How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ferroviaria vs Santos+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Santos vs Bragantino-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bull vs Guarani-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Red Bull+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.2+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.2+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.2+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.2+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Guarani vs Ponte Preta-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Mirassol-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Botafogo vs Santos+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.2+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ponte Preta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
3612-0-0In1000No2,333,835
3411-1-0In1000No975,698
3311-0-1In1000No1,544,944
3210-2-0100.0%10000No3,383,522
3110-1-1100.010000No10,729,873
3010-0-2100.09910No15,623,394*
299-2-1100.099100No33,862,588
289-1-2100.098200No63,757,273*
278-3-1100.096400No92,446,359*
268-2-299.994600No162,601,213*
258-1-399.6901000No241,856,974*
247-3-299.1841510No327,764,617*
237-2-398.0772120No477,918,588*
227-1-496.5702730No321,788,701
6-4-295.1653050No287,470,018*
216-3-392.1573571No598,519,564
7-0-592.8593470No147,148,395*
206-2-487.44740121No711,031,703
5-5-283.94142142No216,302,035*
195-4-376.63244203No566,780,521
6-1-580.83743172No470,870,022*
185-3-468.32444265No897,769,095
6-0-673.32944234No118,942,946
4-6-263.22043307No113,386,899*
175-2-558.21741339No853,238,258
4-5-351.813383712No364,238,869*
164-4-441.493341170.0%708,471,118
5-1-646.7113639140.0491,340,466*
154-3-531.852644240.0897,775,459
3-6-330.852644250.0253,894,228*
144-2-622.732044330.6711,077,828
3-5-418.021643391.3367,468,878*
133-4-511.911140488.0566,808,373
4-1-714.611341445.6362,686,452*
123-3-67.407355824.5598,513,798
2-6-46.906336027.1178,016,411*
113-2-74.204286749.5406,293,117
2-5-52.903247357.9221,122,779*
102-4-61.501198078.2283,423,223
3-1-82.002217774.1181,350,270*
92-3-70.701138690.9330,455,100*
82-2-80.30089297.2225,549,251*
71-4-70.10059599.3138,664,271*
61-3-80.00039799.980,159,715*
51-2-90.000199100.044,074,539*
41-1-100.00199100.020,855,925*
30-3-90.000100100.08,671,012*
20-2-100.000100100.03,385,948
10-1-11Out0100Yes974,620
00-0-12Out0100Yes2,333,859
Total:50.0%2525252512.5%14,185,652,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras-1.6+0.4+1.3
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+1.3+0.4-1.6
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Lottery seed
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino-1.6+0.4+1.3
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+1.3+0.4-1.6
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
3612-0-01000
3411-1-01000
3311-0-11000
3210-2-010000
3110-1-19910
3010-0-29910
299-2-197300
289-1-293600
278-3-18812000
268-2-27920100
258-1-364315000
247-3-24740111000
237-2-328442351000
227-1-41336341430000
6-4-21134351640000
216-3-341935281220000
7-0-542035271020000
206-2-4162233261020000
5-5-2041832291330000
195-4-30151730281441000
6-1-50172132251130000
185-3-400151629291651000
6-0-600162032271230000
4-6-200031227321961000
175-2-5000031327301961000
4-5-3000028223224102000
164-4-40000161930271330000
5-1-6000029233123920000
154-3-500015162929164100
3-6-300014152930175100
144-2-60000313283118510
3-5-4000029243323810
133-4-500002924342371
4-1-7000021227332050
123-3-600002102836214
2-6-40000292636225
113-2-7000214343713
2-5-50000110314017
102-4-600003184434
3-1-800004214430
92-3-7000183853
82-2-800032671
71-4-70011585
61-3-8000793
51-2-900397
41-1-100199
30-3-900100
20-2-1000100
10-1-110100
00-0-120100
Total:6666666666666666