Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
8/15PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPITuesday
Darlington 1883WCurzon Ashton 2-1712-1-048.1%+2.014.5%+3.087766655555444443333229.4+1.086.9%-3.09Darlington 1883
FC Halifax Town712-1-048.1-0.014.5-0.087766655554444443333229.46.9-0.010at Stockport CountyFC Halifax Town
Tamworth712-1-028.0-0.114.4-0.187766655555444443333229.4-0.017.0-0.04at Boston UnitedTamworth
Stockport County612-0-116.5-0.112.3-0.1766655555554444444333210.1-0.018.6-0.014FC Halifax TownStockport County
Salford City421-1-046.0-0.011.4-0.1665555555555444444443310.5-0.019.9+0.02FC United of MaSalford City
Gloucester City421-1-036.0-0.011.4-0.0665555555555444444443310.59.9-0.05at Worcester CityGloucester City
AFC Fylde421-1-016.0-0.011.4-0.0665555555555444444443310.5-0.0110.0-0.02at AltrinchamAFC Fylde
Harrogate Town511-2-025.3-0.010.5-0.0555555555555544444444310.710.4-0.011at Gainsborough TrHarrogate Town
FC United of Ma511-2-025.3-0.110.5-0.1555555555555544444444310.7-0.0110.5+0.06at Salford CityFC United of Manchester
Brackley Town511-2-015.3-0.010.4-0.0555555555555544444444310.7-0.0110.5-0.01Alfreton TownBrackley Town
Kidderminster H411-1-144.3-0.08.9-0.0445555555555555555444411.412.6-0.015at Nuneaton TownKidderminster Harriers
Chorley220-2-003.9-0.08.1-0.0444444445555555555555511.814.4-0.012Bradford Park AChorley
Alfreton Town311-0-223.4-0.07.4-0.0344444445555555555555512.1-0.0115.1+0.019at Brackley TownAlfreton Town
Bradford Park A310-3-003.4-0.07.4-0.0344444444555555555555512.115.1-0.021at ChorleyBradford Park Avenue
Altrincham310-3-003.4-0.07.3-0.0344444445555555555555512.1-0.0115.2-0.08AFC FyldeAltrincham
Stalybridge Cel311-0-2-53.3-0.07.3-0.0344444444555555555555512.1-0.0115.3-0.017at AFC TelfordStalybridge Celtic
Curzon AshtonLDarlington 1883 1-241-1-2-52.9-1.36.6-2.2334444444555555555555512.4-0.9616.1+3.316Curzon Ashton
Nuneaton Town120-1-1-13.1-0.06.7-0.1334444444455555555556612.5-0.0117.1-0.018Kidderminster HNuneaton Town
AFC Telford110-1-2-22.1-0.05.0-0.0233333444445555556667813.521.1-0.013Stalybridge CelAFC Telford
Worcester City110-1-2-42.1-0.05.0-0.0233333444444555556667813.521.2-0.07Gloucester CityWorcester City
Gainsborough Tr110-1-2-72.1-0.05.0-0.0223333444444555566667813.5-0.0121.3+0.022Harrogate TownGainsborough Trinity
Boston United010-0-3-61.6-0.04.1-0.02223333344445555667781014.124.7-0.020TamworthBoston United

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 8/13
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2
Mon100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 1883+2.2
+3.2
-3.1
+1.1
Salford City-0.1
Brackley Town-0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H-0.1
Curzon Ashton-1.4
-2.3
+3.4
-1.0
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth+2.1
+3.1
-3.2
+1.1
Brackley Town-0.1
*-0.1
Kidderminster H-0.1
Chorley-0.1
Alfreton Town*-0.1
Bradford Park A-0.1
-0.1
Nuneaton Town-0.1
AFC Telford-1.0
-1.8
+4.2
-1.0
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town+2.1
+3.1
-3.2
+1.1
Salford City-0.1
Gloucester City-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde-0.1
FC United of Ma-0.1
-0.1
Worcester City-1.1
-1.9
+4.2
-1.0
Stalybridge Cel 0 Salford City 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salford City+1.6
+2.6
-3.9
+1.1
Stalybridge Cel-1.5
-2.4
+3.4
-1.0
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town*+0.1
Alfreton Town-1.5
-2.4
+3.3
-1.0
Curzon Ashton+1.2
+2.1
-4.7
+1.1
Boston United+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gloucester City+1.6
+2.6
-4.0
+1.1
Gainsborough Tr-1.0
-1.8
+4.3
-1.0
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 1883+1.6
+2.6
-4.0
+1.1
Alfreton Town-0.1
-0.1
Boston United-0.9
-1.6
+4.7
-1.0
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 1883+0.1
AFC Fylde-0.6
-0.8
+0.4
-0.2
Harrogate Town+0.1
Brackley Town-0.6
-0.9
+0.5
-0.2
Alfreton Town+0.1
Bradford Park A+0.1
+0.1
Stalybridge Cel-0.1
AFC Telford+0.1
Boston United+0.1
-0.2
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town+0.1
Kidderminster H-0.5
-0.8
+0.5
-0.2
Chorley-0.5
-0.7
+0.6
-0.2
Alfreton Town+0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton+0.1
Worcester City-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town-0.6
-0.8
+0.4
-0.2
Altrincham-0.4
-0.7
+0.6
-0.2
Gainsborough Tr*-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A-0.4
-0.7
+0.6
-0.2
Nuneaton Town-0.4
-0.7
+0.6
-0.2
Worcester City+0.1
-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town5.77.310.8
11.213.518.3
9.17.24.6
10.49.68.3
Stockport County8.95.94.5
15.711.49.4
5.89.011.2
8.910.311.1
Boston United vs TamworthHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth5.87.310.6
11.313.418.1
9.37.34.5
10.49.68.3
Nuneaton Town3.13.13.0
6.86.86.7
17.317.117.0
AFC Telford2.12.12.0
5.15.14.9
21.321.020.9
Worcester City2.12.12.0
5.05.04.9
21.421.121.0
Gainsborough Tr2.12.12.0
5.05.04.9
21.621.221.1
Boston United2.41.41.0
5.63.62.8
19.025.729.8
13.114.415.1
Salford City vs FC United of MaHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salford City8.15.44.2
14.610.68.7
6.810.412.8
9.310.711.5
FC United of Ma3.64.77.3
7.99.713.5
13.510.97.2
11.711.09.6
Altrincham vs AFC FyldeHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde4.25.38.1
8.710.514.5
12.910.46.9
11.510.79.4
Altrincham4.73.02.2
9.76.75.4
10.915.819.0
11.012.313.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town7.24.73.6
13.49.67.9
7.211.013.6
9.611.011.7
Alfreton Town2.33.04.8
5.46.89.8
18.915.710.8
13.112.310.9
Worcester City vs Gloucester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gloucester City4.25.48.1
8.810.614.5
12.910.46.8
11.510.79.3
Worcester City3.01.81.3
6.74.53.5
16.022.125.9
12.413.714.5
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate TownHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town3.74.87.2
8.09.713.4
13.510.97.1
11.711.09.6
Gainsborough Tr3.01.81.3
6.74.53.5
16.022.226.1
12.413.714.5
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster HHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H2.93.85.9
6.68.111.5
16.013.18.8
12.411.610.2
Nuneaton Town4.32.72.0
8.96.14.9
12.617.921.3
11.412.813.5
Chorley vs Bradford Park AHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chorley5.43.42.6
10.57.46.0
10.415.118.2
10.712.112.8
Bradford Park A2.33.04.8
5.46.79.7
19.015.810.9
13.112.311.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge CelHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stalybridge Cel2.22.94.7
5.46.69.5
19.316.011.0
13.212.411.0
AFC Telford3.01.81.3
6.74.53.6
15.822.025.9
12.313.714.4
Week of 8/20
FC Halifax Town vs TamworthIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC Halifax Town10.87.35.7
18.313.511.2
4.67.39.1
8.39.610.4
Tamworth5.77.310.8
11.213.518.2
9.27.34.6
10.49.68.3
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 18835.87.310.8
11.213.518.3
9.17.24.6
10.49.68.3
Gloucester City8.25.44.1
14.610.68.7
6.910.412.8
9.310.711.5
Darlington 1883 vs ChorleyHomeDrawAway
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Darlington 188310.77.35.8
18.213.511.3
4.57.29.2
8.39.610.4
Chorley2.63.45.4
6.07.410.6
18.115.110.4
12.812.110.7
Stockport County vs Brackley TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stockport County8.85.94.6
15.711.49.4
5.89.011.2
8.910.311.1
Brackley Town3.64.77.2
7.89.613.4
13.511.07.3
11.711.09.6
AFC Fylde vs Salford CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salford City4.25.48.2
8.710.614.6
12.810.46.8
11.510.79.3
AFC Fylde8.15.44.2
14.510.58.7
6.910.412.9
9.410.711.5
Alfreton Town vs AFC FyldeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Fylde4.25.38.1
8.710.514.5
12.910.46.9
11.510.79.4
Alfreton Town4.83.02.3
9.86.85.4
10.815.718.9
10.912.313.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Salford City4.25.48.1
8.810.614.6
12.810.36.8
11.410.79.3
Nuneaton Town4.32.72.0
8.96.14.9
12.617.921.3
11.412.813.5
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town3.74.87.3
7.99.713.5
13.510.97.2
11.711.09.6
Bradford Park A4.83.02.3
9.76.75.4
10.915.819.0
11.012.313.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FC United of Ma7.24.73.7
13.49.78.0
7.110.913.5
9.611.011.7
Worcester City1.31.83.0
3.54.56.7
26.022.116.0
14.513.712.4
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge CelHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H5.93.82.9
11.58.16.6
8.813.116.0
10.211.612.4
Stalybridge Cel2.22.94.7
5.36.69.6
19.216.011.0
13.212.411.0
Chorley vs Boston UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Chorley5.33.42.6
10.57.46.0
10.315.018.3
10.712.112.8
Boston United1.01.42.3
2.83.65.5
29.925.718.9
15.114.413.1
Gainsborough Tr vs AltrinchamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham2.33.04.7
5.46.79.6
19.115.810.8
13.112.311.0
Gainsborough Tr3.01.81.3
6.74.53.5
16.022.226.2
12.413.714.5
Curzon Ashton vs AFC TelfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton4.12.51.9
8.76.04.8
11.516.720.3
11.312.713.4
AFC Telford1.31.83.0
3.64.56.7
25.922.015.8
14.413.712.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.