Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-L-TGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Twice as Good105-2-043398.6%+5.424221914953210003.1+0.881.595Twice As Good
Don't Toews Me,105-2-088498.4+5.2232119151063210003.2+0.812.595Don't Toews Me, Bro
Jagr Bombs105-2-0160198.3+4.3232118151064210003.2+0.613.595Jagr Bombs
Happy Gilmore105-2-087998.2+6.0222018151064211003.3+0.875.595Happy Gilmore
Red Light Distr84-3-012989.1+19.9581115171411863105.3+1.376.532The Red Light District
Shwa Mulleteers63-4-065963.7-8.61236101314151412837.5-0.994.468Shwa Mulleteers
Poogs63-4-0-59962.0-8.0123691214151413837.6-0.928.468The Poogs
Puslinch Bulldogs63-4-0-71559.3-10.2113591214151513937.7-1.047.468Puslinch Bulldogs
Kane's TheRapist63-4-0-53255.5-10.10135811131516151047.9-0.989.468Kane's TheRapist
Doughty Little63-4-0-90154.6-14.30124711131516151148.0-1.2410.468Doughty Little Secret
Gibby's Grinders42-5-0-39218.7+13.0000123581219311910.0+1.0211.405Gibby's Grinders
Fracks21-6-0-14463.5-2.50000001248206511.4-0.3912.341The Fracks

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/16
Doughty Little 927 Gibby's Grinders 1089
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good+0.3
+0.1
Don't Toews Me,+0.3
+0.1
Jagr Bombs+0.3
+0.1
Happy Gilmore+0.4
+0.1
Red Light Distr+1.1
+0.1
Shwa Mulleteers+0.9
+0.1
Poogs+1.0
+0.1
Puslinch Bulldogs+1.0
+0.1
Kane's TheRapist+1.1
+0.1
Doughty Little-10.5
-0.8
Gibby's Grinders+3.8
+0.3
Fracks+0.3
-0.1
Red Light Distr 1192 Puslinch Bulldogs 935
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Light Distr+8.9
+0.7
Puslinch Bulldogs-8.8
-0.7
Kane's TheRapist 604 Happy Gilmore 993
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good+0.2
Don't Toews Me,+0.2
Jagr Bombs+0.2
Happy Gilmore+3.3
+0.5
Red Light Distr+0.6
Shwa Mulleteers+0.6
Poogs+0.6
Puslinch Bulldogs+0.6
Kane's TheRapist-7.4
-0.6
Doughty Little+0.6
Gibby's Grinders+0.2
Fracks+0.2
Don't Toews Me, 752 Poogs 699
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good+0.2
Don't Toews Me,+2.9
+0.5
Jagr Bombs+0.2
Happy Gilmore+0.2
Red Light Distr+0.6
Shwa Mulleteers+0.5
Poogs-6.9
-0.6
Puslinch Bulldogs+0.6
Kane's TheRapist+0.7
Doughty Little+0.6
Gibby's Grinders+0.2
Fracks+0.2
Twice as Good 968 Shwa Mulleteers 888
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good+2.9
+0.5
Don't Toews Me,+0.2
Jagr Bombs+0.2
Happy Gilmore+0.2
Red Light Distr+0.5
Shwa Mulleteers-6.6
-0.6
Poogs+0.5
Puslinch Bulldogs+0.6
Kane's TheRapist+0.6
Doughty Little+0.6
Gibby's Grinders+0.2
Fracks+0.2
Fracks 424 Jagr Bombs 875
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good-0.0
Don't Toews Me,-0.0
Jagr Bombs+1.9
+0.4
Happy Gilmore-0.0
Gibby's Grinders+0.0
Fracks-1.9
-0.2
Week of 11/23
Puslinch Bulldogs vs PoogsIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Poogs51.861.272.2
8.27.66.9
Puslinch Bulldogs69.658.949.0
7.17.88.3
Happy Gilmore vs Doughty LittleHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Happy Gilmore99.1*98.296.5
2.93.43.9
Red Light Distr89.6*89.188.3
Shwa Mulleteers64.8*63.862.0
Poogs63.1*61.960.3
Puslinch Bulldogs60.4*59.257.6
Kane's TheRapist56.6*55.453.7
7.97.98.0
Doughty Little47.8*55.066.1
8.48.07.3
Gibby's Grinders19.4*18.717.5
10.0*10.010.1
Kane's TheRapist vs Twice as GoodHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good97.398.799.3
3.63.12.7
Red Light Distr88.3*89.089.6
Shwa Mulleteers62.063.464.8
7.57.57.4
Poogs60.361.763.1
7.67.67.5
Puslinch Bulldogs57.5*59.160.4
7.8*7.77.7
Kane's TheRapist66.757.448.8
7.27.88.3
Doughty Little52.854.255.8
8.08.07.9
Gibby's Grinders17.518.319.4
10.110.010.0
Shwa Mulleteers vs FracksHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Light Distr88.889.589.7
5.45.35.3
Shwa Mulleteers70.360.952.6
7.07.78.1
Poogs61.262.463.5
7.67.57.5
Puslinch Bulldogs58.460.160.9
Kane's TheRapist54.656.157.1
Doughty Little53.7*54.956.3
8.0*8.07.9
Gibby's Grinders18.119.119.7
Fracks1.93.36.3
11.511.411.1
Gibby's Grinders vs Don't Toews Me,HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Twice as Good3.03.03.1
Don't Toews Me,96.8*98.399.1
3.83.32.9
Jagr Bombs3.13.23.3
Happy Gilmore3.23.33.3
Red Light Distr88.5*89.189.4
Shwa Mulleteers62.5*63.764.3
Poogs60.861.662.6
Puslinch Bulldogs58.1*59.459.9
Kane's TheRapist54.3*55.456.1
Doughty Little53.454.355.2
Gibby's Grinders27.719.714.5
9.49.910.2
Fracks3.3*3.53.7
11.411.411.3
Jagr Bombs vs Red Light DistrHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Jagr Bombs99.298.597.2
2.83.33.8
Red Light Distr85.589.993.7
5.85.34.7
Shwa Mulleteers64.1*63.663.2
Poogs62.5*61.961.5
Puslinch Bulldogs59.7*59.358.8
Kane's TheRapist56.0*55.354.9
Doughty Little55.154.354.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Josh Duffield for adding this league.