Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Toronto vs Montreal-4.7-0.5-0.4+4.2+4.6+5.1
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.3-0.2*-0.1-0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Washington vs Montreal-4.6-0.3-0.3+4.1+4.6+4.8
-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.4*+0.0*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.3
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.2*-0.0*-0.0-0.2-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2-0.2-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.1
Detroit vs Boston+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3+0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.1-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
126-164InYes1008,803*
1255815-9In99.9%10001,109*
1245816-8In99.91001,856*
1235716-9In99.710003,156*
1225717-8In99.7100004,920*
1215617-9In99.6100007,934*
1205618-8In99.31000012,151*
1195518-9In99.01000018,726*
1185519-8In98.4990028,142*
1175419-9In97.6991041,923*
1165420-8In96.39811061,135*
1155320-9In94.69711086,803*
1145321-8In91.896220122,663*
1135221-9In88.094330168,918*
1125121-10In83.292540229,882*
1115122-9In76.888650307,692*
1105022-10In68.6839700404,839*
1095023-9In59.378121000524,733*
1084923-10In48.6701514100669,681*
1074924-9In37.3621918100838,552*
1064824-10In26.45323222001,036,713*
1054825-9100.0%16.843262740001,262,836*
1044725-10100.09.432293260001,515,752*
1034726-9100.04.523303791001,790,529*
1024626-10100.01.81529411320002,079,105*
1014627-9100.00.5927421840002,384,972*
1004527-1099.90.1523422361002,693,515*
994528-999.80.021840291020003,002,295*
984428-1099.50.011335331440003,290,373*
974429-998.50.009293518710003,554,856*
964329-1096.1No0523352112310003,782,780*
954330-990.9No03163222177200003,972,910*
944230-1081.3No0211272022135100004,108,489*
934231-967.0No0172115231910310004,192,308*
924131-1049.4No0041592124177200004,214,530*
914132-931.9No0210515242314610004,178,382*
904032-1017.9No016291925211141004,085,794*
894033-98.7No003141323261992003,935,781*
883933-103.8No002027172625156103,739,870*
873934-91.5No0010131021272311303,500,213*
863834-100.5No000001514252818713,236,181*
853835-90.2No000000282029261222,947,479*
843735-100.1No00000141327311952,648,617*
833736-90.0No0000002821332792,344,573*
823636-100.0No0000014153134152,048,505*
813637-90.0No00000292739231,766,756*
803537-100.0No0000152141321,498,643*
793538-9OutNo00031540411,254,715*
783438-10OutNo00011037511,035,438*
773439-90.0No000173260844,529*
763339-10OutNo00042769677,115*
753340-9OutNo0022276535,659*
743240-10OutNo0011782419,341*
733241-9OutNo0011387322,241*
723141-10OutNo00990244,990*
713142-9OutNo00793183,525*
703042-10OutNo00595134,981*
693043-9OutNo039798,355*
682943-10OutNo029870,258*
672944-9OutNo019949,969*
662844-10OutNo019934,502*
652845-9OutNo19924,042*
642745-10OutNo010016,133*
632746-9OutNo010010,713*
622646-10OutNo01007,009*
612647-9OutNo01004,511*
602547-10OutNo01002,979*
592548-9OutNo1001,834*
582448-10OutNo01001,139*
572449-9OutNo0100705*
562450-8OutNo100459*
552350-9OutNo0100234*
0-54OutNo1007,629*
Total:50.0%3.3%661313666666666688,339,380

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghDetroitOttawaNY RangersBostonNY IslandersFloridaPhiladelphiaCarolinaTampa BayColumbusTorontoBuffaloWashingtonNew Jersey
164820-07.6%677677776767766
1386711-4Yes5050
1346311-8No333333
1336312-7No502525
1326313-65.055151051510151055
1316112-94.79591227977271275
1306214-66.88552171082141252722
1296114-74.56585851166856839
1286014-89.3659869746965877
1276015-78.3778675765969764
1265915-87.24883877766571076
1255815-97.8696587756659857
1245816-87.7688685866868656
1235716-97.2688576866768866
1225717-88.0688676856868856
1215617-97.9677576866867865
1205618-87.7678686866868866
1195518-97.3688686866868866
1185519-87.4688686866868856
1175419-97.5688686866868865
1165420-87.5588686866868866
1155320-97.4688686865868866
1145321-87.5688586866868866
1135221-97.4588585855858866
1125121-107.4588585856858855
1115122-97.5588585855858855
1105022-107.4588585855858955
1095023-97.4599595855858955
1084923-107.3599595955959955
1074924-97.3599595955959955
1064824-107.2499494944949944
1054825-97.14101041041044104101044
1044725-107.04101041041044104101044
1034726-96.93101031031033103101033
1024626-106.73111131131133113111133
1014627-96.63111131131133113111133
1004527-106.53111131131133113111133
994528-96.33111121121122113111122
984428-106.23111131121133113111122
974429-96.03111131131133113111133
964329-105.73111131131133113111133
954330-95.33101031031033103101033
944230-104.7388383833838833
934231-93.9277272722727722
924131-102.8255252522525522
914132-91.8133131311313311
904032-101.0122121211212211
894033-90.5011010100101100
883933-100.2000000000000000
873934-90.1000000000000000
863935-80.0000000000000000
853835-90.0000000000000000
843836-80.0000000000000000
833736-90.000000000000000
823737-80.000000000
813738-7No00000000
803537-10No00000
78-79No
773338-11No0
0-76No
Total:3.1%1.65.35.31.65.31.65.21.61.65.21.65.35.31.61.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Montreal+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Washington vs Montreal+0.9+0.1+0.0-0.9-1.0-1.0
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1
Detroit vs Boston-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
126-164100
1255815-91000
1245816-81000
1235716-910000
1225717-8100000
1215617-9100000
1205618-899000
1195518-999100
1185519-898100
1175419-998110
1165420-8962110
1155320-99531100
1145321-8924220
1135221-988630300
1125121-10838504000
1115122-97711605000
1105022-1069159070000
1095023-9591812010000000
1084923-10492215013001000
1074924-9372518117001000
1064824-102626211211120000
1054825-9172624324210400000
1044725-10923244264206000000
1034726-9419237267509001000
1024626-102131910231080120020000
1014627-9181512171412016110400000
1004527-10051013101515119320601000
994528-902512514183195409020000
984428-10013102111751698013140000
974429-90018071491112120162701000
964329-100050391151216217411031000
954330-900301411210174148161720000
944230-1000200290614791118313510000
934231-90010016039104111671810410000
924131-100000040141018101120189310000
914132-90000200280441116221893100000
904032-10000100160218818231810410000
894033-90000003010431019231911410000
883933-100000020002131018232013620000
873934-9000010001013917232114720000
863834-1000000000001391723221572000
853835-900000000138172323167200
843735-100000000013917242315610
833736-90000000013101926231341
823636-1000000000141222282292
813637-9000000016152729174
803537-10000000292132269
793538-900001414303416
783438-10000029253925
773439-9000015194035
763339-100002133946
753340-9000183457
743240-100052966
733241-90032374
723141-100011881
713142-9011386
703042-1000990
693043-900793
682943-1000595
672944-90397
662844-100298
652845-90199
642745-10199
632746-9199
622646-100100
612647-90100
602547-100100
592548-90100
582448-100100
572449-90100
562450-80100
552350-90100
0-54100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333