Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.03 to 12.4%
50 points   22 20-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Buffalo-0.2-0.3*-0.1+0.2*+0.2+0.7
Colorado vs Nashville-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0*+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary vs Edmonton-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.3+0.4+1.0
Boston vs Los Angeles+0.6*+0.0*+0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7
San Jose vs Chicago-0.5-0.4-0.3*-0.0*+0.0+0.5
Winnipeg vs Dallas*-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
118340-0In91.0%9424477
110293-2InNo33673*
109283-3InNo17612218*
108284-2InNo664634935*
107274-3InNo331452089*
106264-4InNo1121057181228*
105265-3InNo0117146341482*
104255-4InNo0914304411,026*
103256-3InNo0423715332,181*
102246-4InNo0212816363,984*
101247-3100.0%No11211661007,168*
100237-499.8No0001326817012,578*
99238-399.6No00726724020,660*
98228-498.5No004260321033,186*
97229-396.0No02152414050,319*
96219-491.1No011414981073,387*
952110-382.3No00129521520103,235*
942010-469.5No00195025500140,537*
931910-553.9No001143341110182,337*
921911-437.7No00532402030230,512*
911811-523.6No0221403060278,986*
901812-413.0No01123638121326,198*
891712-56.3No0062744202367,037*
881713-42.7No00319443050400,944*
871613-51.0No0111403990420,837*
861614-40.3No0063246160429,589*
851514-50.1No032449240421,689*
841515-40.0No011649340399,641*
831415-50.0No001045450365,488*
821416-40.0No00638550324,885*
811316-5OutNo03316510278,273*
801317-4OutNo0224741230,443*
791217-5OutNo01178020183,978*
781218-4OutNo0128440142,074*
771118-5OutNo0088750105,552*
761119-4OutNo05878076,085*
751120-3OutNo038512052,672*
741020-4OutNo028117035,546*
731021-3OutNo17622123,008*
72921-4OutNo07028114,049*
71922-3OutNo0613638,409*
70822-4OutNo0544254,814*
69823-3OutNo0454872,703*
68723-4OutNo3949121,373*
67724-3OutNo325216778*
66624-4OutNo185724373*
65625-3OutNo125731165*
64525-4OutNo14563071*
63526-3OutNo4484823*
62527-2OutNo99111*
61427-3OutNo60405*
60428-2OutNo1002*
50034-0OutNo0100477
Total:12.4%0.0%0000004912202628105,758,620

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverWinnipegSan JoseCalgaryLos AngelesDallasColoradoArizonaEdmonton
118340-02.1%14884968962
110293-2No333333
109283-3No2817112222
108284-2No3393206291414
107274-3No31202171271117
106264-42.221211271211610
105265-31.24130223018139
104255-40.64338217016109
103256-31.27443216013860
102246-40.8855041301064
101247-30.8126514110844
100237-40.9167534806320
99238-30.8198525604220
227-50.720953460422
98228-40.624950550321
239-20.72310505503110
97229-30.727104654021100
218-50.8281044540211
96219-40.73111385301110
2210-20.630113963021100
208-60.6311237530110
952110-30.6321231520100000
209-50.6311230520100000
198-70.63212295201100
942010-40.530112251010000
199-60.52910215101000
2111-20.63111245101000
188-80.52910204101000
932011-30.32591641000000
1910-50.32591441000000
189-70.324813310000
2112-10.325916410000
921911-40.219693000000
1810-60.2186830000000
2012-20.32071030000000
911912-30.213452000000
1811-50.2124520000000
1710-70.1124520000000
901812-40.17231000000
1913-20.18331000000
1711-60.1622100000
891813-30.04110000000
881713-40.02000000000
871714-30.0100000000
861614-40.00000000
851615-30.0000000
841515-40.000000
831617-1No0000
821315-6No00
50-81No
Total:0.1%5.11.84.00.80.30.00.20.10.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Nashville+0.0+0.1+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Ottawa vs Arizona+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Winnipeg vs Dallas-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
118340-091324
110293-23367
109283-317392222
108284-26331729349
107274-33102144120
106264-4101714043141801
105265-3012151031153311
104255-400910222204221
103256-3004111126104853
102246-402015231050126
101247-31012191147201000
100237-40000121139301610
99238-3000071129382120
98228-4000402184327510
97229-300201942301140
96219-4010143629198100
952110-30001228242815300
942010-40000181634227100
931910-50001193428153000
921911-4000542828258100
911811-50021202332174100
901812-40101216332610200
891712-5000682732196100
881713-400034173128133000
871613-5001192432239200
861614-400003142930175100
851514-5001720312612300
841515-40003112632217100
831415-50001517302914300
821416-400029243323810
811316-5000415303215300
801317-400017233525710
791217-50031432341420
781218-40017253824500
771118-5003163733100
761119-4001930411710
751120-300422442730
741020-40214413760
731021-30183546100
72921-40042751171
71922-3021953252
70822-411351333
69823-300745416
68723-4044144110
67724-3023549140
66624-412055240
65625-31145332
64525-41552303
63526-344848
62527-2991
61427-3602020
60428-25050
50034-02377
Total:00000000000013266911111111108642000