Winchester City Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50
Beat Slimbridge 2-1, playoff odds up 13.1 to 62.4%
48 points 14-6-7
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | +13.2 | +1.2 | +0.8 | |||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +1.9 | +0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -1.7 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.3 | +0.0 | ||||
| Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | -0.2 | -0.4 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +1.8+0.5-2.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -1.2+0.8+0.5 | |||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.6+0.1-0.7 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | +14.4-1.6-13.1 | +1.6-0.6-1.2 | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | |||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | +12.5-2.2-10.7 | +1.6-0.5-1.2 | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | |||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.9+0.5-2.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -2.1+0.6+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +1.6+0.6-2.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.8+0.3+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +1.4+0.6-1.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +0.8+0.8-1.5 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.2-0.6 | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Slimbridge | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | |||||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.6+0.1+0.5 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Winchester City finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 81 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.1 | % | 99 | 1 | No | 957 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 95.9 | 96 | 4 | No | 748 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 90.8 | 91 | 9 | No | 878 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 87.2 | 87 | 12 | 0 | No | 2,928 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 78.2 | 78 | 21 | 1 | No | 7,319 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 69.3 | 69 | 29 | 2 | No | 11,685 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 57.1 | 57 | 39 | 4 | 0 | No | 26,192 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 44.1 | 44 | 47 | 9 | 0 | No | 44,161 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | In | 32.1 | 32 | 52 | 16 | 0 | 0 | No | 70,724 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | In | 20.4 | 20 | 53 | 26 | 1 | 0 | No | 119,125 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 10.5 | 11 | 47 | 40 | 3 | 0 | No | 85,602 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | In | 13.3 | 13 | 49 | 35 | 2 | 0 | No | 81,994 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 100.0 | % | 6.1 | 6 | 39 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 201,345 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 5.6 | 6 | 37 | 49 | 7 | 0 | No | 37,390 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 100.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 26 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 0 | No | 246,422 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 2.9 | 3 | 30 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 80,732 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 0.9 | 1 | 17 | 57 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,334 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 99.8 | 0.7 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 156,855 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 99.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 401,009 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 99.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 9 | 50 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 91,296 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 368,449 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 97.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 204,163 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 92.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 409,653 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 90.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 41 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 205,333 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 80.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 502,313 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 84.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 37 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 109,051 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 76.8 | No | 0 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 37,571 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 61.6 | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 368,427 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 67.4 | No | 0 | 6 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 275,470 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 44.2 | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 408,840 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 38.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 150,924 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 50.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,052 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 22.8 | No | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 401,260 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 25.8 | No | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 137,198 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 8.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 253,777 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 10.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,906 | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 2.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,085 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 2.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,906 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,745 | ||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,281 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 107,841 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 80,436 | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 120,590 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 54 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 73,355 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 39,403 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,817 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,917 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,933 | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 23 | 40 | 25 | 7 | 0 | No | 746 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 33 | 14 | 3 | No | 982 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 62.4 | % | 2.1 | % | 2 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,065,120 | ||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
