New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Lost to Tampa Bay 3-4, playoff odds down 0.009 to 0.0005%

92 points 21-9 33-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay 4 NY Islanders 3	-0.3
Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Average seed
Florida vs NY Islanders	-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.3

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

116		8	-	0	0		-	0	2.9	%								3	35	47	15					245
115		7	-	1	0		-	0	0.5									1	18	52	26	3				185
114		7	-	0	0		-	1	0.4									0	7	43	44	6	0			531	*
113		7	-	0	1		-	0	Out										2	29	52	16	1			1,822	*
112		6	-	1	1		-	0	Out										1	14	49	32	4	0		3,674	*
111		6	-	0	1		-	1	Out										0	5	39	43	12	1		7,689	*
110		5	-	1	1		-	1	Out											1	23	48	25	2		16,889	*
109		5	-	1	2		-	0	Out											0	10	43	39	8	0	26,942	*
108		5	-	0	2		-	1	Out											0	4	30	49	17	0	45,516	*
107		4	-	1	2		-	1	Out												1	15	50	32	2	33,536
		5	-	0	3		-	0	Out												1	16	50	32	2	40,157	*
106		4	-	1	3		-	0	Out												0	6	41	48	5	34,632
		4	-	0	2		-	2	Out												0	7	41	48	5	28,229
		3	-	2	2		-	1	Out												0	7	41	47	5	33,205	*
105		4	-	0	3		-	1	Out												0	2	28	58	12	59,375
		3	-	1	2		-	2	Out												0	2	27	58	12	36,808
		3	-	2	3		-	0	Out												0	2	28	58	12	37,220	*
104		3	-	1	3		-	1	Out													0	16	61	23	76,029
		4	-	0	4		-	0	Out													0	15	61	23	45,806
		3	-	0	2		-	3	Out													0	15	61	23	50,998	*
103		3	-	0	3		-	2	Out													0	7	57	36	63,845
		3	-	1	4		-	0	Out													0	7	57	36	58,647
		2	-	2	3		-	1	Out													0	7	57	36	36,955
		2	-	1	2		-	3	Out													0	7	57	36	27,185	*
102		3	-	0	4		-	1	Out													0	3	46	52	99,073
		2	-	1	3		-	2	Out													0	3	45	52	62,021
		2	-	2	4		-	0	Out													0	3	46	52	28,878
		2	-	0	2		-	4	Out														3	45	52	24,149	*
101		2	-	1	4		-	1	Out														1	34	65	96,023
		3	-	0	5		-	0	Out														1	34	65	61,305
		2	-	0	3		-	3	Out														1	35	65	34,130
		1	-	2	3		-	2	Out														1	34	65	32,843	*
100		2	-	0	4		-	2	Out														0	23	76	79,666
		2	-	1	5		-	0	Out														0	24	76	59,644
		1	-	2	4		-	1	Out														0	24	76	30,745
		1	-	1	3		-	3	Out														0	24	76	27,330	*
99		2	-	0	5		-	1	Out														0	14	86	98,634
		1	-	1	4		-	2	Out														0	14	86	51,366
		1	-	2	5		-	0	Out														0	14	86	35,578	*
98		1	-	1	5		-	1	Out														0	8	92	63,350
		2	-	0	6		-	0	Out														0	8	92	50,690
		1	-	0	4		-	3	Out														0	8	92	41,563	*
97		1	-	0	5		-	2	Out															4	96	51,941
		1	-	1	6		-	0	Out															4	96	53,366	*
96		1	-	0	6		-	1	Out															2	98	53,873
		0	-	1	5		-	2	Out															2	98	25,878	*
95		1	-	0	7		-	0	Out															1	99	23,760
		0	-	1	6		-	1	Out															1	99	26,575	*
94		0	-	0	6		-	2	Out															0	100	21,647	*
92	-93								Out																100	17,418	*

Total:									0.0	%								0	0	0	1	3	10	31	55	2,017,566

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 4 NY Islanders 3	+0.5
Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1	-0.1
Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida vs NY Islanders	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.6
Columbus vs Edmonton	-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Minnesota	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

116	8	-	0	0		-	0																3		0	12	33	38	11	3
115	7	-	1	0		-	0																1			6	19	39	26	7	2
114	7	-	0	0		-	1																0			1	8	30	40	20	1	0
113	7	-	0	1		-	0																			0	2	19	39	31	8	0
112	6	-	1	1		-	0																				1	7	29	40	20	3	0
111	6	-	0	1		-	1																					2	15	39	34	8	1	0
110	5	-	1	1		-	1																					0	6	27	42	21	3	0
109	5	-	1	2		-	0																					0	1	14	40	35	9	0	0
108	5	-	0	2		-	1																					0	0	5	28	44	20	2	0	0
107	4	-	1	2		-	1																						0	1	14	43	34	7	1	0
	5	-	0	3		-	0																						0	1	14	43	35	7	1	0
106	4	-	1	3		-	0																						0	0	5	31	45	17	2	0
	4	-	0	2		-	2																							0	5	31	44	17	2	0
	3	-	2	2		-	1																							0	5	32	44	16	2	0
105	4	-	0	3		-	1																							0	1	18	44	29	7	1
	3	-	1	2		-	2																							0	1	17	44	29	7	1
	3	-	2	3		-	0																							0	1	18	44	29	7	1
104	3	-	1	3		-	1																								0	8	36	39	15	2
	4	-	0	4		-	0																								0	8	36	39	15	2
	3	-	0	2		-	3																								0	7	36	39	15	2
103	3	-	0	3		-	2																								0	3	23	42	27	6
	3	-	1	4		-	0																								0	3	23	42	27	6
	2	-	2	3		-	1																								0	2	23	41	27	6
	2	-	1	2		-	3																								0	3	23	42	27	6
102	3	-	0	4		-	1																								0	1	12	36	38	14
	2	-	1	3		-	2																								0	1	12	35	39	14
	2	-	2	4		-	0																									1	12	36	39	14
101	2	-	1	4		-	1																									0	5	25	44	25
	3	-	0	5		-	0																									0	5	26	45	24
	2	-	0	3		-	3																									0	5	26	44	25
	1	-	2	3		-	2																									0	5	26	44	25
100	2	-	0	4		-	2																									0	2	15	43	40
	2	-	1	5		-	0																									0	2	15	43	40
	1	-	2	4		-	1																									0	2	15	43	40
	1	-	1	3		-	3																									0	2	15	43	40
99	2	-	0	5		-	1																									0	1	7	36	56
	1	-	1	4		-	2																										0	7	36	56
	1	-	2	5		-	0																										1	7	36	56
98	1	-	1	5		-	1																										0	3	27	70
	2	-	0	6		-	0																										0	3	27	70
	1	-	0	4		-	3																										0	3	27	70
97	1	-	0	5		-	2																										0	1	17	82	0
	1	-	1	6		-	0																										0	1	17	82	0
96	1	-	0	6		-	1																										0	0	9	91	0
	0	-	1	5		-	2																											0	9	91	0
95	1	-	0	7		-	0																											0	4	95	0
	0	-	1	6		-	1																											0	5	95	0
94	0	-	0	6		-	2																												2	98	0
93	0	-	0	7		-	1																												1	99	0
92	0	-	0	8		-	0																												0	99	1

Total:																							0		0	0	0	0	0	1	3	7	14	19	24	32	0