Mangotsfield United Playoff Chances 50/50
Tied Totton 1-1, playoff odds down 0.002 to 0.01%
21 points 5-6-15
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 1/23 | 100.0* | Level 9 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cinderford Town vs Evesham United | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Swindon Superma vs Slimbridge | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Barnstaple Town vs Totton | +3.5-0.7-2.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Bishop's Cleeve vs Larkhall Athletic | +1.6-0.5-1.2 | |||
| Shortwood United vs Kidlington | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||
| Week of 1/27 | 100.0* | Level 9 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cirencester Town vs Mangotsfield Un | +7.2+1.4-8.3 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | ||
| Barnstaple Town vs Mangotsfield Un | +10.9+0.2-11.0 | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | ||
| Bideford vs North Leigh | -0.6-0.0+0.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Bristol Manor F | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Cinderford Town vs Bideford | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Evesham United vs Slimbridge | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Winchester City vs Cinderford Town | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Bishop's Cleeve vs Winchester City | +1.7-0.5-1.3 | |||
| North Leigh vs Swindon Superma | +0.6-0.1-0.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Yate Town vs Larkhall Athletic | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Barnstaple Town vs Taunton Town | +3.5-0.7-2.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Salisbury vs Barnstaple Town | -2.9-0.7+3.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Bishop's Cleeve vs Cirencester Town | +1.6-0.4-1.2 | |||
| Cinderford Town vs Bishop's Cleeve | -1.2-0.5+1.6 | |||
| Shortwood United vs Wimborne Town | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Kidlington vs Shortwood United | -0.7-0.1+0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||
| Slimbridge vs Bishop's Cleeve | -0.5-0.5+1.0 | |||
| Paulton Rovers vs Taunton Town | +0.4-0.0-0.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Paulton Rovers vs Larkhall Athletic | +0.4-0.0-0.3 | |||
| North Leigh vs Paulton Rovers | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | |||
| Shortwood United vs Slimbridge | +0.1-0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Mangotsfield Un finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Promotion | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Level 9 | Count | |||||
| 69 | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 85.9 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 120,007 | |||||||||||||||
| 67 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 53.1 | No | 0 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | No | 922 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 31.5 | No | 1 | 7 | 24 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,072 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15.2 | No | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 5,502 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 5.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | No | 13,028 | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 28,611 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 62 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 75,623 | |||||||||||||||
| 61 | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 147,416 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 60 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 305,887 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 600,198 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 58 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,057,413 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 57 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,891,111 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,148,606 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 55 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,001,189 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,792,655 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 11,484,704 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 16,374,321 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 22,632,772 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 29,893,356 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 38,312,600 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 48 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 47,444,772 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 47 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 56,467,888 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 65,180,114 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1.8 | 35,369,524 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | 37,223,032 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | 77,888,801 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 8.4 | 80,908,682 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 14.7 | 40,447,819 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 16.6 | 40,569,046 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 25.4 | 78,127,497 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 49 | 33 | 4 | 37.2 | 72,788,521 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 43 | 7 | 49.8 | 65,225,690 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 11 | 61.9 | 56,166,932 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 55 | 17 | 72.5 | 46,534,949 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 57 | 25 | 81.2 | 36,954,327 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 87.9 | 28,086,534 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 42 | 92.6 | 20,414,419 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 45 | 51 | 95.7 | 14,129,055 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 38 | 59 | 97.7 | 9,272,272 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 32 | 67 | 98.9 | 5,770,437 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 25 | 74 | 99.5 | 3,379,511 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 19 | 80 | 99.8 | 1,845,774 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 14 | 85 | 99.9 | 938,303 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 27 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | 437,421 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | 183,058 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | 68,249 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | Yes | 21,461 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | Out | No | 2 | 98 | Yes | 5,365 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 943 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 120,015 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 26.5 | % | 1,060,857,404 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2018-2-13 10:58 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
