Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Beat Detroit 2-1 (ot), playoff odds up 3.5 to 66.8%
12 points   6 1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal 2 Detroit 1 (ot)+3.7
+0.2
+0.8
Colorado 3 Florida 4 (ot)-0.4
New Jersey 3 NY Rangers 4 (ot)-0.4
Calgary 1 Tampa Bay 2 (ot)-0.3
-0.1
Boston 5 San Jose 3 -0.3
+0.1
Chicago 4 Philadelphia 0 +0.2
Winnipeg 3 Carolina 1 +0.2
NY Islanders 2 Toronto 5 -0.2
+0.1
Nashville 4 Arizona 3 (so)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3*+0.0
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*-0.0+0.1
Edmonton vs Washington+0.2*+0.0*+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Anaheim vs Buffalo+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
128-162InYes1007,706*
1275414-7In99.8%10001,047*
1265314-8InYes1001,766*
1255315-7In99.810003,105*
1245215-8In99.7100005,182*
1235216-7In99.6100008,194*
1225116-8In99.31000012,800*
1215117-7In98.71000020,068*
1205017-8In98.4990030,583*
1195018-7In97.5991045,788*
1184918-8In96.2991166,895*
1174818-9In94.39811097,141*
1164819-8In91.897210135,959*
1154719-9In88.495320188,828*
1144720-8In83.693430257,279*
1134620-9In77.6905400345,487*
1124621-8In70.287760454,539*
1114521-9In61.28210800587,017*
1104522-8In51.376131100747,361*
1094422-9In40.7691614100932,759*
1084423-8In30.06120181001,147,522*
1074323-9In20.45124232001,385,195*
1064324-8In12.54227283001,651,406*
1054224-9In6.73230325001,927,875*
1044225-8100.0%3.123313781002,221,212*
1034125-9100.01.2163041121002,512,114*
1024126-8100.00.4102843162002,800,577*
1014026-9100.00.1524442240003,067,913*
1004027-8100.00.03204327710003,309,731*
993927-999.80.011539321120003,513,888*
983928-899.50.001134361540003,671,600*
973828-998.5No07283719710003,783,091*
963829-896.0No0421372212310003,835,157*
953729-990.8No02153322187200003,824,601*
943730-881.4No011028192213410003,755,510*
933630-967.4No0162214242010310003,632,519*
923631-850.4No03169212516720003,460,042*
913531-933.4No0211516252313410003,245,991*
903532-819.4No017210212720930002,999,451*
893432-99.9No004151525261761002,725,915*
883433-84.5No002028202824123002,441,842*
873333-91.8No001014132528197102,156,660*
863334-80.7No000002719292613301,869,590*
853234-90.2No000001312253120711,601,739*
843235-80.1No00000171931281221,345,655*
833135-90.0No00000131328331941,117,189*
823136-80.0No0000182235277914,001*
813036-90.0No0001416343412735,611*
803037-80.0No000211303918580,440*
792937-9OutNo0016244226454,712*
782938-80.0No00004194334349,745*
772838-9OutNo002134243264,127*
762839-8OutNo00193852196,601*
752739-9OutNo0063460144,357*
742740-8OutNo0042868103,673*
732640-9OutNo02247473,585*
722641-8OutNo01198051,887*
712541-9OutNo01158535,626*
702542-8OutNo00118823,931*
692442-9OutNo089116,037*
682443-8OutNo0069310,475*
672343-9OutNo05956,763*
662344-8OutNo03974,251*
652244-9OutNo2982,759*
642245-8OutNo1991,691*
632145-9OutNo199986*
622146-8OutNo0100615*
612046-9OutNo199318*
12-60OutNo1006,820*
Total:66.8%4.7%1091816776655433276,932,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonTampa BayOttawaPittsburghDetroitColumbusNY IslandersNew JerseyNY RangersTorontoBostonFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaBuffalo
162750-06.0%578787777887762
138598-8NoYes
1376010-5No333333
136578-10No25252525
1355810-7No171717171717
1345912-413.3720777713277
1335711-75.355521511115111155
1325712-66.4613644291169411492
1315511-97.2761086391226471241
1305613-63.871077841374988243
1295513-77.74674839861089773
1285413-83.88985976861067551
1275414-76.6698786766798463
1265314-85.5588686777898552
1255315-76.1688687777877653
1245215-85.9588697876888552
1235216-75.8588697777988552
1225116-86.1588687777998542
1215117-75.8588687776897553
1205017-85.8588697776998552
1195018-76.0588697776988552
1184918-85.8688697777887552
1174818-95.9588697776988552
1164819-85.9588697776988552
1154719-95.9588697777988552
1144720-85.8599697776988552
1134620-95.8599696776988542
1124621-85.85996106666988542
1114521-95.759106106666988542
1104522-85.7510105106666998442
1094422-95.7511105116666988442
1084423-85.6511115116665988442
1074323-95.6412125125555998432
1064324-85.5413135135555998332
1054224-95.4414144134544998332
1044225-85.3415154144444998322
1034125-95.2316164154443998222
1024126-85.13171631533331098222
1014026-94.93171731633331098222
1004027-84.83181731633321098112
993927-94.73181831633221098112
983928-84.64181831633221098112
973828-94.5518174163322998112
963829-84.3517174153322987112
953729-94.0616165143322876111
943730-83.5614145123322665111
933630-92.9612114103321554101
923631-82.1598472221433001
913531-91.4366251111222000
903532-80.8243131110111000
893432-90.4122110000111000
883433-80.2011010000000000
873333-90.1000000000000000
863334-80.0000000000000000
853234-90.0000000000000000
843235-80.0000000000000000
833236-70.0000000000000000
823237-60.000000000
813137-7No000000
803138-6No000
793341-1No
782837-100.00
12-77No
Total:3.2%3.310.910.63.09.72.52.42.21.86.05.75.01.21.11.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 2 Detroit 1 (ot)-0.7
Calgary 1 Tampa Bay 2 (ot)+0.1
Colorado 3 Florida 4 (ot)+0.1
NY Islanders 2 Toronto 5 +0.0
Boston 5 San Jose 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Toronto+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
128-162100
1275414-710000
1265314-8100
1255315-710000
1245215-8100000
1235216-7100000
1225116-899000
1215117-799100
1205017-898100
1195018-797210
1184918-896211
1174818-99441100
1164819-89252100
1154719-98873020
1144720-88410403000
1134620-978135040000
1124621-87017706000
1114521-9612110080000
1104522-85125130100000
1094422-94128161140010000
1084423-83031191171010000
1074323-920312122021020000
1064324-812292342331030000
1054224-97252372462050000
1044225-83202110239508001000
1034125-9114171320137011101000
1024126-80913151517111141102000
1014026-90581691915217320400000
1004027-803515517174186307010000
993927-90121321416716106010120000
983928-800110091311111410013240000
973828-900705914615142154701000
963829-80040251421316415711131000
953729-900201212191581111162720000
943730-8001001905111261317513510000
933630-9001006026143121410181041000
923631-800003013131881319189310000
913531-90000200110053121522189310000
903532-800010006021981823189310000
893432-9000004010531120231810410000
883433-80000020002141220241911410000
873333-9000010010151220242011410000
863334-80000000015122024201141000
853234-9000000000001513212520104100
843235-80000000026142325199300
833135-9000000002716252517710
823136-80000001391927241340
813036-900000141223292181
803037-80000026172828153
792937-9000013112432236
782938-800001618333112
772838-9000312293718
762839-80017244027
752739-9014184136
742740-80002133945
732640-900183655
722641-800053163
712541-90032671
702542-80022177
692442-90011583
682443-8011287
672343-90991
662344-80693
652244-90495
642245-80496
632145-90397
622146-8199
612046-9298
602047-8199
592048-7100
581948-8298
12-57100
Total:555555445443434344433322222111