Commish Playoff Chances X
Lost to Miller 65.9-97.6, playoff odds down 37.6 to 27.8%
7-6 .538
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Commish 158 Tosti 98 | +16.5 | +0.9 | ||
| Coyle 103.3 Miller 99.4 | +8.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Paul 104.1 Chael 91.4 | +1.8 | +0.1 | ||
| Beckel 114.6 Jimmy 81 | +1.1 | |||
| Pat 123.4 Sean 101.3 | -0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Riv 68.1 Mike 81.6 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Miller 97.6 Commish 65.9 | -31.1 | -1.0 | ||
| Tosti 127.7 Coyle 67.2 | -5.3 | -0.2 | ||
| Mike 60.4 Jimmy 106 | -0.8 | |||
| Beckel 74.4 Riv 56.1 | -0.5 | -0.0 | ||
| Sean 106.9 Chael 85.6 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Paul 141.6 Pat 89.6 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 12/10 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Miller vs Tosti | Out+30.0 | -0.3+0.3 | ||
| Coyle vs Commish | Out+15.4 | -1.2+0.6 | ||
| Jimmy vs Riv | -0.7+1.2 | -0.1+0.2 | ||
| Mike vs Beckel | -0.5+0.6 | +0.1-0.2 | ||
| Paul vs Sean | -0.1+0.1 | |||
What If
Chances based on how well the Commish finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 43.2 | % | 43 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 26,038,884 | ||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | Out | 13 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 14,452,524 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 27.8 | % | 28 | 39 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 40,491,408 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/26 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Commish 158 Tosti 98 | -0.9 | |
| Paul 104.1 Chael 91.4 | -0.1 | |
| Coyle 103.3 Miller 99.4 | -0.1 | |
| Pat 123.4 Sean 101.3 | +0.0 | |
| Riv 68.1 Mike 81.6 | +0.0 | |
| Week of 12/3 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Miller 97.6 Commish 65.9 | +1.0 | |
| Tosti 127.7 Coyle 67.2 | +0.2 | |
| Sean 106.9 Chael 85.6 | -0.1 | |
| Beckel 74.4 Riv 56.1 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 12/10 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Coyle vs Commish | +1.2-0.6 | |
| Miller vs Tosti | +0.3-0.3 | |
| Jimmy vs Riv | +0.1-0.2 | |
| Mike vs Beckel | -0.1+0.2 | |
| Paul vs Sean | +0.1-0.1 | |
What If
Playoff odds
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 8 | 1 | - | 0 | 43 | 53 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 1 | 13 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 0 | ||||||||
| Total: | 28 | 39 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:20 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
