Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Lost to NY Islanders 4-5 (ot), playoff odds down 0.6 to 2.5%
42 points   18 20-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Montreal 4 NY Islanders 5 (ot)-0.5
No
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs St. Louis-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.2
NY Islanders vs New Jersey-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Rangers vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Dallas-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
118380-0In69.1%760240592,615
113352-1InNo1001
111343-1In14.329717*
110322-4InNo215631119*
109323-3InNo3712680*
108313-4InNo406629225*
107314-3In0.3306235693*
106304-4InNo10554312,138*
105305-3InNo00465135,887*
104295-4InNo003758414,751*
103285-5InNo003063736,226*
102286-4InNo00226711083,021*
101276-5InNo001668160181,890*
100277-4InNo001167220382,757*
99267-5100.0%No007632900771,346*
98268-4100.0No0558371001,493,939*
97258-599.9No03514420002,771,587*
96259-499.4No02444951004,956,776*
95249-597.9No0137501020008,532,682*
942410-494.0No002946185100014,161,804*
932310-585.7No023372611300022,669,619*
922311-472.1No0172629207100035,067,673*
912211-554.2No01215272814300052,374,029*
902212-435.7No0872131239100075,656,400*
892112-520.2No053122831174000105,683,129*
882012-69.9No031620332610100142,902,260*
872013-54.3No020212283318400187,054,835*
861913-61.7No01015203528910237,162,868*
851914-50.6No0000212303517300291,345,251*
841814-60.2No000016223727700346,794,333*
831815-50.1No0000021334351310400,140,546*
821715-60.0No00001727402230447,521,175*
811716-50.0No00000319403160485,294,609*
801616-60.0No00001123640110510,295,342*
791617-50.0No0000073046180520,223,801*
781517-60.0No000032248260514,260,401*
771518-50.0No000021548360492,953,196*
761418-60.0No00011044460458,056,363*
751419-50.0No0000638551412,605,844*
741319-60.0No0000331642360,195,185*
731320-5OutNo00225713304,670,267*
721220-6OutNo00118765249,638,677*
711221-5OutNo00013797198,096,304*
701222-4OutNo0098110152,121,761*
691122-5OutNo0068014113,022,250*
681123-4OutNo004771981,211,155*
671023-5OutNo002732556,409,019*
661024-4OutNo01673237,833,479*
65924-5OutNo01613924,490,100*
64925-4OutNo00544615,292,584*
63825-5OutNo0046539,198,641*
62826-4OutNo039615,322,892*
61726-5OutNo032682,962,185*
60727-4OutNo026741,581,862*
59627-5OutNo02080811,752*
58628-4OutNo01585396,591*
57629-3OutNo01189184,651*
56529-4OutNo89282,760*
55530-3OutNo59535,282*
54430-4OutNo49613,796*
53431-3OutNo3975,285*
52331-4OutNo1992,035*
51332-3OutNo199603*
50333-2OutNo199218*
46-49OutNo10063*
42038-0OutNo0100592,615
Total:2.5%0.0%0001112471118262927,386,222,130

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupTampa BayBostonWashingtonTorontoNew JerseyPhiladelphiaColumbusNY RangersNY IslandersPittsburghCarolinaFloridaDetroitOttawaBuffalo
118380-00.4%021211791010976321
113352-1NoYes
111343-1No1443141414
110322-4No68111111
109323-3No8791111
108313-4No67911011000
107314-3No77601400101000
106304-40.477811300000000
105305-30.2777212000000000
104295-40.37763121000000000
103285-50.27745111000000000
102286-40.277271021000000000
101276-50.276810931110000000
100277-40.266414841111000000
99267-50.265918751111000000
98268-40.365323572211100000
97258-50.374627482221100000
96259-40.394031392221100000
95249-50.3133332293221100000
942410-40.2192830182211100000
932310-50.2252225172111100000
2411-30.2252225172111100000
922311-40.2281819151111000000
2210-60.2281717151111000000
219-80.2281717151111000000
912211-50.1261311031000000000
2312-30.1271412031000000000
2110-70.125129021000000000
902212-40.120106010000000000
2111-60.11995010000000000
2313-20.11995010000000000
892112-50.01262010000000000
2213-30.01363010000000000
2011-70.01052000000000000
882113-40.0631000000000000
872013-50.0220000000000000
862014-40.0110000000000000
851914-50.0000000000000000
841915-40.000000000000000
831815-50.000000000000000
821816-40.000000000000000
811716-50.000000000
801717-40.0000000
791617-50.0000
781618-40.0000
771518-50.0000
761519-40.0000
751419-5No00
741319-6No00
42-73No
Total:0.0%1.00.70.50.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal 4 NY Islanders 5 (ot)+0.1
TuesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
118380-069702400
113352-1100
111343-1141471
110322-42156311
109323-3363926
108313-44055100281
107314-3020043190341
106304-41003421004211
105305-30002024104833
104295-4000112510508040
103285-5000522214815070
102286-4000218214026001000
101276-5000012123037101420
100277-400081218472018400
99267-5000413850311910000
98268-4002033465417191000
97258-500102137581331100000
96259-400010265138413200000
95249-5000101631834747110000
942410-40000082201453153210000
932310-50000311903722445420000
922311-40001015026129379620000
912211-50000012015027271414720000
902212-400080702114132117720000
892112-500050301202920251661000
882012-6000301060041426261551000
872013-5000200200171929251230000
861913-6000100100021023302292000
851914-50000000014142830175100
841814-600000000016193227122000
831815-5000000002102633216100
821715-600000001517322913300
811716-5000000029263422610
801616-600000041733301220
791617-500000210283621400
781517-6000015203729800
771518-50000021333371500
761418-600001727422300
751419-50000419433310
741319-60000213414410
731320-500018355420
721220-60004286340
711221-50002217070
701222-40011573110
691122-50001074150
681123-4000671211
671023-500467282
661024-400260353
65924-500152425
64925-40044488
63825-500355212
62826-40275518
61726-500205624
60727-40145432
59627-50105040
58628-4064549
57629-3043858
56529-423266
55530-312574
54430-412080
53431-301486
52331-401090
51332-30793
50333-2694
46-49100
42038-00100
Total:000000000001010100112357101316181820