Football League Two Title Chances 50/50 Method

																		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title															Promoted			Chance team will finish the season at position																										Demoted
	Monday		P	G	W	-	D	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Tuesday

Rochdale			72	1	22	-	6	-	7	.686	40	82.7	%	2.1	99.0	%	0.1	83	13	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0													1.2	0.03	No			2		Rochdale
Notts County	T	Bournemouth 2-2	61	3	17	-	10	-	6	.616	41	9.3		-1.4	70.7		-1.5	9	31	22	15	10	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							3.4	-0.08	No			1		Notts County
Bournemouth	T	Notts County 2-2	64		19	-	7	-	10	.593	8	4.4		-1.0	64.6		-1.2	4	25	25	18	12	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0									3.7	-0.06	No			3		Bournemouth

Rotherham			59	2	17	-	8	-	9	.578	9	1.7		0.1	45.2		0.8	2	13	17	18	16	12	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						4.9	0.03	No			4	at Accrington	Rotherham United
Bury			61		17	-	10	-	9	.565	3	0.9		0.1	40.1		0.7	1	10	15	18	17	14	10	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0							5.2	0.03	No			5		Bury
Chesterfield			60		19	-	3	-	14	.556	3	0.9		0.1	32.9		0.6	1	6	11	15	17	16	12	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0						5.8	0.02	No			9		Chesterfield
Accrington			50	3	15	-	5	-	13	.505	-1	0.1		0.0	8.7		0.1	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		9.7	0.00	0.0	%		10	Rotherham	Accrington Stanley

Northampton			55		15	-	10	-	11	.509	9	0.0		0.0	10.4		0.1	0	1	2	4	6	9	12	13	12	11	9	7	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				8.9	0.01	No			7		Northampton Town
Shrewsbury			55		15	-	10	-	11	.509	6	0.0		0.0	10.4		0.1	0	1	2	4	6	10	12	13	12	11	9	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			8.9	0.01	No			6		Shrewsbury Town
Aldershot			51	1	14	-	9	-	12	.486	6	0.0		0.0	4.7		0.0	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	10	11	11	11	10	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			10.8	0.00	No			8		Aldershot Town
Dag & Red			51	1	14	-	9	-	12	.486	3	0.0		0.0	4.5		0.0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	9	10	11	11	11	10	9	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			10.8	0.00	No		-0.0	11	at Lincoln City	Dagenham & Redbridge
Port Vale			52		13	-	13	-	10	.481	11	0.0		0.0	3.8		0.0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	8	10	11	12	12	11	10	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0			11.0	0.00	No			13		Port Vale
Burton			49	1	14	-	7	-	14	.467	1	0.0		0.0	2.0		0.0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	5	7	8	10	11	12	12	11	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0		12.3	0.00	0.0		0.0	14		Burton Albion
Morecambe			49	1	12	-	13	-	10	.467	5	0.0		0.0	2.1		0.0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	7	9	10	11	12	12	11	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0		12.2	0.01	0.0		0.0	12	at Hereford	Morecambe
Bradford			46	1	12	-	10	-	13	.438	-5	0.0		0.0	0.5		0.0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	10	13	15	16	11	6	3	1	1	0	0		14.4	-0.00	0.0		0.0	15		Bradford City
Crewe			47		13	-	8	-	15	.435	0	0.0		0.0	0.4		0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	5	7	10	13	17	18	11	6	3	1	0	0	0		14.5	-0.00	0.0		0.0	16		Crewe Alexandra
Macclesfield			39	1	8	-	15	-	12	.371	-7	No			0.0		0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	9	15	17	16	13	11	7	1	0	18.3	-0.00	1.0		0.0	18		Macclesfield Town
Lincoln City			38	1	10	-	8	-	17	.362	-18	No			0.0		0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	13	16	16	15	13	10	2	0	18.8	-0.00	1.8		-0.0	20	Dag & Red	Lincoln City
Barnet			38	1	9	-	11	-	15	.362	-10	No			0.0		0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	12	16	17	16	14	10	2	0	18.9	0.00	1.9		-0.0	17		Barnet
Hereford			38	1	10	-	8	-	17	.362	-17	No			0.0		-0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	6	12	16	17	17	14	9	2	0	18.9	-0.00	2.1		0.0	19	Morecambe	Hereford United
Torquay			37		8	-	13	-	15	.343	-3	No			0.0		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	11	15	18	21	18	5	0	20.0	0.00	5.3		-0.0	22		Torquay United
Cheltenham			34	1	7	-	13	-	15	.324	-15	No			0.0		-0.0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	10	15	21	33	8	0	20.7	0.00	8.4		-0.0	21		Cheltenham Town

Grimsby			28		4	-	16	-	16	.259	-23	No			No															0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	12	69	12	22.8	-0.00	80.7		0.0	23		Grimsby Town
Darlington			16	3	4	-	4	-	25	.162	-46	No			No																	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	88	23.9	0.00	98.8		-0.0	24		Darlington

Big Games

Matches with the biggest impact on who wins the title in the Football League Two. Explain (show)


Week of 3/13			Impact
Shrewsbury	0		Rochdale	9.4
Rochdale	1		Notts County	-3.9
			Bournemouth	-2.6
			Bury	-1.2
			Chesterfield	-0.9
			Rotherham	-0.6
			Shrewsbury	-0.2

Notts County	2		Rochdale	2.2
Bournemouth	2		Notts County	-1.4
			Bournemouth	-1.0

Macclesfield	2		Bury	-1.6
Bury	0		Rochdale	0.9
			Notts County	0.3
			Bournemouth	0.2

Chesterfield	0		Chesterfield	-1.4
Port Vale	5		Rochdale	0.9
			Bournemouth	0.2
			Notts County	0.2

Dag & Red	0		Rotherham	1.1
Rotherham	1		Rochdale	-0.6
			Notts County	-0.2

	Accrington	vs	Rotherham			3:45 PM Tue
	Chance wins title if:
Accrington wins			Rotherham wins		Draw
Rotherham	0.8		3.0		1.3
Rochdale	83.3		81.9		83.1
Notts County	9.4		9.1		9.4


Week of 3/20
	Accrington	vs	Rochdale			11:00 AM Sat
	Chance wins title if:
Accrington wins			Rochdale wins		Draw
Rochdale	76.5		89.6		81.7
Notts County	12.1		6.1		9.9
Bournemouth	6.1		2.5		4.7
Rotherham	2.5		0.9		1.8
Bury	1.3		0.4		0.9
Chesterfield	1.2		0.5		0.9

	Bradford	vs	Notts County			3:45 PM Tue
Notts County	5.7		13.8		7.9
Rochdale	85.6		79.0		83.9
Bournemouth	4.7		4.0		4.5

	Crewe	vs	Notts County			11:00 AM Sat
Notts County	5.8		13.8		7.9
Rochdale	85.6		79.0		83.9
Bournemouth	4.7		4.0		4.5

	Grimsby	vs	Bournemouth			11:00 AM Sat
Bournemouth	2.2		7.2		3.4
Rochdale	84.2		80.8		83.4
Notts County	9.7		8.7		9.5

	Rotherham	vs	Bury			11:00 AM Sat
Rotherham	3.1		0.7		1.3
Bury	0.3		1.7		0.6
Rochdale	82.2		82.9		83.2

	Rotherham	vs	Macclesfield			3:45 PM Tue
Rotherham	3.0		0.8		1.3
Rochdale	81.8		83.4		83.1
Notts County	9.1		9.5		9.4

	Burton	vs	Chesterfield			11:00 AM Sat
Chesterfield	0.3		1.6		0.6
Rochdale	83.1		82.2		82.9