Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 73.3%
24 points   12 9-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Edmonton 0 New Jersey 2 +0.1
Pittsburgh 4 NY Islanders 5 (so)+0.1
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win Stanley Cup100.0*Pres Trophy
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 -3.0
-0.2
-0.9
Calgary 5 New Jersey 4 (so)-0.2
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 -0.2
Colorado 4 Carolina 3 -0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 -0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)*-0.1
NY Islanders 4 Pittsburgh 1 +0.2
Toronto 4 Detroit 1 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresDivision seedConference seed (wildcard race)
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy1a1b23WCbWCa910111213141516Count
127-146InYes1005,778*
126487-6In99.0%1001200*
125488-5In98.5100477*
124478-6In98.81000911*
123479-5In96.6100001,628*
122469-6In95.6100003,150*
1214610-5In92.899005,480*
1204510-6In90.199019,470*
1194511-5In86.49812015,814*
1184411-6In81.19612026,442*
1174412-5In74.79424041,977*
1164312-6In67.89235065,009*
1154313-5In58.788480099,069*
1144213-6In49.58461000146,317*
1134214-5In39.47781410211,514*
1124114-6In29.470111910296,865*
1114014-7In20.561132420409,813*
1104015-6In13.251162930551,552*
1093915-7In7.5411935500726,698*
1083916-6In3.8312040800932,440*
1073816-7In1.722214412101,175,279*
1063817-6In0.615204717201,448,437*
1053717-7In0.29184723301,743,704*
1043718-6100.0%0.051546295002,062,022*
1033618-7100.00.021243358002,386,175*
1023619-6100.00.018374012002,700,457*
1013519-7100.00.0063144181002,999,958*
1003520-699.9No0425452420003,261,671*
993420-799.8No0218453050003,481,216*
983421-699.3No0113413591003,638,483*
973321-798.1No0193638152003,734,763*
963322-695.5No00530372240003,750,344*
953222-790.7No0324343081003,699,338*
943223-683.0No02182836152003,580,308*
933123-772.4No01122138225003,397,295*
923124-659.3No008143730101003,162,724*
913024-745.4No00593236163002,891,166*
903025-632.1No00352538236102,588,170*
892925-721.0No0012173731101002,276,273*
882926-612.6No011113236163001,969,211*
872826-76.9No00062538236001,669,317*
862827-63.5No000318373010101,388,364*
852727-71.6No000212333616201,131,965*
842728-60.7No001727392240907,423*
832628-70.3No000420392980711,611*
822629-60.1No0002143536121549,805*
812529-70.0No00193040181416,486*
802530-60.0No00052442263309,393*
792430-70.0No0031842334225,434*
782431-60.0No0011238407162,113*
772331-7OutNo018344711113,881*
762332-6OutNo00528511677,809*
752232-7OutNo0322542252,834*
742233-6OutNo00216542835,090*
732133-7OutNo0112523522,805*
722134-6OutNo08494314,638*
712034-7OutNo0544509,053*
702035-6OutNo0339595,639*
691935-7OutNo0234643,345*
681936-6OutNo127721,984*
671836-7OutNo0122771,155*
661837-6OutNo02080601*
651737-7OutNo1882398*
641738-6OutNo1388216*
631739-5OutNo158598*
621639-6OutNo118955*
611640-5OutNo59522*
59-60OutNo10021*
581239-10OutNo17836*
24-57OutNo1005,581*
Total:73.3%1.1%4414211614118521067,314,740

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPWL-OTWin CupNashvilleSt. LouisAnaheimChicagoVancouverLos AngelesCalgaryWinnipegSan JoseDallasArizonaColoradoEdmonton
146610-06.8%69613871114117440
132525-4No333333
131526-316.717331733
130516-47.781515883188
129506-55.010151510101010155
128507-47.4211417661119242
127497-58.77789671117101245
126487-65.54127117413207864
125488-59.069812871015107340
124478-66.761061178917108340
123479-57.859613971016118330
122469-66.86107128791797340
1214610-57.469712881116107330
1204510-67.169612881117107330
1194511-57.361061388101698330
1184411-66.961061288101697330
1174412-56.961061288101697330
1164312-66.971161387101697330
1154313-56.97126148791687330
1144213-66.98136157791587330
1134214-56.79145167791486230
1124114-66.611155176681476230
1114014-76.512175186671365220
1104015-66.414194195571255220
1093915-76.216214215561154120
1083916-66.119233234451044120
1073816-75.92125324334933110
1063817-65.82226325334823110
1053717-75.62427226333722110
1043718-65.52528326333612010
1033618-75.42528326333612010
1023619-65.32527426333612010
1013519-75.22527525443512010
1003520-65.12426623554511010
993420-75.12424722665511000
983421-65.02323920775411000
973321-75.023211018876311000
963322-64.822191117886301000
953222-74.622171115886201000
943223-64.221151013876200000
933123-73.61913911775100000
923124-63.0161188654100000
913024-72.213866443000000
903025-61.69644332000000
892925-71.06433221000000
882926-60.64222111000000
872826-70.32111110000000
862827-60.21100000000000
852727-70.11000000000000
842728-60.00000000000000
832628-70.0000000000000
822629-60.000000000
812529-70.000000000
802530-60.0000000
792430-7No000
782431-6No00
24-77No
Total:3.9%17.516.55.814.84.74.53.83.40.81.10.20.40.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 Minnesota 1 +0.7
Ottawa 2 St. Louis 3 +0.1
Edmonton 1 Chicago 7 +0.1
Nashville 3 Florida 2 (so)+0.1

What If

This isn't your lottery pick because it does not factor in ping pong balls.
It's the final seed that gets you the ping pong balls.
The top 16 seeds are wrong, just ignore them for now.

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-146100
126487-69911
125488-5991
124478-69910
123479-597300
122469-696400
1214610-593600
1204510-690901
1194511-586111020
1184411-6811510200
1174412-575202040
1164312-6682430500
1154313-559294080000
1144213-6493460100000
1134214-5393880140010
1124114-629401011810100
1114014-721401222210200
1104015-6133813326303000
1093915-77341452951050000
1083916-64271373082080000
1073816-72211192912301200100
1063817-61149112516601600200
1053717-7096121920812110300
1043718-6054111221111252105000
1033618-7022107201332852080000
1023619-6011831613527940120000
1013519-700051121172313801711000
1003520-60030789171712021220000
993420-700204510101815125550000
983421-6001023951618325990100
973321-700101172131752315141200
963322-600000050814717201934000
953222-70000304109112322881000
943223-60002026952321151330000
933123-700010138219162218820000
923124-60000002611410272014510000
913024-7000000140852718201241000
903025-6000003052231322191031000
892925-700001021177182418930000
882926-6000101011312222417720000
872826-700000006161625241561000
862827-600000030292026221241000
852727-70000020141223272092000
842728-60010016162626176100
832628-700000029202824124100
822629-60000014122429208200
812529-70000016172827154000
802530-6000003102330239200
792430-70001516292915400
782431-60000210243323710
772331-700151732301320
762332-600021127342050
752232-7001621352891
742233-6003143334142
732133-70192838213
722134-60052239286
712034-70316363510
702035-6019344115
691935-717294420
681936-603224430
671836-702174734
661837-601114641
651737-7194051
641738-663856
631739-523959
621639-62971
611539-71486
601540-69982
591541-51090
581239-101783
571543-35050
24061-0100
Total:131344337563987754433221110000