How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 -6.1
+0.2
-0.1
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 -1.8
+0.3
-0.1
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 +0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mirassol vs Botafogo+7.2-6.0-14.2
-0.7-0.0+2.0
+0.2-0.2-0.4
Novorizontino vs Santos+2.4-0.7-8.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Santos vs Bragantino-8.7-0.8+2.3
+0.1+0.0-0.0
-0.2-0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Palmeiras-5.2-0.3+2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Novorizontino vs Guarani+1.8-0.6-5.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ponte Preta-0.7+0.0+0.1
+0.3*+0.0-0.1
Inter de Limeira vs Ituano+0.5+0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Inter de Limeira+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Santo Andre-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol-8.0-1.0+9.5
+0.7-0.2-0.7
-0.2-0.0+0.3
Palmeiras vs Mirassol-5.4+0.9+10.2
+0.4-0.3-0.7
-0.2+0.0+0.3
Santos vs Corinthians-8.3-0.3+2.8
+0.1+0.0-0.0
-0.2+0.0+0.1
Santo Andre vs Guarani+3.4+0.9-4.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Sao Caetano vs Ituano-0.7+0.0+0.1
+0.3-0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Sao Caetano+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Ponte Preta vs Inter de Limeira-0.1+0.0+0.5
Sao Bento vs Novorizontino+0.4+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Inter de Limeira-0.1+0.1+0.5
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Mirassol finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
266-0-0In100No2,360,412
245-1-0In1000No9,697,443
235-0-1100.0%10000No17,868,540
224-2-0100.010000No17,795,995
214-1-1100.09910No64,264,119
204-0-2100.09730No57,148,476
3-3-0100.09640No16,972,747
193-2-199.99550No90,088,266
183-1-299.789110No156,808,241
2-4-099.484151No8,874,929
173-0-399.1811810No89,388,653
2-3-198.7772210No61,548,938
162-2-297.1682930No157,316,969
1-5-095.0603550No2,417,816
152-1-392.4524180No175,458,830
1-4-188.54346120No20,509,197
142-0-485.838481400.0%71,910,611
1-3-282.031511800.068,406,909
0-6-077.02651230No267,106
131-2-370.921502900.0111,865,118
0-5-160.514473900.02,668,224
121-1-452.510434610.189,445,352
0-4-241.76365720.110,883,412
111-0-536.04326130.727,924,723
0-3-330.13286641.623,148,862
100-2-417.81177677.927,021,420
90-1-55.606801426.216,347,875
80-0-60.51762354.94,198,673
Total:85.5%59271410.7%1,402,607,856
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/17100.0*Lottery seed
Ferroviaria 1 Guarani 2 +0.5
Bragantino 2 Mirassol 1 +0.4
Sao Bento 1 Sao Caetano 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Mirassol vs Botafogo-0.8+0.7+1.6
Novorizontino vs Santos-0.2+0.0+0.8
Santos vs Bragantino+0.8+0.1-0.2
Novorizontino vs Guarani-0.2+0.0+0.7
Guarani vs Palmeiras+0.7+0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/25100.0*Lottery seed
Ponte Preta vs Mirassol+1.0+0.2-1.2
Palmeiras vs Mirassol+0.7-0.0-1.3
Santos vs Corinthians+0.7-0.0-0.2
Santo Andre vs Guarani-0.4-0.2+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
266-0-0275519
245-1-022960900
235-0-101063270000
224-2-00255420000
214-1-10033660100000
204-0-2017800210000
3-3-016810310000
193-2-198603200000
183-1-228705600000
2-4-08407800000
173-0-3810414100000
2-3-1770517101000
162-2-2680324301200
1-5-0600428302310
152-1-35201319014200
1-4-1431369016400
142-0-438031170158000
1-3-2310321801610100
0-6-026031200181320
131-2-3210203000519400
0-5-1140172900625800
121-1-41008340032815200
0-4-260829022923400
111-0-542300122311010
0-3-332250017351620
100-2-4101707333480
90-1-5006011948252
80-0-610440487
Total:0055302151000264210