Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 92.9%
70 points   31 20-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Buffalo 1 Chicago 5 +0.2
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 +0.2
NY Islanders 6 New Jersey 4 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
San Jose vs Boston+0.4*-0.0*+0.0-0.5-0.6-0.5
Carolina vs Toronto+0.4*-0.0*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.3
Colorado vs Tampa Bay+0.3*+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1
Vancouver vs Philadelphia+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs
St. Louis vs Florida+0.5*-0.1*-0.0-0.5-0.6-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
116230-0In6.7%2278613
115220-1In9.5148621
114221-0In0.9595116*
113211-1In1.0397399*
112201-2In0.22981,225*
111202-1In0.01993,310*
110192-2In0.001007,875*
109193-1InNo0100016,988*
108183-2InNo0100033,772*
107184-1InNo0100059,834*
106174-2InNo0991101,732*
105175-1InNo9910157,877*
104165-2InNo9820231,685*
103155-3InNo9550317,424*
102156-2InNo9280223,350
145-4InNo9180190,002*
101146-3InNo8614000304,718*
157-1InNo881200197,188
100147-2InNo8020100308,255
136-4InNo7821100275,077*
99137-3100.0%No69292000297,192
148-1100.0No70282000339,904*
98138-2100.0No583750000346,364
127-4100.0No56385000320,175*
97128-3100.0No4445100100308,915
139-199.9No4545100100348,853*
96129-299.8No3249170200319,775
118-499.7No3049180200303,725*
95119-398.9No19482704100261,027
1210-199.0No20482704100295,117*
941110-296.8No12423608300242,733
109-496.2No11403709300231,565*
931010-390.6No531420138100386,192*
921011-279.2No21941017164000300,343*
91911-361.7No110340172511200220,108*
90912-241.2No052401330216100155,101*
89812-322.2No0213072831153000103,552*
88813-29.7No00631833261020066,371*
87713-33.4No021926342061039,637*
86714-20.9No01031530311540023,204*
85614-30.2No0016213426102012,536*
84615-20.0No00210273321516,529*
83515-3OutNo031832311423,136*
82516-2OutNo01823392371,405*
81416-3OutNo114363514621*
80417-2OutNo8284320298*
79418-1OutNo2154737103*
78318-2OutNo3346335*
77319-1OutNo307010*
70-76OutNo100613*
Total:92.9%0.0%050261303321000007,366,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersFloridaCarolinaTampa BayBuffaloPhiladelphiaNew JerseyDetroit
116230-02.6%10165223292201100
115220-14.8102452555
114221-00.913225821131
113211-12.31132460111010
112201-21.9015255600100000
111202-12.00162657000100000
110192-21.901726560001000
109193-11.901625570001000000
108183-22.101726550001000000
107184-12.1017265500010000000
106174-22.2018265400010000000
105175-12.1118265301010000000
104165-22.2018265201100000000
103155-32.1118265012101000000
166-12.1018265112101000000
102156-22.1018254813201000000
145-42.1118254813202000000
101146-32.2017234525402000000
157-12.1017234524402000000
100147-22.2016224137604011000
136-42.2016213947604011000
158-02.1016214137604011000
99137-32.10141935610805011000
148-12.2014193659805011000
98138-22.111216308131107011000
127-42.211215288141208021000
149-02.211216298131107021000
97128-32.2191222111614010022000
139-12.1110132411151409021000
117-52.2191120121715011022000
96129-22.127916141917012032000
118-42.127815142017012032000
1310-02.027916141917012032000
95119-32.145610162119013032000
1210-12.145610162119013032000
941110-21.97346172119014043000
109-42.07335172119014043000
931010-31.811223152018013043000
1111-11.811223162018013042000
921011-21.51422113171501103200
910-41.4142211216140110320
91911-31.11411191211080220
90912-20.71111068705210
89812-30.4610034303110
88813-20.130001221000
87713-30.110000110000
86714-20.00000000000
85715-1No00000000
84413-6No0
70-83No
Total:1.9%3.210.213.726.08.011.410.00.27.00.01.71.20.00.00.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa 2 Winnipeg 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Carolina vs Toronto-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
San Jose vs Boston-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Florida-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
116230-0715780
115220-110586
114221-01495
113211-112952
112201-202953
111202-101946
110192-2008911
109193-10841600
108183-2077230
107184-1067330000
106174-2056430010
105175-1455400100
104165-2336400200
103155-32373004100
102156-21478006200
101146-387994000000
100147-2476109001000
136-43751110001000
99137-31671118020000
148-12681117020000
98138-215892700500000
127-40569290500000
97128-304373901010100
139-104773708100100
96129-2032445143002000
118-4030445153002000
95119-30192461980040100
1210-10202461980040100
941110-201214120160080300
109-41114020170090300
931010-350301625001308100
921011-22019103100151164000
91911-31010529001432511200
90912-200522209429227100
89812-3020130442531164100
88813-200061215312813300
87713-3002016203125113000
86714-2010019223023113000
85614-300021023292210200
84615-200131124282110300
83515-30312232922920
82516-2141125272272
81416-3031329311751
80417-217182831123
79418-192537218
78318-294037113
77319-1103060
76320-0100
75220-15050
70023-0151480
Total:00743005210076003032100000000000