"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.01 to 98.8%
61 points   29 13-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh 2 Chicago 3 (so)*-0.1
Anaheim 6 Calgary 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs Dallas+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.7
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
+0.9+0.9+0.7-0.7-0.7-1.7
+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Florida vs Detroit-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Winnipeg-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Carolina vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs NY Rangers+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Nashville vs Colorado-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.6
Vancouver vs Anaheim+0.2+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
132-135InYes1001,371,738*
131341-2In99.9%10002,665*
130342-1In99.910009,201*
129332-2In99.9100030,397*
128322-3In99.81000089,328*
127323-2In99.610000241,274*
126313-3In99.410000598,237*
125314-2In98.8100001,389,938*
124304-3In97.9100003,016,835*
123305-2In96.3100006,174,219*
122295-3In93.9991011,902,729*
121296-2In90.29910021,843,369*
120286-3In84.998200038,021,371*
119276-4In77.796310063,177,357*
118277-3In68.2935200100,188,445*
117267-4In56.8888300152,242,971*
116268-3In44.182135000221,554,496*
115258-4In31.3741880000309,890,744*
114259-3In19.96324130000416,292,279*
113249-4In11.05130181100538,664,896*
1122410-3In5.23935232100671,083,973*
1112310-4In2.027382843000806,701,153*
1102311-3In0.617383185000935,300,788*
1092211-4In0.11035321490001,047,842,388*
1082212-3In0.05302922131001,133,919,340*
1072112-4100.0%0.022423301830001,186,826,560*
1062113-3100.00.011716362270001,201,338,460*
1052013-4100.00.0011103925131001,177,145,072*
1042014-3100.00.007537252320001,116,452,443*
1031914-4100.0No04233223441001,025,751,281*
1021915-3100.0No0212618456200912,668,167*
1011815-4100.0No0102012549400787,025,882*
1001816-399.8No00014860117000657,500,845*
991716-499.5No00094611313100532,526,570*
981717-398.5No0052571321100417,914,915*
971617-496.5No0031501231300317,982,502*
961618-392.8No00104110407000234,470,255*
951518-486.7No00103284612100167,596,789*
941519-377.8No0002354920200116,077,518*
931419-466.3No0001534829500077,928,838*
921420-352.8No009242371010050,675,192*
911320-439.0No005133421720031,918,777*
901321-326.2No0030234325500019,470,522*
891221-415.9No010154034910011,501,127*
881222-38.6No00083240172006,567,185*
871122-44.0No00423422650003,627,168*
861123-31.7No002143834111001,937,948*
851023-40.6No0183040193001,000,043*
841024-30.2No003214128710498,718*
83924-40.0No0011236361320239,353*
82925-30.0No000628402140111,322*
81825-4OutNo031940308049,066*
80826-3OutNo0111343815121,028*
79726-4OutNo0526432338,819*
78727-3OutNo0318423253,495*
77728-2OutNo110394191,304*
76628-3OutNo15344516464*
75629-2OutNo2315017157*
74529-3OutNo16473757*
73530-2OutNo12414717*
72531-1OutNo75254*
71330-4OutNo67333*
61037-0OutNo178211,370,983
Total:98.8%4.1%131713191218341000000016,539,758,980

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNY IslandersTampa BayNY RangersDetroitPittsburghWashingtonBostonOttawaFloridaTorontoPhiladelphiaColumbusNew JerseyCarolinaBuffalo
135370-04.9%24263174312722000
134360-17.4474422301974
133350-25.026243173915931
132351-14.91436416391293100
131341-25.524254164113832000
130342-14.824254154112932000
129332-25.223254154112932000
128322-35.023254164112932000
127323-25.023254164112932000
126313-35.023254164112932000
125314-24.9232541641129320000
124304-35.0232541641129320000
123305-25.0232541641129320000
122295-35.02325416401210320000
121296-25.02325516401210320000
120286-35.02335516401210320000
119276-44.92335516391210320000
118277-34.9233551738119320000
117267-44.9333561737119310000
116268-34.8334671835109310000
115258-44.744468203398310000
114259-34.654579213087210000
113249-44.5646811222676210000
1122410-34.4758913232265110000
1112310-44.28691015241844100000
1102311-34.1107101116241533100000
1092211-43.9118121217231122100000
1082212-33.813913131921922000000
1072112-43.714915131920711000000
1062113-33.5151016132018511000000
1052013-43.4171017142117411000000
1042014-33.3181118142116300000000
1031914-43.2181119142114200000000
1021915-33.1191220142013200000000
1011815-43.1201220142012100000000
1001816-33.0211321141911100000000
991716-42.9211521151810100000000
981717-32.821162115169100000000
971617-42.721172115157100000000
961618-32.621172014136000000000
951518-42.420171913125000000000
941519-32.118161712104000000000
931419-41.81614151083000000000
921420-31.4131212862000000000
911320-41.1999642000000000
901321-30.7666431000000000
891221-40.444422100000000
881222-30.222211000000000
871122-40.11111000000000
861123-30.0000000000000
851124-20.00000000000
841024-30.0000000000
831025-20.0000000
82925-3No000
61-81No
Total:3.6%14.29.514.612.117.017.19.32.22.00.50.20.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Boston 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Dallas-0.4-0.4-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.8
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Florida vs Detroit-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
132-135100
131341-210000
130342-110000
129332-210000
128322-3100000
127323-2100000
126313-399100
125314-299100
124304-398200
123305-296300
122295-39461000
121296-290910000
120286-38513200000
119276-47818301000
118277-36825502000
117267-457328030000
116268-34438120500000
115258-431421718100000
114259-32043222111000000
113249-41140264153101000
1122410-3534287176201000
1112310-42252711171140300000
1102311-31162414151680500000
1092211-4010181712201407100000
1082212-305131772222010310000
1072112-402816320291126300000
1062113-3014131153331210700000
1052013-4002901033611141301000
1042014-3001605298817230200000
1031914-4004022211518331311000
1021915-3002011512215432512000
1011815-400100911112505634000
1001816-30000049075096570000
991716-4000002704451567130100
981717-30001402352158201100
971617-400003012426392833000
961618-3000010015272932770000
951518-4000100824173214121000
941519-3000003190527231840000
931419-4000011403182923910000
921420-300009021032251651000
911320-400050142923241130000
901321-3000300222162820710000
891221-4001000141026281551000
881222-30000084183025113000
871122-40000421025302082000
861123-3000204162928165100
851023-40101821312511300
841024-300003122631207100
83924-400001517302914300
82925-3000029233224810
81825-40141530321630
80826-3018223426810
79726-40031332351520
78727-30172538245
77728-20314393490
76628-3193142160
75629-2162448202
74529-321839375
73530-212353518
72531-1255025
71330-46733
61037-001236114
Total:49985815457153213110000000000000