Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to Carolina 1-4, playoff odds down 0.04 to 99.9%
91 points   41 24-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington 2 Columbus 1 (so)*No
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
10780-0InNo100076,827,743
10670-1InNo1000111,721,563
10571-0InNo991346,490,859
60-2InNo99170,874,542
10461-1InNo973439,498,876
50-3InNo96425,446,806
10362-0InNo9370681,515,932
51-2InNo9280236,662,733
40-4InNo901005,655,043
10252-1InNo85150733,958,584
41-3InNo8218070,141,623
30-5InNo78220797,742
10153-0InNo74250758,819,673
42-2InNo71290326,262,248
31-4InNo6733112,352,410
20-6InNo6138169,191
10043-1InNo58411674,643,504
32-3InNo5345276,629,256
21-5InNo475131,293,527
10-7InNo385843,392
9944-0InNo42544523,131,811
33-2InNo38574237,742,929
22-4InNo3460610,038,558
11-6InNo2764974,656
00-8InNo18721072
9834-1100.0%No256411000368,677,805
23-3100.0No21671200041,516,933
12-5InNo16681500695,742
01-7InNo11701801,785
9735-0100.0No136620000228,716,429
24-2100.0No116622000096,576,862
13-4100.0No965260003,592,747
02-6100.0No5633201019,714
9625-199.9No557360200119,817,061
14-399.9No45638020011,145,740
03-599.8No252430300124,054
9526-099.6No243490500061,963,482
15-299.3No142500610020,744,178
04-498.9No137530810477,735
9416-196.5No024571530021,454,697
05-395.2No02356165001,185,661
9317-089.3No013532310109,502,865
06-285.4No011502413101,840,678
9207-166.5No043527286001,628,386
9108-044.9No121233915101,163,993
Total:99.9%No672840000006,411,499,820

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupWashingtonPittsburghColumbusNY RangersOttawaTorontoBostonNY IslandersTampa BayCarolinaFloridaBuffaloDetroit
10780-02.4%01199000000
10670-12.40119900000000
10571-02.4011980100000
60-22.4011980100000
10461-12.40119602000000
50-32.4011950300000
10362-02.40119205100000
51-22.40109107100000
40-42.40108908100000
10252-12.4010840122010000
41-32.4010810142010000
30-52.40107701830100
10153-02.4010731204010000
42-22.4010701234010000
31-42.401066126402000
20-62.4000602305030
10043-12.3000572326020000
32-32.3000532356030000
21-52.300046340703000
10-72.500384458050
9944-02.3000424438030000
33-22.3000384459030000
22-42.300033548904000
11-62.40002755210050
00-81.418447247
9834-12.30002575311040000
23-32.30002165611050000
12-52.300016759120600
01-72.200011763118
9735-02.20001386013050000
24-22.20001186113060000
13-42.200098631307000
02-62.200058641480
9625-12.2100596314070000
14-32.2100486414080000
03-52.2210286513090
9526-02.1411296314070000
15-22.1411186213080000
04-42.1511176213090
9416-11.9102207551207000
05-31.81132065311080
9317-01.61643054690600
06-21.517440442860
9207-11.119440328540
9108-00.716331163200
Total:2.3%0.20.50.466.22.124.24.60.01.70.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 1 Carolina 4 +0.6
Ottawa 2 Pittsburgh 1 (so)+0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Dallas vs San Jose-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10780-09550
10670-1891100
10571-0782110
60-2772210
10461-1633430
50-3613540
10362-043506000
51-241518000
40-43752910
10252-123621320000
41-32261153000
30-5195918400
10153-0106518800
42-2962191000
31-4760201310
20-6555211710
10043-1355182310
32-3251182620
21-5145183320
10-7137193940
9944-0042134140
33-2038134440
22-4033115051
11-602795671
00-81886410
9834-10256598300000
23-30215619300000
12-5016465115000
01-7114661260
9735-001326411900000
24-20112651111000000
13-409164121400000
02-6516214180100
9625-1050561126002000
14-340561028002000
03-520521033003000
9526-0020437430051000
15-210426440051100
04-41037548006210
9416-10024354105300
05-30023254106500
9317-00013153101310100
06-2011150101413100
9207-10403562127600
9108-010212203617200
Total:234410180022000000000