Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.05 to 18.8%
81 points   37 28-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Philadelphia vs Montreal-7.4-1.8-1.7+5.9+6.8+7.0
Calgary vs Columbus+3.5-1.0-1.0-4.3-4.6-4.6
Carolina vs Pittsburgh-0.7-1.4-1.0-0.2-0.3+1.4
New Jersey vs Washington+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Dallas vs Florida+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
NY Islanders vs Boston-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
101100-0100.0%No12574003,741,439
10090-199.9No01483309,268,231
9991-099.5No07839028,719,229
80-299.2No078012112,864,180
9881-196.6No0367263079,777,807
70-395.2No0361315010,465,380
9782-090.7No01494090123,724,489
71-287.8No01424412097,426,551
60-484.9No0137471505,527,453
9672-175.3No002550250302,097,466
61-370.8No00205029070,529,800*
9562-255.0No0010454500318,914,978
73-060.3No0013474000312,317,959
51-450.6No0743490031,102,520*
9463-138.3No04346110659,354,368
52-333.9No03316510189,945,379
41-530.5No022868209,073,222*
9353-221.1No01207630589,066,765
64-024.8No01237320511,205,814
42-418.3No0118775071,448,713*
9254-111.3No00118180913,454,502
43-39.3No00981100288,359,556
32-57.7No0087913016,351,416*
9144-24.3No04771810670,645,872
55-05.5No05791510566,550,620
33-43.4No0374221083,437,411
22-62.7No037026202,313,773*
9045-11.6No02682920832,028,395
34-31.2No01633330258,759,242
23-50.9No0157384014,434,686*
8935-20.4No00494380481,480,613
46-00.5No01534060430,048,717
24-40.2No00434710056,577,054*
8836-10.1No0034501600497,786,547
25-30.0No028521900137,060,700
14-50.0No0235324006,239,247*
8737-00.0No0020512800220,512,683
26-20.0No017503210212,574,171
15-40.0No01349381019,449,726*
8627-10.0No08424720188,351,174
16-30.0No0639523040,684,158*
8528-00.0No0330607073,024,351
17-20.0No0226638052,686,794
06-4OutNo121671002,718,399
8418-1OutNo1156717040,853,461
07-3OutNo011672104,820,723
8319-0OutNo076230114,083,635
08-2OutNo05603415,605,095
8209-1OutNo02464853,863,564
81010-0OutNo003158101,967,476
Total:18.8%No0041456196009,573,295,504

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonTorontoNY IslandersWashingtonPittsburghCarolinaColumbusPhiladelphiaFlorida
101100-00.9%023334271030
10090-10.93131393110400
9991-00.9971393110300
80-20.9126038318300
9881-10.8263032267300
70-30.7313029246200
9782-00.7401023195200
71-20.6441020174200
60-40.6471017153100
9672-10.55000121021000
61-30.45000982100
50-50.4500087100
9573-00.447006510000
62-20.34500541000
51-40.3430431000
40-60.341033000
9463-10.2340220000
52-30.2310110000
41-50.228011000
30-70.22601100
9364-00.123011000
53-20.120000000
42-40.118000000
31-60.11600000
20-80.01400000
9254-10.111000000
43-30.09000000
32-50.0800000
21-70.0600000
9155-00.0500000
44-20.0400000
33-40.030000
22-60.030000
9045-10.020000
34-30.010000
23-50.010000
12-70.010
8946-00.010000
35-20.000000
24-40.00000
13-60.0000
8836-10.000000
25-30.00
14-50.00
8737-00.000
26-20.00
15-40.00
8627-10.00
8528-00.00
81-84No
Total:0.1%14.30.10.02.11.80.40.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Montreal+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4
Calgary vs Columbus-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
101100-00000193307400
10090-10000725083030
9991-0000214083090
80-20001140800121
9881-100000306702630
70-300000306103150
9782-000000104904090
71-2000001042044120
60-400001036047150
9672-1000000241500250
61-3000000191500290
9562-200000914504500
73-00000001214704000
51-4000714304900
9463-1000313406110
52-3000203106510
41-500202806820
9353-2000102007630
64-000102307320
42-4000001807750
9254-1000011081800
43-3000090811000
32-5000070791300
9144-200407718100
55-000507915100
33-400307422100
22-600207026200
9045-1001067293000
34-3001062334000
23-500105638500
8935-200004544100000
46-0000050418000
24-40003947131000
8836-10002848223000
25-30022472640000
14-5001746316100
8737-0000123836122000
26-200935381430000
15-40063140184000
8627-1003183729112000
16-3002143532143000
8528-0000522362791000
17-2004193529112000
06-40215333314300
8418-10162336258100
07-300419362810200
8319-000182635226100
08-200162436248100
8209-100110283520500
81010-00021432341620
Total:00000000401405517621000000