How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.8
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Botafogo vs Fluminense+14.3-13.0-25.2
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-27.2-15.4+11.7
-0.6-0.3+0.3
Bangu vs Botafogo-28.9-17.5+9.3
-0.7-0.4+0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+17.5+7.7-11.9
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+18.7+9.0-10.5
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+6.2+2.5-2.1
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-2.3+1.7+5.3
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.6+0.3-2.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.6+0.3-1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.2+0.1+0.1
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1+0.1-0.2
Portuguesa vs Madureira+0.1+0.1-0.1
Bangu vs Macae*+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Resende+14.6-12.7-25.0
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-13.1+6.3+16.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Fluminense vs Flamengo+5.7+2.2-2.2
+0.2+0.1-0.1
Boavista vs Portuguesa-0.8+0.4+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Macae vs Volta Redonda-0.1+0.1+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu-0.1+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Botafogo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
164-0-097.4%603733,384,215
143-1-083.82262165,368,901
133-0-164.410553503,496,394
122-2-045.52435413,191,408
112-1-131.31306534,120,360
102-0-213.80146817101,282,914
1-3-07.708672320840,906
91-2-15.566626301,610,376
81-1-21.924740111993,905
0-4-00.51394514182,670
70-3-1Out1543348209,797
1-0-30.202244286192,724
60-2-2Out10383912191,604
50-1-3Out321453173,337
40-0-4Out06345915,121
Total:52.4%15383972025,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+1.4+0.6-0.5
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.6+0.4+1.3
Bangu vs Botafogo+1.4+0.7-0.4
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-0.2-0.1+0.1
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-0.1-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-0.1-0.1+0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
Fluminense vs Macae+0.1-0.1-0.0
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.0-0.1+0.1
Resende vs Boavista+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Resende-0.6+0.4+1.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+0.1-0.1-0.0
Fluminense vs Flamengo-0.0-0.1+0.0
Boavista vs Portuguesa+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
164-0-060373
143-1-0216217
133-0-18513920
122-2-013856400
112-1-10145527400
102-0-201204030810
1-3-01274423400
91-2-106284022400
81-1-20031837311010
0-4-0011137381210
70-3-1001726392350
1-0-3017263723600
60-2-200525422340
50-1-3032043304
40-0-401124443
Total:1433281164211000