Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance of Direct PlayoffChance will finish regular season at seed
TuesdayPGW-OTL-OTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
KarpatWSaiPa 2-010929-914-438InYes10001.0+0.021.629at TapparaKarpat
TapparaWJYP 4-3 (ot)9826-616-828In99.9%+1.5063231031002.6+0.384.598KarpatTappara
JYPLTappara 3-4 (ot)9626-517-823In98.2+2.2203425135203.5-0.113.575JYP
LukkoWBlues 4-39622-711-1614In96.2+17.0142831157313.9+1.028.561Lukko
BluesLLukko 3-49423-1119-312In72.3+1.12815252218105.5-0.232.513Blues
KalPaLIlves 1-29124-720-520In51.0-5.713717232622106.3-0.365.551SaiPaKalPa
SaiPaLKarpat 0-29122-918-713In49.0-0.503717222327106.4-0.167.543at KalPaSaiPa
HIFKLSport 1-29022-919-624In33.3-15.601410192835406.9-0.616.582HIFK
AssatWHPK 6-38120-621-9599.5%+5.20.0+0.0004504619.4+0.0611.534Assat
IlvesWKalPa 2-18122-524-5-1398.2+8.50.0002455229.5+0.1610.455Ilves
HPKLAssat 3-67314-1223-7-162.3-13.7No0297111.0-0.169.445HPK
PelicansLTPS 1-26515-627-8-33Out-0.0No196312.0-0.0312.397SportPelicans
TPSWPelicans 2-15915-330-8-49OutNo394313.0+0.0314.345TPS
SportWHIFK 2-15213-434-5-66OutNo39714.0-0.0113.294at PelicansSport

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Tuesday
Assat 6 HPK 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Assat+5.3
+0.2
Ilves+3.8
-0.1
HPK-9.0
-0.1
Ilves 2 KalPa 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Tappara+0.4
+0.1
JYP+0.9
+0.1
Lukko+3.2
+0.1
Blues+3.7
+0.1
KalPa-17.1
-0.7
SaiPa+4.2
+0.1
HIFK+4.7
+0.2
Assat-0.9
-0.2
Ilves+6.5
+0.2
HPK-5.6
-0.1
TPS 2 Pelicans 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
PelicansOut
Lukko 4 Blues 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
JYP-0.1
Lukko+11.7
+0.7
Blues-12.8
-0.7
KalPa+0.5
SaiPa+0.3
HIFK+0.2
Sport 2 HIFK 1
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Tappara+0.6
JYP+1.2
+0.1
Lukko+4.4
+0.1
Blues+5.0
+0.2
KalPa+5.9
+0.2
SaiPa+5.9
+0.2
HIFK-23.0
-0.8
TPS-0.1
Sport+0.1
JYP 3 Tappara 4 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Tappara+1.1
+0.3
JYP-0.6
-0.3
Lukko-0.1
Blues-0.1
SaiPa-0.1
HIFK-0.2
Karpat 2 SaiPa 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Tappara+0.3
JYP+0.7
+0.1
Lukko+2.1
+0.1
Blues+2.4
+0.1
KalPa+3.0
+0.1
SaiPa-11.7
-0.5
HIFK+3.2
+0.1
Thursday
KalPa vs SaiPaIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
JYP98.098.498.498.398.398.3
Lukko96.196.196.196.496.496.5
Blues71.472.272.273.373.373.5
KalPa71.753.753.736.836.823.1
5.76.26.26.76.77.1
SaiPa30.045.445.460.560.575.7
7.06.66.66.16.15.5
HIFK32.934.434.334.934.933.0
AssatNo0.00.00.00.0No
IlvesNo0.00.00.00.0No
Tappara vs KarpatHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Tappara100.0100.0100.099.999.999.6
2.32.42.42.72.72.9
JYP3.73.63.63.53.53.4
Lukko4.03.93.93.83.83.7
KalPa51.051.0*51.0*51.0*51.051.1
Pelicans vs SportHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Chance of Direct Playoff100.0*Average seed
Pelicans12.012.012.012.012.012.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.