Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePremier LeagueChance will finish season at seedDemotion
SaturdayPGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPITuesday
LeedsTMillwall 1-1154-3-01011.0%-0.326.7%-0.711987665554444333322221118.4-0.173.0%+0.32PrestonLeeds
BrentfordWWigan 2-0144-2-189.1+2.823.3+5.49877665555444433332222119.1+1.223.8-1.84at IpswichBrentford
MiddlesbroughLNorwich 0-1144-2-169.0-2.323.2-4.19877665555444433332222119.1-0.873.9+1.13Middlesbrough
Bristol CityWSheffield Utd 1-0144-2-169.0+2.823.1+5.39877665555444433332222119.1+1.213.9-1.81at West BromBristol City
Sheffield UtdLBristol City 0-1124-0-335.9-1.717.1-3.566665555555444444333322210.6-0.946.3+1.75Sheffield Utd
DerbyLRotherham 0-1124-0-315.9-1.717.1-3.566665555555444444333322210.6-0.936.2+1.718BlackburnDerby
SwanseaTNottingham 0-0123-3-125.9-0.217.1-0.666665555555444444333322210.6-0.226.3+0.56at StokeSwansea
West Brom113-2-264.8+0.414.7+0.555555555555444444443333211.3+0.037.7+0.312Bristol CityWest Brom
Sheffield WedTStoke 2-2113-2-204.7-0.314.6-0.655555555555444444443333211.3-0.247.8+0.613Sheffield Wed
BoltonLQPR 1-2113-2-2-14.7-1.414.5-3.255555555555444444443333211.3-0.967.8+2.114Bolton
Aston Villaat Blackburn912-3-104.3+0.313.4+0.544555555554444444444433311.8+0.029.1+0.38RotherhamAston Villa
BlackburnAston Villa912-3-1-14.3+0.313.3+0.544555555554444444444433311.8+0.029.2+0.47at DerbyBlackburn
WiganLBrentford 0-2103-1-313.8-1.312.3-3.044444455555544444444443312.0-0.999.5+2.59Hull CityWigan
RotherhamWDerby 1-093-0-4-52.9+1.010.2+2.833444444444445555554444412.8+1.1911.8-3.915at Aston VillaRotherham
NottinghamTSwansea 0-081-5-102.3-0.28.6-0.523334444444445555555555413.5-0.2814.1+1.110Nottingham
NorwichWMiddlesbrough 1-082-2-3-22.3+0.88.6+2.423334444444445555555555413.6+1.1714.1-4.319Norwich
Hull CityWIpswich 2-072-1-4-31.8+0.77.0+2.122333334444445555555566614.3+1.1516.9-4.822at WiganHull City
QPRWBolton 2-172-1-4-91.8+0.66.9+2.022333334444445555555666614.4+1.1317.2-4.817QPR
MillwallTLeeds 1-161-3-3-21.4-0.15.7-0.412223333344444555556667715.0-0.2920.0+1.511Millwall
StokeTSheffield Wed 2-261-3-3-41.4-0.15.7-0.412223333344444555556667715.0-0.2920.0+1.516SwanseaStoke
Birmingham50-5-2-21.1+0.14.7+0.211222233334444555566678915.7-0.0323.3+0.720Birmingham
ReadingWPreston 3-251-2-4-31.1+0.44.7+1.411222333334444555566678915.7+1.0623.4-5.721Reading
PrestonLReading 2-351-2-4-51.1-0.44.7-1.511222333334444455566778915.7-1.0123.4+4.923at LeedsPreston
IpswichLHull City 0-230-3-4-60.6-0.33.0-1.11111222223334444556678101317.1-0.9831.2+6.024BrentfordIpswich

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/14
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds+0.2
+0.2
Brentford+0.2
+0.2
Middlesbrough-2.8
-4.8
+1.1
-1.0
Bristol City+0.2
+0.2
Sheffield Utd+0.2
Derby+0.2
+0.2
Swansea+0.2
Sheffield Wed+0.2
Bolton+0.2
Aston Villa+0.2
Blackburn+0.2
Rotherham+0.2
Nottingham+0.2
Norwich+0.8
+2.2
-4.7
+1.2
Hull City+0.2
QPR+0.3
Millwall+0.2
Stoke+0.2
Birmingham+0.3
Reading+0.3
Preston+0.2
Ipswich+0.3
Bristol City 1 Sheffield Utd 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+2.3
+4.7
-2.0
+1.2
Sheffield Utd-2.2
-4.4
+1.6
-1.0
Brentford 2 Wigan 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brentford+2.2
+4.7
-2.0
+1.2
Wigan-1.6
-3.6
+2.2
-1.1
Rotherham 1 Derby 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds+0.2
*+0.1
Derby-2.1
-4.2
+1.6
-1.0
Rotherham+0.9
+2.6
-4.3
+1.2
Hull City+0.2
QPR+0.2
Millwall+0.2
Stoke+0.2
Birmingham+0.2
Reading+0.2
Ipswich+0.2
Bolton 1 QPR 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough+0.2
+0.2
Bolton-1.8
-3.8
+2.0
-1.0
Rotherham+0.2
Nottingham+0.2
Norwich+0.3
Hull City+0.2
QPR+0.6
+1.9
-5.4
+1.2
Millwall+0.3
Stoke+0.3
Birmingham+0.3
Reading+0.2
Preston+0.2
Ipswich+0.2
Millwall 1 Leeds 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds-0.9
-1.4
+0.1
-0.2
Middlesbrough+0.1
+0.2
Sheffield Utd+0.1
Derby+0.1
+0.2
Bolton+0.1
Hull City*-0.1
QPR*-0.1
Millwall-0.2
-0.6
+0.8
-0.3
Reading*-0.1
Preston*-0.1
Ipswich*-0.1
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City+0.2
Sheffield Utd+0.2
Derby+0.2
Swansea-0.6
-1.2
+0.3
-0.2
Nottingham-0.3
-0.8
+0.6
-0.3
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
West Brom-0.5
-1.1
+0.3
-0.2
Birmingham-0.2
-0.5
+0.9
-0.3
Reading-0.1
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brentford+0.2
Sheffield Wed-0.5
-1.1
+0.3
-0.3
Norwich*-0.1
Stoke-0.2
-0.6
+0.8
-0.3
Preston 2 Reading 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Reading+0.3
+1.3
-6.4
+1.1
Preston-0.5
-1.7
+4.6
-1.0
Hull City 2 Ipswich 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Hull City+0.6
+1.8
-5.6
+1.2
Ipswich-0.3
-1.3
+5.4
-1.0
Leeds vs PrestonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds14.410.28.2
32.525.421.8
1.7*3.04.2
7.38.69.4
Preston0.60.91.6
3.24.16.5
28.424.417.8
16.816.014.6
Ipswich vs BrentfordHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brentford6.78.212.0
18.821.828.6
5.34.02.3
10.19.37.9
Ipswich1.00.50.3
4.22.61.9
24.732.536.9
16.017.418.0
West Brom vs Bristol CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City6.58.112.0
18.521.828.6
5.34.12.4
10.19.48.0
West Brom6.84.33.2
19.013.711.2
5.18.010.0
10.011.512.3
Middlesbrough vs BoltonHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough12.08.16.5
28.721.918.5
2.34.05.3
7.99.310.2
Bolton3.24.26.6
10.913.418.7
10.28.25.2
12.411.610.1
Derby vs BlackburnHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Derby8.15.34.1
21.716.013.3
4.06.58.3
9.310.811.6
Blackburn2.93.86.0
10.112.417.2
11.89.66.3
12.912.010.6
Blackburn vs Aston VillaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa2.93.86.0
10.112.417.2
11.89.56.1
12.912.010.5
Blackburn6.03.82.9
17.212.310.1
6.29.512.0
10.512.112.9
Stoke vs SwanseaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Swansea4.25.28.0
13.415.921.6
8.36.54.0
11.610.89.4
Stoke2.01.20.8
7.85.24.0
14.920.824.6
13.815.316.1
Sheffield Utd vs BirminghamHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Utd8.05.24.1
21.615.913.4
4.06.58.4
9.310.811.6
Birmingham0.60.91.6
3.24.26.5
28.424.317.7
16.716.014.5
Aston Villa vs RotherhamHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Aston Villa6.03.82.9
17.212.410.2
6.19.511.8
10.512.012.9
Rotherham1.92.64.2
7.59.313.4
15.112.48.1
13.913.111.6
Nottingham vs Sheffield WedHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wed3.34.26.5
11.213.518.6
10.38.15.0
12.411.610.1
Nottingham3.42.01.5
11.57.86.2
10.114.717.8
12.313.814.6
Wigan vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Wigan5.33.32.5
16.011.39.3
6.410.012.4
10.812.313.1
Hull City1.11.62.7
5.06.49.6
21.217.712.2
15.414.613.0
Reading vs NorwichHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Norwich1.52.03.3
6.37.811.4
18.014.79.9
14.613.812.3
Reading1.60.90.6
6.54.13.2
17.624.428.6
14.516.016.8
QPR vs MillwallHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
QPR2.61.51.1
9.36.35.0
12.417.921.5
13.114.615.4
Millwall0.91.22.1
4.05.27.8
24.821.014.7
16.115.313.8
Week of 9/21
Leeds vs BirminghamIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leeds14.410.18.2
32.525.421.9
1.73.14.2
7.38.69.4
Birmingham0.60.91.6
3.24.16.5
28.324.317.7
16.716.014.5
Derby vs BrentfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Brentford6.58.212.2
18.521.928.9
5.24.02.3
10.19.37.9
Derby8.25.34.0
21.816.013.2
4.06.58.3
9.310.811.6
Middlesbrough vs SwanseaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough12.08.26.5
28.721.818.5
2.34.05.3
8.09.310.1
Swansea4.15.38.1
13.216.021.7
8.36.54.0
11.610.89.4
Wigan vs Bristol CityHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bristol City6.48.212.0
18.521.828.7
5.34.12.3
10.19.48.0
Wigan5.43.32.5
16.111.49.1
6.59.912.4
10.812.313.1
Aston Villa vs Sheffield WedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wed3.24.26.6
11.113.518.7
10.28.15.1
12.411.610.1
Aston Villa6.03.82.9
17.312.310.1
6.19.511.8
10.512.012.9
Sheffield Utd vs PrestonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Utd8.05.34.1
21.715.913.3
4.06.48.4
9.410.811.6
Preston0.60.91.6
3.24.26.4
28.524.417.7
16.816.014.6
West Brom vs MillwallHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
West Brom6.64.33.3
18.813.711.3
5.08.010.2
10.011.512.3
Millwall0.91.22.1
4.05.17.9
24.621.014.9
16.115.313.8
Ipswich vs BoltonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Bolton3.34.26.4
11.213.418.4
10.48.15.0
12.411.610.1
Ipswich0.90.50.3
4.22.61.9
24.732.437.0
16.017.418.1
Stoke vs BlackburnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Blackburn2.93.85.9
10.212.417.1
12.09.56.1
12.912.010.6
Stoke2.01.20.8
7.85.24.0
14.920.924.6
13.815.316.1
Nottingham vs RotherhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Rotherham1.92.64.2
7.59.313.4
15.212.28.1
13.913.111.6
Nottingham3.42.01.5
11.47.86.3
9.914.717.9
12.313.814.6
QPR vs NorwichHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Norwich1.52.03.3
6.37.811.4
18.014.79.9
14.613.812.3
QPR2.61.51.1
9.46.34.9
12.417.821.5
13.114.615.4
Reading vs Hull CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Hull City1.11.62.7
5.06.49.5
21.317.612.1
15.414.613.1
Reading1.60.90.6
6.44.13.2
17.624.328.6
14.516.016.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.