How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Guarani vs Mirassol-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Mirassol vs Ituano+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Botafogo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ferroviaria vs Santos-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Bragantino+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ituano vs Corinthians+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.2+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Mirassol vs Oeste+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Santos vs Mirassol-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Guarani-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ferroviaria vs Ituano-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bragantino vs Sao Bento-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.2+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.2+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.2+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Mirassol finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
3612-0-0In1000No2,333,374
3411-1-0In1000No974,711
3311-0-1In1000No1,546,377
3210-2-0100.0%10000No3,386,793
3110-1-1100.010000No10,729,885
3010-0-2100.09910No15,624,181*
299-2-1100.099100No33,850,065
289-1-2100.098200No63,751,533*
278-3-1100.096400No92,446,984*
268-2-299.994600No162,574,553*
258-1-399.6901000No241,876,725*
247-3-299.1841510No327,720,164*
237-2-398.0772120No477,872,901*
227-1-496.5702730No321,796,820
6-4-295.1653050No287,458,702*
216-3-392.1573571No598,532,780
7-0-592.9593470No147,125,613*
206-2-487.44740121No711,027,256
5-5-283.94142142No216,287,953*
195-4-376.63244203No566,778,420
6-1-580.83743172No470,913,349*
185-3-468.32444265No897,754,568
6-0-673.32944234No118,941,564
4-6-263.22043307No113,401,475*
175-2-558.217413390.0%853,277,466
4-5-351.813383712No364,267,428*
164-4-441.493341170.0708,479,242
5-1-646.7113639140.0491,317,661*
154-3-531.852644240.0897,786,150
3-6-330.852644250.0253,918,020*
144-2-622.732044330.6711,026,887
3-5-418.021643391.3367,465,574*
133-4-511.911140488.0566,839,876
4-1-714.611341445.6362,676,810*
123-3-67.407355824.5598,525,727
2-6-46.906336027.1178,017,141*
113-2-74.204286749.5406,311,901
2-5-52.903247357.9221,126,518*
102-4-61.501198078.2283,358,081
3-1-82.002217774.1181,366,083*
92-3-70.701138690.9330,465,195*
82-2-80.30089297.2225,571,909*
71-4-70.10059599.3138,683,751*
61-3-80.00039799.980,148,204*
51-2-90.000199100.044,103,857*
41-1-100.000199100.020,847,618*
30-3-90.000100100.08,668,398*
20-2-100.000100100.03,386,818
10-1-11Out0100Yes974,644
00-0-12Out0100Yes2,334,839
Total:50.0%2525252512.5%14,185,652,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Guarani vs Mirassol+1.3+0.4-1.6
Mirassol vs Ituano-1.6+0.4+1.3
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Lottery seed
Santos vs Mirassol+1.3+0.4-1.6
Mirassol vs Oeste-1.6+0.4+1.3
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
3612-0-01000
3411-1-01000
3311-0-11000
3210-2-010000
3110-1-19910
3010-0-29910
299-2-197300
289-1-293600
278-3-18812000
268-2-27920100
258-1-364315000
247-3-24740111000
237-2-328442351000
227-1-41336341430000
6-4-21134351640000
216-3-341935281220000
7-0-542035271020000
206-2-4162233261020000
5-5-2041832291330000
195-4-30151730281441000
6-1-50172132251130000
185-3-400151629291651000
6-0-600162032271230000
4-6-200031227321961000
175-2-50000313273019610000
4-5-3000028223224102000
164-4-40000161930271330000
5-1-60002923312392000
154-3-500015162929164100
3-6-300014152930175100
144-2-60000313283118510
3-5-4000029243323810
133-4-500002924342371
4-1-700021227332050
123-3-600002102836214
2-6-4000292636225
113-2-70000314343613
2-5-5000110314018
102-4-600003184434
3-1-800004214430
92-3-7000183853
82-2-800032671
71-4-70011585
61-3-800793
51-2-900397
41-1-1000199
30-3-900100
20-2-1000100
10-1-110100
00-0-120100
Total:6666666666666666