Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Welling United64220-4-63266.8%+9.775.1%+7.46724720000001.5+0.15No1Welling United
Salisbury City6319-6-72125.6-10.744.1-8.02647197200000002.1-0.23No2Salisbury City
Chelmsford City53316-5-8174.5+0.824.6+2.6515302214742110000000003.9+0.46No-0.03Chelmsford City
Dover Athletic53216-5-9182.3+0.321.4+2.721024251710532100000000004.3+0.540.0%-0.05Dover Athletic
Boreham Wood50213-11-6150.6+0.114.4+2.8131219211510753211000000005.6+0.790.0-0.04Boreham Wood
Weston-S-Mare47113-8-1000.0-0.14.8-1.6002610141413119753211000008.1-0.160.0-0.08Weston-super-Mare
Eastleigh45214-3-1320.0+0.04.2+1.1002591213131197643211000008.5+1.290.1-0.46Eastleigh
Farnborough44213-5-1250.0-0.03.2-1.20024711121211108754321100009.1-0.100.2-0.110Farnborough
Dorchester Town44213-5-12-70.0-0.13.2-2.40014710111211109764321100009.2-0.770.2+0.09Dorchester Town
Bromley42212-6-1220.0-0.01.7+0.50012468101011109865432100010.5+1.460.6-1.611Bromley
Sutton United38510-8-900.0-0.12.2-1.80013579910998765432110010.5-0.791.1+0.27Sutton United
Maidenhead39211-6-1380.0-0.00.5-0.700001346789101098765321012.6-0.742.6+0.513Maidenhead United
Hayes and Y40111-7-13-80.0-0.00.3-0.5000012356891010109875421013.2-0.743.5+0.912Hayes & Yeading United
Bath City39111-6-1430.0-0.00.2-0.4000001245789101010987531013.7-0.744.5+1.014Bath City
Havant and W3718-13-102No-0.00.1+0.0000001234578910111110863015.2+1.439.4-11.118Havant & Waterlooville
Eastbourne34310-4-15-100.0-0.00.1-0.2000001123456789101010986015.5-0.6813.7+2.916Eastbourne Borough
Basingstoke3619-9-13-7No-0.00.0-0.00000011234578101112121195016.0+0.0514.0-1.821Basingstoke Town
Tonbridge3619-9-13-15No-0.00.0-0.10000011234568101112121196016.1-0.6815.9+3.615Tonbridge Angels
Billericay Town2948-5-15-170.00.0-0.00000000011234567911141720017.7+0.0137.0-1.219Billericay Town
Staines Town349-7-16-22No-0.00.0-0.00000001122457912161920018.3-0.5640.1+7.617Staines Town
AFC Hornchurch327-11-14-16No0.0-0.00000000011234710152334119.2-0.0157.2-0.520AFC Hornchurch
Truro City1617-5-19-23NoNo000000029822.0+0.0199.9-0.022Truro City

Truro City deducted 10 points on September 4 for entering administration

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/2
Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United+10.0
+7.6
+0.2
Salisbury City-8.0
-6.0
Chelmsford City-1.1
-0.7
Dover Athletic-0.7
-0.4
Maidenhead-0.6
+1.4
-1.0
Havant and WNo
Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United+2.0
+1.5
Salisbury City-2.3
-1.7
-0.0
Chelmsford City+0.2
+0.2
Weston-S-Mare-0.8
-0.2
Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United-1.2
-0.9
Salisbury City-1.0
-0.8
Chelmsford City+2.3
+3.9
+0.6
Bath City-0.4
Havant and W-1.5
Eastbourne-0.8
Basingstoke-1.2
Tonbridge-1.0
Billericay Town-1.9
Staines Town+10.1
-0.8
AFC Hornchurch-2.2
Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United-0.7
-0.6
Salisbury City-0.5
-0.4
Dover Athletic+1.4
+3.8
+0.7
Boreham Wood-0.4
Bath City-0.4
+2.2
-1.1
AFC Hornchurch-0.4
Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chelmsford City-0.4
Dover Athletic-0.5
Boreham Wood+0.4
+3.4
+0.9
Weston-S-Mare-0.4
Havant and W-0.8
Eastbourne-0.4
Basingstoke-0.6
TonbridgeNo
+5.6
-1.0
Billericay Town-0.9
Staines Town-1.0
AFC Hornchurch-1.1
Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dorchester Town-2.0
-1.0
Bromley+0.9
-1.5
+1.3
Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sutton United-1.4
+0.7
-1.0
Havant and W-8.8
+1.1
Eastbourne+0.7
Basingstoke+0.9
Tonbridge+0.8
Billericay Town+1.4
Staines Town+1.5
AFC Hornchurch+1.8
Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eastleigh+1.7
-0.4
+1.2
Havant and W-0.6
Eastbourne-0.2
+4.9
-1.0
Basingstoke-0.5
Tonbridge-0.4
Billericay Town-0.7
Staines Town-0.8
AFC Hornchurch-0.9
Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Farnborough-0.6
-0.2
Havant and W-0.5
Eastbourne-0.3
Basingstoke-0.4
Tonbridge-0.3
Billericay Town-0.5
Staines Town-0.6
AFC Hornchurch+3.1
-0.2
Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hayes and Y-0.4
+1.7
-1.0
Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Havant and W-0.3
Basingstoke+0.3
-0.2
Billericay TownNo
+1.8
-0.2
Staines Town-0.5
AFC Hornchurch-0.6
Salisbury City vs BasingstokeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United59.568.872.9
69.676.679.6
1.51.41.4
Salisbury City34.623.318.2
51.042.438.4
1.92.22.4
Basingstoke20.614.76.9
16.916.214.9
Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chelmsford City2.43.67.3
21.123.928.6
4.33.93.4
Weston-S-Mare7.44.12.7
7.18.39.0
Maidenhead vs Dover AthleticHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dover Athletic1.11.73.9
18.420.724.9
4.84.43.8
Maidenhead0.00.0No
0.90.30.2
0.9*2.64.3
11.512.913.6
Sutton United vs BromleyHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bromley0.81.32.8
1.10.50.1
11.610.79.3
Sutton United3.41.81.2
0.3*1.11.9
9.310.711.6
Eastbourne vs Dorchester TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dorchester Town1.92.74.8
0.30.10.0
10.29.48.2
Eastbourne0.20.00.0
7.314.419.6
14.315.716.5
Havant and W vs Bath CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bath City0.00.10.3
7.6*4.51.5
14.914.012.5
Havant and W4.09.714.6
14.015.416.2
Week of 3/9
Welling United vs BasingstokeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United76.565.158.4
82.473.868.8
1.31.51.6
Salisbury City18.626.931.7
38.845.148.7
2.22.12.1
Basingstoke20.614.76.9
16.916.214.9
Welling United vs TonbridgeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United76.565.158.4
82.373.868.8
1.31.51.6
Salisbury City18.726.931.7
38.945.048.6
2.22.12.1
Tonbridge22.816.88.3
17.016.415.0
Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Welling United72.968.859.5
79.676.569.6
1.41.41.5
Salisbury City18.223.334.6
38.442.451.0
2.42.21.9
Weston-S-Mare7.14.12.9
7.28.38.9
Chelmsford City vs AFC HornchurchHomeDrawAway
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chelmsford City7.33.62.4
28.423.721.5
3.44.04.3
Staines Town37.639.443.1
18.218.218.4
AFC HornchurchNo*No0.0
68.860.443.3
19.719.418.5
Chelmsford City vs TonbridgeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chelmsford City7.33.62.4
28.423.721.5
3.44.04.3
Tonbridge22.816.88.3
17.016.415.0
Dover Athletic vs Havant and WHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dover Athletic3.91.71.1
24.920.618.5
3.84.44.8
Havant and W14.49.84.2
16.115.414.0
Dorchester Town vs Boreham WoodHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boreham Wood0.20.41.1
11.113.818.2
6.35.74.9
Dorchester Town5.22.71.6
0.00.10.3
8.19.410.2
Eastleigh vs Boreham WoodHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boreham Wood0.20.41.1
11.013.818.3
0.00.0No
6.35.74.9
Eastleigh6.73.62.1
7.58.79.5
Maidenhead vs EastleighHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Eastleigh2.53.66.3
9.58.77.5
Maidenhead0.0NoNo
0.90.30.2
0.8*2.64.3
11.412.913.7
Dorchester Town vs FarnboroughHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Farnborough1.72.75.1
0.30.10.0
10.19.38.0
Dorchester Town5.02.71.7
0.00.10.3
8.19.410.2
Sutton United vs Truro CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sutton United3.31.81.2
0.3*1.11.9
9.410.811.5
Hayes and Y vs Sutton UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sutton United1.21.83.4
1.91.10.3
11.610.79.4
Hayes and Y0.50.20.1
1.23.65.8
11.913.414.3
Eastbourne vs FarnboroughHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Farnborough1.92.74.9
0.30.10.0
10.19.38.0
Eastbourne0.20.00.0
7.314.419.6
14.315.716.5
Bromley vs Truro CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bromley2.71.30.9
0.10.51.1
9.410.811.5
Basingstoke vs MaidenheadHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
MaidenheadNoNo0.0
0.20.30.9
4.52.50.7
13.712.911.4
Basingstoke6.714.620.8
14.816.217.0
AFC Hornchurch vs Bath CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bath City0.00.10.3
8.04.21.3
14.814.012.5
AFC Hornchurch0.0*NoNo
42.760.469.4
18.419.419.8
Havant and W vs Billericay TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Havant and W3.69.315.3
14.015.416.2
Billericay Town47.438.925.1
18.618.016.8
Billericay Town vs Staines TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Billericay Town23.738.449.2
16.817.918.6
Staines Town53.942.025.0
19.118.517.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.