"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nova Iguacu 1 Cabofriense 1 -2.7
-0.3
Botafogo 2 Portuguesa 2 +0.6
+0.1
Madureira 2 Macae 2 +0.6
+0.1
Volta Redonda 0 Flamengo 2 -0.2
-0.0
Vasco da Gama 0 Bangu 2 -0.2
-0.0
Boavista 3 Fluminense 1 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Flamengo vs Cabofriense-6.0-1.9+9.8
-0.9-0.2+1.3
Bangu vs Volta Redonda-0.7+0.7+0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Boavista vs Macae-0.6+0.7+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.4-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Botafogo+0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.1+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Volta Redonda vs Cabofriense-6.1-3.2+6.9
-1.1-0.4+1.1
Cabofriense vs Vasco da Gama+6.4-3.5-6.4
+1.1-0.4-1.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.7+0.7+0.7
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Bangu vs Nova Iguacu-0.6+0.7+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Madureira vs Boavista+0.3+0.6-0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Botafogo vs Boavista+0.3+0.6-0.6
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Flamengo vs Bangu-0.3+0.8-0.3
Nova Iguacu vs Volta Redonda-0.4+0.4+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Portuguesa+0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.3+0.4+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Macae vs Portuguesa-0.1+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Macae vs Botafogo-0.1+0.5-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Cabofriense finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
3110-0-0In1000316,895
299-1-0In1000455,004
289-0-1100.0%9910729,941
278-2-0100.098201,304,807
268-1-1100.094604,170,793
258-0-299.78812005,535,677*
247-2-199.0792010010,572,476
237-1-296.4653140016,852,372
6-4-096.866303002,454,958
226-3-189.647421010015,653,444
7-0-389.04643101008,934,871
216-2-276.4294721300039,229,732*
206-1-354.11441341010039,583,589
5-4-152.61340351110014,870,411
195-3-227.64244025610047,271,129
6-0-429.24254024600016,696,288*
185-2-39.919303719400075,048,643
4-5-18.41829392040009,404,191
175-1-41.70213333515300059,515,134
4-4-21.20110313618300037,694,378*
164-3-30.100213323516300078,954,169
5-0-50.10021534331320018,851,325
3-6-10.1002123336152003,962,584
154-2-40.00021433331420093,800,607
3-5-20.00011132361730018,936,544*
144-1-50.000031534331320059,384,851
3-4-3Out0021231361730050,854,836*
133-3-4Out0002143334142078,786,561
4-0-6Out0003173632111015,641,267
2-6-2Out00212333615205,958,050*
123-2-5Out000317373210174,689,636
2-5-3Out000214353513118,979,610*
113-1-6Out0005234126539,312,808
2-4-4Out0003194031638,234,248*
102-3-5Out001730441846,947,777
3-0-7Out00193342158,855,757
1-6-3Out0062846203,956,319*
92-2-6Out00216473537,010,025
1-5-4Out0011346409,430,390*
82-1-7Out006395516,650,160
1-4-5Out005356015,080,888*
71-3-6Out001237615,465,663
2-0-8Out00225744,250,565*
61-2-7Out00128712,278,369*
51-1-8Out06944,094,853
0-4-6Out04962,419,608
40-3-7Out02982,889,184*
30-2-8Out1991,278,071
20-1-9Out0100445,798
10-0-10Out0100315,232
Total:12.7%6789999999871,184,010,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs