Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 7.3%
18 points   8 10-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Detroit 3 Buffalo 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Montreal vs Toronto+1.8+1.6+1.4-0.5-0.5-1.9
Ottawa vs Arizona-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3
San Jose vs Boston+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Los Angeles vs Florida+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Philadelphia vs Calgary-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
Pittsburgh vs Chicago-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Washington vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Tampa Bay vs NY Islanders+0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Winnipeg vs New Jersey+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
119-142InYes10013,982*
118457-10In66.7%67336*
117469-7In72.2782218*
1164610-6In86.8892953*
1154611-5In71.07228107*
1144511-6In60.0691291200*
1134411-7In45.7542430324*
1124412-6In40.3493471667*
1114312-7In31.14345121,293*
1104212-8In21.334558402,337*
1094213-7In15.128561604,304*
1084113-8In9.7216657007,427*
1074114-7In5.616666110012,821*
1064014-8In2.811667151021,310*
1054015-7In1.27566201035,134*
1043915-8In0.54562263056,433*
1033916-7In0.12458315087,517*
1023816-8100.0%0.0135237700134,554*
1013817-7100.00.00244421110201,137*
1003717-8100.0No01374515200294,507*
993718-799.8No01294620300423,870*
983618-899.5No002246266000594,749*
973619-798.5No0016423010100818,473*
963519-896.1No0011383116300001,106,233*
953520-790.9No007313023710001,463,473*
943420-881.5No00425252814410001,895,510*
933320-967.6No02191829219200002,410,509*
923321-850.4No011311252716610003,004,859*
913221-933.2No01851928231130003,672,239*
903222-819.1No005211242819720004,402,932*
893122-99.5No003161728261441005,179,597*
883123-84.2No02021023302292005,972,666*
873023-91.6No01015162828165106,760,998*
863024-80.6No00002922312410207,506,058*
852924-90.2No00001415293016408,180,695*
842925-80.1No0000029233324818,745,681*
832825-90.0No00000151632311429,176,103*
822826-80.0No000021027362139,454,043*
812726-90.0No00001621372969,555,951*
802727-80.0No000003143537109,476,438*
792627-90.0No0000193143169,220,665*
782628-80.0No000152547228,812,792*
772528-9OutNo00031948308,266,692*
762529-8OutNo00011347387,608,950*
752429-9OutNo0001944466,867,417*
742430-8OutNo000639556,087,838*
732330-9OutNo000434625,293,252*
722331-8OutNo00229694,519,360*
712231-9OutNo00124753,775,768*
702232-8OutNo00119803,103,865*
692132-9OutNo0015842,500,929*
682133-8OutNo0012881,978,827*
672134-7OutNo009911,532,645*
662034-8OutNo007931,162,300*
652035-7OutNo0595867,912*
641935-8OutNo0496634,746*
631936-7OutNo0397452,648*
621836-8OutNo0298317,522*
611837-7OutNo0199217,692*
601737-8OutNo199147,207*
591738-7OutNo019996,636*
581638-8OutNo010062,475*
571639-7OutNo010039,617*
561539-8OutNo010024,377*
551540-7OutNo010014,921*
541440-8OutNo01008,861*
531441-7OutNo01005,122*
521442-6OutNo1003,015*
511342-7OutNo01001,615*
18-50OutNo10015,762*
Total:7.3%0.0%001222356811152122174,316,636

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayTorontoNew JerseyColumbusNY IslandersOttawaDetroitCarolinaPhiladelphiaPittsburghNY RangersBostonWashingtonFloridaBuffalo
142620-01.5%19667121387676661
122508-4NoYes
120477-8NoYes
119467-9No5050
118457-10No17501717
117469-75.666611172866611
1164610-6No4192689888848282
1154510-71.92156181754337653
1144511-61.0326354181073345462
1134411-70.6128434171534336451
1124412-61.3327334201534324371
1114312-71.0427233211434336341
1104212-81.2431223211423235251
1094213-71.0533222231522225151
1084113-81.2634122231522125140
1074114-71.1736111231511114140
1064014-81.0736111241611114140
1054015-71.0838111241511114140
1043915-81.0938111241511104030
1033916-71.0938221241511004030
1023816-80.91037222231511004030
1013817-70.91036332221411004030
1003717-81.01034443211311104030
993718-70.91132654191211113130
983618-80.91229765171122113130
973619-70.91526876151022113120
963519-80.9182298613822112120
953520-70.8221998611722112120
3419-90.8231898610622112120
943420-80.725158758522111110
3521-60.725158758522111110
933421-70.625116546411101010
3320-90.625126546411101010
923321-80.42184334211001010
3422-60.42184334311001010
913322-70.31553223200000000
903222-80.2931112100000000
893223-70.1521001000000000
883123-80.0210000000000000
873124-70.0100000000000000
863024-80.0000000000000000
853025-70.0000000000000000
842925-80.000000000000000
832926-70.00000000000000
822826-80.000000000000
812827-70.00000000
802727-80.0000000
792829-5No0000
782729-6No0
18-77No
Total:0.1%2.31.60.60.50.40.80.50.10.10.10.00.10.00.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Toronto-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.1+0.1+0.6

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119-142100
118457-106733
117469-772622
1164610-687229
1154611-571128
1144511-66091291
1134411-74692430
1124412-640934601
1114312-73112450002
1104212-8211250561040
1094213-71513505820600
1084113-810116061417000
1074114-761151596111000
1064014-83851551030150010
1054015-716424815401900100
1043915-804323719602510300
1033916-702222622902920500
1023816-801121624111315107000
1013817-700118211323182010010
1003717-80013171342713501512000
993718-70011111162018801923000
983618-80000688122112121460000
973619-70000358620152218100100
963519-80000127215155181315230000
953520-7000001609139121818472000
943420-8000004059116181891351000
933320-900020251221514151810410000
923321-800010121011081818181031000
913221-900010170531614211810410000
903222-8000000502111717221910410000
893122-900000301062918231911510000
883123-8000010002131019232012510000
873023-90001001014101924211351000
863024-80000000014111924211351000
852924-90000000014112025211241000
842925-80000000001512222620103000
832825-90000000026142427187200
822826-80000002818272615400
812726-90000001310233023910
802727-8000000151529301630
792627-9000002923342570
782628-80000015163333121
772528-900002102939191
762529-80000162242272
752429-900031641354
742430-800011138437
732330-900017325011
722331-80004265515
712231-9002215720
702232-8001155726
692132-901115633
682133-80085339
672134-700054946
662034-80034453
652035-7023959
641935-8013465
631936-7012871
621836-8002476
611837-7002080
601737-801684
591738-701287
581638-801090
571639-70793
561539-80594
551540-7496
541440-8397
531441-7397
521442-6298
511342-7298
501343-6199
491243-70100
481244-60100
18-47100
Total:0000000001111112122334456891114145