Associacao Ferroviaria de Esportes Playoff Chances 2021
Beat Ituano 1-0, playoff odds up 3.4 to 100%
18 points 5-3-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/25 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ponte Preta 0 Inter de Limeira 1 | +19.9 | +0.2 | ||||
| Ponte Preta 1 Mirassol 2 | +10.8 | +0.1 | ||||
| Ferroviaria 2 Santo Andre 2 | -9.9 | -0.1 | ||||
| Bragantino 0 Ferroviaria 0 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Sao Bento 1 Novorizontino 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Week of 5/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Serie A2 | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ituano 2 Ponte Preta 1 | +12.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| Mirassol 1 Ferroviaria 3 | +7.8 | *No | +0.1 | |||
| Ferroviaria 1 Ituano 0 | In | +0.0 | ||||
| Ponte Preta 3 Guarani 1 | -1.8 | |||||
| Botafogo 2 Sao Bento 0 | +0.7 | |||||
| Week of 5/9 | None | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Ferroviaria finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Serie | |||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | A2 | Count | ||||
| 18 | -21 | In | 100 | No | 5,379,392,688 | * | ||||||||||
| Total: | In | 100 | No | 5,379,392,688 | ||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Why are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs!
Big Games
| Week of 4/25 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ponte Preta 0 Inter de Limeira 1 | -0.7 | |
| Ferroviaria 2 Santo Andre 2 | +0.5 | |
| Ponte Preta 1 Mirassol 2 | -0.4 | |
| Bragantino 0 Ferroviaria 0 | -0.0 | |
| Ituano 0 Sao Paulo 3 | -0.0 | |
| Week of 5/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Mirassol 1 Ferroviaria 3 | -0.8 | |
| Ferroviaria 1 Ituano 0 | -0.5 | |
| Ituano 2 Ponte Preta 1 | -0.4 | |
| Sao Bento 2 Inter de Limeira 1 | -0.2 | |
| Inter de Limeira 1 Sao Caetano 0 | +0.1 | |
| Guarani 2 Novorizontino 1 | +0.1 | |
| Novorizontino 2 Botafogo 2 | -0.1 | |
| Ponte Preta 3 Guarani 1 | -0.0 | |
| Palmeiras 3 Santos 2 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 5/9 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Sao Caetano vs Ferroviaria | +0.7+0.2-0.2 | |
| Corinthians vs Novorizontino | -0.2-0.1+0.4 | |
| Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | |
| Inter de Limeira vs Guarani | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| 21 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 53 | 47 | |||||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 17 | 83 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 66 | 34 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 40 | 57 | 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:39 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
