Minnesota Wild Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Buffalo 1-3, playoff odds unchanged at 0%

94 points 22-9 33-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1	*Out
Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Washington vs Minnesota			-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2
Columbus vs Edmonton			+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

118	8	-	0	0		-	0	Out									1	13	65	21	0			252
117	7	-	1	0		-	0	Out									0	4	43	48	4			223
116	7	-	0	0		-	1	Out										1	33	58	8			617	*
115	7	-	0	1		-	0	Out										0	15	64	20			2,197	*
114	6	-	1	1		-	0	Out										0	8	62	31			4,188	*
113	6	-	0	1		-	1	Out											3	54	44	0		8,857	*
112	5	-	1	1		-	1	Out											1	41	58	0		19,054	*
111	5	-	1	2		-	0	Out											0	31	68	0		29,872	*
110	5	-	0	2		-	1	Out											0	21	79	1		48,688	*
109	4	-	1	2		-	1	Out												12	86	2		35,844
	5	-	0	3		-	0	Out												13	86	2		43,101	*
108	4	-	1	3		-	0	Out												7	89	4		36,987
	4	-	0	2		-	2	Out												8	88	4		28,988
	3	-	2	2		-	1	Out												7	89	4		35,613	*
107	4	-	0	3		-	1	Out												3	88	9		60,680
	3	-	1	2		-	2	Out												3	88	9		37,990
	3	-	2	3		-	0	Out												3	88	8		39,844	*
106	3	-	1	3		-	1	Out												1	84	14		78,988
	4	-	0	4		-	0	Out												1	84	14		46,648
	3	-	0	2		-	3	Out												1	84	15		51,802	*
105	3	-	0	3		-	2	Out												0	78	22		63,657
	3	-	1	4		-	0	Out												0	78	22		60,642
	2	-	2	3		-	1	Out												0	78	22		38,061
	2	-	1	2		-	3	Out												0	78	21		27,281	*
104	3	-	0	4		-	1	Out												0	68	32		99,032
	2	-	1	3		-	2	Out												0	67	33		61,591
	2	-	2	4		-	0	Out												0	68	32		29,434
	1	-	3	3		-	1	Out												0	67	33		23,496	*
103	2	-	1	4		-	1	Out												0	57	43		95,644
	3	-	0	5		-	0	Out													57	43		60,930
	2	-	0	3		-	3	Out													58	42		32,956
	1	-	2	3		-	2	Out													57	43		33,152	*
102	2	-	0	4		-	2	Out													47	53		76,872
	2	-	1	5		-	0	Out													47	53		59,055
	1	-	2	4		-	1	Out													46	54		30,907
	1	-	1	3		-	3	Out													47	53		26,570	*
101	2	-	0	5		-	1	Out													35	65		94,945
	1	-	1	4		-	2	Out													34	66		49,621
	1	-	2	5		-	0	Out													35	65		34,707	*
100	1	-	1	5		-	1	Out													25	75		61,374
	2	-	0	6		-	0	Out													25	75		49,411
	1	-	0	4		-	3	Out													25	75		39,098	*
99	1	-	0	5		-	2	Out													17	83		49,445
	1	-	1	6		-	0	Out													17	83		51,123	*
98	1	-	0	6		-	1	Out													10	90		50,699
	0	-	1	5		-	2	Out													10	90		24,205	*
97	1	-	0	7		-	0	Out													6	94	0	47,096	*
96	0	-	0	6		-	2	Out													3	97	0	19,944	*
95	0	-	0	7		-	1	Out													1	99	0	11,565
94	0	-	0	8		-	0	Out													0	100	0	4,620

Total:								Out									0	0	0	3	57	40	0	2,017,566

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1	+0.5
Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Washington vs Minnesota	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.7
Columbus vs Edmonton	-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Florida vs NY Islanders	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

118	8	-	0	0		-	0																	0	8	38	38	13	2
117	7	-	1	0		-	0																		2	16	35	31	14	2
116	7	-	0	0		-	1																		0	8	30	39	19	3	0
115	7	-	0	1		-	0																		0	1	12	35	38	12	1
114	6	-	1	1		-	0																			0	5	21	44	25	5	0
113	6	-	0	1		-	1																			0	1	9	37	39	13	1	0
112	5	-	1	1		-	1																				0	3	22	42	27	5	0
111	5	-	1	2		-	0																				0	1	10	35	40	13	1	0
110	5	-	0	2		-	1																					0	4	23	44	26	4	0
109	4	-	1	2		-	1																					0	1	10	38	40	10	1	0
	5	-	0	3		-	0																						1	10	38	40	10	0	0
108	4	-	1	3		-	0																						0	3	24	48	22	2	0
	4	-	0	2		-	2																					0	0	3	25	48	22	2	0	0
	3	-	2	2		-	1																						0	3	25	47	22	2	0
107	4	-	0	3		-	1																						0	1	12	44	35	7	0	0
	3	-	1	2		-	2																						0	1	12	43	36	7	0	0
	3	-	2	3		-	0																						0	1	12	44	35	7	0	0
106	3	-	1	3		-	1																							0	4	32	46	16	2	0
	4	-	0	4		-	0																						0	0	4	32	45	16	2	0
	3	-	0	2		-	3																						0	0	4	32	45	16	2	0
105	3	-	0	3		-	2																							0	1	18	45	28	7	1
	3	-	1	4		-	0																							0	1	18	46	28	7	1
	2	-	2	3		-	1																							0	1	18	45	28	7	1
	2	-	1	2		-	3																							0	1	18	46	28	6	1
104	3	-	0	4		-	1																								0	8	36	38	15	2
	2	-	1	3		-	2																								0	8	36	38	15	2
	2	-	2	4		-	0																								0	8	36	38	15	2
	1	-	3	3		-	1																								0	8	36	38	15	2
103	2	-	1	4		-	1																								0	3	24	41	26	6
	3	-	0	5		-	0																								0	3	24	41	26	6
	2	-	0	3		-	3																								0	3	24	42	26	6
	1	-	2	3		-	2																								0	3	23	41	27	6
102	2	-	0	4		-	2																								0	1	13	36	38	13
	2	-	1	5		-	0																									1	12	36	37	13
	1	-	2	4		-	1																									1	13	36	37	13
	1	-	1	3		-	3																									1	13	36	37	13
101	2	-	0	5		-	1																									0	5	25	44	25
	1	-	1	4		-	2																									0	5	25	44	25
	1	-	2	5		-	0																									0	5	26	44	25
100	1	-	1	5		-	1																									0	2	16	43	40
	2	-	0	6		-	0																									0	2	15	43	40
	1	-	0	4		-	3																									0	2	16	43	40
99	1	-	0	5		-	2																									0	1	7	36	56
	1	-	1	6		-	0																									0	1	8	36	56
98	1	-	0	6		-	1																									0	0	3	26	71
	0	-	1	5		-	2																										0	3	26	71
97	1	-	0	7		-	0																										0	1	16	83	0
96	0	-	0	6		-	2																											0	9	91	0
95	0	-	0	7		-	1																											0	4	96	0
94	0	-	0	8		-	0																												2	98	0

Total:																								0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	14	21	21	19	16	0