How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -3.0
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+32.1+2.0-6.7
+1.4+0.2-0.3
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+27.8-1.5-9.3
+1.2+0.0-0.5
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-3.1+3.2+5.4
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Resende vs Boavista-3.2+2.7+4.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-5.0+0.4+2.2
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-3.9+1.3+2.9
-0.2+0.0+0.2
Madureira vs Fluminense+3.5+1.5-3.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Fluminense vs Macae-3.1+1.6+3.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-5.2-0.4+1.3
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense+1.8-0.4-4.6
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+1.7-0.5-4.6
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo-1.4*+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.0+0.0
Bangu vs Macae-0.7+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae vs Volta Redonda-12.1-6.9+16.2
-0.7-0.3+0.9
Botafogo vs Resende+1.9+0.0-5.2
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+2.5+0.3-4.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa+2.8+1.3-4.0
+0.2+0.0-0.2
Fluminense vs Flamengo-4.7-0.7+1.4
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.2+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Volta Redonda finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
123-0-099.5%881110231,530
102-1-086.9483912100873,408
92-0-172.13042225002,085,435
81-2-044.611343616301,010,189
71-1-116.721534351414,655,352
61-0-25.10521413025,290,859
0-3-03.7031841343344,961
50-2-10.80183250102,278,120
40-1-20.0011258294,885,477
30-0-3Out154453,399,301
Total:16.1%6101622331325,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-2.2-0.1+0.8
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-2.4-0.3+0.6
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.3-0.0-0.0
Bangu vs Macae+0.1-0.2+0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.2+0.0-0.0
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.2-0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.1+0.0+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Fluminense+0.1-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Macae vs Volta Redonda+1.6+0.4-1.8
Madureira vs Bangu+0.1-0.2+0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.1-0.0+0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
123-0-0838421100
102-1-002184827500
92-0-1003274223500
81-2-0005254124400
71-1-100215373311100
61-0-20021537331110
0-3-0011237381210
50-2-101103540131
40-1-2006335011
30-0-376132
Total:00146712161414207