Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleTop 16Chance will finish season at seedBottom 8
12/12PGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
TBD B020-00-0050.0%+0.0100.0%5050000000000000000001.50.0%21.500TBD B
TBD A020-00-0050.0-0.0100.05050000000000000000001.50.021.500TBD A
HungaryWGreat Britain 5-162-00-07No96.0+3.702618139754332211111026.5+1.210.0-0.013.550Hungary
PolandWSlovenia 5-362-00-04No96.1+4.1024181310764332211111026.5+1.320.0-0.01.534Poland
AustriaWGermany 3-062-00-06No91.7+10.1016141210875543322211158.0+2.640.0-0.03.547Austria
GermanyLAustria 0-331-01-0-1No84.9-9.6081010987665443322221010.1-3.170.0+0.012.489Germany
FranceWKazakhstan 3-131-01-0-1No83.6+9.509109987655443322221110.3+2.130.0-0.110.491France
JapanWCroatia 11-262-00-013No73.7+20.10356777665554433321812.7+4.230.0-0.22.559Japan
RomaniaWNetherlands 6-241-00-13No67.4+22.60235666665554443332314.1+4.760.0-0.414.537Romania
Slovakia020-00-00No64.9-0.00345666555544443332614.6-0.080.1-0.121.500Slovakia
Denmark020-00-00No63.6+0.00345555555444433332714.8-0.070.1-0.121.500Denmark
Spain020-00-00No61.4-3.70134555555554444332915.4-0.850.1-0.021.500Spain
Great BritainLHungary 1-510-01-1-5No47.4-14.70122334444444444444118.4-3.230.2+0.114.458Great Britain
Korea020-00-00No43.4-1.50011233444444444444519.1-0.340.2-0.121.500Korea
ItalyLUkraine 1-2 (ot)10-01-1-4No43.2-8.10122333444444444334619.4-1.880.4-0.014.463Italy
SloveniaLPoland 3-520-11-0-1No34.6-18.90011122333344444445421.1-4.170.4+0.27.489Slovenia
China020-00-00No35.3-0.40011222333334444445421.3-0.070.7-0.421.500China
NorwayLBelarus 2-400-02-0-5No35.4-15.30112223333333333335521.4-3.690.7+0.36.464Norway
Czech Republic020-00-00No33.9-1.80011122333334444445521.5-0.440.5-0.321.500Czech Republic
Australia020-00-00No34.4-1.70011222333333334335521.6-0.410.7-0.321.500Australia
Canada020-00-00No32.7-0.80001122333334444445621.8-0.180.5-0.321.500Canada
United States020-00-00No32.7-0.50011122333333444445621.8-0.110.6-0.321.500United States
Sweden020-00-00No27.3-0.10001112223333333336323.3+0.031.0-0.621.500Sweden
New Zealand020-00-00No21.6-0.40000011122233333446824.1-0.030.7-0.521.500New Zealand
KazakhstanLFrance 1-300-02-0-4No24.6-15.80001112222233333336624.3-4.151.4+0.620.463Kazakhstan
Russia020-00-00No21.7-0.40000111222223333336925.0-0.041.4-0.821.500Russia
Switzerland020-00-00No21.1-0.70000111122223333337025.1-0.111.5-0.821.500Switzerland
BelgiumWSouth Africa 8-1311-00-07No18.9+10.30000011112222333337225.2+4.711.0-5.017.537at Hong KongBelgium
Chinese TaipeiWBulgaria 13-0311-00-013No13.8+8.50000000111122333347625.4+4.510.5-3.417.547South AfricaChinese Taipei
Finland020-00-00No18.6-1.00000111112222233337326.0-0.201.8-0.821.500Finland
LithuaniaWEstonia 7-162-00-011No11.7+8.9000000011112223337926.3+6.140.6-6.410.593Lithuania
Mexico020-00-00No15.7-1.50000011111222223337626.7-0.432.0-0.721.500Mexico
BelarusWNorway 4-262-00-05No12.2+6.50000000111122223337926.7+3.900.8-4.03.561Belarus
Iceland020-00-00No13.3-2.20000001111122222337927.1-0.731.7-0.521.500Iceland
Latvia020-00-00No14.0+0.10000001111122222237927.5+0.222.5-1.421.500Latvia
Turkey020-00-00No4.8-0.00000000000011111119131.8+0.336.3-2.921.500Turkey
Serbia020-00-00No2.0-0.5000000000000011119633.3-0.406.3-1.621.500Serbia
NetherlandsLRomania 2-600-02-0-9No1.7-3.00000000000000000119735.4-2.7014.2+3.517.432Netherlands
UkraineWItaly 2-1 (ot)20-11-0-1No0.4-0.0000000000000000009936.0+1.0011.1-8.57.480Ukraine
BulgariaLChinese Taipei 0-13010-01-0-13No0.1-0.70000000000000000010038.8-2.8026.2+9.121.453Bulgaria
Israel020-00-00No0.1-0.000000000000000010039.5+0.3130.8-6.421.500Israel
EstoniaLLithuania 1-700-02-0-10No0.0-0.300000000000000010040.1-2.7535.0+12.77.411Estonia
CroatiaLJapan 2-1120-11-0-8No0.0-0.60000000000000000010040.5-3.8839.2+19.93.417Croatia
DPR Korea020-00-00No0.0000010042.9+0.6263.1-9.721.500DPR Korea
South AfricaLBelgium 1-8010-01-0-7No0.0-0.0000000010043.1-1.8365.4+16.821.442at Chinese TaipeiSouth Africa
Hong Kong020-00-00NoNo10044.3+0.4880.0-6.521.500BelgiumHong Kong
Georgia020-00-00NoNo10048.3+0.07100.021.500Georgia
Luxembourg020-00-00NoNo10048.3+0.07100.021.500Luxembourg
UA Emirates020-00-00NoNo10048.3+0.07100.021.500UA Emirates
Bosnia and Herz020-00-00NoNo10048.4-0.02100.021.500Bosnia and Herzegovina

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/13
Great Britain vs ItalyIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain56.850.650.544.444.438.3
16.317.617.619.019.020.4
Italy34.640.240.245.945.951.8
0.70.40.40.30.30.2
21.520.120.118.818.817.4
Italy vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Italy52.346.446.440.740.735.1
0.20.30.30.40.40.7
17.318.618.620.020.021.4
Slovenia25.230.930.936.936.943.3
0.70.40.40.20.20.1
23.421.921.920.520.519.1
Hungary vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary97.396.296.294.794.792.7
5.96.56.57.07.07.7
Slovenia29.435.135.141.241.247.5
0.50.30.30.20.20.1
22.320.920.919.519.518.2
Poland vs Great BritainHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Poland97.796.896.895.495.493.7
5.86.36.36.86.87.5
Great Britain39.845.645.651.651.657.6
20.118.718.717.417.416.1
Great Britain vs UkraineHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Great Britain56.650.750.744.844.839.0
0.10.10.1*0.2*0.20.4
16.317.617.618.918.920.3
Ukraine0.10.20.20.40.40.8
16.912.312.38.88.85.9
37.836.736.735.635.634.4
Romania vs JapanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan65.671.271.376.576.581.2
14.513.313.312.212.211.1
Romania76.371.071.065.265.259.1
12.313.413.414.614.615.9
Ukraine vs SloveniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Slovenia25.931.331.337.137.143.2
0.70.40.40.20.20.1
23.321.821.820.420.419.0
Ukraine0.80.40.40.20.20.1
5.78.58.512.012.016.5
34.335.535.536.636.637.7
Lithuania vs RomaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Romania59.865.965.971.571.576.6
15.714.514.513.313.312.2
Lithuania17.112.112.28.28.25.3
0.20.40.40.70.71.2
24.225.825.827.327.328.8
Italy vs PolandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Poland93.895.595.596.896.897.7
7.56.86.86.36.35.8
Italy52.646.947.041.441.436.1
0.10.30.20.40.40.6
17.218.518.519.819.821.2
Germany vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany88.2*84.984.981.181.176.6
9.210.110.111.011.012.1
Norway30.735.835.941.341.347.1
1.00.60.60.40.40.2
22.621.221.219.819.818.5
Estonia vs RomaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Romania59.665.565.470.970.976.0
15.814.614.613.413.412.4
Bulgaria27.126.526.525.925.925.2
38.838.838.838.738.738.7
Israel31.931.231.230.430.429.6
39.639.639.639.539.539.4
Estonia25.231.731.738.638.646.0
38.939.839.840.640.641.4
Croatia40.339.539.538.738.737.8
40.640.640.640.540.540.5
DPR Korea64.463.563.562.662.761.7
43.042.942.942.942.942.8
South Africa66.665.865.865.065.064.1
43.243.243.243.143.143.1
Hong Kong80.980.380.379.679.678.9
44.444.444.444.344.344.3
Kazakhstan vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Norway27.532.532.537.837.843.4
1.20.80.80.50.50.3
23.522.122.120.720.719.3
Kazakhstan31.726.526.521.821.817.6
0.61.01.01.51.52.2
22.123.523.525.025.026.4
France vs NorwayHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
France88.785.685.682.082.077.8
9.09.89.810.710.711.7
Norway27.932.932.938.238.243.8
1.20.80.80.50.50.3
23.322.022.020.620.619.2
Chinese Taipei vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium14.418.718.723.723.729.3
1.30.80.80.50.50.3
26.625.125.123.623.622.1
Chinese Taipei17.712.612.68.58.55.5
0.30.50.50.80.81.3
24.025.625.627.127.128.6
Japan vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan79.675.075.069.969.964.3
11.512.512.513.613.614.7
Netherlands0.81.31.32.12.13.1
18.3*14.2*14.210.810.88.0
36.735.635.634.534.533.2
Japan vs LithuaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Japan81.777.277.272.272.266.6
11.012.012.013.113.114.3
Lithuania5.58.48.512.412.417.5
1.10.70.70.40.40.2
28.727.227.225.725.724.1
Kazakhstan vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Kazakhstan33.027.927.923.123.118.7
0.60.90.91.41.32.0
21.723.123.124.624.626.1
Belarus5.98.78.712.412.416.8
1.61.01.00.60.60.3
29.327.927.926.326.324.8
Austria vs KazakhstanHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria94.792.892.890.490.487.5
7.17.87.88.58.59.3
Kazakhstan18.722.922.927.627.632.8
2.01.41.40.90.90.6
26.024.624.623.223.221.8
Hong Kong vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium12.015.715.720.020.025.0
1.71.11.00.60.60.4
27.526.026.024.624.623.2
Israel31.831.131.130.530.529.9
Estonia36.135.335.334.734.734.1
Croatia40.239.539.538.838.838.2
40.640.640.640.540.540.5
DPR Korea64.363.463.462.762.762.1
43.042.942.942.942.942.8
Hong Kong70.177.477.483.483.388.3
43.544.144.144.644.645.1
Bulgaria vs BelgiumHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Belgium11.615.215.219.519.524.4
1.91.11.10.70.70.4
27.726.226.224.824.823.3
Bulgaria0.30.10.10.10.10.0
16.621.621.627.227.233.5
37.138.138.139.139.140.0
Croatia40.239.739.739.139.138.4
40.640.640.640.540.540.5
DPR Korea64.263.763.763.063.062.2
43.042.942.942.942.942.9
South Africa66.666.066.065.365.364.6
43.243.243.243.143.143.1
Chinese Taipei vs South AfricaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tue100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Chinese Taipei19.013.813.89.69.76.4
0.20.30.30.60.61.1
23.625.125.126.626.628.1
Bulgaria25.426.126.026.726.727.4
Israel29.830.630.631.431.432.2
39.539.539.539.639.639.6
Estonia34.034.834.835.735.736.5
40.140.140.140.240.240.2
Croatia38.138.938.939.839.840.7
40.540.540.540.640.640.6
DPR Korea62.062.962.963.763.764.7
42.842.942.943.043.043.0
South AfricaNoNoNo0.00.00.0
74.367.567.560.260.252.2
43.943.343.342.742.742.0
Hong Kong79.379.879.880.480.481.0
44.344.344.344.444.444.4
Germany vs BelarusHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany89.386.386.382.682.678.4
9.09.89.810.710.711.7
Belarus7.310.510.514.614.619.5
1.30.70.70.40.40.2
28.527.127.125.625.624.1
Germany vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Germany88.485.285.281.481.477.1
9.210.010.011.011.012.0
France80.484.284.287.487.490.2
11.110.110.19.39.38.5
Chinese Taipei vs Hong KongHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Chinese Taipei17.112.312.38.58.55.6
0.20.50.50.80.81.4
24.225.725.727.227.228.6
Bulgaria25.726.326.326.926.927.5
Israel30.230.830.831.531.532.3
39.539.539.539.639.639.6
Estonia34.535.135.135.835.836.6
40.140.140.140.240.240.2
Croatia38.539.239.240.040.040.8
40.540.540.540.640.640.6
DPR Korea62.463.263.164.063.964.8
42.942.942.943.043.043.0
South Africa64.965.565.566.066.066.8
43.143.243.243.243.243.3
Hong Kong85.379.679.773.173.165.3
44.844.344.343.743.743.1
Belarus vs AustriaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria88.491.191.193.393.395.1
9.18.38.37.67.67.0
Belarus17.813.213.29.59.56.6
0.30.50.50.90.91.4
24.626.026.027.527.528.9
Croatia vs LithuaniaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Lithuania5.07.67.511.011.015.4
1.50.80.80.50.50.2
29.227.727.726.226.224.7
Bulgaria27.526.926.926.226.325.6
38.838.838.838.838.838.7
Israel32.231.531.630.830.830.0
39.639.639.639.539.539.5
Estonia36.635.935.935.1*35.134.2
40.240.240.240.140.140.1
Croatia25.432.032.039.039.046.5
38.939.839.840.640.641.4
DPR Korea64.864.064.063.163.162.2
43.043.043.042.942.942.9
South Africa67.066.366.365.565.564.6
43.243.243.243.143.143.1
Hong Kong81.280.780.780.080.079.3
44.444.444.444.444.444.3
Austria vs FranceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Austria94.792.992.990.690.687.8
7.07.77.78.58.59.3
France78.982.882.886.386.289.2
11.510.510.59.69.68.8
Hungary vs PolandHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary97.396.296.294.894.893.0
5.96.56.57.17.17.7
Poland95.196.496.497.497.498.2
7.06.46.45.95.95.4
Hungary vs UkraineHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Hungary97.296.196.194.794.792.9
6.06.56.57.07.07.7
Ukraine0.20.30.30.60.61.2
13.89.99.96.96.94.6
37.035.935.934.834.833.5
Estonia vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Netherlands1.01.51.52.22.23.3
18.113.513.59.99.96.9
36.635.435.434.234.233.0
Estonia27.534.734.742.242.250.2
39.340.240.241.041.041.8
Croatia vs NetherlandsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Netherlands0.71.21.21.81.82.6
20.915.815.811.711.78.2
37.236.036.034.934.933.7
Croatia27.234.734.742.442.450.5
39.240.140.141.041.041.8
South Africa vs BulgariaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thu100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria36.628.928.922.322.416.6
40.239.339.338.438.437.3
South Africa0.00.00.0NoNoNo
52.961.861.969.969.977.2
42.142.842.843.543.544.1
Bulgaria vs Hong KongHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sat100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Bulgaria0.3*0.1*0.10.10.10.0
16.121.521.527.727.735.0
37.238.238.239.239.240.1
Hong Kong90.285.285.278.978.971.0
45.344.744.744.244.243.6
Estonia vs CroatiaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wed100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
Estonia27.234.934.943.343.351.8
39.340.240.241.141.141.9
Croatia46.938.538.530.230.223.0
41.440.640.639.739.738.7
Hong Kong vs South AfricaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Fri100.0*Top 16100.0*Bottom 8100.0*Average seed
South AfricaNoNoNo0.00.00.0
76.268.668.660.660.652.0
44.143.443.442.742.742.0
Hong Kong71.179.078.985.385.390.5
43.544.244.244.744.745.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Johkey3 for adding this league.