How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 1/16 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Botafogo 2 Portuguesa 2 -2.7 -0.3 Nova Iguacu 1 Cabofriense 1 +0.6 +0.1 Madureira 2 Macae 2 +0.6 +0.1 Volta Redonda 0 Flamengo 2 -0.2 -0.0 Vasco da Gama 0 Bangu 2 -0.2 -0.0 Boavista 3 Fluminense 1 -0.2 -0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Portuguesa vs Madureira +7.6-3.0-6.3 +1.2-0.3-1.1 Bangu vs Volta Redonda -0.7+0.7+0.7 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Flamengo vs Cabofriense -0.6+0.7+0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Boavista vs Macae -0.6+0.7+0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Fluminense vs Botafogo +0.1+0.4-0.4 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Vasco da Gama vs Nova Iguacu +0.2+0.4-0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 If winner is:HomeDrawAway Week of 1/23 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Macae vs Portuguesa -6.0-2.6+8.3 -1.0-0.3+1.2 Fluminense vs Portuguesa -6.1-3.0+7.4 -1.0-0.3+1.2 Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama -0.7+0.7+0.7 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Bangu vs Nova Iguacu -0.6+0.7+0.3 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Madureira vs Boavista +0.3+0.7-0.6 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Botafogo vs Boavista +0.2+0.7-0.6 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Flamengo vs Bangu -0.3+0.8-0.3 Macae vs Botafogo -0.1+0.5-0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Volta Redonda vs Cabofriense +0.2+0.4-0.4 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Nova Iguacu vs Volta Redonda -0.3+0.4+0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Cabofriense vs Vasco da Gama -0.3+0.4+0.2 -0.0+0.1-0.0 Madureira vs Fluminense -0.3+0.4+0.1 -0.0+0.1-0.0

## What If

Chances based on how well the Portuguesa finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W - D - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Count 31 10 - 0 - 0 In 100 0 318,019 29 9 - 1 - 0 In 100 0 459,827 28 9 - 0 - 1 100.0 % 99 1 0 735,523 27 8 - 2 - 0 100.0 98 2 0 1,318,462 26 8 - 1 - 1 100.0 94 6 0 0 4,207,307 25 8 - 0 - 2 99.7 88 12 0 0 5,583,361 * 24 7 - 2 - 1 99.0 80 19 1 0 0 10,676,052 23 7 - 1 - 2 96.4 65 31 4 0 0 16,986,092 6 - 4 - 0 96.8 67 30 3 0 0 2,477,219 22 6 - 3 - 1 89.6 47 42 10 1 0 0 15,766,599 7 - 0 - 3 88.9 46 43 10 1 0 0 8,998,705 21 6 - 2 - 2 76.4 29 47 21 3 0 0 39,476,230 * 20 6 - 1 - 3 54.1 14 41 34 10 1 0 0 0 39,779,617 5 - 4 - 1 52.6 13 40 35 11 1 0 0 14,960,958 19 5 - 3 - 2 27.6 4 24 40 25 6 1 0 0 47,499,643 6 - 0 - 4 29.1 4 25 40 24 6 0 0 0 16,758,554 * 18 5 - 2 - 3 9.9 1 9 30 37 19 4 0 0 0 75,305,157 4 - 5 - 1 8.4 1 8 29 39 20 4 0 0 9,447,606 17 5 - 1 - 4 1.7 0 2 13 33 35 15 3 0 0 0 59,632,426 4 - 4 - 2 1.2 0 1 10 31 36 18 3 0 0 37,824,932 * 16 4 - 3 - 3 0.1 0 0 2 13 32 34 16 3 0 0 0 79,089,262 5 - 0 - 5 0.1 0 0 2 15 34 33 13 2 0 0 18,859,984 3 - 6 - 1 0.1 0 0 1 12 33 36 15 2 0 0 3,974,436 15 4 - 2 - 4 0.0 0 0 2 14 33 33 14 2 0 0 93,845,588 3 - 5 - 2 0.0 0 0 1 11 32 36 17 3 0 0 18,970,845 * 14 4 - 1 - 5 Out 0 0 3 15 34 33 13 2 0 0 60,359,789 * 3 - 4 - 3 0.0 0 0 0 2 12 31 36 17 3 0 0 49,788,219 13 3 - 3 - 4 Out 0 0 0 2 14 33 34 14 2 0 78,648,576 4 - 0 - 6 Out 0 0 0 3 17 36 32 11 1 0 15,592,541 2 - 6 - 2 Out 0 0 2 12 33 36 15 2 0 5,958,086 * 12 3 - 2 - 5 Out 0 0 0 3 17 37 31 10 1 74,453,537 2 - 5 - 3 Out 0 0 0 2 14 35 35 13 1 18,951,117 * 11 3 - 1 - 6 Out 0 0 0 5 23 41 26 5 39,115,237 2 - 4 - 4 Out 0 0 0 3 19 40 31 6 38,115,166 * 10 2 - 3 - 5 Out 0 0 1 7 30 44 18 46,700,315 3 - 0 - 7 Out 0 0 1 9 33 42 15 8,798,117 1 - 6 - 3 Out 0 0 0 6 28 46 20 3,938,285 * 9 2 - 2 - 6 Out 0 0 2 16 47 35 36,746,169 1 - 5 - 4 Out 0 0 1 13 46 40 9,378,593 * 8 2 - 1 - 7 Out 0 0 6 39 55 16,513,288 1 - 4 - 5 Out 0 0 5 35 60 14,987,263 * 7 1 - 3 - 6 Out 0 0 1 23 76 15,341,502 2 - 0 - 8 Out 0 0 2 25 74 4,213,992 * 6 1 - 2 - 7 Out 0 0 13 87 12,144,213 * 5 1 - 1 - 8 Out 0 6 94 4,047,609 0 - 4 - 6 Out 0 4 96 2,396,528 4 0 - 3 - 7 Out 0 2 98 2,852,764 * 3 0 - 2 - 8 Out 0 1 99 1,262,915 2 0 - 1 - 9 Out 0 100 440,420 1 0 - 0 - 10 Out 0 100 313,843 Total: 12.8 % 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 7 1,184,010,488

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs