Anaheim Ducks Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.04 to 0.2%

103 points 28-4 32-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anaheim vs Boston	+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Phoenix vs St. Louis	-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Anaheim finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

124	7	-	0	0		-	0	70.8	%			2				19	49	27	2						867
123	6	-	1	0		-	0	41.9				1				7	35	44	14	0	0				1,581
122	6	-	0	0		-	1	21.1				0				2	19	47	28	4	0				3,775	*
121	6	-	0	1		-	0	7.0				0				0	7	35	44	14	0				12,349	*
120	5	-	1	1		-	0	1.4								0	1	18	47	30	3				20,520	*
119	5	-	0	1		-	1	0.2									0	7	36	47	10				18,251
	4	-	2	1		-	0	0.2									0	7	37	46	10				17,236	*
118	4	-	1	1		-	1	0.0									0	2	22	54	23	0			30,141
	5	-	0	2		-	0	0.0									0	2	22	54	22				39,140	*
117	4	-	1	2		-	0	0.0									0	0	9	51	39	0			46,487
	4	-	0	1		-	2	Out										0	9	51	40	0			25,272	*
	3	-	2	1		-	1	0.0									0	0	9	51	40	0			19,412
116	4	-	0	2		-	1	Out										0	3	37	60	0			62,398
	3	-	2	2		-	0	Out										0	3	37	60	0			29,756
	3	-	1	1		-	2	Out										0	3	37	60	0			35,078	*
115	3	-	1	2		-	1	Out										0	1	25	74	0			80,011
	4	-	0	3		-	0	Out										0	1	25	74	0			63,971
	2	-	2	1		-	2	Out											1	25	75	0			12,634
	3	-	0	1		-	3	Out											1	24	75	0			23,077	*
114	3	-	1	3		-	0	Out											0	14	86	0			83,010
	3	-	0	2		-	2	Out											0	14	86	0			52,722
	2	-	2	2		-	1	Out											0	14	86	0			38,651
	2	-	1	1		-	3	Out											0	13	86	0			15,727	*
113	3	-	0	3		-	1	Out											0	6	94	0			113,450	*
	2	-	1	2		-	2	Out												5	94	0			51,591
	2	-	2	3		-	0	Out												6	94	0			52,127	*
112	2	-	1	3		-	1	Out												3	96	1	0		106,052
	3	-	0	4		-	0	Out												3	96	1	0		85,218
	2	-	0	2		-	3	Out												3	97	1			22,040
	1	-	2	2		-	2	Out												2	97	1			28,947	*
111	2	-	1	4		-	0	Out												1	97	2	0		82,324
	2	-	0	3		-	2	Out												1	97	2	0		68,419
	1	-	2	3		-	1	Out												1	97	2	0		34,007
	1	-	1	2		-	3	Out												1	97	2			17,620	*
110	2	-	0	4		-	1	Out													95	5	0		106,840
	1	-	1	3		-	2	Out												0	96	4	0		44,142
	1	-	2	4		-	0	Out													96	4	0		37,214	*
109	1	-	1	4		-	1	Out													92	8	0		68,829
	2	-	0	5		-	0	Out													90	9	0		66,218
	1	-	0	3		-	3	Out													92	8	0		30,599	*
108	1	-	0	4		-	2	Out													84	15	1		43,731
	1	-	1	5		-	0	Out													84	16	1		42,729
	0	-	2	4		-	1	Out													85	15	1		17,607	*
107	1	-	0	5		-	1	Out													72	26	2		54,485
	0	-	1	4		-	2	Out													73	24	2		23,092	*
106	1	-	0	6		-	0	Out													57	37	6		28,309
	0	-	1	5		-	1	Out													59	36	5		23,333	*
105	0	-	0	5		-	2	Out													42	46	12		19,959	*
104	0	-	0	6		-	1	Out													24	52	24		11,528
103	0	-	0	7		-	0	Out													10	49	41		5,090

Total:								0.2	%			0				0	0	1	3	12	78	5	1		2,017,566

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit 5 Carolina 4	-0.1
Nashville 3 Winnipeg 1	-0.1
Toronto 3 NY Rangers 4 (so)	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Anaheim vs Boston	-0.8-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.6

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

124	7	-	0	0		-	0					0	2							11	8	47	3	27	2
123	6	-	1	0		-	0						1							3	4	31	4	43	14	0	0
122	6	-	0	0		-	1						0							0	1	14	5	46	29	4	0
121	6	-	0	1		-	0						0							0	0	4	3	32	43	16	2	0
120	5	-	1	1		-	0														0	1	1	15	42	33	8	1	0
119	5	-	0	1		-	1															0	0	5	26	42	22	5	0
	4	-	2	1		-	0															0	0	4	27	41	22	5	0
118	4	-	1	1		-	1																0	1	12	35	35	15	2	0
	5	-	0	2		-	0															0	0	1	12	35	35	14	2	0
117	4	-	1	2		-	0																0	0	3	20	39	29	8	0
	4	-	0	1		-	2																	0	3	20	39	30	8	0
	3	-	2	1		-	1																0	0	3	20	39	30	9	0
116	4	-	0	2		-	1																	0	0	7	28	42	22	1	0
	3	-	2	2		-	0																		1	7	28	42	21	1	0
	3	-	1	1		-	2																		1	7	28	42	22	1	0
115	3	-	1	2		-	1																		0	2	15	41	37	4	0
	4	-	0	3		-	0																		0	2	15	41	37	4	0
	2	-	2	1		-	2																		0	2	14	42	37	4	0
	3	-	0	1		-	3																		0	2	15	41	39	4	0
114	3	-	1	3		-	0																		0	0	6	30	52	12	1	0
	3	-	0	2		-	2																		0	0	5	30	52	12	1	0
	2	-	2	2		-	1																		0	0	5	30	52	12	1
	2	-	1	1		-	3																			0	5	30	52	12	1
113	3	-	0	3		-	1																			0	1	16	56	25	3	0	0
	2	-	1	2		-	2																			0	1	16	55	25	3	0
	2	-	2	3		-	0																			0	1	16	56	25	3	0
112	2	-	1	3		-	1																			0	0	6	46	38	8	0	0
	3	-	0	4		-	0																			0	0	7	46	38	8	0	0
	2	-	0	2		-	3																				0	7	46	38	8	0	0
	1	-	2	2		-	2																				0	7	46	39	8	0
111	2	-	1	4		-	0																				0	2	32	47	18	2	0
	2	-	0	3		-	2																				0	2	31	47	18	2	0
	1	-	2	3		-	1																				0	2	32	47	18	2	0
	1	-	1	2		-	3																				0	2	31	47	18	2	0
110	2	-	0	4		-	1																					0	17	45	31	6	0	0
	1	-	1	3		-	2																				0	0	16	46	32	6	0	0
	1	-	2	4		-	0																					0	16	46	31	6	0	0
109	1	-	1	4		-	1																					0	7	35	42	15	1	0
	2	-	0	5		-	0																					0	7	35	42	15	1	0	0
	1	-	0	3		-	3																					0	7	35	42	15	1	0
108	1	-	0	4		-	2																					0	2	21	44	27	5	0	0
	1	-	1	5		-	0																					0	2	21	44	27	5	0	0
	0	-	2	4		-	1																						2	21	45	27	4	0	0
107	1	-	0	5		-	1																						0	9	36	39	13	2	0	0
	0	-	1	4		-	2																						0	10	36	39	12	2	0
106	1	-	0	6		-	0																						0	3	22	42	26	6	1	0
	0	-	1	5		-	1																						0	3	22	43	25	6	1	0
105	0	-	0	5		-	2																						0	1	10	35	36	15	3	0
104	0	-	0	6		-	1																							0	3	20	38	29	9	1
103	0	-	0	7		-	0																								1	8	30	39	20	3

Total:												0	0							0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	14	27	22	14	7	2	1	0	0