Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLeague OneChance will finish season at seedConference
11/25PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPI12/9
Luton TownWCrewe Alexandra 2-14112-5-33028.4%+5.060.4%+7.428191310764332111100000000003.8+0.650.0%-0.03Notts CountyLuton Town
Notts CountyWColchester United 2-14112-5-31527.2+4.859.2+7.427191310764332211100000000003.9+0.660.0-0.01at Luton TownNotts County
Accrington StanLExeter City 0-23711-4-51011.6-6.636.2-9.812131210987654332211110000005.9-0.840.1+0.04Swindon TownAccrington Stanley
Exeter CityWAccrington Stan 2-03611-3-669.1+1.730.7+5.69111110987655433221111000006.5+0.960.1-0.26at Colchester UnitedExeter City
Wycombe WanderersWYeovil Town 2-1339-6-594.4+0.918.1+3.84678887776554433221110008.4+1.110.3-0.55at StevenageWycombe Wanderers
Coventry CityTCrawley Town 1-1329-5-693.3-1.214.7-2.83567777776655443322111009.1-0.300.5-0.17at MorecambeCoventry City
Mansfield TownTChesterfield 2-2328-8-473.3-1.114.6-2.83567777776655443322111009.1-0.300.5-0.12at Crawley TownMansfield Town
Swindon TownLNewport County 0-13210-2-853.3-2.514.6-6.53567777776655443322111009.1-1.000.5+0.111at Accrington StanSwindon Town
Lincoln CityWPort Vale 3-1308-6-651.9+0.49.3+2.223456667766665544332211010.5+1.241.0-1.48at Yeovil TownLincoln City
Newport CountyWSwindon Town 1-0308-6-651.8+0.49.3+2.223456667766665544332211010.5+1.221.0-1.39Carlisle UnitedNewport County
Colchester UnitedLNotts County 1-2298-5-731.3-1.37.3-4.212345566666666554433211011.3-1.041.5+0.312Exeter CityColchester United
Grimsby TownWBarnet 2-0298-5-7-21.4+0.37.2+1.812345566666666554433221011.3+1.271.5-1.813Forest Green RoGrimsby Town
Cambridge UnitedWStevenage 1-0298-5-7-61.3+0.37.0+1.712345566666666554433221111.4+1.251.5-1.814at Port ValeCambridge United
Carlisle UnitedTMorecambe 1-1277-6-710.7-0.34.2-1.211233455566666666554332112.8-0.252.9-0.410at Newport CountyCarlisle United
StevenageLCambridge United 0-1267-5-8-50.5-0.53.1-2.201223344556666666655432113.6-1.003.9+0.615Wycombe WanderersStevenage
Cheltenham TownTForest Green Ro 1-1246-6-8-20.2-0.11.7-0.601112233445566677766654315.1-0.206.9-0.716Crewe AlexandraCheltenham Town
Crawley TownTCoventry City 1-1215-6-9-60.1-0.00.6-0.300011112233445667788888717.2-0.1514.2-1.019Mansfield TownCrawley Town
Yeovil TownLWycombe Wanderers 1-2205-5-10-110.0-0.10.4-0.500001111223344567788999917.9-0.8017.7+2.420Lincoln CityYeovil Town
Crewe AlexandraLLuton Town 1-2206-2-12-130.0-0.10.4-0.500001111223344567788999917.9-0.8018.0+2.517at Cheltenham TownCrewe Alexandra
Forest Green RoTCheltenham Town 1-1205-5-10-160.0-0.00.4-0.200001111223344567788999917.9-0.1218.0-1.122at Grimsby TownForest Green Rovers
MorecambeTCarlisle United 1-1194-7-9-100.0-0.00.3-0.100000111122334556789910111118.5-0.1121.7-1.223Coventry CityMorecambe
Port ValeLLincoln City 1-3185-3-12-120.0-0.00.2-0.2000000111122334567891011121419.1-0.7226.2+3.421Cambridge UnitedPort Vale
BarnetLGrimsby Town 0-2174-5-11-80.0-0.00.1-0.2000000011112234456781012141719.6-0.6730.9+3.718at ChesterfieldBarnet
ChesterfieldTMansfield Town 2-2174-5-11-140.0-0.00.1-0.1000000011112234456781012141719.7-0.0831.3-1.324BarnetChesterfield

To update, cc this datato:j.hicken@tiscali.co.uk

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/9
Luton Town vs Notts CountyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town37.227.020.5
69.758.952.0
3.13.94.4
Notts County19.425.835.9
50.857.668.6
4.54.03.2
Accrington Stan11.412.311.5
36.136.636.1
Exeter City8.99.68.9
30.631.130.6
Accrington Stan vs Swindon TownHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town27.528.828.9
59.860.860.6
Notts County26.427.727.7
58.659.659.4
Accrington Stan15.910.58.1
45.034.328.6
5.06.06.7
Exeter City8.89.39.3
30.231.130.9
Wycombe Wanderers4.24.54.5
17.718.418.3
Swindon Town1.92.85.0
9.913.220.3
0.70.50.2
10.19.37.9
Colchester United vs Exeter CityHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.928.727.6
60.860.759.6
Notts County27.827.526.5
59.659.658.5
Accrington Stan11.911.811.3
36.736.635.5
Exeter City6.28.112.6
23.928.838.8
7.46.75.5
Wycombe Wanderers4.54.44.2
18.418.317.6
Coventry City3.43.43.2
15.014.914.3
Mansfield Town3.43.33.1
14.814.814.2
Swindon Town3.43.43.2
14.914.814.2
Colchester United2.21.10.7
10.76.34.5
0.71.52.2
10.011.512.4
Stevenage vs Wycombe WanderersHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.728.627.9
60.860.659.7
Notts County27.527.426.8
59.659.558.6
Accrington Stan11.811.711.4
36.636.535.6
Exeter City9.29.28.9
31.130.930.1
Wycombe Wanderers2.83.86.4
13.116.524.1
0.50.30.1
9.48.67.3
Stevenage0.80.40.2
4.92.61.8
2.24.15.6
12.413.914.7
Swindon Town vs Colchester UnitedHomeDrawAway
7:45 PM Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.128.628.5
60.060.760.5
Notts County27.027.427.3
58.859.559.3
Swindon Town4.92.82.0
19.913.210.2
0.2*0.50.7
7.99.310.1
Colchester United0.71.12.1
4.66.310.6
2.21.50.7
12.411.510.0
Morecambe vs Coventry CityHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.728.528.0
60.960.559.7
Notts County27.527.326.8
59.759.458.5
Accrington Stan11.811.711.4
36.736.435.6
Exeter City9.29.18.9
31.130.930.1
Wycombe Wanderers18.418.217.7
Coventry City2.12.84.9
10.513.319.9
0.80.40.2
10.19.37.9
Crawley Town14.714.113.7
Yeovil Town18.317.617.2
Crewe Alexandra18.617.917.4
Forest Green Ro18.717.917.5
Morecambe0.50.20.1
15.422.827.2
17.518.719.3
Port Vale26.926.025.5
Barnet31.830.830.2
Chesterfield32.131.130.5
Crawley Town vs Mansfield TownHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.728.528.0
60.860.659.7
Notts County27.527.326.9
59.759.458.5
Accrington Stan11.811.711.4
36.736.435.6
Exeter City9.29.18.9
31.130.930.1
Wycombe Wanderers18.418.217.7
Mansfield Town2.02.84.9
10.313.119.7
0.80.50.2
10.19.37.9
Crawley Town1.00.40.3
9.414.918.5
16.117.418.1
Yeovil Town18.217.717.3
Crewe Alexandra18.417.917.6
Forest Green Ro18.518.017.6
Morecambe22.221.621.2
Port Vale26.726.125.6
Barnet31.630.830.4
Chesterfield31.931.230.7
Newport County vs Carlisle UnitedHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Newport County2.81.51.1
13.18.26.2
0.41.01.5
9.310.811.6
Carlisle United0.30.51.1
2.53.66.3
4.23.01.5
13.913.111.5
Yeovil Town vs Lincoln CityHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.528.528.1
60.760.559.9
Notts County27.427.327.0
59.559.358.7
Accrington Stan11.711.711.5
36.536.335.8
Exeter City9.29.19.0
31.030.830.3
Lincoln City1.11.52.8
6.38.213.1
1.61.00.4
11.610.89.3
Crawley Town14.614.113.8
Yeovil Town0.70.30.2
12.218.622.7
16.818.118.8
Crewe Alexandra18.517.917.5
Forest Green Ro18.618.017.6
Morecambe22.321.621.2
Port Vale26.826.025.6
Barnet31.630.830.3
Chesterfield32.031.230.7
Grimsby Town vs Forest Green RoHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Notts County27.127.327.3
58.859.359.5
Grimsby Town2.21.10.8
10.36.34.7
0.71.52.3
10.111.612.4
Crawley Town13.814.114.6
Yeovil Town17.317.618.2
Crewe Alexandra17.517.918.5
Forest Green Ro0.20.30.7
23.118.912.4
18.818.216.8
Morecambe21.221.622.3
Port Vale25.626.026.8
Barnet30.330.831.6
Chesterfield30.731.232.0
Port Vale vs Cambridge UnitedHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Luton Town28.528.428.2
60.660.560.0
Notts County27.327.327.1
59.559.358.8
Cambridge United0.71.12.1
4.66.110.1
2.4*1.50.7
12.511.610.2
Crawley Town14.714.113.7
Yeovil Town18.417.617.2
Crewe Alexandra18.617.817.4
Forest Green Ro18.717.917.5
Morecambe22.421.621.1
Port Vale0.30.10.1
19.127.432.4
18.119.319.9
Barnet31.830.730.1
Chesterfield32.231.130.5
Cheltenham Town vs Crewe AlexandraHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cheltenham Town0.40.20.1
2.61.30.9
3.97.19.7
13.815.316.1
Crewe Alexandra0.20.30.7
23.218.812.2
18.818.116.8
Morecambe21.421.622.1
Port Vale25.826.026.6
Barnet30.630.831.4
Chesterfield30.931.131.7
Chesterfield vs BarnetHomeDrawAway
3:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Barnet38.632.122.5
20.419.818.7
Chesterfield22.832.439.0
18.719.920.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you silverfish for adding this league.