Paulton Rovers Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50
Tied Frome Town 2-2, playoff odds down 4.4 to 36.8%
45 points 13-6-8
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | -2.9 | -0.3 | -0.2 | |||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +1.9 | +0.1 | ||||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -1.9 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | -0.2 | -0.3 | ||||
| Moneyfields 1 Highworth Town 0 | +0.1 | |||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | *+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +1.8+0.4-2.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -1.2+0.8+0.5 | |||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | -11.7-2.8+14.0 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | |||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | +13.4-3.0-11.0 | +0.4-0.2-0.3 | +0.9-0.1-0.8 | |||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.9+0.6-2.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -2.1+0.4+1.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.9+0.3+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +1.5+0.6-2.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +1.5+0.5-1.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -0.3+0.9-0.4 | |||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Willand Rovers vs Slimbridge | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | |||||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Paulton Rovers finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 78 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 90.2 | % | 90 | 10 | No | 953 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 78.2 | 78 | 21 | 1 | No | 719 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 64.5 | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | No | 898 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 54.0 | 54 | 40 | 6 | No | 2,896 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 41.4 | 41 | 47 | 11 | 0 | No | 7,082 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 30.6 | 31 | 51 | 18 | 0 | No | 11,695 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 19.6 | 20 | 51 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 26,277 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 11.0 | 11 | 46 | 39 | 4 | 0 | No | 44,024 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 5.6 | 6 | 36 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 70,395 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 119,268 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 14 | 53 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,776 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 0.7 | 1 | 15 | 54 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,578 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 238,092 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,206 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 97.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 79,961 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 91.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,192 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 89.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 41 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 157,119 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 79.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 402,031 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 81.7 | No | 0 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 54,872 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 76.2 | No | 0 | 8 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 36,829 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 60.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 367,404 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 64.6 | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 203,355 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 42.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 410,288 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 39.5 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 206,644 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 22.4 | No | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 500,918 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 25.8 | No | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 109,982 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 19.6 | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 36,992 | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 8.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 369,267 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 10.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 275,520 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 3.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 410,206 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 149,921 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 4.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 38,422 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 402,084 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 136,794 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,202 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 208,712 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 245,587 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,106 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 200,648 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,622 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,676 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,970 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 120,169 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 72,368 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 39,569 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,051 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | No | 8,122 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,969 | |||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 1 | 6 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 0 | No | 738 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 16 | 2 | No | 951 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 36.8 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,065,120 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
