Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Beat New Jersey 5-2, playoff odds up 1.9 to 98.3%
39 points   18 6-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal 5 New Jersey 2 +0.8
+0.2
+2.4
Tampa Bay 1 Vancouver 5 +0.2
Boston 2 Colorado 4 +0.1
+0.1
Florida 1 Pittsburgh 5 +0.1
-0.2
Winnipeg 1 NY Rangers 2 -0.6
NY Islanders 3 St. Louis 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Detroit vs Columbus-0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+1.4+0.4+0.4-0.8-0.9-0.9
Chicago vs NY Rangers+0.8*-0.1*+0.0-0.6-0.8-0.6
Minnesota vs Edmonton-0.2-0.3-0.2*+0.1*+0.2+0.4
Buffalo vs Washington+0.3*+0.2*+0.1*-0.1-0.3-0.2
Anaheim vs San Jose+0.1*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
129-149In100.0%1004,568*
128428-5In99.910003,010*
127429-4In99.810005,281*
126419-5In99.7100008,549*
1254110-4In99.61000013,200*
1244010-5In99.4991020,428*
1234011-4In98.9991030,185*
1223911-5In98.4991044,018*
1213912-4In97.4982061,329*
1203812-5In96.1973083,609*
1193813-4In93.99550111,362*
1183713-5In91.29280145,500*
1173613-6In87.589110182,493*
1163614-5In82.585150226,141*
1153514-6In76.280200273,206*
1143515-5In68.673270319,398*
1133415-6In59.6663400368,521*
1123416-5In49.8574210413,229*
1113316-6In39.6485110449,937*
1103317-5In29.6395910484,141*
1093217-6In20.5306820505,210*
1083218-5In13.1227430519,683*
1073118-6In7.51580500519,612*
1063119-5In3.71083700509,808*
1053019-6In1.66831100490,486*
1043020-5In0.638214100460,034*
1032920-6In0.217819100424,131*
1022921-5In0.017225300381,326*
1012821-6100.0%0.0064314000337,085*
1002822-5100.00.00553770000291,801*
992722-699.9No04641121000245,785*
982723-599.6No036441711000203,140*
972623-698.7No0274424221000165,704*
962624-596.2No194130243100131,598*
952524-690.8No1236352662000103,083*
942525-581.6No7283727116200079,042*
932425-668.5No420361714124100058,483*
922426-552.8No2133216161810300043,106*
912326-636.9No182503142218720030,745*
902327-523.6No0418021023251441021,928*
892227-613.8No02110161928211030015,063*
882228-57.5No016031326271761010,149*
872128-63.6No0301719292413306,679*
862129-51.5No010313253020714,329*
852029-60.7No1161931291112,705*
842030-50.2No0031225332141,639*
831930-60.1No001619362991,101*
821931-5OutNo00414323316629*
811831-6OutNo019293823345*
801832-5OutNo14174433224*
791732-6OutNo1154143123*
781632-7OutNo8296351*
771633-6OutNo4306650*
761634-5OutNo316916*
751736-2OutNo25758*
39-74OutNo100734*
Total:98.3%25.7%305311400100000008,813,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupColumbusNY RangersPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaPhiladelphiaTampa BayNew JerseyTorontoDetroitCarolinaFloridaNY IslandersBuffalo
149550-014.1%46101532194102213181
139483-450.05050
138484-3Yes5050
137485-220.020204020
136475-323.1158823158888
135465-413.810314317717373103
134466-39.3641315441191524646
133456-415.867717442249321032
132457-315.24871033185143111272
131447-414.345111533172133210282
130437-515.244111443173143310272
129438-414.755111433193133211251
128428-514.045101443183123211272
127429-414.255101443183133211272
126419-513.545101433183123211282
1254110-414.045101433183123310272
1244010-514.545101433183123211272
1234011-414.445101433183123310272
1223911-514.245101433183123210272
1213912-414.445101433183123210272
1203812-514.245101433183123210272
1193813-414.245101433183123210272
1183713-514.145111433183123210272
1173613-614.145111433183123210272
1163614-514.255121533183123210272
1153514-614.25612153317312329272
1143515-514.05613163317311229271
1133415-613.95713163317311229261
1123416-513.76714173316311228161
1113316-613.76715183316310228161
1103317-513.67815183216210228151
1093217-613.3781619221529227151
1083218-513.3891619331529227151
1073118-613.2891719331439226141
1063119-513.1891619331438226141
1053019-613.0891619441338226141
1043020-512.9891618541347325241
1032920-612.9781517661257335232
1022921-512.8781415771166435232
1012821-612.7671214981076544332
1002822-512.55611121010895653433
992722-612.35591012127104763423
982723-512.3447814145123872524
972623-611.9345615154132972514
962624-511.3334516163142981615
952524-610.5433316162131981615
942525-59.3432215151121970505
932425-67.8332113131100760504
922426-55.82211109090650403
912326-64.1211077060440302
902327-52.8110055040320201
892227-61.60000330222011
882228-50.700002211111
872128-60.301110000
862129-50.10000000
852130-40.1000000
841929-70.100
831829-8No0
39-82No
Total:13.0%6.17.013.115.55.15.013.14.68.23.32.86.32.14.51.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 5 New Jersey 2 -0.3
Boston 2 Colorado 4 -0.1
Tampa Bay 1 Vancouver 5 -0.1
FridayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
130-149100
129438-41000
128428-51000
127429-410000
126419-5100000
1254110-4100000
1244010-599010
1234011-499010
1223911-598010
1213912-497020
1203812-596030
1193813-494150
1183713-591180
1173613-68721100
1163614-583215000
1153514-676320000
1143515-569427000
1133415-6606340000
1123416-55074200000
1113316-64095101000
1103317-530105901000
1093217-621106712000
1083218-513972220100
1073118-67876430200000
1063119-54676740300000
1053019-624721141600000
1043020-51266164110010000
1032920-60156223115010000
1022921-50144282121010100
1012821-60032321127120200000
1002822-500213401323205000000
992722-60133301346219010000
982723-50729003211111501010000
972623-603240027171121120201000
962624-51170019220127220403100
952524-60120122400295206062000
942525-50762200271011701162000
932425-6042180021151161141251000
922426-5021120131800411518103000
912326-610871800211322188200
902327-500403150011820251661000
892227-60021100014142524145100
882228-5001060017182522134100
872128-6003002920252212510
862129-5010031021252012410
852029-610141224252010310
842030-50015132124221030
831930-6011513242718820
821931-50371628261451
811831-6013111730241030
801832-50141132231981
791833-41320353191
781632-741029271614
771633-6262036306
761533-71956196
751736-2385013
741636-33367
72-73100
39055-0100
Total:26443920820031000000000000000000