How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.1
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-1.5-0.6+5.3
-0.3+0.1+0.7
Resende vs Boavista-1.6-0.8+4.1
-0.3+0.0+0.6
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+1.6+0.5-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+1.5+0.4-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bangu vs Botafogo+1.7+0.9-0.5
+0.1+0.1-0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+1.6+0.7-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.7+0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.7+0.2-0.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.1+0.6
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Macae+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.2+0.1-0.2
Bangu vs Macae+0.2+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boavista vs Portuguesa+2.2-1.2-1.7
+0.5-0.1-0.5
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.9+0.3+1.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.7+0.6+1.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.7+0.1-0.2
Macae vs Volta Redonda-0.2+0.1+0.2
Madureira vs Bangu-0.1+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Boavista finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
133-0-043.4%6374214461,914
112-1-011.501143461,307,257
102-0-13.4032862602,777,826
91-2-00.8115741001,197,337
81-1-10.206662524,964,662
71-0-20.0024642105,092,691
0-3-0Out1414613345,777
60-2-1Out03249192,090,035
50-1-2Out01547374,139,079
40-0-3Out0636592,678,054
Total:1.8%02842311725,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Resende vs Boavista+1.1-0.2-2.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.9-0.3-2.3
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.3+0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.2
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.1-0.0+0.2
Bangu vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.0
Portuguesa vs Madureira-0.0-0.1+0.1
Fluminense vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
Madureira vs Fluminense+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Boavista vs Portuguesa-1.6+0.4+1.6
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.1-0.1-0.0
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.0+0.0+0.1
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
133-0-063743150
112-1-0083849500
102-0-101114833700
91-2-003324318300
81-1-10052440246000
71-0-20110313718300
0-3-000418333013200
60-2-101931411720
50-1-20042848191
40-0-305345010
Total:0141111121312131491