Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 75.5%
42 points   20 11-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg 2 Boston 1 +0.7
Ottawa 6 Anaheim 2 -0.5
Detroit 1 NY Islanders 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Montreal vs Ottawa+4.1+3.4+2.9-1.9-2.0-6.4
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.5
Pittsburgh vs Florida+0.6-0.1-0.1-0.9-0.9-0.9
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
New Jersey vs Washington+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Carolina vs NY Rangers+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
NY Islanders vs Tampa Bay-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Chicago-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
129-140InYes100142,367*
128414-4In99.6%1000251*
127415-3In99.01000696*
126405-4In97.89911,736*
125406-3In97.399104,062*
124396-4In95.998209,129*
123386-5In93.1973019,416*
122387-4In90.2964040,797*
121377-5In85.9946080,249*
120378-4In80.391900153,636*
119368-5In73.78812100282,794*
118369-4In65.48315100503,947*
117359-5In56.27820200864,898*
1163510-4In46.4722530001,439,243*
1153410-5In36.2653050002,315,629*
1143411-4In26.6573580003,618,490*
1133311-5In18.048401100005,474,371*
1123211-6In11.239441501008,053,968*
1113212-5In6.2314720110011,501,210*
1103112-6In3.02248252300015,978,070*
1093113-5In1.31546294500021,592,736*
1083013-6In0.51043327700028,381,766*
1073014-5100.0%0.1638331111010036,330,556*
1062914-6100.00.0331311517020045,281,043*
1052915-5100.00.0224272022140055,007,773*
1042815-6100.00.0118222428360065,121,496*
1032816-5100.00.001215253151000075,145,472*
1022716-6100.00.00710243381610084,619,806*
1012717-599.9No0452131132230092,913,606*
1002617-699.7No02317261729500099,567,380*
992618-599.1No0111220193510100104,107,071*
982518-697.6No0008132039172000106,257,218*
972519-594.4No000581838255000105,884,330*
962419-688.7No00024153533101000103,038,568*
952420-579.8No001211283817300097,909,280*
942320-667.8No00017203925710090,836,550*
932321-553.6No000041336321220082,333,233*
922221-639.0No000028293720400072,884,984*
912222-526.0No000014213728810063,029,895*
902122-615.6No000021333341420053,232,690*
892123-58.5No00018273822500043,901,789*
882023-64.1No00004193730910035,370,260*
872024-51.8No000021233361520027,846,535*
861924-60.7No00017263923500021,404,139*
851925-50.2No00003183830910016,065,770*
841825-60.1No00011134371520011,768,256*
831826-50.0No000162740224008,425,472*
821726-60.0No00031939308105,888,085*
811727-50.0No000113353613104,011,185*
801627-60.0No0017294020302,668,576*
791628-5OutNo004224128501,730,777*
781528-6OutNo002153835911,096,797*
771529-5OutNo0193341151678,067*
761429-6OutNo0052644223408,134*
751430-5OutNo0031944295239,527*
741330-6OutNo0011341369136,540*
731331-5OutNo01835431476,206*
721231-6OutNo00429462040,826*
711232-5OutNo0222482721,688*
701233-4OutNo0116473611,131*
691133-5OutNo001144455,591*
681134-4OutNo00739532,640*
671034-5OutNo533631,222*
661035-4OutNo22572563*
65935-5OutNo11980252*
64936-4OutNo1981108*
63937-3OutNo237840*
62736-6OutNo198126*
61838-3OutNo109010*
42-60OutNo100142,216*
Total:75.5%0.4%276912817141074210001,715,902,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Montreal finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupPittsburghTampa BayNY IslandersTorontoDetroitNY RangersWashingtonFloridaOttawaBostonPhiladelphiaNew JerseyColumbusCarolinaBuffalo
140490-03.5%086111081411121551100
133442-3NoYes
132432-4No333333
131433-3No8171725258
130434-23.33710107101720107
129424-31.94510101211141413232
128414-42.809691031513151550
127415-33.40851310713141312401
126405-42.8075111371214121341100
125406-33.907611118121413133110
124396-43.4064111181313151331100
123386-53.4075111181213141341100
122387-43.4075111181213141341100
121377-53.4075121281213141241100
120378-43.5075121281213141231100
119368-53.4075121381213141231100
118369-43.4085131381213131231100
117359-53.4085131381213131131100
1163510-43.3085141481212121131000
1153410-53.3095141481212121031000
1143411-43.319614159121111921000
1133311-53.2110615159121010820000
1123211-63.111071515101299820000
1113212-53.111081515121388720000
1103112-63.0110101415131377620000
1093113-53.0210121414141476520000
1083013-62.9210131314161465420000
1073014-52.8310151313171455320000
1062914-62.8410171212181444320000
1052915-52.7510181212181433210000
1042815-62.6611191212181333210000
1032816-52.5711201212171222210000
1022716-62.4912201312161122110000
1012717-52.31114191312151022110000
1002617-62.2141518131313922100000
992618-52.1171716131311711100000
982518-62.021181513129611100000
972519-51.925191312117411000000
962419-61.729181111106311000000
952420-51.530169984200000000
942320-61.229147763100000000
932321-51.025105542100000000
922221-60.72073431100000000
912222-50.51452221000000000
902122-60.3931110000000000
892123-50.1511100000000000
882023-60.1210000000000000
872024-50.0100000000000000
861924-60.0000000000000000
851925-50.0000000000000000
841926-40.00000000000000
831826-50.000000000000
821827-40.0000000
811626-70.0000000
801829-2No000
42-79No
Total:1.7%14.811.711.39.38.88.76.01.61.51.00.50.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit 1 NY Islanders 2 -0.1
Winnipeg 2 Boston 1 -0.0
New Jersey 3 Tampa Bay 2 (so)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Montreal vs Ottawa-0.6-0.5-0.5+0.3+0.3+1.0
Toronto vs Philadelphia+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Tampa Bay-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Florida-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
129-140100
128414-41000
127415-39910
126405-49811
125406-397210
124396-496320
123386-593430
122387-490540
121377-5868600
120378-4801190000
119368-574141201000
118369-465181501000
117359-556222002000
1163510-4462625030000
1153410-53629300500000
1143411-42730351700000
1133311-5183039110100000
1123211-61128422132001000
1113212-5624434164101000
1103112-631942617820200000
1093113-5114389171240400000
1083013-6093211161770710000
1073014-50624131221110102001000
1062914-60317148231511340020000
1052915-5021113523191157103000
1042815-60161121921316113060000
1032816-500391152051517501010000
1022716-600160101781121801421000
1012717-50040512107241211843000
1002617-60020371042315221850000
992618-5001014821815422131001000
982518-6000002601314719191512000
972519-5000001408109142421450000
962419-60000020469926248101000
952420-500001023842423151640000
942320-6000000116219182122920000
932321-5000000041131125241651000
922221-600000020762423241130000
912222-500000010421917272082000
902122-6000000021131025271551000
892123-50000010751930241130000
882023-60000000421125301971000
872024-50000002151830271440000
861924-600001021024312282000
851925-5000000141630291541000
841825-6000002923322492000
831826-50000014152930164100
821726-6000001823322492000
811727-5000004152930164100
801627-60000182333249200
791628-500004153030164000
781528-600292433238100
771529-5001416313014300
761429-600210263422610
751430-500151833291120
741330-60021229351840
731331-5001622372670
721231-60003163433121
711232-501102939192
701233-40152241274
691133-5031639356
681134-40111354310
671034-516294916
661035-403215423
65935-51165825
64936-4105040
63937-3154045
62736-685042
61838-31090
59-60100
42049-00100
Total:014325534853898665432210000000