Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 98.8%

116 points 30-6 24-14

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ottawa 8 Pittsburgh 4	-0.3
Nashville 3 Winnipeg 1	+0.2		+0.0
Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1	-0.2
Los Angeles 2 Boston 4			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida vs NY Islanders	+0.9+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.3-1.6		+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Washington vs Minnesota	-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.3		-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

140	8	-	0	0		-	0	In			86	14													880
139	7	-	1	0		-	0	In			78	22													1,851
138	6	-	2	0		-	0	In			70	30													4,134	*
137	7	-	0	1		-	0	In			59	41													12,205	*
136	6	-	1	1		-	0	In			48	52													21,692	*
135	6	-	0	1		-	1	In			38	62													35,684	*
134	5	-	1	1		-	1	In			29	71													28,987
	6	-	0	2		-	0	In			29	71													37,195	*
133	5	-	1	2		-	0	In			20	80													45,399
	4	-	2	1		-	1	In			20	80													45,305	*
132	5	-	0	2		-	1	In			13	87													46,436
	4	-	2	2		-	0	In			14	86													36,366
	4	-	1	1		-	2	In			13	87													37,359	*
131	4	-	1	2		-	1	In			8	92			0	0									74,712
	5	-	0	3		-	0	In			9	91			0	0									63,490	*
	3	-	2	1		-	2	In			9	91			0										27,747	*
130	4	-	1	3		-	0	In			5	95			0	0	0								77,138
	3	-	2	2		-	1	In			5	95			0	0	0								48,308
	4	-	0	2		-	2	In			5	95			0	0									57,674	*
129	4	-	0	3		-	1	In			3	97			1	0	0								77,844
	3	-	2	3		-	0	In			3	97			0	0	0								50,129
	3	-	1	2		-	2	In			3	97			0	0	0								48,236
	2	-	3	2		-	1	In			3	97			0	0	0								24,649	*
128	3	-	1	3		-	1	In			1	97			1	1	0								100,228
	4	-	0	4		-	0	In			1	96			1	1	0								60,459
	2	-	2	2		-	2	In			1	97			1	1	0								23,433
	2	-	3	3		-	0	In			1	97			1	1	0								38,037	*
127	3	-	1	4		-	0	In			0	95			2	3	0								77,669
	3	-	0	3		-	2	In			1	95			2	2	0								49,689
	2	-	2	3		-	1	In			1	95			2	2	0								48,184
	2	-	1	2		-	3	In			1	96			2	2	0								24,667	*
126	3	-	0	4		-	1	100.0	%		0	91			2	5	1	0							75,760
	2	-	1	3		-	2	In			0	92			2	5	1								67,557	*
	2	-	2	4		-	0	100.0			0	91			2	5	1	0							37,802
125	2	-	1	4		-	1	100.0			0	84			2	10	3	0							74,496
	3	-	0	5		-	0	100.0			0	83			3	10	4	0							47,323
	1	-	2	3		-	2	100.0			0	85			2	9	3	0							42,709	*
124	2	-	1	5		-	0	99.8			0	75			2	14	9	0							48,863	*
	2	-	0	4		-	2	99.8			0	75			2	14	8	0	0						35,345
	1	-	2	4		-	1	99.8			0	76			2	14	8	0	0						33,526	*
123	2	-	0	5		-	1	98.8			0	63			1	16	18	1	0						65,798	*
	1	-	1	4		-	2	98.9			0	64			1	16	17	1							23,171
122	1	-	1	5		-	1	95.5				49			1	17	29	4	0						28,230
	2	-	0	6		-	0	95.4				48			1	17	30	4	0						36,148	*
121	1	-	1	6		-	0	88.5				35			0	13	40	11	1						35,026	*
120	1	-	0	6		-	1	74.7				23			0	8	44	23	2						21,413	*
119	1	-	0	7		-	0	55.5				12				4	40	37	7	0					11,827	*
118	0	-	0	6		-	2	36.7				6				1	29	46	17	0					4,054	*
117	0	-	0	7		-	1	18.8				2				0	17	48	33	1					1,794
116	0	-	0	8		-	0	7.9				0				0	7	41	47	4					938

Total:								98.8	%		6	84			1	4	4	1	0	0					2,017,566

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nashville 3 Winnipeg 1	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Florida vs NY Islanders	-0.6-0.1-0.2+0.4+0.3+0.9
Washington vs Minnesota	+0.3-0.0-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.5
Anaheim vs Boston	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

140	8	-	0	0		-	0			11	76	14
139	7	-	1	0		-	0			6	72	22
138	6	-	2	0		-	0			3	67	30
137	7	-	0	1		-	0			2	57	41	0
136	6	-	1	1		-	0			1	48	51	0
135	6	-	0	1		-	1			0	38	62	0
134	5	-	1	1		-	1			0	28	70	1
	6	-	0	2		-	0			0	29	70	1
133	5	-	1	2		-	0			0	20	77	3
	4	-	2	1		-	1			0	20	77	3
132	5	-	0	2		-	1			0	13	79	7
	4	-	2	2		-	0			0	14	79	7
	4	-	1	1		-	2			0	13	79	7
131	4	-	1	2		-	1				8	76	15					0	0	0
	5	-	0	3		-	0				9	76	15					0	0	0
	3	-	2	1		-	2				9	76	16					0	0
130	4	-	1	3		-	0				5	67	27					0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	2	2		-	1				5	67	28					0	0	0		0
	4	-	0	2		-	2				5	68	27					0	0	0	0
129	4	-	0	3		-	1				3	53	44					0	1	0	0	0
	3	-	2	3		-	0				3	53	43					0	0	0	0	0
	3	-	1	2		-	2				3	53	44					0	0	0	0	0
	2	-	3	2		-	1				3	53	43					0	0	0	0	0
128	3	-	1	3		-	1				1	35	61					0	1	1	0	0
	4	-	0	4		-	0				1	36	61					0	1	1	0	0	0
	2	-	2	2		-	2				1	36	61					0	1	1	0	0	0
	2	-	3	3		-	0				1	35	62						1	1	0	0
127	3	-	1	4		-	0				0	19	75					0	2	2	1	0	0
	3	-	0	3		-	2				1	20	76					0	2	2	1	0	0
	2	-	2	3		-	1				1	20	75						2	2	1	0	0
	2	-	1	2		-	3				1	20	76						2	1	1	0	0
126	3	-	0	4		-	1				0	8	83						2	2	3	1	0	0
	2	-	1	3		-	2				0	9	83						2	2	3	1	0
	2	-	2	4		-	0				0	8	83						2	2	3	1	0	0
125	2	-	1	4		-	1				0	3	82						2	2	7	2	1	0	0
	3	-	0	5		-	0				0	3	81						3	2	8	2	1	0	0
	1	-	2	3		-	2				0	3	83						2	2	7	2	1	0		0
124	2	-	1	5		-	0				0	1	74						2	1	13	4	5	0	0	0
	2	-	0	4		-	2				0	1	75						2	1	13	4	5	0	0	0	0
	1	-	2	4		-	1				0	1	75						2	1	13	3	5	0	0	0
123	2	-	0	5		-	1				0	0	63						1	0	16	4	14	1	0	0
	1	-	1	4		-	2				0	0	64						1	0	16	4	13	1	0	0
122	1	-	1	5		-	1					0	49						1	0	17	2	27	2	2	1	0
	2	-	0	6		-	0					0	48						1	0	17	3	27	2	2	1	0
121	1	-	1	6		-	0						35						0	0	13	1	39	2	5	3	0	0
120	1	-	0	6		-	1						23						0		8	0	44	2	10	11	3	0
119	1	-	0	7		-	0						12								4	0	40	1	10	22	11	1	0
118	0	-	0	6		-	2						6								1		29	0	7	27	23	6	0
117	0	-	0	7		-	1						2								0		17	0	2	22	37	18	2	0
116	0	-	0	8		-	0						0								0		7		1	13	38	34	6	0

Total:										0	6	37	47					0	1	1	3	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0