200*
1164819-8In91.2971214,371*
1154719-9In87.29622019,894*
1144720-8In82.29433027,399*
1134620-9In75.69145036,213*
1124621-8In67.98766047,022*
1114521-9In58.483890061,221*
1104522-8In48.27711120077,732*
1094422-9In37.87014151096,233*
1084423-8In27.3621819100118,218*
1074323-9In17.9532124200141,990*
1064324-8In10.6432429400168,307*
1054224-9In5.6332734600196,248*
1044225-8100.0%2.52428399100225,513*
1034125-9100.00.916284213200253,878*
1024126-8100.00.310264418300281,974*
1014026-9100.00.16224423500308,174*
1004027-8100.00.031842288100332,238*
993927-999.90.01143933112000351,349*
983928-899.5No0103336164000367,422*
973828-998.6No062738207100375,176*
963829-896.2No042137231230000380,272*
953729-991.4No021534231872000378,216*
943730-882.5No0110292022134100370,418*
933630-969.2No162315241992000356,842*
923631-852.6No03171022241661000338,695*
913531-935.9No02125172622124100317,610*
903532-821.5No0172112227198200291,817*
893432-911.4No00416162626155100264,161*
883433-85.4No002031022282210200236,452*
873333-92.3No00101515272817510207,274*
863334-80.9No0100292230241020179,620*
853234-90.3No0000151528301740154,026*
843235-80.1No00002923322481129,161*
833135-90.0No000015163231132106,394*
823136-80.0No000210273621486,256*
813036-90.0No00016213728669,910*
803037-8OutNo00031536351155,005*
792937-9OutNo021031411642,720*
782938-8OutNo01626452332,536*
772838-9OutNo00321463024,459*
762839-8OutNo0215463718,361*
752739-9OutNo0111434513,443*
742740-8OutNo0739549,613*
732640-9OutNo0434616,944*
722641-8OutNo0328684,774*
712541-9OutNo224743,356*
702542-8OutNo121782,172*
692442-9OutNo017821,517*
682443-8OutNo01188987*
672343-9OutNo1090624*
662344-8OutNo892435*
652244-9OutNo793244*
642245-8OutNo595154*
632246-7OutNo29889*
622146-8OutNo29862*
12-61OutNo100701*
Total:68.2%4.6%109181787665543217,617,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayOttawaWashingtonDetroitColumbusNY IslandersPittsburghNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoFloridaPhiladelphiaBostonCarolinaBuffalo
162750-04.6%9956977861066931
1386110-4NoYes
134569-10NoYes
1335711-7No5050
1325712-612.513131313132513
1315612-7No91818189999
1305512-8No595914141459514
1295412-93.644714714141111474
1285413-82.511646895101385664
1275414-75.5121310764946127442
1265314-84.56843106101181075741
1255315-75.3487106671051078751
1245215-85.49868667678106941
1235216-76.5796968765888941
1225116-86.08107877676987831
1215117-76.0886976977986731
1205017-86.0897977767976841
1195018-75.6886867777986831
1184918-85.7896967777986831
1174919-76.1886967776986831
1164819-85.8896966776986831
1154719-95.8996967777986831
1144720-85.8996966776986831
1134620-95.8996966777986731
1124621-85.7996966766986831
1114521-95.7101061066666986831
1104522-85.6101161166666985731
1094422-95.7111151166666985831
1084423-85.6121251255655985821
1074323-95.6131251355555984721
1064324-85.5141341355555984721
1054224-95.41515415444441084721
1044225-85.31615415444441083721
1034125-95.21716316343331083711
1024126-85.01817317333331082711
1014026-94.91818318333321082711
1004027-84.81818318333321092711
993927-94.71918318333221082711
983928-84.51918418333221081711
973828-94.41818417443321081701
963829-84.2181751744332971601
953729-94.0161651544332871600
943730-83.5151451444332761500
933630-92.9121251144322541400
923631-82.31094833221431300
913531-91.5763622111320200
903532-80.9442311110110100
893432-90.5221211000110100
883433-80.2110100000000000
873333-90.1000000000000000
863334-80.000000000000000
853234-90.0000000000000000
843235-80.00000000000000
833135-90.000000000
823136-8No000000
813238-50.0000
12-80No
Total:3.3%11.511.13.110.92.92.92.52.31.96.35.31.64.60.70.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-162100
1265314-89911
1255315-71000
1245215-8100
1235216-710000
1225116-89910
1215117-799100
1205017-898100
1195018-797200
1184918-895311
1174919-7944110
1164819-8916102
1154719-9878220
1144720-8821130300
1134620-9761540500
1124621-86820606000
1114521-958248090000
1104522-84829110110000
1094422-93832141151010
1084423-8273416118101000
1074323-918351932121020000
1064324-811322052441040000
1054224-96271972472060000
1044225-82211710231140900100
1034125-9115141319167012102000
1024126-801010151419101152103000
1014026-9056168211321741050000
1004027-80331541915517830701000
993927-90121211514815126011120000
983928-80190101112101610114240000
973828-90060571451714215570100
963829-80040241421415514811130000
953729-9002012121101410111215272000
943730-80010190610136141761241000
933630-901006036153131411171031000
923631-8000301213198141817931000
913531-900020011005314142117931000
903532-80001007021108182217931000
893432-90000040106311202318931000
883433-80000200314122124181041000
873333-90001001015132124191041000
863334-800100002613222419103100
853234-90000000261423251893000
843235-8000000027162425167200
833135-900000013918262414510
823136-800014112228221020
813036-90000161526281861
803037-8000029203025112
792937-900014142832184
782938-800282234268
772838-9001516333313
762839-800211283919
752739-9017234327
742740-8003174336
732640-902134144
722641-80193654
712541-9063262
702542-8042868
692442-9022474
682443-8011682
672343-901387
662344-801189
652244-91090
642245-8793
632246-7694
622146-8595
12-61100
Total:564555445444434344333322221110