Cinderford Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50
Beat Totton 4-2, playoff odds up 9.8 to 31.9%
43 points 13-4-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | +9.8 | +0.2 | +0.9 | |||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +1.4 | |||||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -1.4 | |||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | *+0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | +12.9-2.8-10.6 | +0.4-0.1-0.2 | +0.9-0.1-0.8 | |||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +1.6+0.5-2.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | -9.9-2.9+12.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | |||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.7+0.5-2.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -1.9+0.3+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.8+0.3+1.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -1.8+0.5+1.4 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +1.4+0.6-1.9 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +0.7+0.7-1.3 | |||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.6+0.3-0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -0.3+0.8-0.4 | |||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cinderford Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 79 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94.1 | % | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 912 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 82.6 | 83 | 17 | 1 | No | 281 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 77.3 | 77 | 21 | 2 | No | 308 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 66.8 | 67 | 31 | 2 | No | 1,279 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 52.7 | 53 | 41 | 7 | No | 3,028 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 41.8 | 42 | 48 | 10 | 0 | No | 5,188 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 29.8 | 30 | 52 | 18 | 0 | No | 12,467 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 19.0 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 2 | 0 | No | 21,447 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 10.8 | 11 | 46 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 37,197 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 5.5 | 6 | 36 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 64,088 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 95,922 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 0.7 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 144,475 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.8 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 149,735 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 47 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 57,155 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 96.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 180,548 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 95.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 43 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 91,726 | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 90.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 354,190 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 63 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 76.9 | No | 0 | 9 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 261,353 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 79.9 | No | 0 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 173,273 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 61.4 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 349,070 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 58.8 | No | 0 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 155,758 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 39.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 427,519 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 42.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 143,959 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 19.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 314,250 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 23.3 | No | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 296,256 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 9.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 492,298 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 7.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 127,440 | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 427,763 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 3.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 180,581 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 285,277 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 278,360 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 349,150 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 146,248 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 285,520 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 133,737 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 182,611 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 149,073 | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 174,610 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 73,202 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 175,912 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,059 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,784 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 70,081 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 39,905 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 48 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,669 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 9,346 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | No | 3,726 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,192 | |||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 4 | No | 284 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 2 | 14 | 37 | 38 | 9 | 1 | No | 908 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 31.9 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,065,120 | |||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
