Cirencester Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020 50/50
Beat Larkhall Athletic 4-0, playoff odds up 11.4 to 37.3%
45 points 14-3-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | +12.1 | +0.3 | +0.9 | |||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -1.6 | |||||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +1.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -1.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Mangotsfield 0 Thatcham Town 4 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | -10.8-3.0+13.3 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | |||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -1.2+0.8+0.6 | |||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -13.0-2.9+15.3 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | |||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | -11.1-3.0+13.5 | -0.3-0.2+0.4 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | |||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.9+0.6-2.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -2.2+0.4+1.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -2.0+0.6+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.9+0.3+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +1.5+0.5-1.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +0.7+0.9-1.4 | |||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.8+0.3-1.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Willand Rovers vs Slimbridge | -0.2+0.2*-0.0 | |||||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | -0.2+0.0+0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cirencester Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 78 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 90.1 | % | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 959 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 76.7 | 77 | 22 | 1 | No | 711 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 67.1 | 67 | 30 | 3 | No | 915 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 54.3 | 54 | 40 | 5 | 0 | No | 2,911 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 42.4 | 42 | 47 | 10 | 0 | No | 7,039 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 30.5 | 31 | 51 | 18 | 0 | No | 11,397 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 19.9 | 20 | 51 | 28 | 1 | 0 | No | 26,402 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 11.0 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 4 | 0 | No | 44,121 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 5.6 | 6 | 36 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 0 | No | 70,684 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 118,532 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 0.7 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 86,037 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 0.8 | 1 | 15 | 55 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,439 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 200,939 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 99.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 37,340 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 245,119 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 97.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 80,383 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 91.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,497 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 90.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 157,090 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 402,374 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 80.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 90,948 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 61.9 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 368,738 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 65.4 | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 203,423 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 43.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 409,768 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 40.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 206,508 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 23.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 501,480 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 26.5 | No | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 109,423 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 20.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 37,780 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 9.5 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 368,794 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 11.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 276,467 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 3.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 409,935 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 2.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 150,385 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 4.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 38,298 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 401,279 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 137,055 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 246,058 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 208,072 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 245,473 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 111,680 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 200,699 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,605 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 105,522 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,950 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 119,940 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 72,523 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 39,897 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 18,953 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 8,047 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 10 | 2 | No | 2,868 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 0 | 7 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 1 | No | 708 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 3 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 11 | 2 | No | 955 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 37.3 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,065,120 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
