How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -2.4
-0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Macae-0.3-0.2+0.6
-0.3-0.1+0.5
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.4+0.1-0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.4+0.0-0.2
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.4+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.4+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Bangu vs Macae-0.3-0.2+0.2
-0.5-0.2+0.3
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.2+0.1+0.3
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.1+0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Resende vs Boavista+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.2+0.0-0.2
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.2+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.4-0.2-0.3
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.2+0.0+0.3
Botafogo vs Resende-0.2+0.1+0.3
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.2+0.0+0.2
Madureira vs Bangu-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Macae finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
103-0-03.9%042959801,508,984
82-1-00.207612932,844,138
72-0-10.0013847134,487,554
61-2-0Out02152261,742,894
51-1-1Out01147415,356,370
41-0-2Out0230673,998,973
0-3-0Out1981345,702
30-2-1Out15851,543,604
20-1-2Out8922,217,421
10-0-3Out2981,008,992
Total:0.3%00322334325,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +1.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fluminense vs Macae+1.1+0.2-1.9
Bangu vs Macae+1.8+0.8-1.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.1+0.0-0.1
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.2+0.0-0.0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.0+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.0+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Fluminense+0.1-0.1-0.0
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Macae vs Volta Redonda-1.7+0.4+1.4
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.1+0.0+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.1-0.1-0.0
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
103-0-001145129400
82-1-0008344016200
72-0-10031838309100
61-2-0003183930910
51-1-1001133737111
41-0-204295314
0-3-097318
30-2-135642
20-1-21981
10-0-3298
Total:001468101112141716