How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Madureira vs Fluminense+0.6-0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.3-0.3+0.4
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.4+0.1-0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.4+0.0-0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.5+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.4+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.2+0.1+0.3
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.1+0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Resende vs Boavista+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1+0.0-0.2
Bangu vs Macae+0.2+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.0+0.3
Madureira vs Bangu+0.2-0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Botafogo vs Resende-0.2+0.1+0.3
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.2+0.0+0.2
Macae vs Volta Redonda-0.2+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Madureira finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
103-0-04.0%042959801,656,591
82-1-00.207612933,019,820
72-0-10.0013947124,610,735
61-2-0Out02253251,794,696
51-1-1Out01248405,333,748
41-0-2Out0232663,825,054
0-3-0Out2080346,103
30-2-1Out16841,494,652
20-1-2Out8922,065,760
10-0-3Out298907,473
Total:0.3%00323334025,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Madureira vs Fluminense-1.9+0.2+1.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+1.4+0.5-1.6
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.3+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.2+0.0-0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.2+0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.0+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
Fluminense vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Madureira vs Bangu-1.1+0.8+1.8
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.1+0.0+0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
103-0-001155327300
82-1-0009363815200
72-0-10031938299100
61-2-003163734910
51-1-1001123837111
41-0-206334713
0-3-0196714
30-2-135641
20-1-22080
10-0-3298
Total:001579101113141615