How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Red Bull vs Guarani+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Mirassol-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Oeste-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Novorizontino vs Ituano+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Corinthians vs Guarani+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Red Bull-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.2+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.2+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Novorizontino finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
3612-0-0In1000No2,333,719
3411-1-0100.0%10000No973,984
3311-0-1In1000No1,544,091
3210-2-0100.010000No3,385,758
3110-1-1100.010000No10,729,235
3010-0-2100.09910No15,624,978*
299-2-1100.09910No33,852,654
289-1-2100.098200No63,771,227*
278-3-1100.096400No92,439,814*
268-2-299.994600No162,597,233*
258-1-399.6901000No241,881,462*
247-3-299.1841510No327,756,187*
237-2-398.0772120No477,854,572*
227-1-496.5702730No321,787,961
6-4-295.1653050No287,468,119*
216-3-392.1573571No598,503,018
7-0-592.8593470No147,130,214*
206-2-487.44740121No711,066,610
5-5-283.94142142No216,314,850*
195-4-376.63244203No566,790,471
6-1-580.83743172No470,883,274*
185-3-468.32444265No897,715,184
6-0-673.32944234No118,943,712
4-6-263.22043307No113,399,120*
175-2-558.21741339No853,259,878
4-5-351.8133837120.0%364,272,810*
164-4-441.493341170.0708,470,638
5-1-646.7113639140.0491,359,249*
154-3-531.852644240.0897,760,277
3-6-330.852644250.0253,891,723*
144-2-622.732044330.6711,073,980
3-5-418.021643391.3367,472,134*
133-4-511.911140488.0566,754,725
4-1-714.611341445.6362,689,197*
123-3-67.407355824.5598,499,579
2-6-46.906336027.1178,026,899*
113-2-74.204286749.5406,377,000
2-5-52.903247357.9221,140,271*
102-4-61.501198078.2283,405,313
3-1-82.002217774.1181,334,672*
92-3-70.701138690.9330,419,840*
82-2-80.30089297.2225,547,356*
71-4-70.10059599.3138,696,659*
61-3-80.00039799.980,156,374*
51-2-90.000199100.044,088,685*
41-1-100.00199100.020,845,411*
30-3-90.000100100.08,668,597*
20-2-10Out0100Yes3,385,132
10-1-11Out0100Yes974,588
00-0-12Out0100Yes2,334,110
Total:50.0%2525252512.5%14,185,652,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+1.3+0.4-1.6
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano-1.6+0.4+1.3
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Lottery seed
Novorizontino vs Ituano-1.6+0.4+1.3
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+1.3+0.4-1.6
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
3612-0-01000
3411-1-010000
3311-0-110000
3210-2-010000
3110-1-19910
3010-0-29910
299-2-197300
289-1-2936000
278-3-18812000
268-2-279201000
258-1-364315000
247-3-24740111000
237-2-328442351000
227-1-41336341430000
6-4-21134351640000
216-3-341935281120000
206-2-4162233261020000
5-5-2041832291330000
195-4-30151730281441000
6-1-50172132251130000
185-3-400151629291651000
6-0-600162032271230000
4-6-200031227321961000
175-2-5000031327301961000
4-5-30000282232241020000
164-4-40000161930271330000
5-1-6000029233123920000
154-3-5000015162929164100
3-6-300002112632206100
5-0-700016203227112000
144-2-60000313283118510
3-5-4000029243323810
133-4-500002924342371
4-1-7000021227332050
123-3-600002102836214
2-6-4000292636225
113-2-70000314343613
2-5-5000110314018
102-4-600003184434
3-1-80004214430
92-3-7000183853
82-2-800032671
71-4-70011585
61-3-8000793
51-2-900397
41-1-100199
30-3-900100
20-2-100100
10-1-110100
00-0-120100
Total:6666666666666666