How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -4.5
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+18.6-20.2-31.2
+0.6-0.6-1.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-9.9+2.0+28.9
-0.3+0.1+0.9
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-9.9+0.1+4.7
-0.3+0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-10.8-0.9+2.7
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Portuguesa vs Madureira-7.4+2.5+5.4
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Resende vs Boavista-5.3+3.9+7.3
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Madureira vs Fluminense+6.2+3.5-6.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Fluminense vs Macae-6.0+3.6+6.3
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs Fluminense+3.1*+0.0-8.9
+0.1+0.0-0.3
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-9.3*+0.0+1.7
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-8.1+1.0+2.5
-0.3+0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-2.3-0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Bangu vs Macae-1.0+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-15.1-2.6+27.4
-0.5-0.1+0.8
Botafogo vs Resende+4.0-0.6-10.4
+0.1-0.0-0.3
Boavista vs Portuguesa+5.4+2.4-7.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Fluminense vs Flamengo-9.3-0.7+2.4
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+3.2+2.2-4.6
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Madureira vs Bangu+0.4+0.2-1.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vasco da Gama finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
143-0-0In991748,634
122-1-099.5%8712001,917,066
112-0-198.480192003,846,550
101-2-085.64541132001,497,814
91-1-174.33143214005,667,267
81-0-256.518393111105,122,435
0-3-045.71134361620345,171
70-2-115.221334361311,787,238
60-1-26.10623412732,832,555
50-0-31.90212364191,289,902
Total:61.7%362618136125,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-1.1+1.0+2.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.6-0.1-1.8
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.2-0.0-0.0
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.1-0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1-0.1-0.0
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.0-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.1-0.0
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.1-0.1-0.0
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.0-0.1+0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.1-0.1+0.0
Bangu vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-0.1-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+1.0+0.2-1.8
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2-0.0-0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.0-0.1+0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.0-0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
143-0-0454510
122-1-0327492010
112-0-1094144500
101-2-000739391210
91-1-1022444265000
81-0-206264023500
0-3-0011237371210
70-2-1018283821400
60-1-201933401620
50-0-300183243151
Total:2511171916988410