How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 1/16 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Volta Redonda 0 Flamengo 2 +9.6 +1.2 Madureira 2 Macae 2 +0.6 +0.1 Botafogo 2 Portuguesa 2 +0.6 +0.1 Nova Iguacu 1 Cabofriense 1 +0.6 +0.1 Vasco da Gama 0 Bangu 2 -0.3 -0.0 Boavista 3 Fluminense 1 -0.2 -0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Flamengo vs Cabofriense +12.4-5.5-13.2 +0.9-0.3-1.0 Bangu vs Volta Redonda -1.4+1.3+1.4 -0.0+0.1+0.0 Boavista vs Macae -1.1+1.3+0.5 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu +0.3+0.8-0.7 +0.0+0.1-0.0 Fluminense vs Botafogo +0.2+0.8-0.6 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Portuguesa vs Madureira -0.3+1.0-0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 1/23 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Flamengo vs Bangu +14.5-4.2-13.2 +1.0-0.3-0.9 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama +10.7-6.7-13.5 +0.8-0.4-1.1 Bangu vs Nova Iguacu -1.2+1.4+0.6 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Madureira vs Boavista +0.5+1.3-1.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Botafogo vs Boavista +0.5+1.3-1.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Volta Redonda vs Cabofriense +0.3+0.8-0.7 +0.0+0.1-0.0 Fluminense vs Portuguesa +0.2+0.8-0.7 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Cabofriense vs Vasco da Gama -0.6+0.8+0.3 -0.0+0.1+0.0 Nova Iguacu vs Volta Redonda -0.6+0.8+0.3 -0.0+0.1+0.0 Madureira vs Fluminense -0.6+0.8+0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Macae vs Portuguesa -0.3+1.0-0.4 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Macae vs Botafogo -0.3+1.0-0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0

## What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 33 10 - 0 - 0 In 100 503,619 31 9 - 1 - 0 In 100 0 1,445,929 30 9 - 0 - 1 In 100 0 1,993,715 29 8 - 2 - 0 In 100 0 3,635,491 28 8 - 1 - 1 100.0 % 99 1 0 10,015,004 27 8 - 0 - 2 100.0 97 3 0 6,882,239 7 - 3 - 0 100.0 98 2 0 5,410,948 26 7 - 2 - 1 100.0 95 5 0 0 22,330,401 25 7 - 1 - 2 99.8 89 10 0 0 0 30,705,779 6 - 4 - 0 99.9 92 8 0 0 5,276,376 24 6 - 3 - 1 99.4 83 16 1 0 0 29,042,048 7 - 0 - 3 99.2 82 18 1 0 0 14,050,795 23 6 - 2 - 2 97.4 69 28 3 0 0 59,839,141 5 - 5 - 0 97.8 71 26 2 0 0 3,532,460 22 6 - 1 - 3 91.8 52 40 8 0 0 0 54,745,607 5 - 4 - 1 92.5 53 39 7 0 0 24,250,821 21 5 - 3 - 2 81.0 34 47 17 2 0 0 66,571,429 6 - 0 - 4 81.7 35 47 16 2 0 0 20,410,444 * 20 5 - 2 - 3 60.0 17 43 31 8 1 0 0 91,342,533 4 - 5 - 1 59.5 16 43 32 8 1 0 0 13,502,810 19 5 - 1 - 4 35.0 6 29 40 20 4 0 0 0 62,593,915 4 - 4 - 2 33.7 6 28 40 21 4 0 0 0 46,821,121 * 18 4 - 3 - 3 12.8 1 12 33 36 15 3 0 0 0 84,620,455 5 - 0 - 5 14.1 1 13 35 35 14 2 0 0 0 17,144,013 3 - 6 - 1 11.3 1 10 33 37 16 3 0 0 5,007,951 17 4 - 2 - 4 2.5 0 2 15 35 32 13 2 0 0 0 86,936,123 3 - 5 - 2 1.9 0 2 13 33 34 15 2 0 0 20,706,259 * 16 4 - 1 - 5 0.2 0 0 3 17 36 31 11 2 0 0 47,560,319 3 - 4 - 3 0.2 0 0 3 15 34 33 13 2 0 0 48,205,682 * 15 3 - 3 - 4 0.0 0 0 0 3 16 34 32 13 2 0 0 64,334,617 4 - 0 - 6 0.0 0 0 3 18 37 30 10 1 0 0 10,833,051 2 - 6 - 2 0.0 0 0 2 13 33 35 15 2 0 0 5,737,931 * 14 3 - 2 - 5 Out 0 0 3 16 35 32 12 2 0 0 52,771,983 2 - 5 - 3 Out 0 0 2 13 32 35 15 3 0 0 15,827,227 * 13 2 - 4 - 4 Out 0 0 0 3 14 34 34 13 2 0 26,771,566 3 - 1 - 6 Out 0 0 0 3 17 36 31 11 1 0 24,941,173 * 12 2 - 3 - 5 Out 0 0 0 3 17 37 31 10 1 29,259,049 3 - 0 - 7 Out 0 0 4 20 39 29 7 0 4,695,354 * 1 - 6 - 3 Out 0 0 0 2 14 35 35 13 1 2,897,331 11 2 - 2 - 6 Out 0 0 0 5 23 41 26 5 19,977,474 1 - 5 - 4 Out 0 0 0 3 19 40 31 7 6,003,543 * 10 1 - 4 - 5 Out 0 0 1 7 30 44 18 8,113,019 2 - 1 - 7 Out 0 0 1 9 33 43 15 8,016,340 * 9 1 - 3 - 6 Out 0 0 2 16 47 35 9,248,279 * 8 1 - 2 - 7 Out 0 0 0 6 38 56 5,204,783 * 7 1 - 1 - 8 Out 0 2 25 74 2,488,057 * 6 0 - 3 - 7 Out 0 0 14 86 1,015,845 * 5 0 - 2 - 8 Out 0 6 93 405,612 4 0 - 1 - 9 Out 0 3 97 122,715 3 0 - 0 - 10 Out 1 99 262,112 Total: 38.3 % 22 16 13 11 9 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1,184,010,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs