Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances

Lost to Dallas 3-4 (ot), playoff odds up 0.07 to 55.7%
56 points   23 20-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Nashville 3 Washington 5 +1.6
Colorado 1 Vancouver 3 +1.5
Minnesota 3 Dallas 4 (ot)-1.0
*-0.0
*No
Philadelphia 1 Anaheim 4 -0.5
St. Louis 1 Winnipeg 2 (so)-0.5
Calgary 4 Toronto 3 -0.4
Chicago 0 San Jose 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Arizona vs Vancouver+0.3-0.5-0.4-0.5-0.6+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
114290-0In8.5%9119024,138
113280-1InNo5025254
112281-0InNo67339*
111271-1In1.8595352111*
110261-2InNo446455324*
109262-1In0.134750801,158*
108252-2In0.0258531503,498*
107242-3InNo156542409,822*
106243-2InNo865233024,857*
105233-3In0.0444644157,980*
104234-2InNo23385530127,315*
103224-3InNo12296450257,340*
102225-2InNo01217090493,029*
101215-3InNo001372140884,158*
100216-2100.0%No0087121001,510,652*
99206-3100.0No0056629002,434,730*
98207-2100.0No0025938103,741,334*
97197-3100.0No0015047205,460,831*
96187-4100.0No0041554007,623,927*
95188-399.9No00316170010,161,692*
94178-499.6No0023651200012,970,218*
93179-398.8No015641910015,820,568*
92169-496.9No0105928300018,533,620*
911610-392.6No0650377000020,801,537*
901510-484.6No0338441420022,438,244*
891511-371.8No01254523500023,233,058*
881411-455.0No011440331120023,133,649*
871412-337.0No00730382050022,128,797*
861312-421.3No031837301120020,356,123*
851313-310.2No01929362050018,006,940*
841213-44.1No004183530111015,327,713*
831214-31.3No00192836214012,540,047*
821114-40.3No00041836311009,869,094*
811115-30.1No00011030391817,466,419*
801015-40.0No000421422935,432,690*
791016-30.0No00213394163,790,718*
78916-40.0No00173150122,548,598*
77917-3OutNo0032255201,636,947*
76817-4OutNo0011456291,012,670*
75818-3OutNo0085140598,658*
74819-2OutNo0044452338,230*
73719-3OutNo0023662183,565*
72720-2OutNo01287194,683*
71620-3OutNo00207946,622*
70621-2OutNo0148521,550*
69521-3OutNo010909,768*
68522-2OutNo5953,987*
67422-3OutNo4961,610*
66423-2OutNo199611*
65323-3OutNo100211*
64324-2OutNo39769*
62-63OutNo10019*
56029-0OutNo010024,138
Total:55.7%0.0%0008262115118631291,188,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupChicagoDallasLos AngelesSt. LouisSan JoseAnaheimNashvilleColoradoVancouverArizonaCalgaryWinnipegEdmonton
114290-02.7%8101224381766240
113280-125.025252525
112281-0No22115611
111271-10.9281091124165223
110261-21.5321511112182225
109262-12.03717014011492212
108252-22.041210131111622110
107242-31.94626013017311110
106243-21.9493001200420100
105233-31.75033111002100000
104234-21.75135210001100000
103224-31.6503549101000000
102225-21.649356810000000
101215-31.6473510620000000
100216-21.6443414521000000
99206-31.64032204310000000
98207-21.63629263410000000
97197-31.63227322510000000
96187-41.62824381620000000
95188-31.62522431720000000
177-51.62522431720000000
94178-41.62221471720000000
189-21.62221461720000000
93179-31.62120471720000000
168-51.62120471720000000
1810-11.62120471720000000
92169-41.62121451720000000
1710-21.62121461720000000
911610-31.52222411610000000
159-51.52222401610000000
1711-11.52222411610000000
901510-41.32223331510000000
1611-21.42223351510000000
149-61.32222321410000000
891511-31.12122251310000000
1410-51.12121241310000000
1612-11.12122251310000000
881411-40.81718160200000000
1512-20.91818170200000000
871412-30.61313100100000000
861312-40.38850000000000
851313-30.24420000000000
841314-20.12210000000000
831214-30.0110000000000
821215-20.0000000000000
811115-30.00000000000
801116-20.000000
791016-30.00000
781017-2No00
56-77No
Total:0.9%15.214.721.30.63.10.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 3 Dallas 4 (ot)+0.1
Nashville 3 Washington 5 -0.1
Colorado 1 Vancouver 3 -0.1
St. Louis 1 Winnipeg 2 (so)+0.0
WednesdayNone

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
114290-088210900
113280-1502525
112281-06733
111271-125753412
110261-244604515
109262-10346249180
108252-2025525030150
107242-3154250502400
106243-283345703300
105233-30422361010440010
104234-2212251210541030
103224-31011512206220500
102225-2001811206550900
101215-300038206210001400
100216-20001511531710200000
99206-30000311402510281000
98207-20000101263120353100
97197-30000000143330398200
96187-4000006313138174000
95188-30000022432332961000
94178-400000162423421020000
93179-300001014135212710000
92169-400005145541216210000
911610-30002032489284210000
901510-40010203853965310000
891511-30001025244599410000
881411-40001014040391412510000
871412-300000703016152014510000
861312-400003018031021231551000
851313-3001090141425251451000
841213-400040016182825134100
831214-3001000282029251230000
821114-400000021023302392000
811115-30000003122631206100
801015-4000001516303015300
791016-3000017223426910
78916-4000021229341840
77917-30015203629101
76817-4002113037183
75818-300052138297
74819-200212343814
73719-3016264424
72720-2003184535
71620-3001104148
70621-2053461
69521-3032671
68522-211881
67422-301387
66423-2694
65323-3496
64324-21197
62-63100
56029-00100
Total:00000000251162031823466654322100