How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 -4.8
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portuguesa vs Botafogo+36.1+3.7-9.1
+1.2+0.2-0.3
Portuguesa vs Madureira+25.6-8.1-18.9
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista-5.0+5.6+8.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu-8.3-0.2+4.1
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Resende vs Boavista-4.9+3.6+6.7
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Madureira vs Fluminense+5.9+2.4-5.3
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Fluminense vs Macae-5.2+2.5+6.0
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Botafogo vs Fluminense+3.1-0.8-7.9
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama+2.5-0.3-7.6
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo-6.8-0.7+1.5
-0.3-0.1+0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu-5.8*+0.0+2.1
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo-2.1-0.1+0.3
-0.2-0.0+0.0
Bangu vs Macae-1.1+0.2+0.4
-0.2+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Boavista vs Portuguesa-18.8-7.8+25.9
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Botafogo vs Resende+3.5-0.8-8.6
+0.1-0.0-0.3
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama+3.8+0.9-7.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Fluminense vs Flamengo-8.2-1.4+2.4
-0.3-0.0+0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+2.7+1.3-3.4
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Madureira vs Bangu+0.4+0.2-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456Count
133-0-099.8%94600449,444
112-1-096.067284001,382,595
102-0-187.04740121003,049,269
91-2-063.82242287101,244,362
81-1-141.59323818205,111,137
71-0-217.921636341115,045,887
0-3-010.61103241161345,035
60-2-13.00317423442,045,719
50-1-20.60173347113,919,953
40-0-30.0011554302,461,231
Total:33.4%1519212218525,054,632
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/23100.0*Lottery seed
Macae 1 Resende 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Portuguesa vs Madureira-1.8+0.2+1.5
Portuguesa vs Botafogo-2.4-0.4+0.7
Volta Redonda vs Flamengo+0.3+0.1-0.1
Volta Redonda vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama-0.1+0.0+0.2
Resende vs Nova Iguacu+0.2+0.0-0.1
Bangu vs Macae-0.0-0.1+0.1
Botafogo vs Fluminense-0.1-0.0+0.1
Vasco da Gama vs Boavista+0.1-0.1-0.0
Resende vs Boavista+0.1-0.1-0.0
Madureira vs Fluminense-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bangu vs Botafogo+0.1-0.0-0.0
Fluminense vs Macae+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/1100.0*Lottery seed
Boavista vs Portuguesa+1.5+0.3-1.8
Fluminense vs Flamengo+0.2+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Resende-0.1+0.0+0.2
Nova Iguacu vs Vasco da Gama-0.1-0.0+0.1
Macae vs Volta Redonda+0.0-0.1+0.1
Madureira vs Bangu+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112
133-0-07483960
112-1-0084043800
102-0-1001045359100
91-2-002234327600
81-1-10032039308100
71-0-20111303619300
0-3-0011035391320
60-2-100730422020
50-1-20032249241
40-0-3002255617
Total:01410111313121112102