Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleNational LeagueChance will finish season at seedDemotion
11/6PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPISaturday
Chorley3019-3-31419.7%-0.729.1%-0.6201512108765433221111000005.1-0.040.3%-0.02DarlingtonChorley
ChesterWNuneaton Town 3-22918-5-2815.7+3.925.0+4.6161311108765543322111100005.7+0.950.4-0.51AltrinchamChester
Bradford Park A309-3-41014.2-0.623.5-0.5141311109766543322211100005.8-0.040.4-0.03at Curzon AshtonBradford Park Avenue
Spennymoor Town298-5-31511.7-0.520.6-0.412111098876554332211110006.4-0.040.6-0.05Stockport CountySpennymoor Town
Kidderminster H298-5-31111.6-0.520.6-0.412111098876554332211110006.4-0.040.6-0.06at Nuneaton TownKidderminster Harriers
Brackley Town267-5-4125.6-0.312.8-0.367777777665544332211108.3-0.031.9-0.07Blyth SpartansBrackley Town
Boston United258-1-754.2-0.210.6-0.245677777666554433221109.1-0.032.7-0.19at Telford UnitedBoston United
Telford United256-7-324.1-0.210.5-0.245667777666554433221109.1-0.032.7-0.04Boston UnitedTelford United
Stockport County2316-5-483.9-0.29.8-0.245666676666655443322119.5-0.033.4-0.18at Spennymoor TownStockport County
Altrincham2216-4-583.0-0.18.3-0.2345566666666655443322110.2-0.024.5-0.115at ChesterAltrincham
Leamington1915-4-6-11.2-0.14.4-0.1122344555666666666544212.5-0.0110.3-0.113at York CityLeamington
York City1915-4-6-41.1-0.14.4-0.1122344555666666666554212.5-0.0110.5-0.112LeamingtonYork City
Curzon Ashton205-5-6-50.9-0.13.8-0.1122334455666666666554212.8-0.0111.1-0.211Bradford Park ACurzon Ashton
Alfreton Town1815-3-7-30.8-0.03.5-0.1112233445566666666655313.2-0.0113.2-0.210at Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town
GuiseleyLAshton United 0-1194-7-5-20.6-0.53.1-1.4112233445566667777665313.5-1.0013.8+3.214at SouthportGuiseley
Darlington194-7-5-20.7-0.03.1-0.1112233445566667777665313.513.8-0.216at ChorleyDarlington
Blyth Spartans1615-1-9-80.4-0.02.2-0.1011222334455667778887614.720.1-0.218at Brackley TownBlyth Spartans
Ashton UnitedWGuiseley 1-0174-5-7-180.3+0.11.8+0.5011122333455667788888615.0+1.0321.8-8.117Alfreton TownAshton United
Hereford1413-5-7-90.2-0.01.3-0.000111222334455677891010916.028.9-0.219FC UnitedHereford
FC United143-5-8-120.1-0.00.8-0.00001111223344567791011121216.9+0.0135.7-0.320at HerefordFC United
Southport1112-5-8-80.1-0.00.5-0.00000111122233456781012151817.7+0.0144.4-0.321GuiseleySouthport
Nuneaton TownLChester 2-3102-4-10-210.0-0.00.2-0.2000000011112233467912172919.0-0.6858.8+7.622Kidderminster HNuneaton Town

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/13
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.6
-0.5
Bradford Park A-2.4
-3.3
+1.1
-1.0
Kidderminster H+4.0
+4.7
-0.7
+1.0
Telford United 1 Chorley 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-1.5
-1.3
-0.1
Chester+0.2
+0.2
Bradford Park A+0.3
+0.3
Spennymoor Town+0.3
+0.2
Kidderminster H+0.3
+0.3
Brackley Town+0.2
+0.2
Boston United+0.1
Telford United-0.7
-0.9
+0.2
-0.2
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.5
-0.5
Bradford Park A-0.2
-0.2
Spennymoor Town+2.2
+3.3
-1.5
+1.1
Kidderminster H-0.2
-0.2
Boston United-0.2
Telford United-0.2
Curzon Ashton-0.2
Darlington-0.3
Blyth Spartans-0.3
Ashton United-0.5
-1.3
+4.1
-1.0
Hereford*-0.2
FC United-0.3
Southport-0.3
Nuneaton Town-0.2
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.4
-0.4
Bradford Park A-0.2
-0.2
Spennymoor Town-0.2
-0.2
Kidderminster H-0.2
-0.2
Boston United+1.8
+2.9
-1.9
+1.1
Telford United-0.2
Altrincham-0.3
York City-0.2
Curzon Ashton-0.2
Guiseley-0.2
Darlington-0.3
Blyth Spartans-0.2
-0.8
+5.8
-0.9
Ashton United-0.2
Hereford-0.3
FC United-0.4
Southport-0.4
Nuneaton Town-0.5
Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley+0.2
*+0.2
Brackley Town-1.5
-2.5
+1.7
-1.0
Guiseley+0.8
+1.8
-3.9
+1.2
Blyth Spartans+0.2
Ashton United+0.2
Hereford+0.2
FC United+0.2
Nuneaton Town+0.2
Southport 1 York City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley-0.3
-0.3
Bradford Park A-0.2
Kidderminster H-0.2
Telford United-0.2
Stockport County-0.2
Altrincham-0.3
York City+1.2
+2.3
-2.9
+1.2
Curzon Ashton-0.3
Alfreton Town-0.2
Guiseley-0.2
Darlington-0.3
Blyth Spartans-0.4
Ashton United-0.2
Hereford-0.4
FC United-0.4
Southport-0.4
+6.9
-0.8
Nuneaton Town-0.4
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chorley*+0.2
Altrincham+0.5
+1.4
-5.2
+1.2
Curzon Ashton+0.2
Alfreton Town-1.0
-1.9
+2.7
-1.0
Guiseley+0.2
Darlington+0.2
Blyth Spartans+0.3
Ashton United+0.2
Hereford+0.3
FC United+0.2
Southport+0.2
Nuneaton Town+0.3
Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Leamington-0.8
-1.7
+3.2
-1.0
Curzon Ashton+0.5
+1.3
-5.3
+1.2
Darlington+0.2
Blyth Spartans+0.2
Hereford+0.2
FC United+0.2
Nuneaton Town+0.2
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Stockport County-0.3
-0.6
+0.4
-0.2
Altrincham*-0.2
Hereford-0.1
-0.3
+0.9
-0.2
FC United*-0.1
Southport*-0.1
Nuneaton Town*-0.1
FC United 1 Darlington 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington+0.3
+0.9
-6.9
+1.1
FC United-0.3
+7.5
-0.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.