How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-14.3-5.2+4.6
-0.5-0.2+0.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+5.2-3.3-12.0
+0.2-0.1-0.4
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+4.2+2.4-3.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+4.3+2.7-2.7
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-2.6+2.7+4.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+4.4+3.0-2.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+4.6+3.3-1.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.2+0.1-0.8
Resende vs Boavista+0.2+0.1-0.6
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Fluminense vs Macae+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo-13.4-4.5+4.8
-0.4-0.2+0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-3.4+2.1+3.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-2.6+2.6+4.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.3+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flamengo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
183-0-0In1005,745,305
162-1-099.5%881206,752,786
152-0-198.1752424,187,268
141-2-094.9603552,650,718
131-1-182.134481803,271,963
121-0-273.42450260994,971
0-3-069.02049301344,944
110-2-150.3941472637,839
100-1-226.3324581410386,798
90-0-316.111561212082,040
Total:92.5%7121700025,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.3+0.1+0.6
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.6+0.2-0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-0.1-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-0.1-0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.7+0.2-0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+0.1-0.1-0.1
Botafogo vs Resende+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
183-0-0100
162-1-088120
152-0-174242
141-2-060355
131-1-127492310
121-0-2134237700
0-3-015463630
110-2-12215024300
100-1-202184030810
90-0-3021637321110
Total:70207210000