Vancouver Canucks Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 2.3 to 46.1%

79 points 36 28-7

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	+2.3
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win Stanley Cup
Calgary vs San Jose	-2.7-3.4-2.5+1.1+0.7+5.1		-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Vegas vs Minnesota	+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Division seed				Conference seed (wildcard race)
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1a	1b	2	3	WCb	WCa	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

101	11	0		-	0	In		No	0	34	66	0											19,365
100	10	0		-	1	In		No	0	20	78	2											56,489
99	10	1		-	0	In		No		12	84	4	0	0									132,122
	9	0		-	2	100.0	%	No		10	84	6	0	0	0								85,179
98	9	1		-	1	100.0		No		5	82	13	0	0	0								398,022
	8	0		-	3	99.9		No		4	79	17	0	0	0								76,722
97	8	1		-	2	99.5		No		2	70	27	0	0	0	0							534,606
	9	2		-	0	99.7		No		2	75	22	0	0	0	0							464,269
	7	0		-	4	99.2		No		1	65	32	0	1	1	0							45,449
96	8	2		-	1	98.1		No		1	58	38	0	1	2	0							1,249,243
	7	1		-	3	97.2		No		0	51	44	0	1	3	0							441,019	*
95	7	2		-	2	92.6		No		0	37	53	0	2	7	0	0						1,475,572
	8	3		-	0	94.5		No		0	43	49	0	2	5	0	0						971,732
	6	1		-	4	89.9		No		0	31	56	0	2	10	0	0						221,205	*
94	7	3		-	1	83.9		No		0	24	57	0	3	15	1	0						2,294,930	*
	6	2		-	3	79.9		No		0	19	58	0	3	19	1	0	0					1,008,084
	5	1		-	5	75.1		No		0	15	57	0	3	23	2	0	0					75,186
93	6	3		-	2	65.4		No		0	11	53	0	2	30	4	0	0					2,345,534
	7	4		-	0	70.3		No		0	14	54	0	2	26	3	0	0					1,339,615
	5	2		-	4	58.8		No		0	7	49	0	2	35	6	0	0					455,042	*
92	6	4		-	1	48.0		No		0	5	42	0	1	40	11	1	0					2,741,453
	5	3		-	3	42.0		No		0	3	38	0	1	43	14	1	0					1,357,922
	4	2		-	5	34.9		No			2	32	0	1	46	17	2	0					127,933	*
91	5	4		-	2	26.2		No			1	25	0	0	43	26	4	0					2,378,806
	6	5		-	0	30.4		No			2	28	0	1	43	23	3	0					1,278,448
	4	3		-	4	20.6		No			1	20	0	0	43	30	6	0					510,259	*
90	5	5		-	1	13.8		No			0	13	0	0	36	38	11	1					2,218,610
	4	4		-	3	10.6		No			0	10	0	0	34	40	14	2					1,136,699
	3	3		-	5	7.3		No			0	7		0	31	42	18	2					113,231	*
89	4	5		-	2	4.5		No			0	4	0	0	22	43	26	5	0				1,588,894
	5	6		-	0	5.9		No			0	6		0	24	43	23	4	0				863,144
	3	4		-	4	2.9		No			0	3		0	18	42	30	7	0				337,445	*
88	4	6		-	1	1.5		No			0	2		0	11	37	38	12	0				1,238,220
	3	5		-	3	1.0		No			0	1		0	9	35	40	15	0				601,023
	2	4		-	5	0.5		No				0			7	30	43	19	0				55,497	*
87	3	6		-	2	0.3		No				0		0	4	23	45	27	0				702,082
	4	7		-	0	0.4		No			0	0		0	5	26	45	24	0				412,310
	2	5		-	4	0.1		No				0			2	19	45	33	0				131,649	*
86	3	7		-	1	0.0		No				0			1	13	42	43	1				468,034
	2	6		-	3	0.0		No				0			1	10	40	49	1				211,580	*
85	2	7		-	2	0.0		No				0			0	4	30	63	3	0			197,205
	3	8		-	0	0.0		No				0			0	5	32	61	3				164,983	*
84	2	8		-	1	Out		No							0	1	18	72	8	0			115,155
	1	7		-	3	Out		No							0	1	14	74	11	0			38,259	*
83	1	8		-	2	Out		No							0	0	7	73	20	0			32,021
	2	9		-	0	Out		No								0	9	74	17	0			32,752	*
82	1	9		-	1	Out		No								0	3	63	34	0			19,804	*
81	1	10		-	0	Out		No									1	50	48	1			6,216	*
80	0	10		-	1	Out		No										36	63	2			1,039
79	0	11		-	0	Out		No										23	71	7			2,878

Total:						46.1	%	No	0	0	15	30	0	1	23	16	9	4	0	0			32,772,936

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W		L	-	OT	Win Cup		Winnipeg	Anaheim	Chicago	Nashville	Minnesota	St-Louis	Edmonton	Calgary	Arizona	San Jose	Colorado	Vegas

101		11	0		-	0	2.7	%	2	0	5	8	11	7	39	24	2	2	0
100		10	0		-	1	2.9		1	1	3	5	7	4	50	26	2	2	0
99		10	1		-	0	2.7		1	1	2	3	4	3	54	28	2	2	0	0
		9	0		-	2	2.7		0	2	1	3	3	2	57	27	2	2	0
98		9	1		-	1	2.7		0	3	1	1	2	1	59	28	2	2	0
		8	0		-	3	2.7		0	3	1	1	1	1	62	26	2	2	0
97		8	1		-	2	2.6		0	4	0	1	1	0	63	26	2	2	0	0
		9	2		-	0	2.7		0	3	0	1	1	0	61	28	2	2	0
		7	0		-	4	2.7		0	4	0	0	0	0	65	24	2	2	0
96		8	2		-	1	2.5		1	4	0	0	0	0	62	26	2	2	0	0
		7	1		-	3	2.5		1	5	0	0	0	0	63	23	2	2	0	0
		6	0		-	5	2.5		1	5	1	0	0	0	64	21	2	2
95		7	2		-	2	2.3		1	4	1	0	0	0	61	21	2	2	0	0
		8	3		-	0	2.4		1	4	1	0	0	0	60	24	2	2		0
		6	1		-	4	2.2		1	4	1	0	0	0	61	19	2	2		0
		5	0		-	6	2.3		1	4	1	0	0		60	16	2	1
94		7	3		-	1	2.1		1	4	1	0	0	0	55	19	2	2	0	0
		6	2		-	3	1.9		1	4	1	0	0	0	54	16	2	2		0
		5	1		-	5	1.8		1	4	1	0	0	0	53	13	2	1
		4	0		-	7	1.4		1	4	1	0			52	11	1	1
93		6	3		-	2	1.6		1	3	1	0	0	0	46	12	2	1		0
		7	4		-	0	1.7		1	3	1	0	0	0	47	15	2	1		0
		5	2		-	4	1.4		1	3	1	0	0	0	42	10	1	1		0
		4	1		-	6	1.1		1	3	0	0	0	0	39	7	1	1
		3	0		-	8	No			3					39	6	1	2
92		6	4		-	1	1.1		1	2	0	0	0	0	34	8	1	1		0
		5	3		-	3	1.0		0	2	0	0	0	0	31	6	1	1		0
		4	2		-	5	0.8		0	2	0	0	0		27	5	1	1
		3	1		-	7	1.1		0	2	0	0			24	3	0	0
91		5	4		-	2	0.6		0	1	0	0	0	0	20	4	0	0		0
		6	5		-	0	0.7		0	1	0	0	0	0	22	5	1	1		0
		4	3		-	4	0.5		0	1	0	0	0	0	17	2	0	0		0
		3	2		-	6	0.3		0	1	0	0	0		13	1	0	0
90		5	5		-	1	0.3		0	1	0	0	0	0	11	2	0	0		0
		4	4		-	3	0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	9	1	0	0		0
		3	3		-	5	0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	0
		2	2		-	7	0.1			0					4	0	0	0
89		4	5		-	2	0.1		0	0	0	0	0		4	0	0	0		0
		5	6		-	0	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0		0
		3	4		-	4	0.1		0	0	0		0		3	0	0	0
		2	3		-	6	0.0			0					1	0
88		4	6		-	1	0.0		0	0	0	0			1	0	0	0		0
		3	5		-	3	0.0		0	0	0	0			1	0	0	0
		2	4		-	5	0.0			0					0	0	0
87		3	6		-	2	0.0		0	0					0	0		0
		4	7		-	0	0.0			0					0	0	0	0
		2	5		-	4	0.0			0					0	0	0
86		3	7		-	1	0.0			0					0	0
85		3	8		-	0	0.0								0
79	-84						No

Total:							1.1	%	0.5	2.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	31.3	9.7	1.1	0.9	0.0	0.0

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona 0 Nashville 4	-0.2
Buffalo 2 Toronto 1	-0.0
St-Louis 2 Colorado 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Calgary vs San Jose	+0.2+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3
Colorado vs Nashville	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31

101	11	0		-	0		0		34		6	33	27		0	0
100	10	0		-	1		0		20		2	29	47		0	1	0
99	10	1		-	0				12		0	23	61		0	4	0		0	0	0
	9	0		-	2				10		0	20	63	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0	0
98	9	1		-	1				5		0	12	69		0	11	1	0	0	0	0	0
	8	0		-	3				4		0	10	68		0	14	2		0	0	0	0
97	8	1		-	2				2		0	5	65		0	20	6		0	0	0	0	0
	9	2		-	0				2		0	7	68		0	17	5		0	0	0	0	0
	7	0		-	4				1		0	4	61		0	24	8		0	0	1	1	0
96	8	2		-	1				1		0	2	56		0	24	14		0	0	1	2	0
	7	1		-	3				0		0	1	50		0	26	18		0	0	1	3	0
95	7	2		-	2				0			0	37		0	24	29		0	0	2	7	0	0
	8	3		-	0				0			1	43		0	23	26		0	0	2	5	0	0
	6	1		-	4				0			0	31		0	23	33		0	0	2	10	0	0
94	7	3		-	1				0			0	24		0	17	40		0	0	2	15	1	0	0
	6	2		-	3				0			0	19		0	16	42		0	0	2	19	1	0	0
	5	1		-	5				0			0	15			15	43		0	0	2	23	2	0	0
93	6	3		-	2				0			0	11			9	44		0	0	2	29	5	0	0	0
	7	4		-	0				0			0	13			10	44		0	0	2	26	4	0	0
	5	2		-	4				0			0	8			8	42		0	0	2	34	7	0	0	0
92	6	4		-	1				0			0	5			4	38		0	0	1	37	13	2	0	0
	5	3		-	3				0			0	3			3	34		0	0	1	40	16	2	0	0
	4	2		-	5								2			2	30		0	0	1	43	19	3	0	0
91	5	4		-	2								1			1	24		0	0	0	38	28	7	1	0	0
	6	5		-	0								2			1	27		0	0	1	38	25	6	1	0	0
	4	3		-	4								1			1	19		0	0	0	37	31	9	1	0	0
90	5	5		-	1								0			0	13		0	0	0	28	37	17	4	0	0	0
	4	4		-	3								0			0	10		0	0	0	26	38	20	5	0	0	0
	3	3		-	5								0			0	7				0	23	39	23	6	1	0
89	4	5		-	2								0			0	4		0		0	14	35	32	13	2	0	0
	5	6		-	0								0			0	6				0	15	36	30	11	2	0	0
	3	4		-	4								0			0	3				0	11	33	34	16	3	0	0
88	4	6		-	1								0			0	2				0	5	22	36	26	8	1	0	0
	3	5		-	3								0			0	1				0	4	20	35	28	10	1	0	0
	2	4		-	5												0					3	17	34	32	13	2	0
87	3	6		-	2												0				0	1	8	26	36	23	6	1	0	0
	4	7		-	0								0			0	0				0	1	10	28	35	20	5	0	0
	2	5		-	4												0					1	6	23	36	26	7	1	0	0
86	3	7		-	1												0					0	2	13	31	35	16	3	0	0
	2	6		-	3												0					0	2	10	29	37	19	4	0	0
85	2	7		-	2												0					0	0	3	15	35	32	12	2	0	0
	3	8		-	0												0					0	0	4	17	35	31	11	2	0
84	2	8		-	1																		0	1	5	22	37	26	7	1	0
	1	7		-	3																		0	0	4	20	38	28	9	1	0
83	1	8		-	2																			0	1	8	27	37	22	5	0	0
	2	9		-	0																			0	1	9	29	37	20	4	0
82	1	9		-	1																				0	2	13	33	36	15	2	0
81	1	10		-	0																					0	4	20	38	30	7	1	0
80	0	10		-	1																						1	7	28	41	20	3	0
79	0	11		-	0																						0	2	17	38	34	9	0

Total:							0		0		0	1	14	0	0	8	22	0	0	0	1	20	15	9	5	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0