How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Red Bull vs Guarani+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Guarani vs Mirassol-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Oeste-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Sao Bento-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Novorizontino vs Ituano-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Palmeiras vs Red Bull-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Guarani+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.2+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.2+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Sao Bento finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
3612-0-0In1000No2,333,718
3411-1-0In1000No973,942
3311-0-1In1000No1,545,703
3210-2-0100.0%10000No3,387,811
3110-1-1100.010000No10,725,370
3010-0-2100.09910No15,622,073*
299-2-1100.099100No33,854,921
289-1-2100.098200No63,751,675*
278-3-1100.096400No92,439,537*
268-2-299.994600No162,597,897*
258-1-399.6901000No241,890,212*
247-3-299.1841510No327,761,168*
237-2-398.0772120No477,914,349*
227-1-496.5702730No321,802,656
6-4-295.1653050No287,489,574*
216-3-392.1573571No598,527,044
7-0-592.8593470No147,123,011*
206-2-487.44740121No711,052,528
5-5-283.94142142No216,313,733*
195-4-376.63244203No566,805,879
6-1-580.83743172No470,895,010*
185-3-468.32444265No897,741,181
6-0-673.32944234No118,934,654
4-6-263.22043307No113,374,250*
175-2-558.21741339No853,274,370
4-5-351.813383712No364,268,387*
164-4-441.493341170.0%708,484,245
5-1-646.7113639140.0491,387,147*
154-3-531.852644240.0897,805,732
3-6-330.852644250.0253,883,837*
144-2-622.732044330.6710,998,377
3-5-418.021643391.3367,437,122*
133-4-511.911140488.0566,771,831
4-1-714.611341445.6362,740,788*
123-3-67.407355824.5598,519,811
2-6-46.906336027.1178,014,942*
113-2-74.204286749.5406,283,306
2-5-52.903247357.9221,111,698*
102-4-61.501198078.2283,389,935
3-1-82.002217774.1181,344,859*
92-3-70.701138690.9330,430,051*
82-2-80.30089297.2225,526,659*
71-4-70.10059599.3138,648,748*
61-3-80.00039799.980,169,361*
51-2-90.000199100.044,091,365*
41-1-100.00199100.020,848,870*
30-3-90.000100100.08,668,813*
20-2-100.000100100.03,384,927
10-1-11Out0100Yes975,829
00-0-12Out0100Yes2,333,638
Total:50.0%2525252512.5%14,185,652,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+1.3+0.4-1.6
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo-1.6+0.4+1.3
Guarani vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Lottery seed
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+1.3+0.4-1.6
Sao Bento vs Botafogo-1.6+0.4+1.3
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
3612-0-01000
3411-1-01000
3311-0-11000
3210-2-010000
3110-1-19910
3010-0-29910
299-2-197300
289-1-293600
278-3-18812000
268-2-27920100
258-1-364315000
247-3-24740111000
237-2-328442351000
227-1-41336341430000
6-4-21134351640000
216-3-341935281220000
7-0-542035271020000
206-2-4162233261020000
5-5-2041832291330000
195-4-30151730281441000
6-1-50172132251130000
185-3-4001516292916510000
6-0-600162032271230000
4-6-200031227321961000
175-2-5000031327301961000
4-5-3000028223224102000
164-4-4000161930271330000
5-1-600029233123920000
154-3-500015162929164100
3-6-300014152930175100
144-2-60000313283118510
3-5-4000029243323810
133-4-500002924342371
4-1-7000021227332050
123-3-600002102836214
2-6-4000292636225
113-2-70000314343613
2-5-5000110314018
102-4-600003184434
3-1-800004214430
92-3-7000183853
82-2-800032671
71-4-70011585
61-3-8000793
51-2-900397
41-1-100199
30-3-900100
20-2-1000100
10-1-110100
00-0-120100
Total:6666666666666666