Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to Vancouver 2-3 (ot), playoff odds down 2.8 to 67.2%
17 points   8 2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 3 Washington 2 +0.2
+0.1
Anaheim 4 Buffalo 1 +0.1
-0.1
Pittsburgh 3 Philadelphia 5 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.2-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.4+0.0
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 +0.3
San Jose 4 Columbus 5 -0.3
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)*-0.2
Calgary 5 Carolina 0 +0.1
Los Angeles 2 Buffalo 0 *+0.1
*-0.0
*-0.0
Nashville 3 Chicago 2 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
136-159InYes10068,534*
135569-6In96.2%96426*
130-134InYes1002,069*
1295312-6In100.010002,132*
1285212-7In99.910003,815*
1275213-6In99.910007,217*
1265113-7In99.91000012,975*
1255013-8In99.81000022,247*
1245014-7In99.71000037,942*
1234914-8In99.51000062,970*
1224915-7In99.210000102,604*
1214815-8In98.810000163,458*
1204816-7In98.19900255,493*
1194716-8In97.099100391,419*
1184717-7In95.598110586,766*
1174617-8In93.397210862,556*
1164618-7In90.3962201,244,222*
1154518-8In86.2943301,759,026*
1144519-7In80.89244002,444,140*
1134419-8In74.18965003,323,739*
1124319-9In65.88487004,444,347*
1114320-8In56.37910100005,834,437*
1104220-9In45.87313131007,512,919*
1094221-8In35.06516171009,513,154*
1084121-9100.0%24.8571922200011,831,409*
1074122-8100.016.0482227300014,452,696*
1064022-9100.09.2382532500017,351,128*
1054023-8100.04.62926378100020,465,537*
1043923-9100.01.92026411110023,736,248*
1033924-8100.00.713254416200027,054,855*
1023824-9100.00.28224521400030,331,523*
1013825-8100.00.041843277100033,422,829*
1003725-999.90.0214403210100036,211,034*
993726-899.70.01103536153000038,604,044*
983626-999.30.0072838206100040,459,552*
973627-898.2No04223725102000041,717,373*
963527-995.6No021634281541000042,311,482*
953528-890.3No011030272282000042,201,416*
943428-981.1No016242427144100041,423,026*
933429-867.7No0041718282192000039,996,678*
923329-951.2No00212122627155100037,989,750*
913330-834.4No00186202823113000035,505,689*
903230-920.4No0043132528187200032,657,154*
893231-810.5No0021719282513410029,543,501*
883131-94.7No0010312242921820026,291,432*
873132-81.9No0010161728271540023,031,757*
863032-90.6No0000031124312281019,858,714*
853033-80.2No000016173029142016,834,054*
842933-90.1No000003112634215014,046,702*
832934-80.0No00000162034299111,528,654*
822834-90.0No00000031331351529,312,157*
812835-80.0No000001826392247,403,081*
802735-90.0No00001420403065,782,105*
792736-80.0No00002143837104,449,584*
782636-90.0No0000193342153,364,558*
772637-8OutNo00052846202,503,711*
762537-9OutNo0032248271,834,527*
752538-8OutNo00021647341,319,371*
742438-9OutNo001124542934,320*
732439-8OutNo0084250650,735*
722339-9OutNo00063757445,173*
712340-8OutNo0043264298,856*
702240-9OutNo022870198,047*
692241-8OutNo012376128,432*
682141-9OutNo01188181,998*
672142-8OutNo0158551,408*
662042-9OutNo0128831,892*
652043-8OutNo099119,099*
642044-7OutNo079311,629*
631944-8OutNo05956,659*
621945-7OutNo04963,871*
611845-8OutNo3972,218*
601846-7OutNo2981,179*
591746-8OutNo199601*
17-58OutNo10069,245*
Total:67.2%3.8%97171610976554321826,420,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayDetroitOttawaWashingtonNY IslandersNew JerseyPhiladelphiaNY RangersTorontoBostonFloridaColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
159710-04.9%489106777710108621
139587-650.05050
138588-5No5050
137589-4No29291429
136579-5No13131313251313
135569-611.584412812412841215
134559-74.4691076109461264631
1335510-67.1210111149568614741
1325410-73.841071084585111110611
1315411-66.2581011558649148521
1305311-75.55910106677411910511
1295312-63.74891166667101010420
1285212-74.838101066676101111611
1275213-64.538101166666101110521
1265113-74.939101066666111010511
1255013-84.639101166666111010521
1245014-74.738101066666101110521
1234914-84.738101066666111110521
1224915-74.938101166666111110511
1214815-84.939101066666101110511
1204816-74.739101066666101110521
1194716-84.739101066666111110511
1184717-74.739101066666111110521
1174617-84.839101156666111110511
1164618-74.739101156666111110511
1154518-84.739111156666111110511
1144519-74.739111156666111110511
1134419-84.7310111156665111110511
1124319-94.6310111255555101010511
1114320-84.6311121255555101010411
1104220-94.6311121255555101010411
1094221-84.5312131355555101010410
1084121-94.5313141444444101010410
1074122-84.421415144444410109310
1064022-94.321515154444410109310
1054023-84.321616163333310109310
1043923-94.221717173333310109210
1033924-84.121817173332210109210
1023824-94.031918183222210109200
1013825-83.931918182222210109200
1003725-93.842018183222210109100
993726-83.7520181832222999100
983626-93.6719171732222998100
973627-83.5919161642222888100
963527-93.41018151543222877100
953528-83.11117141443222766100
943428-92.81216121242222555100
933429-82.31113101042211444100
923329-91.79107732111333100
913330-81.2775521111222000
903230-90.7443311000111000
893231-80.3221210000000000
883232-70.2111100000000000
873132-80.1000000000000000
863133-70.0000000000000000
853033-80.0000000000000000
843034-70.0000000000000000
832934-80.0000000000000000
822935-70.00000000000000
812835-80.00000000000
802836-7No00000000
792938-4No000
782838-5No0
17-77No
Total:2.6%5.112.210.810.72.52.01.81.71.75.95.75.41.30.30.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston 2 NY Islanders 3 -0.1
Detroit 4 Pittsburgh 3 (ot)+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
136-159100
135569-6964
130-134100
1295312-61000
1285212-710000
1275213-610000
1265113-7100000
1255013-8100000
1245014-7100000
1234914-899000
1224915-799000
1214815-899100
1204816-798100
1194716-8972100
1184717-7953110
1174617-893420100
1164618-790620200
1154518-8868303000
1144519-781114040000
1134419-874156050000
1124319-966198070000
1114320-8562310010000000
1104220-94627130130001000
1094221-83530151171010000
1084121-9253218220100200000
1074122-81632193243103000000
1064022-9929205265105000000
1054023-85241882682070010000
1043923-9219161024134011001000
1033924-811312131918601510020000
1023824-90881413219118310400000
1013825-804514722122206107010000
1003725-90221232012519103010010000
993726-80119115118151550141300000
983626-9000609811101981173601000
973627-8004055125191121879020000
963527-9002022112161151612141410000
953528-800101190119911171848200000
943428-900100060661251818913510000
933429-80000040331221613151810410000
923329-9000002011101117191817103100000
913330-80000100070631713201810410000
903230-90000000403112717221910410000
893231-8000000201072918231911410000
883131-90000010003131019242012510000
873132-8000010001014112024201241000
863032-9000000000015122125201141000
853033-8000000001513222520103100
842933-90000000026152426188200
832934-80000000002817262515510
822834-90000000013102128231120
812835-800000000151426291851
802735-900000028213126111
792736-8000014142932173
782636-900000282335256
772637-80001417353311
762537-90000211313916
752538-80017264324
742438-90004204432
732439-8002144340
722339-9001104049
712340-800073657
702240-90043165
692241-80032671
682141-90022178
672142-8011782
662042-9001386
652043-8001090
642044-70793
631944-80694
621945-70496
611845-8496
601846-7298
591746-8199
581747-70100
17-57100
Total:453455335533555444333332222110