How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Ferroviaria vs Santos+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Mirassol vs Ituano-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Guarani vs Mirassol+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ituano vs Corinthians+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Botafogo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Bragantino+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.2+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.2+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie A2100.0*Average seed
Ferroviaria vs Ituano+11.9-3.6-9.6
-6.7+1.1+6.0
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria-9.6-3.6+11.9
+6.0+1.1-6.7
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Bragantino vs Palmeiras-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Bragantino vs Sao Bento-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Mirassol vs Oeste-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Guarani-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo-4.0+1.2+3.2
+0.1-0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos vs Mirassol+3.2+1.2-4.0
+0.0-0.2+0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Ferroviaria finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seedSerie
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234A2Count
3612-0-0In1000No2,334,458
3411-1-0In1000No976,157
3311-0-1In1000No1,545,811
3210-2-0100.0%10000No3,384,220
3110-1-1100.010000No10,725,620
3010-0-2100.09910No15,622,909*
299-2-1100.099100No33,854,509
289-1-2100.098200No63,743,521*
278-3-1100.096400No92,433,076*
268-2-299.994600No162,586,370*
258-1-399.6901000No241,851,000*
247-3-299.1841510No327,746,704*
237-2-398.0772120No477,883,650*
227-1-496.5702730No321,810,181
6-4-295.1653050No287,450,139*
216-3-392.1573571No598,521,142
7-0-592.9593470No147,145,224*
206-2-487.44740121No711,015,821
5-5-283.94142142No216,319,648*
195-4-376.63244203No566,856,159
6-1-580.83743172No470,899,091*
185-3-468.32444265No897,790,710
6-0-673.32944234No118,941,993
4-6-263.22043307No113,393,748*
175-2-558.21741339No853,234,227
4-5-351.813383712No364,260,135*
164-4-441.493341170.0%708,462,308
5-1-646.7113639140.0491,359,189*
154-3-531.852644240.0897,796,170
3-6-330.852644250.0253,893,343*
144-2-622.732044330.6711,004,876
3-5-418.021643391.3367,481,343*
133-4-511.911140488.0566,755,925
4-1-714.611341445.6362,693,035*
123-3-67.407355824.5598,536,281
2-6-46.906336027.1178,036,557*
113-2-74.204286749.5406,324,292
2-5-52.903247357.9221,125,436*
102-4-61.501198078.2283,397,334
3-1-82.002217774.1181,359,086*
92-3-70.701138690.9330,455,144*
82-2-80.30089297.2225,544,264*
71-4-70.10059599.3138,660,971*
61-3-80.00039799.980,154,105*
51-2-90.000199100.044,076,643*
41-1-100.00199100.020,838,866*
30-3-90.000100100.08,673,288*
20-2-100.000100100.03,387,875
10-1-11Out0100Yes975,242
00-0-12Out0100Yes2,334,748
Total:50.0%2525252512.5%14,185,652,544

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/17100.0*Lottery seed
Botafogo vs Ferroviaria+1.3+0.4-1.6
Ferroviaria vs Santos-1.6+0.4+1.3
Mirassol vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ituano vs Corinthians+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Bragantino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Paulo vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Red Bull vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/24100.0*Lottery seed
Ferroviaria vs Ituano-1.6+0.4+1.3
Red Bull vs Ferroviaria+1.3+0.4-1.6
Bragantino vs Sao Bento+0.0-0.1+0.0
Bragantino vs Palmeiras+0.0-0.1+0.0
Mirassol vs Oeste+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Guarani+0.0-0.1+0.0
Corinthians vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Santos vs Mirassol+0.0-0.1+0.0
Palmeiras vs Red Bull+0.0-0.1+0.0
Guarani vs Ponte Preta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Oeste vs Sao Caetano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Caetano vs Sao Paulo+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino+0.0-0.1+0.0
Botafogo vs Santos+0.0-0.1+0.0
Novorizontino vs Ituano+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sao Bento vs Botafogo+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
3612-0-01000
3411-1-01000
3311-0-11000
3210-2-010000
3110-1-19910
3010-0-29910
299-2-197300
289-1-293600
278-3-18812000
268-2-279201000
258-1-364315000
247-3-24740111000
237-2-328442351000
227-1-41336341430000
6-4-21134351640000
216-3-341935281220000
7-0-542035271020000
206-2-41622332610200000
5-5-2041832291330000
195-4-30151730281441000
6-1-50172132251130000
185-3-400151629291651000
6-0-600162032271230000
4-6-200031227321961000
175-2-5000031327301961000
4-5-3000028223224102000
164-4-4000161930271330000
5-1-600029233123920000
154-3-500015162929164100
3-6-300014152930175100
144-2-60000313283118510
3-5-4000029243323810
133-4-500002924342371
4-1-7000021227332050
123-3-600002112836204
2-6-4000172337266
113-2-70000314343613
2-5-5000110314018
102-4-600003184434
3-1-80004214430
92-3-7000183853
82-2-800032671
71-4-70011585
61-3-8000793
51-2-900397
41-1-100199
30-3-900100
20-2-1000100
10-1-110100
00-0-120100
Total:6666666666666666